Company Overview - GE Aerospace, formerly General Electric Company, is a leading designer, developer, and producer of jet engines, components, and integrated systems for military, commercial, and business aircraft [11] - The company is recognized for its aero-derivative gas turbines for marine applications and has a strong focus on product upgrades and innovation [11] - GE Aerospace operates globally, with a presence in the United States, Europe, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and the Americas, offering a wide range of products and services [11] Investment Ratings - GE is currently rated 3 (Hold) on the Zacks Rank, indicating a neutral outlook [12] - The company has a VGM Score of B, suggesting a balanced investment profile [12] Momentum and Earnings Estimates - GE has a Momentum Style Score of A, with shares increasing by 3% over the past four weeks, indicating positive price momentum [12] - For fiscal 2025, five analysts have revised their earnings estimates upwards in the last 60 days, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate rising by $0.30 to $6.17 per share [12] - GE has demonstrated an average earnings surprise of +19.1%, reflecting strong performance relative to expectations [12] Investment Consideration - With a solid Zacks Rank and top-tier Momentum and VGM Style Scores, GE Aerospace is recommended for investors' consideration [13]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported GAAP net income of $1.2 billion and earnings per share (EPS) of $6.98 for Q3 2025, driven by strong gains on sale and insurance recoveries [5][17] - Adjusted net income was $865 million, with a record adjusted EPS of $4.97, leading to an increase in full-year EPS guidance to $13.70 [5][21] - The company generated significant excess capital, resulting in a leverage ratio of 2.1 to 1 and a strong liquidity position with total sources of liquidity at approximately $22 billion [20][22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The aircraft leasing segment saw utilization rates exceeding 99%, with a healthy extension rate of approximately 85% for used aircraft transactions [5][6] - The company sold 32 owned assets for total sales revenue of $1.5 billion, resulting in a gain on sale of $332 million and an unlevered gain on sale margin of 28% [17][18] - The engine business continues to deepen relationships with OEMs and airlines, highlighted by a seven-year agreement with GE Aerospace for lease pool management services [9][10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The demand for widebody aircraft remains high, with a 100% extension rate for widebody transactions, indicating robust market conditions [6][8] - The company is taking back 27 aircraft from Spirit Airlines, which will incur downtime and engine shop visit costs, impacting fourth-quarter guidance [8][19] - The overall market environment for aircraft leasing and sales continues to be strong, with expectations for over $3 billion in sales for the full year [18][22] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company emphasizes disciplined capital deployment, focusing on accretive opportunities and maintaining a strong balance sheet [12][68] - AerCap is actively participating in M&A discussions and is open to consolidation in the industry, viewing it as a positive for shareholders [33][34] - The company has negotiated over 200 aircraft acquisitions since 2021, indicating a proactive approach to fleet management and market positioning [54][68] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management remains confident about the business outlook, citing strong demand for both new and used aircraft driven by the need to retire older models [25][26] - The company expects continued strong performance in the aircraft leasing market, with a favorable supply-demand imbalance projected to last through the end of the decade [36][39] - Management acknowledged potential challenges from geopolitical factors but believes long-term fleet planning by airlines will mitigate short-term impacts [76] Other Important Information - The company has committed approximately $10 billion to engines through its two engine divisions since closing the GECAS transaction [10] - The company returned $981 million to shareholders through share repurchases in Q3, marking a quarterly record for open market purchases [14][20] Q&A Session Summary Question: Thoughts on U.S. industry consolidation - Management sees limited room for further consolidation in the U.S. market but acknowledges strong demand for new technology aircraft as older models are retired [25][26] Question: Margin progression and yield improvement - Management indicated that net spread increased to 8%, the highest since 2019, with expectations for continued positive impacts from new deliveries [27][28] Question: Comments on Air Lease proxy and strategic bidding - Management supports industry consolidation and emphasizes discipline in M&A discussions to avoid diluting shareholder value [32][34] Question: Outlook for A220 market - Management noted challenges with the A220's engine durability but remains optimistic about its future if improvements are made [61][62] Question: Capital allocation and sale-leaseback opportunities - Management highlighted the importance of pursuing accretive transactions and maintaining a focus on shareholder returns [68][69]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue grew 26% to $11.3 billion, with operating profit also up 26% to $2.3 billion, driven by strong deliveries across aftermarket, original equipment (OE), and defense [6][19] - Earnings per share (EPS) increased 44% to $1.66, supported by higher operating profit, a lower tax rate, and a reduced share count [20][30] - Free cash flow reached $2.4 billion, up 30% with over 130% conversion [20][30] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Commercial Engines and Services (CES), orders were up 5%, with services orders up 32% and equipment orders down 42% due to timing [22] - CES revenue grew 27%, with services revenue up 28% and internal shop visit revenue up 33% [22][24] - In Defense and Propulsion Technologies (DPT), revenue grew 26%, with engines volume up 83% year over year [25][26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total orders increased 2% in the third quarter, with year-to-date orders up 13% and services orders up 31% [5] - The total DPT backlog reached $19 billion, up $1.5 billion year over year [25] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on