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BigBear.ai Stock Jumps 86% in a Month: Still a Smart Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-07-11 15:06
Key Takeaways BBAI stock jumped nearly 86% in a month, far outpacing tech peers and broader market indices. Defense wins and global AI partnerships helped drive 5% revenue growth and a 30% jump in backlog. BBAI remains unprofitable but cut long-term debt by $58M and reaffirmed $160M-$180M revenue guidance.BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) has been on a tear, with its stock surging nearly 86% over the past month. This sharp rally far outpaces the broader market, where the S&P 500 rose just 3.5%, the Zacks C ...
National Security AI Booms: Where Does BigBear.ai Fit In?
ZACKS· 2025-07-09 16:50
Core Insights - Geopolitical risks and increasing defense budgets are driving the integration of artificial intelligence (AI) into national security modernization, with BigBear.ai (BBAI) positioning itself at the intersection of AI and defense [1][5] Company Performance - In Q1 2025, BigBear.ai reported a 5% year-over-year revenue increase to $34.8 million, primarily due to contracts with the Department of Homeland Security and digital identity projects [2][12] - The company secured a significant deal to deliver and maintain the Department of Defense's Joint Staff J35 Orion AI platform, enhancing its credibility in military applications [2][12] - Despite a wider adjusted EBITDA loss of $7 million in Q1, attributed to government funding delays and increased R&D investments, BigBear.ai has a $385 million backlog and $108 million in cash, positioning it well for future growth [4][12] Competitive Landscape - BigBear.ai faces competition from established players like Palantir Technologies and C3.ai in the national security AI sector [6] - Palantir is recognized for its strong government partnerships and platforms, setting a high benchmark for BigBear.ai in terms of scale and influence [7] - C3.ai, while more commercially diversified, is aggressively targeting defense, focusing on predictive maintenance and logistics, areas where BigBear.ai is also making strides [8][9] Stock Performance - BigBear.ai's stock has surged 101.3% in the past month, outperforming the Zacks Computers - IT Services industry, the Zacks Computer and Technology sector, and the S&P 500 index [10] - The stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 12.44, indicating it is priced at a discount compared to industry peers [18] Earnings Estimates - Earnings estimates for BigBear.ai indicate a projected loss of 41 cents per share for 2025, showing improvement from a loss of $1.10 per share the previous year [14] - Estimates for 2026 have trended slightly downward to a loss of 21 cents per share [14]
BigBear.ai Pivots to Commercial Use: Is It a Risky Expansion?
ZACKS· 2025-07-01 16:10
Key Takeaways Notably, the Pangiam acquisition enables BBAI to explore the commercial sector globally (especially airports and ports), offering the latter a strong Vision AI portfolio focused on travel, trade and identity. One of the widely demanded commercial AI solutions, Pangiam Threat Detection, is a strategic addition to BBAI's portfolio, which strengthens its market share in the commercial sector. Moreover, BigBear.ai's other commercial and software solutions, including veriScan, Trueface, Pro Model A ...
Will BigBear.ai's $384.9M Backlog Drive H2 Acceleration?
ZACKS· 2025-06-20 15:10
Key Takeaways BBAI's backlog rose 30% year over year to $384.9M, driven by long-term national security contracts. Revenue growth is expected to accelerate in H2 2025, averaging 6.8% versus 4% in H1. BBAI retained its 2025 revenue outlook of $160M-$180M, projecting up to 13.8% year-over-year growth.BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.’s (BBAI) AI-based portfolio of offerings is at a juncture where the demand for national security and mission-critical needs meet. The increasing spending by the United States on travel, ...
Where Will BigBear.ai Stock Be in 5 Years?
The Motley Fool· 2025-06-14 08:25
The underdog AI software maker still has a lot to prove.BigBear.ai (BBAI -2.87%) hasn't impressed too many investors since its public debut. The artificial intelligence (AI) software company went public by merging with a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) on Dec. 7, 2021. Its stock opened at $9.84 on its first day, but it now trades at less than $4.Like many other SPAC-backed start-ups, BigBear.ai overpromised and underdelivered. In the company's pre-merger presentation, it claimed it would triple a ...
BigBear.ai(BBAI) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-01 21:32
BigBear.ai Holdings (BBAI) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 01, 2025 04:30 PM ET Company Participants None - ExecutiveKevin McAleenan - CEO & DirectorJulie Peffer - Chief Financial Officer Operator Greetings, and welcome to the Big Bear AI Holdings Incorporated First Quarter twenty five Earnings Call and Webcast. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce David Cronlow. Thank you, David. You may begin. None Thank yo ...
BigBear.ai(BBAI) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-01 21:32
BigBear.ai Holdings (BBAI) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 01, 2025 04:30 PM ET Company Participants None - ExecutiveKevin McAleenan - CEO & DirectorJulie Peffer - Chief Financial Officer Operator Greetings, and welcome to the Big Bear AI Holdings Incorporated First Quarter twenty five Earnings Call and Webcast. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce David Cronlow. Thank you, David. You may begin. None Thank yo ...
BigBear.ai(BBAI) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-01 20:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue for Q1 2025 was $34.8 million, up 5% year-on-year from $33.1 million in Q1 2024, primarily driven by additional revenue from the Department of Homeland Security and digital identity awards [21] - Gross profit increased by 6% from $7 million in Q1 2024 to $7.4 million in Q1 2025, with a gross margin of 21.3%, slightly up from 21.1% in Q1 2024 [22] - Net loss for Q1 2025 was $62 million, significantly improved from a net loss of $127.8 million in Q1 2024, mainly due to the absence of goodwill impairment charges that were $85 million in the previous year [24] - Adjusted EBITDA was negative $7 million for Q1 2025 compared to negative $1.6 million in Q1 2024, primarily driven by increased R&D expenses and recurring SG&A due to government funding delays [25] - Backlog at the end of Q1 2025 was $385 million, up 30% from Q1 2024, indicating continued customer confidence [26] - Cash and cash equivalents at the end of Q1 2025 were $108 million, up from $81 million in Q1 2024, providing increased financial flexibility [26] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is focusing on core markets such as border security, defense, and manufacturing, where it continues to deepen its leadership and expand AI infrastructure [14][18] - In border security, advanced AI solutions have been deployed at major points of entry, enhancing operational efficiency and security [18] - The company is also modernizing the American industrial base and streamlining global supply chains, particularly in shipbuilding [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The global security environment is driving renewed focus and investment in defense technology, creating opportunities for AI innovation [9] - There is a shift in federal procurement practices towards efficiency and the adoption of advanced commercial technologies [9] - The company is seeing early signs of strategic focus resonating in sectors where it has built deep relationships and understands the mission [17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is committed to mission expertise, international growth, business alliances, and relentless innovation in AI as core strategic priorities for 2025 [12][13] - The growth strategy focuses on strengthening core markets while selectively expanding into high-potential adjacencies [13] - The company aims to build flexible, mission-driven solutions that can adapt and scale with technology innovation [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledges the dynamic business and macroeconomic environment, which presents both opportunities and potential short-term risks [19] - The company reaffirms its full-year guidance for 2025, emphasizing a strong financial foundation and healthy backlog [30] - Management expresses confidence in the strategy and the ability to navigate market uncertainties while investing in future growth [31] Other Important Information - The company is focused on responsible capital allocation towards projects that aim to provide material improvement to shareholder returns [27] - The debt position has materially reduced, with a significant portion of convertible notes converted into equity, enhancing financial flexibility [27] Q&A Session Summary - No specific questions and answers were provided in the content, thus this section is not applicable.