Workflow
Charlotte AI
icon
Search documents
CrowdStrike's Pre-Q2 Earnings Analysis: Hold or Fold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-08-22 15:56
Core Insights - CrowdStrike (CRWD) is set to report its second-quarter fiscal 2026 results on August 27, 2025, with anticipated revenues between $1.14 billion and $1.15 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 19.2% [1][8] - The expected non-GAAP earnings per share for the second quarter is between 82 cents and 84 cents, with a consensus estimate of 83 cents, indicating a year-over-year decline of 20.2% [2][8] - CrowdStrike's earnings have consistently beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the past four quarters, with an average surprise of 13.2% [3] Revenue and Earnings Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CrowdStrike's fiscal second-quarter revenues is pegged at $1.15 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 19.2% [1] - The expected non-GAAP earnings per share for the second quarter is between 82 cents and 84 cents, with a consensus estimate of 83 cents, indicating a year-over-year decline of 20.2% [2] Growth Drivers - The demand for CrowdStrike's cybersecurity products is expected to benefit from the increasing number of cyber threats and breaches, leading to greater security needs [6] - The Falcon Flex subscription model is a significant growth driver, with a total deal value of accounts adopting Falcon Flex reaching $3.2 billion, representing a 31% sequential growth and over six times year-over-year growth [7][8] - The partnership with Amazon Web Services (AWS) enhances CrowdStrike's product availability and co-selling opportunities, contributing positively to earnings [9][10] Cost Considerations - High Research & Development (R&D) and Sales & Marketing (S&M) costs are impacting CrowdStrike's profitability outlook, with R&D expenses increasing 12-fold and S&M expenses nearly ninefold over the last six fiscal years [19][20] Stock Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, CrowdStrike shares have increased by 21.1%, outperforming the Zacks Security industry, which has returned 8.2% [12] - CrowdStrike is trading at a forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 19.54X, compared to the industry's 12.02X, indicating a premium valuation [15][17] Investment Considerations - The Falcon Flex subscription model is a key driver for new customer acquisition, with significant deals secured in the last quarter, indicating strong enterprise demand [18] - Despite the potential for long-term benefits from increased investments, rising costs and a premium valuation suggest a cautious approach for investors [20]
PANW Bets on Prevention-First ASPM: Will it Drive Platform Adoption?
ZACKS· 2025-08-21 15:25
Core Insights - Palo Alto Networks (PANW) has launched a new prevention-first Application Security Posture Management (ASPM) module within its Cortex Cloud platform, aimed at mitigating risks before code deployment and supporting an open ecosystem of partners [1][12] - The ASPM module is integrated into Cortex Cloud, providing a unified view of application risks by correlating data from both native and third-party tools, enhancing the platformization strategy of Palo Alto Networks [2][12] - The Cortex Cloud platform combines various security functions, including cloud native application protection and AI-powered security operations, achieving FedRAMP High Authorization, indicating trust from the U.S. public sector [3] Financial Performance - In the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, Palo Alto Networks reported a 25% year-over-year growth in combined Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) for Cortex and Cloud, reflecting strong platform momentum [4][12] - The company achieved a net retention rate of 120% among platformized customers, with minimal churn, indicating customer loyalty and potential for future growth [4] - Significant growth was observed in large platform commitments, with customers generating over $5 million and $10 million ARR increasing by 50% year-over-year, and those above $20 million ARR rising by 80% year-over-year [5] Market Position and Competitors - The Zacks Consensus Estimate projects fiscal 2026 revenues for Palo Alto Networks at $10.5 billion, representing a year-over-year growth of 13.8% [6] - Competitors like CrowdStrike and SentinelOne are also expanding their platforms and leveraging AI innovations to enhance their market positions [7] - CrowdStrike's Charlotte AI is being developed as a key differentiator in automated cybersecurity, while SentinelOne reported a 24% year-over-year growth in ARR, driven by its AI-first platforms [8][9] Valuation and Earnings Estimates - Palo Alto Networks trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 11.52X, slightly below the industry's average of 11.93X, indicating a competitive valuation [14] - Earnings estimates for fiscal 2026 and 2027 imply year-over-year growth of 9.3% and 15.2%, respectively, with recent revisions showing an upward trend for fiscal 2026 and a downward trend for fiscal 2027 [17]
Should You Buy, Sell or Hold CyberArk Stock After a 27.2% YTD Rise?