enhancing its operational model, Flight Deck, to improve delivery and meet robust customer demand [4][7] - Investments in LEAP durability and next-generation technologies are prioritized to deliver value to customers [6][15] - The company is raising its full-year guidance across the board, expecting revenue growth in the high teens and CES growth in the low 20s [28][30] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the strong demand for services and products, with a significant backlog of approximately $175 billion [7][8] - The company is optimistic about its trajectory entering 2026, with expectations for continued growth and improved operational performance [30][32] Other Important Information - The company is investing nearly $1 billion in its supply chain to expand capacity [12] - The LEAP third-party maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) network is growing rapidly, with external shop visits up roughly twofold [12] Q&A Session Summary Question: Services outperformance and sequential step down in Q4 - Management noted strong services growth driven by improved material availability and increased work scopes, with expectations for a seasonal step down in Q4 due to typical demand patterns [37][41] Question: LEAP services margin outlook - Confidence in achieving LEAP services margin targets by 2028 is based on ongoing improvements in supply chain performance and operational efficiencies [46][50] Question: Capital deployment and M&A considerations - The company maintains a balanced capital allocation approach, prioritizing reinvestment in the business and returning capital to shareholders while remaining open to strategic M&A opportunities [53][57] Question: Spare parts performance and drivers - Spare parts growth is attributed to pent-up demand, increased work scopes, and improved material availability, with expectations for continued growth in 2026 [61][66] Question: 2026 revenue growth and margin expectations - The environment for 2026 appears better than previously expected, with projected revenue growth and profit growth, although not at the same levels as 2025 [69][72] Question: Defense business and R&D insights - The defense business is leveraging commercial experience to enhance development cycles and sustainment models, with significant investments in next-generation platforms [79][82] Question: Durability of LEAP-1A blade - Initial performance of the LEAP-1A durability kit is promising, with expectations for a multi-year rollout across the installed base [86][88] Question: Supply chain material availability improvements - Improvements in supply chain material availability are the result of cumulative efforts and collaboration with suppliers, focusing on problem-solving and operational efficiency [92][95]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue for the third quarter was $11.3 billion, up 26% year-over-year, with operating profit also increasing by 26% to $2.3 billion [15][19] - Earnings per share (EPS) grew 44% to $1.66, driven by increased operating profit, a lower tax rate, and a reduced share count [15][19] - Free cash flow reached $2.4 billion, up 30%, with over 130% conversion from earnings [15][19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Commercial Engines and Services (CES), orders were up 5%, with services orders increasing by 32% and equipment orders down 42% due to timing [17][19] - CES revenue grew 27%, with services revenue up 28% and internal shop visit revenue up 33% [17][19] - In Defense and Propulsion Technologies (DPT), revenue grew 26%, with engine volume up 83% year-over-year [19][19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Year-to-date, orders increased by 13%, with services orders up 31% [4] - The total DPT backlog is at $19 billion, up $1.5 billion year-over-year [19] - The company expects to grow LEAP deliveries more than 20% for the full year, up from a prior outlook of 15% to 20% [7][19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on enhancing its FlightDeck operating model to improve delivery and meet customer demand [3][5] - Investments in LEAP durability and next-generation technologies are prioritized to deliver value to customers [10][12] - The company is committed to expanding its supply chain capacity, investing nearly $1 billion to support growth [9][19] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the strong demand for services and products, raising full-year guidance across the board [5][19] - The company anticipates continued growth in commercial services and engine deliveries, with a positive outlook for 2026 [20][56] - Management highlighted the importance of addressing supply chain challenges and improving material availability [78] Other Important Information - The company has secured significant commitments from major airlines, including Korean Air and Cathay Pacific, for its engines [12][13] - The company is actively working on next-generation engine technologies, including the GE9X and RISE program [11][12] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you elaborate on the services performance and factors driving it? - Management noted that improved material availability and increased work scopes contributed to strong services growth, with expectations for continued demand [28][30] Question: What gives confidence in the LEAP services margin outlook? - Management highlighted ongoing improvements in supply chain performance and operational efficiencies as key factors supporting the margin outlook [34][36] Question: How does the company balance capital deployment and share repurchase? - Management stated that the capital allocation approach remains balanced, focusing on reinvestment in the business while returning capital to shareholders [41][42] Question: What is the outlook for 2026, particularly regarding CES revenue growth? - Management indicated a positive outlook for 2026, expecting solid revenue growth driven by an increasing installed base and higher shop visit demand [55][56]

GE Aerospace third quarter 2025 performance Financial results & company highlights October 21, 2025 Caution concerning forward-looking statements: This document contains "forward-looking statements" – that is, statements related to future events that by their nature address matters that are, to different degrees, uncertain. For details on the uncertainties that may cause our actual future results to be materially different than those expressed in our forward-looking statements, see www.geaerospace.com/inves ...

