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Thinking of Buying C3.ai Stock? Here Are 2 Red Flags to Consider.
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-11 08:35
Core Viewpoint - C3.ai is a prominent player in the enterprise AI sector, but it faces significant challenges regarding cash burn and competition, which could impact its long-term viability and investment attractiveness [1][16]. Company Overview - C3.ai specializes in providing an enterprise AI platform, focusing on deploying AI in large organizations across various sectors such as supply chains, energy, and defense [4][6]. - The company offers tools like the C3 Agentic AI Platform and C3 Generative AI, which facilitate the development and implementation of AI solutions [5][6]. Financial Performance - C3.ai has accumulated losses of $1.4 billion since its inception in 2009, with a projected non-GAAP loss from operations of around $100 million for fiscal year 2026 [8][9]. - The company ended the last fiscal year with $743 million in cash and equivalents, but this could diminish quickly if losses continue at the current rate [8]. - Revenue growth for fiscal year 2026 is expected to be between 15% and 25%, which is considered moderate compared to its spending levels [9][11]. - The company signed 264 agreements in fiscal year 2025, marking a 38% year-over-year increase, indicating potential for improved growth rates in the future [10]. Competitive Landscape - C3.ai faces increasing competition from major tech companies like Microsoft, Google, and AWS, which are heavily investing in AI and have established customer bases [13][14]. - Smaller startups are also emerging with specialized AI tools that are easier to implement and more flexibly priced, intensifying the competitive pressure [14][15]. - To maintain relevance, C3.ai must continue to address complex customer needs in its core verticals, or risk being marginalized in the market [15].
Can C3.ai's New HII Deal Boost Its Defense AI Momentum?
ZACKS· 2025-07-01 16:06
Core Insights - C3.ai's partnership with defense contractor HII is expected to significantly enhance its growth in the government sector, particularly in shipbuilding operations for the U.S. Navy [1][2] - The collaboration aims to integrate C3.ai's AI technology into HII's operations, addressing critical challenges in national defense, such as shipbuilding delays [4][11] Partnership and Expansion - The partnership builds on a successful pilot program at HII's Ingalls Shipbuilding, where C3.ai's algorithms optimized scheduling and labor allocation [3] - The deployment will initially focus on improving planning and throughput for various naval vessels, including amphibious ships and submarines [3][11] Federal Business Growth - C3.ai has recently secured a $450 million contract ceiling with the U.S. Air Force, expanding its presence in the defense sector [5][6] - The company is positioning itself as a key vendor for AI-driven operational intelligence in mission-critical applications, which is crucial for its long-term growth strategy [6][12] Financial Performance - In fiscal Q4, C3.ai reported revenues of $108.7 million, reflecting a 26% year-over-year growth [7] - Total revenues for fiscal 2025 reached $389.1 million, marking a 25% increase year-over-year, with subscription services comprising 96% of total revenues [8][9] Partner Ecosystem and Market Position - C3.ai's partner-supported bookings surged by 419% year-over-year in fiscal Q4, indicating strong demand for its solutions [10] - The renewal of a key alliance with Baker Hughes has generated over $500 million in revenue, enhancing C3.ai's credibility in industrial markets [9] Innovation and Differentiation - C3.ai's Agentic AI platform is deployed in over 100 use cases, providing ready-to-use applications for specific problems, distinguishing it from other AI vendors [13][14] - The company's application-first model is increasingly appealing to enterprise buyers seeking immediate solutions [14] Share Price and Valuation - C3.ai shares have increased by 11.8% over the past three months, outperforming the industry average [15] - Despite recent gains, C3.ai is priced at a discount compared to its industry, with a forward price-to-sales ratio of 6.81 [19] Strategic Outlook - The partnership with HII represents a strategic inflection point for C3.ai, contributing to strong revenue growth and an expanding partner ecosystem [21]
HII and C3 AI Forge Strategic Artificial Intelligence Partnership to Support US Navy Shipbuilding
Globenewswire· 2025-06-30 13:00