ZACKS· 2025-08-18 16:06
Company Performance - CyberArk Software (CYBR) shares have increased by 27.2% year-to-date, significantly outperforming the Zacks Security industry's growth of 7.2% [1][7] - In Q2 2025, CyberArk's subscription revenues reached $264 million, marking a year-over-year growth of 66% [4] Growth Drivers - CyberArk's identity security offerings have surpassed 10,000 active users globally, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 44% projected from 2020 to 2024 [4] - The company anticipates a total addressable market of $80 billion, indicating substantial growth potential [4] - CyberArk has implemented AI solutions, including CyberArk Secure AI Agents Solution and CORA AI, enhancing its identity security platform [5] - Strategic partnerships with major tech companies like Microsoft, Amazon Web Services, and Google Cloud have bolstered CyberArk's market position [9][10] Acquisitions and Market Position - CyberArk has expanded its capabilities through acquisitions, including Zilla Security and Venafi, which have improved its expertise in identity governance and machine identity [6] - The identity security and access management market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 8.4% from 2024 to 2029, positioning CyberArk favorably [6] - CyberArk serves over 5,400 global businesses, including more than 50% of the Fortune 500 and 35% of the Global 2000 companies [9] Financial Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CyberArk's 2025 earnings is $3.86, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 27.4% [6][8] - CyberArk trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 14.14X, which is above the industry average of 11.95X [14] Competitive Landscape - The identity security market is competitive, with players like CrowdStrike, Okta, and Cisco also integrating AI into their offerings [12][13] - CyberArk has invested significantly in enhancing its sales and marketing capabilities to maintain its competitive edge [13]
Will ARR Surge & Customer Migration Drive CYBR Subscription Revenues?
ZACKS· 2025-08-14 15:45
Core Insights - CyberArk's subscription revenues rebounded significantly in Q2 2025, reaching $264 million, which is a 66% year-over-year increase [1][10] - The annual recurring revenues (ARR) from subscriptions hit $1.08 billion, marking a 61% increase year-over-year [3][10] - CyberArk's subscription revenues constituted 80% of total revenues in Q2 2025 [3] Subscription Growth Drivers - The growth is attributed to customers transitioning from perpetual maintenance contracts to subscription models [2] - Larger deal sizes and improved customer lifetime value from platform upsells are contributing factors [2] - A significant number of customers are adopting multiple solutions simultaneously, enhancing subscription annual contract value (ACV) [2] Product Enhancements and Acquisitions - Recent product launches, such as Secure AI Agent, and acquisitions like Venafi and Zilla Security are expected to further boost subscription revenue growth [4] - The strong business model has led to Palo Alto Networks planning to acquire CyberArk for approximately $25 billion at a premium [4][10] Competitive Landscape - Competitors like Okta and CrowdStrike are also experiencing growth in subscription revenues [5] - Okta's subscription revenues rose 11.6% year-over-year to $673 million, accounting for 97.8% of total revenues [6] - CrowdStrike's subscription revenues increased by 21% to $1.05 billion, driven by demand for its identity security platform [7] Financial Performance and Valuation - CyberArk's shares have increased by 26.9% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Security industry's growth of 7.6% [8] - The forward price-to-sales ratio for CyberArk is 14.14X, higher than the industry average of 11.98X [11] - Earnings estimates for fiscal years 2025 and 2026 imply year-over-year growth of 27% and 25.3%, respectively, with upward revisions in the past 30 days [14]
CrowdStrike Stock Slides—Is Growth Momentum Tapping Out?
MarketBeat· 2025-08-07 13:52
Core Viewpoint - CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. has experienced a significant decline in stock price, down over 14% in the last 30 days, despite a generally bullish earnings season for technology stocks [1] Company Performance - Despite the recent pullback, CRWD stock is still up 29.25% in 2025, over 99% in the last 12 months, and more than 285% in the last five years [2] - The company capitalized on a previous software update glitch to drive revenue growth by allowing customers to test its Falcon platform [3] - The latest quarter saw a 100% year-over-year gain in annual recurring revenue (ARR), although revenue expectations were missed [5] AI Integration - CrowdStrike's Falcon platform is cloud-native and AI-first, with the introduction of Charlotte AI to automate detection and response to emerging threats [4] Earnings Guidance - For the upcoming earnings report on August 27, CrowdStrike guided for revenue between $1.14 and $1.15 billion, indicating a 3% sequential improvement and an approximate 18% year-over-year increase [6] - Analysts forecast revenue at $1.15 billion, suggesting that even at the high end of guidance, CrowdStrike would only meet expectations [7] Market Sentiment - Analysts maintain a price target of $461.17 for CRWD stock, with a moderate buy rating based on 46 analyst ratings [10] - The stock has broken below its 100-day simple moving average, indicating potential resistance and increasing selling momentum [11] Options Market - The options chain for August 29 shows a bearish bias, with a 43% chance that the stock will close below $450 [14] Institutional Activity - Institutions may be preparing to buy CRWD stock at lower levels, potentially between $420 and $425, as they signal that the stock is currently expensive compared to its past and peers [16]
PANW's AI Threat Defense Expands: Will Protect AI be the Game Changer?
