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Palo Alto Networks Rises 19.5% YTD: Time to Hold or Book Profits?
ZACKS· 2025-10-09 15:51
Key Takeaways Palo Alto Networks shares are up 19.5% YTD, underperforming the Security industry's 20.6% growth.Revenues and NGS ARR growth are slowing, with fiscal 2026 sales projected to rise about 14%.AI innovations like Cortex XSIAM, Prisma AIRS and a planned CyberArk deal support long-term growth.Palo Alto Networks, Inc. ((PANW) shares have gained 19.5% year to date, underperforming the Zacks Security industry’s growth of 20.6%. The stock has also underperformed its industry peers and competitors, inclu ...
Can Fortinet's SASE & SecOps Surge Reinforce Its Competitive Edge?
ZACKS· 2025-10-07 17:41
Core Insights - Fortinet (FTNT) is focusing on two rapidly growing areas in cybersecurity: Secure Access Service Edge (SASE) and Security Operations (SecOps) to strengthen its position in integrated network security [1][12] Business Strategy - In late 2025, Fortinet advanced its unified SASE platform and AI-driven SecOps capabilities, being recognized as a Leader in the 2025 Gartner Magic Quadrant for SASE Platforms, with increased momentum from multi-product enterprise deals [2] - Fortinet expanded its partnership with Armis to enhance asset visibility and AI-led threat detection, emphasizing automation, scalability, and long-term growth in intelligent security solutions [3] - The company’s unified FortiOS architecture integrates all core SASE elements, simplifying deployment and improving operational efficiency for global customers [5] Financial Performance - Fortinet raised its full-year 2025 billing guidance by $100 million to $7.44 billion, indicating a 14% year-over-year growth driven by strong demand for FortiSASE and SecOps offerings [6][12] - In Q2 2025, SASE and SecOps billings increased by 21% and 31% year-over-year, respectively, showcasing accelerating enterprise adoption [7] Competitive Landscape - Fortinet's main competitor, Palo Alto Networks (PANW), utilizes advanced next-generation firewalls and AI-driven platforms, although its premium pricing may deter cost-sensitive organizations [8][9] - Cisco Systems (CSCO) competes by integrating security across its networking ecosystem, leveraging its scale and infrastructure, though it is less specialized in niche security domains compared to Fortinet [10] Valuation and Earnings Estimates - Fortinet's shares have declined by 8.6% year-to-date, underperforming the Zacks Security industry's 21% growth and the broader Computer and Technology sector's 22.7% increase [13] - The company appears overvalued with a forward 12-month price-to-sales ratio of 8.98, higher than the sector average of 6.94 [15] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Fortinet's earnings is $2.52 per share for 2025 and $2.78 per share for 2026, indicating year-over-year earnings growth of 6.33% for 2025 and 10.18% for 2026 [18]
Palo Alto Networks Stock Has Surged Since August. Can This Momentum Continue?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-27 17:21
Key Points Shares jumped after August results and guidance, lifting the cybersecurity leader near record highs. Recent results show healthy growth in revenue, remaining performance obligations, and recurring subscription ARR. Competition is intense, and the stock's valuation looks stretched next to realistic growth. 10 stocks we like better than Palo Alto Networks › Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ: PANW), the platform-focused cybersecurity company behind Prisma, Cortex, and its next-gen firewall offeri ...
Why Is Palo Alto (PANW) Up 10.9% Since Last Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2025-09-17 16:31
A month has gone by since the last earnings report for Palo Alto Networks (PANW) . Shares have added about 10.9% in that time frame, outperforming the S&P 500.Will the recent positive trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Palo Alto due for a pullback? Well, first let's take a quick look at its latest earnings report in order to get a better handle on the recent catalysts for Palo Alto Networks, Inc. before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late.Palo Alto Netw ...
Palo Alto Shares Jump on Strong Outlook. Can the Momentum in the Stock Continue?
