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Boot Barn Raises FY26 Sales Target to $2.24B: Still Room to Run?
ZACKS· 2025-11-12 15:26
Core Insights - Boot Barn Holdings Inc. (BOOT) has raised its sales forecast for fiscal 2026 to between $2,197 million and $2,235 million, indicating a year-over-year growth of 15% to 17% [1][9] - The updated forecast is driven by ongoing store expansion and strong consumer demand in the western and workwear segments [1] Sales Growth and Store Expansion - Management anticipates same-store sales growth of 4% to 6% for fiscal 2026, with retail store same-store sales expected to rise between 3.3% and 5.3%, while e-commerce same-store sales are projected to increase by 11% to 13% [2] - Boot Barn experienced an 18.7% increase in total net sales in the second quarter, supported by strong performance across all major product categories and the opening of 64 new stores over the past year [3] - The company plans to open an additional 70 new stores in fiscal 2026, which is expected to generate approximately $3.2 million in annual sales per new location [3][9] E-commerce Performance - E-commerce remains a crucial growth driver, with same-store online sales rising 14.4% year-over-year in the second quarter, surpassing the 7.8% growth in retail same-store sales [4] - BootBarn.com accounts for about 75% of total online sales, and management is optimistic about continued e-commerce momentum, particularly with brand-focused websites and AI integration to enhance functionality [4] Competitive Landscape - Boot Barn faces competition from Buckle Inc. and Deckers Outdoor Corp., both of which reported significant sales growth in their recent quarters [6][7] - Buckle's net sales increased by 8.3% year-over-year, while Deckers saw a 9% jump in net sales, indicating a competitive retail environment [6][7] Market Position and Valuation - Boot Barn's shares have gained 21.1% year-to-date, contrasting with a 17.4% decline in the industry, and the company holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) [8] - The forward price-to-earnings ratio for BOOT is 24.16X, which is higher than the industry average of 16.31X [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for BOOT's fiscal 2026 and 2027 earnings suggests a year-over-year increase of 20.5% and 13.8%, respectively [11]
Can Boot Barn's Digital Investments Drive Future Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-11-04 19:21
Core Insights - Boot Barn Holdings Inc. is experiencing significant growth driven by digital investments, with a 14.4% increase in e-commerce same-store sales for Q2 of fiscal 2026, surpassing the 7.8% growth in retail store same-store sales [1][9] - Total revenue for the company reached $505.4 million, reflecting an 18.7% year-over-year growth [1][9] E-commerce Performance - E-commerce sales now account for 9.3% of the net sales in the second quarter, attributed to initiatives enhancing online engagement and optimizing the shopping experience through technology [2] - BootBarn.com, which constitutes approximately 75% of total online sales, reported high-teens comps growth [1] Brand and Technology Initiatives - The Cody James and Hawx platforms are enhancing brand discovery and attracting new customers, with plans to launch a website for the Cheyenne brand post-holidays [3] - The integration of artificial intelligence is pivotal, improving website search tools for better product results and recommendations, while tools like Cassidy assist store associates [3] Future Growth Expectations - For fiscal 2026, Boot Barn anticipates same-store sales growth of 4% to 6%, with retail stores expected to grow by 3.3-5.3% and e-commerce sales projected to rise by 11-13% [4] - The company plans to open 70 new stores in the current fiscal year, reinforcing the synergy between digital and physical channels [4][5] Competitive Landscape - Levi Strauss & Co. is also advancing its digital-first strategy, with e-commerce sales increasing by 18% in Q3 of fiscal 2025, aiming for e-commerce to represent 15% of total revenues [6] - Tapestry, Inc. is leveraging data analytics and omnichannel capabilities, attracting over 6.8 million new North American customers in fiscal 2025 [7] Stock Performance and Valuation - Boot Barn's shares have increased by 25.9% year-to-date, contrasting with a 16.3% decline in the industry, and the company holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) [8] - The forward price-to-earnings ratio for Boot Barn is 24.99X, higher than the industry average of 16.51X [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a year-over-year earnings rise of 20.5% for fiscal 2026 and 13.4% for fiscal 2027 [11]