Core Insights - GE Aerospace stock has increased by over 65% from April 18, 2025, to October 15, 2025, driven by strong operational performance and a positive outlook [1] - The company's P/E multiple experienced a significant change of 42.6%, indicating a shift in investor sentiment and valuation [3] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, GE Aerospace reported total revenue of $11.0 billion, a 21% year-over-year increase, and adjusted EPS of $1.66, up 38% [5] - Free cash flow nearly doubled to $2.1 billion, prompting the company to raise its full-year 2025 guidance and outlook for operating profit and free cash flow through 2028 [5] Strategic Developments - GE Aerospace secured substantial new engine commitments, including a landmark deal with Qatar Airways for over 400 GE9X and GEnx engines, contributing to a backlog of approximately $175 billion by the end of Q2 2025 [5] - The company is addressing supply chain constraints and enhancing capacity through strategic initiatives, including a nearly $1 billion investment in U.S. manufacturing and technology [5] Market Sentiment - Analyst sentiment is predominantly positive, with multiple firms reiterating "buy" or "outperform" ratings and raising price targets for GE Aerospace shares following strong financial results [9] - The U.S. government has allowed GE Aerospace to resume shipments of jet engines to China's COMAC, opening new business growth opportunities [9]

Core Insights - GE Aerospace has signed an extended services contract with Silk Way West Airlines to maintain its operational fleet of Boeing aircraft, covering various engine types including GE90-115B, GEnx-2B, and GE9X [1][9] Group 1: Contract Details - The contract includes maintenance for six GE90-115B-equipped 777 Freighters, five GEnx-2B-powered 747-8 Freighters, and four GE9X-equipped 777-8 Freighters [1] - This deal reinforces the long-standing collaboration between GE Aerospace and Silk Way West Airlines, which has a strong GE-powered fleet [3][9] Group 2: Engine Performance and Impact - The GEnx engine family has completed over 62 million flight hours, with more than 3,600 engines currently in service and backlog [2][9] - The GE9X engine offers a 10% improvement in specific fuel consumption compared to its predecessor, enhancing operational efficiency for the airline [2] Group 3: Market Position and Financial Performance - GE Aerospace holds a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), benefiting from a growing installed base and increased utilization of engine platforms due to strong demand in commercial and defense sectors [5] - In the last three months, GE's shares have increased by 21.6%, outperforming the industry growth of 7.1% [6]

Core Viewpoint - GE Aerospace has shown remarkable stock performance, increasing from approximately $100 in early 2024 to around $270, representing a 2.7x increase, driven by a strategic focus on aerospace, strong service business, debt reduction, and high demand for LEAP engines [2] Growth Drivers - Potential for the stock to double again to over $500, supported by several factors [3] - Significant capital investment of about $1 billion in U.S. manufacturing for 2025, nearly double last year's commitment, aimed at expanding capacity [5] - Plans to scale LEAP engine production to deliver 2,500 engines by 2028, sufficient for over 1,000 aircraft [5] - Recovery in global air travel and fleet modernization, particularly in emerging markets, is expected to sustain demand [5] - Growth in commercial services revenue, which has higher margins than original equipment, with a backlog exceeding $175 billion [5] - Technological advancements such as XA100, GE9X, and the RISE program position the company for leadership in sustainable aviation [5] - Increased global defense spending may boost military aerospace demand, with NATO members urged to increase defense budgets [5] - Operating margins have consistently expanded, currently at 19.1%, comparable to the S&P 500's 18.8% [5] Valuation Scenarios - GE's guidance suggests adjusted EPS of $8.40 by 2028, with potential to exceed $9.20 per share, up from $4.60 in 2024 [4] - Conservative scenario (P/E 30x) targets a price of $280, indicating limited upside [4] - Base case scenario (P/E 40x) targets a price of $370, reflecting about 40% upside [9] - Optimistic scenario (P/E 55x) targets a price of over $500, indicating nearly 2x upside [9] Conclusion - GE Aerospace is positioned as a compelling growth story with clear catalysts for expansion, supported by a focused strategy and strong market positions [6]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a strong second quarter with revenue exceeding $10 billion, up 23% year-over-year, and profit reaching $2.3 billion, an increase of 23% [44] - Orders were up 27%, with commercial engine services (CES) growing 30% and defense propulsion technologies (DPT) up 7% [44] - Free cash flow nearly doubled to $2.1 billion compared to the previous year [44] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - CES services revenue increased by nearly 30% year-over-year, driven by internal shop visit revenue up more than 20% and spare parts revenue up over 25% [25] - DPT revenue grew 6%, with defense and systems up 6% and propulsion and additive technologies up 9% [48] - CES margins expanded by 50 basis points to 27.9%, while DPT margins declined by 20 basis points to 14.1% [47][48] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company expects air traffic growth to outpace