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-21 07:54
Core Viewpoint - Palo Alto Networks reported strong fiscal Q4 results and optimistic guidance, but the stock remains relatively stagnant, indicating potential for future growth if the upward momentum continues [1]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Fiscal Q4 revenue increased by 16% year over year to $2.54 billion, surpassing the company's forecast of $2.49 billion to $2.51 billion [6]. - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) rose by 27% year over year to $0.95, exceeding guidance of $0.87 to $0.89 [9]. - Remaining performance obligations (RPO) grew by 24% year over year to $15.8 billion, above the forecast of $15.2 billion to $1.3 billion [8]. Group 2: Platformization Strategy - Palo Alto's "platformization" strategy, initiated 18 months ago, aims to transition customers from point solutions to integrated cybersecurity platforms, with a focus on the Strata network security platform [3][4]. - The number of platformization customers increased to 1,400 in fiscal Q4, up from 1,250 in fiscal Q3 and 900 a year ago, with a target of 2,500 to 3,500 customers by fiscal year 2030 [5]. - The strategy is expected to lead to larger deals and is now showing positive results as the initial revenue impact is diminishing [4][5]. Group 3: Growth Drivers - Next-generation security remains the primary growth driver, with annual recurring revenue (ARR) increasing by 32% to $5.58 billion [7]. - Artificial intelligence ARR surged by 2.5 times to $545 million, indicating strong demand for AI-driven security solutions [7]. - SASE ARR, part of the Prisma platform, climbed 35%, reflecting the growing importance of integrated networking and security solutions [8]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The company provided robust guidance for fiscal 2026, projecting revenue between $10.475 billion and $10.525 billion, with a revenue growth rate of 14% [10]. - Next-generation security ARR is expected to reach between $7 billion and $7.1 billion, with growth rates of 26% to 27% [10]. - The acquisition of CyberArk is anticipated to enhance Palo Alto's identity security offerings, although the market initially reacted negatively to the deal [11]. Group 5: Valuation Considerations - The stock trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 11.7 times fiscal 2026 estimates, which is considered high given the company's mid-teens revenue growth forecast [12]. - Concerns about the current valuation may hinder stock performance despite the company's operational strengths [13].
Palo Alto Networks Q4 Earnings and Revenues Surpass Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-08-19 15:56
Core Insights - Palo Alto Networks (PANW) reported fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 non-GAAP earnings of 95 cents per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 7.9% and reflecting a 27% year-over-year improvement [1][10] - The company's revenues for the fourth quarter reached $2.54 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.6% and up from $2.19 billion in the same quarter last year [2][10] Financial Performance - Product revenues increased by 19.4% year over year to $573.9 million, making up 22.6% of total revenues, while Subscription and Support revenues grew 14.8% to $1.96 billion, representing 77.4% of total revenues [4] - Non-GAAP gross profit rose to $1.92 billion, a 14.3% increase year over year, with a non-GAAP gross margin of 75.8%, down 100 basis points from the previous year [6] - Non-GAAP operating income increased by 30.6% to $768.2 million, with an operating margin improvement of 340 basis points to 30.3% compared to the year-ago period [6] Deferred Revenues and Cash Flow - Deferred revenues at the end of the fiscal fourth quarter stood at $6.30 billion, while remaining performance obligations climbed to $15.8 billion, reflecting a 24% year-over-year increase [5] - The company generated $1.02 billion in operating cash flow and reported a non-GAAP adjusted free cash flow of $954.5 million in the fourth quarter [7] Future Guidance - For fiscal 2026, Palo Alto Networks expects revenues between $10.48 billion and $10.53 billion, indicating a 13.6% rise from the Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2025 revenues of $10.43 billion [8] - The company projects non-GAAP earnings per share in the range of $3.75-$3.85 for fiscal 2026, with a consensus mark for fiscal 2025 earnings at $3.65 per share, suggesting an 11.4% improvement [9] Market Reaction - Following the better-than-expected results, shares of Palo Alto Networks rose by 5.92% in after-market hours, although the stock has gained only 1.4% year to date, underperforming the Zacks Security industry's return of 7.2% [3]
Palo Alto Plans CyberArk Buyout: Can This Boost PANW's Identity Edge?