ZACKS· 2025-07-24 16:21
Key Takeaways PANW completed its $700M Protect AI deal to expand security across the AI development lifecycle.Protect AI strengthens Prisma AIRS with scanning, posture management, and runtime protection tools.Prisma AIRS has built an eight-figure pipeline weeks post-launch, boosting PANW's platform growth goals.Palo Alto Networks ((PANW) is tackling emerging risks as enterprises race to adopt artificial intelligence (AI). Complex AI ecosystems, which include AI models, agents, APIs, and third-party tools, a ...
CRWD Bets on Agentic AI Security: Will it Unlock Next Growth Phase?
ZACKS· 2025-07-22 17:26
Core Insights - CrowdStrike (CRWD) is enhancing its focus on agentic AI security as enterprises increasingly adopt AI and generative AI technologies, which introduce unique security risks and escalate cyber threats [1][6] Group 1: Product Offerings and Innovations - CrowdStrike has expanded its offerings through a partnership with Amazon Web Services (AWS), launching falcon-mcp and AI Red Team Services in July 2025 [2] - The falcon-mcp aims to provide a standardized protocol connecting AI agents and large language model applications to CrowdStrike's Falcon telemetry, allowing secure integration of AI workflows [3] - AI Red Team Services offer security assessments to identify vulnerabilities in GenAI systems, providing actionable recommendations to enhance AI models and supporting infrastructure [4] - Charlotte AI has been enhanced to deliver autonomous expert-level triage and response at machine speed, further supporting CrowdStrike's agentic AI security vision [5] Group 2: Market Position and Financial Outlook - As enterprises accelerate AI adoption, CrowdStrike's tools position it as a critical security layer for AI-driven enterprises, with projected fiscal 2026 revenues of $4.78 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 20.9% [6][11] - CrowdStrike's shares have increased by 40.8% year-to-date, outperforming the security industry's growth of 20.1% [9] - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 22.82X, significantly higher than the industry's average of 14.33X [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 earnings suggests a year-over-year decline of 10.94%, while fiscal 2027 earnings are expected to grow by 34.68% [16]
Can AI-Driven Platform Momentum Keep Aiding PANW's FCF Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-07-11 15:11
Core Insights - Palo Alto Networks (PANW) is experiencing strong momentum from its AI-driven platform strategy, significantly boosting its free cash flow (FCF) [1][11] - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing adoption of AI in cybersecurity, with a forecast of $15 billion in annual recurring revenues by fiscal 2030 [5] Financial Performance - In Q3 of fiscal 2025, PANW's adjusted FCF rose 13.5% sequentially to $578.4 million, with FCF margin expanding by 270 basis points to 25.3% [1][11] - The annual recurring revenues (ARR) for Cortex XSIAM increased by 200% year over year, indicating strong demand for its AI-integrated platforms [3][11] - The company expects to maintain an adjusted FCF margin between 37.5% and 38% in fiscal 2025, with over 37% margin projected for fiscal 2026 and 2027 [5][11] Product and Market Strategy - PANW's AI integration is leading to multi-product deals, with over 90 new platformized deals added in the last quarter, including significant contracts worth $90 million and $46 million for Cortex XSIAM [2] - The launch of Prisma AI-Ready Security (Prisma AIRS) has already generated an eight-figure sales pipeline shortly after its introduction [2] - The shift to annual billing and a subscription-heavy model enhances revenue predictability, with about 80% of expected fourth-quarter collections already booked [4] Competitive Landscape - Competitors like Zscaler and CrowdStrike are also evolving their platforms, with Zscaler reporting a 23% year-over-year increase in ARR to $2.9 billion, while CrowdStrike introduced new AI-driven security solutions [6][7][8] - Despite the competition, PANW's growth in multi-platform customers, which increased nearly 70% year over year, positions it favorably in the market [3][11] Valuation and Estimates - PANW trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 12.33X, which is lower than the industry's average of 15.23X, indicating potential undervaluation [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PANW's fiscal 2025 and 2026 earnings implies year-over-year growth of 15.14% and 11.38%, respectively, with upward revisions in estimates over the past 60 days [16]
ZS Expands Into MDR With Red Canary: Is it the Next Growth Pillar?