global GDP, particularly in Asia Pacific and the Middle East [16] - The commercial services backlog has increased to over $140 billion, supporting growth for years to come [16] - The defense sector is seeing solid momentum globally, with increased funding for key defense propulsion initiatives [18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to ramp up services and equipment to support customer fleets while fulfilling strong demand for new engines [19] - Investments of over $1 billion are planned for MRO and component repair facilities over the next five years [23] - The company is focused on enhancing engine performance and expanding its supply chain and service networks [20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management raised the 2025 guidance across the board, expecting total revenue growth in the mid-teens, up from low double digits [49] - The outlook for 2028 has also been raised, with expectations for adjusted EPS reaching approximately $8.40 and operating profit around $11.5 billion [42] - Management expressed optimism about the company's trajectory, citing strong fundamentals and a robust order backlog [16][42] Other Important Information - The company is investing approximately $3 billion in R&D in 2025, which is 6-8% of revenue [29] - The company has a life of program win rate of 75% for GE9X engines, indicating strong demand [26] - The company is effectively sold out through the rest of the decade for commercial and defense engines [28] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you reconcile the second half EBIT decline? - Management explained that while the second half EBIT is expected to be lower, the overall year is projected to see strong profit growth, with a better-than-expected second quarter contributing to raised revenue expectations [80][84] Question: What are the pricing assumptions for 2024-2028? - Management indicated that pricing is expected to offset inflation, with mid-single-digit pricing dynamics anticipated as the company moves beyond product launches [92][93] Question: What is the baseline for retirement rates? - Management acknowledged that retirements have been low but expect an increase as the fleet ages, with assumptions built around new aircraft deliveries and departure growth [95]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q2 2025, GE Aerospace reported a revenue increase of 23% year-over-year, exceeding $10 billion, with orders up 27% [41] - Profit reached $2.3 billion, a 23% increase, driven by services volume and price, resulting in margins of 23% [41] - EPS was $1.66, up 38% from the previous year, supported by a favorable tax rate and lower interest expenses [41] - Free cash flow nearly doubled to $2.1 billion compared to last year [41] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Commercial Engines and Services (CES) segment grew revenue by 30%, with service revenue up 29% and equipment revenue up 35% [41][43] - The Defense and Propulsion Technologies (DPT) segment saw a revenue increase of 7%, with profit up 5% [41][45] - CES margins expanded by 50 basis points to 27.9%, while DPT margins declined by 20 basis points to 14.1% [41][45] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Departures grew nearly 4% in Q2 2025, aligning with expectations, with a conservative outlook for low single-digit growth in the second half of the year [13] - The commercial services backlog increased to over $140 billion, supporting future growth [14] - Air traffic growth is expected to outpace global GDP, particularly in Asia Pacific and the Middle East [15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - GE Aerospace aims to ramp up services and equipment to support customer fleets while fulfilling strong demand for new engines [16] - The company is investing over $1 billion in MRO and component repair facilities over the next five years to expand capacity [21] - GE Aerospace is focused on enhancing engine performance through technological advancements and operational improvements [17][26] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management raised the 2025 guidance across all metrics, expecting total revenue growth in the mid-teens, up from low double digits [46] - The company anticipates strong adjusted revenue growth at a double-digit compounded rate through 2028, driven by robust demand for services and equipment [39] - Management expressed optimism about the long-term market growth, projecting a mid-single-digit compounded growth rate through 2028 [15] Other Important Information - GE Aerospace's R&D investment is approximately $3 billion in 2025, representing 6-8% of revenue [26] - The company has a strong competitive advantage with the world's largest installed base of engines, accumulating over 2.3 billion flight hours [26] - GE Aerospace plans to return over $24 billion to shareholders between 2024 and 2026, including $19 billion in buybacks [70] Q&A Session Summary Question: Concerns about second half EBIT guidance - Management explained that the second half EBIT guidance reflects a conservative approach, considering expected headwinds from GE9X shipments and corporate expenses [77][81] Question: Pricing assumptions and retirement rates - Management clarified that pricing is expected to offset inflation, with mid-single-digit pricing dynamics anticipated [88] - Regarding retirement rates, management noted that as the fleet ages, retirements are expected to increase, aligning with new aircraft deliveries and departure growth [92][93]