Core Insights - HII and C3 AI have formed a strategic partnership to enhance digital technologies and apply AI to improve shipbuilding throughput at HII's Newport News and Ingalls Shipbuilding divisions [1][5][8] Company Overview - HII is the largest military shipbuilder in the U.S., with a history of over 135 years in advancing national security and a workforce of 44,000 [10] - C3 AI specializes in Enterprise AI application software, providing integrated products for developing and deploying AI applications [11] Partnership Details - The partnership aims to integrate AI solutions across various shipbuilding operations, including planning, operations, supply chain, and labor allocation, to accelerate production and support U.S. Navy fleet readiness [5][6] - Initial efforts will focus on enhancing planning and scheduling at HII's divisions, specifically for amphibious ships, destroyers, nuclear-powered aircraft carriers, and submarines [7] Technological Implementation - The collaboration builds on a previous six-month deployment of C3 AI's technology at Ingalls Shipbuilding, which utilized complex algorithms to optimize work schedules, resulting in significant improvements in schedule performance [6][8] - The deployment of the C3 Agentic AI Platform will be scaled across HII shipyards to further enhance operational efficiency [6]
C3.ai(AI) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-05-28 20:28
Financial Highlights - C3 AI's FY25-Q4 revenue reached $108.7 million[22], representing a 26% growth compared to FY24-Q4[5, 8] - Subscription revenue for FY25-Q4 was $87.3 million[22] - The company's cash balance stands at $742.7 million[5] - For FY25, total revenue was $389.1 million, a 25% year-over-year increase[6, 23] - Subscription revenue accounted for 84% of the total revenue in FY25[6] - Non-GAAP gross margin for FY25 was 69.6%[6, 23] Partner Ecosystem - C3 AI closed 193 agreements through its partner network in FY25, a 68% year-over-year increase, accounting for 73% of total agreements[12] - Partner-supported bookings grew by 419% year-over-year in Q4[12] Guidance - C3 AI projects FY26-Q1 total revenue to be between $100.0 million and $109.0 million, representing a 15%-25% year-over-year growth[19] - The company anticipates FY26 total revenue to be between $447.5 million and $484.5 million, also a 15%-25% year-over-year growth[19]
C3.ai Trading at a Premium at 6.39X: Time to Hold or Sell the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-05-20 17:56
Core Viewpoint - C3.ai, Inc. is currently trading at a slight premium compared to its sector but at a discount to historical metrics, with a forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio of 6.39X, higher than the sector's 6.18X, yet below its three-year average [1] Group 1: Share Price Performance - C3.ai's shares have increased by 20.7% in the past month, but this performance lags behind the Zacks Computer & Technology sector and the Zacks Computers - IT Services industry [2] - The current stock price reflects a 48.6% discount from its 52-week high of $45.08 and a 36.1% premium to its 52-week low of $17.03 [2] Group 2: Growth Drivers - Partnerships with major players like Amazon AWS, Google Cloud, Microsoft Azure, and Booz Allen Hamilton are significant growth multipliers, resulting in 28 closed deals across nine industries, indicating a 460% quarter-over-quarter increase [5] - C3.ai has expanded its customer base in both commercial and government sectors, securing notable clients such as Flex, Sanofi, ExxonMobil, Shell, and the U.S. Department of Defense [6] - The company has a robust federal pipeline, particularly with the U.S. Department of Defense, citing 39 active pilots that are gaining traction in areas like predictive maintenance and logistics optimization [10] Group 3: Financial Challenges - C3.ai reported a GAAP net loss of 62 cents per share in the fiscal third quarter, with a non-GAAP loss of 12 cents per share [11] - The company signed 50 new pilots in the fiscal third quarter, totaling 310 pilots, which carry higher upfront costs and pressure on gross margins [12] - C3.ai anticipates some moderation in gross margins due to the increased mix of costly pilots and expects elevated operating losses due to ongoing investments in sales and R&D [13] Group 4: Estimate Revisions - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2025 loss per share remains unchanged at $2.29, while the estimate for fiscal 2026 loss per share has widened to $2.41 [14] - Sales growth estimates for fiscal 2025 and 2026 are projected at 29.6% and 22.4%, respectively [14] Group 5: Overall Assessment - Despite high-profile partnerships and a strong pipeline, C3.ai's ongoing lack of profitability, margin pressures, and increasing cost structure raise concerns [17] - The company operates at a steep GAAP loss with over 300 active pilots that have yet to convert into significant revenues, which may further impact margins [16] - The forward Price/Sales ratio of 6.39, while above the sector average, does not indicate an improved long-term financial outlook, leading to an unfavorable risk-reward profile for investors [17]