ZACKS· 2025-07-09 15:16
Core Insights - Zscaler (ZS) is set to finalize the acquisition of Red Canary by August 2025, aiming to enhance its Managed Detection and Response (MDR) capabilities and strengthen its Security Operations (SecOps) portfolio [1][10] - The acquisition will enable Zscaler to provide a fully integrated, AI-powered Security Operations Centre (SOC), leveraging Red Canary's expertise in threat detection and response [2][10] - Zscaler's SecOps annual contract value grew by 120% year-over-year in Q3 of fiscal 2025, indicating strong momentum in this area [4][10] Acquisition Details - The acquisition of Red Canary, announced on May 27, is intended to accelerate Zscaler's entry into the MDR and Threat Intelligence sectors [1][10] - Red Canary boasts over a decade of MDR experience, with a threat detection speed ten times faster than competitors and an accuracy rate of 99.6% [2][10] - The integration of Red Canary's capabilities with Zscaler's extensive data processing, which includes 500 billion daily transactions, aims to enhance threat detection and response quality [3] Competitive Landscape - Zscaler faces competition from industry leaders like Palo Alto Networks (PANW) and CrowdStrike (CRWD), both of which are expanding their capabilities in SecOps [5] - Palo Alto Networks has launched its AI-driven SOC platform, Cortex XSIAM, which has seen a 200% year-over-year growth in annual recurring revenue (ARR) [6] - CrowdStrike introduced Falcon Next-Gen SIEM and Charlotte AI, enhancing its threat detection and response capabilities [7] Financial Performance - Zscaler's stock has increased by 73.2% year-to-date, outperforming the Security industry's growth of 25% [8] - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 15.58X, slightly above the industry average of 14.99X [11] - Earnings estimates for fiscal 2025 indicate a slight decline of 0.31%, while fiscal 2026 is projected to grow by 12.01% [14]
CrowdStrike Stock Rises 11% in a Month: Time to Hold or Book Profits?
ZACKS· 2025-07-07 15:21
Core Insights - CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) shares have increased by 10.7% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks Security industry's growth of 4.6% and surpassing peers like CyberArk Software, Palo Alto Networks, and Check Point Software [1][10] - The company's growth is driven by strong enterprise demand for AI-native cybersecurity solutions and the Falcon Flex subscription model, which enhances customer commitment and revenue growth [2][4] Performance Metrics - As of the end of the first quarter, CrowdStrike reported an Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) of $4.44 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 22% [5] - The Falcon Flex model achieved a total deal value of $3.2 billion, with a sequential growth of 31% and over six times year-over-year growth [6][10] - The company added $774 million in total Falcon Flex account value during the first quarter of fiscal 2026 [5] Customer Adoption and Expansion - More than 820 customer accounts have adopted the Falcon Flex model, indicating strong market acceptance [6] - A significant expansion deal was secured with a Fortune 100 technology company, increasing its contract from $12 million to over $100 million [7] - A large healthcare provider also signed an eight-figure Falcon Flex expansion deal [8] Subscription and Revenue Growth - CrowdStrike's quarterly revenues exceeded $1 billion for the third consecutive time, marking a year-over-year improvement of nearly 21% [11] - Subscription customers using six or more cloud modules represented 48% of total customers, with 32% using seven or more modules [12] AI Integration and Partnerships - The Falcon platform is gaining traction as an "AI-native SOC," with partnerships with AI companies to enhance capabilities [13] - Collaborations with NVIDIA and Microsoft aim to secure AI systems and standardize cyber threat attribution [14] Cost Structure and Earnings Pressure - Research and development expenses have increased significantly, rising twelvefold over the last six fiscal years [15] - Sales and marketing expenses surged nearly ninefold to $1.52 billion in fiscal 2025 [16] - In the first quarter of fiscal 2026, sales and marketing and R&D expenses rose by 25.5% and 34.7% year-over-year, respectively, impacting earnings [17] Valuation Metrics - CrowdStrike is trading at a high price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 24.55X, compared to the Zacks Security industry's 15.07X [19] - The P/S multiples for peers CyberArk, Palo Alto Networks, and Check Point Software are 13.6X, 12.97X, and 8.81X, respectively [22] Investment Outlook - The company is positioned well in the AI-driven cybersecurity market, but shrinking profits and high valuation suggest a cautious investment approach [23]