ZACKS· 2025-07-30 13:31
Core Viewpoint - Palo Alto Networks, Inc. is in advanced discussions to acquire CyberArk Software Ltd. for over $20 billion, which would enhance its capabilities in identity and privileged access management [1][10]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - The acquisition would allow Palo Alto Networks to expand its services beyond network and cloud security into identity management, addressing the rising demand for identity protection amid increasing cyber threats [2][10]. - Following the news, CyberArk's shares increased by 13.5%, while Palo Alto Networks' shares fell by 5.2% [3]. Group 2: Market Context - The global identity and access management (IAM) market is projected to reach $34.3 billion by 2029, growing at a CAGR of 8.4% from 2024 to 2029, indicating a significant opportunity for Palo Alto Networks [6]. - As organizations shift to cloud and hybrid work models, managing user access has become a critical security focus, positioning CyberArk as a leader in privileged access management [7]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Palo Alto Networks currently lacks scale in identity-driven threat protection, an area where competitors like CrowdStrike and Okta have made significant advancements [8]. - By acquiring CyberArk, Palo Alto Networks could create a more comprehensive platform that integrates cloud, endpoint, network, and identity protection [9]. Group 4: Strategic Alignment - The acquisition aligns with Palo Alto Networks' "platformization" strategy, which aims to unify various security services into a single ecosystem, making identity management an essential component [11]. - In fiscal Q3 2025, Palo Alto Networks reported over 90 new platformized deals, indicating strong traction in its platformization approach [12]. Group 5: Future Prospects - Management believes that platformization is crucial for achieving a target of $15 billion in Next-Gen Security Annual Recurring Revenue by fiscal 2030, with a significant portion expected from platformized customers [13]. - The potential acquisition of CyberArk could position Palo Alto Networks as a leader in identity-first security, enhancing its ability to serve large enterprises with integrated solutions [14].
Palo Alto Networks (PANW) Earnings Call Presentation
2025-07-30 13:30
Additional Information about the Merger and Where to Find It July 30, 2025 © 2025 Palo Alto Networks, Inc. All rights reserved. Proprietary and confidential information. Forward-Looking Statements This communication relates to a proposed transaction between Palo Alto Networks, Inc. ("PANW") and CyberArk Software Ltd. ("CyberArk"). This communication includes forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All statements other than statements of historic ...
3 Reasons Palo Alto Networks Is Becoming a Wall Street Favorite
MarketBeat· 2025-07-22 15:02
Core Insights - Palo Alto Networks (PANW) has shown strong performance, with a year-to-date increase of over 10% and approximately 20% growth over the past 12 months, indicating resilience amid tariff uncertainties [1] - Institutional investors have significantly increased their stakes in PANW, with institutional buyers outnumbering sellers nearly three to one in the last 12 months [2][3] Financial Performance - The latest earnings report revealed a year-over-year revenue growth of over 15%, reaching about $2.3 billion, surpassing analyst expectations [4] - Earnings per share (EPS) of 80 cents also exceeded forecasts, and the non-GAAP operating margin improved to 27.4%, up from 25.6% in the previous year [4] - For fiscal 2025, the operating margin is anticipated to be between 28.2% and 28.5% [4][5] Product Performance - Palo Alto's next-generation security products, Prisma and Cortex, have driven significant growth, with annual recurring revenue (ARR) increasing by 34% year-over-year to $5.1 billion [7][8] - The company expects ARR growth for these products to maintain a rate of 31% to 32% for the upcoming quarters [8] Strategic Developments - The growth in ARR for Cortex and Prisma supports Palo Alto's transition to a unified security platform, enhancing customer retention and product adoption [9] - Recent partnerships, such as the expansion with Okta Inc., aim to provide a unified security architecture based on AI, enhancing service offerings and customer security [10] Valuation Considerations - PANW has a high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 112.67, significantly above market and tech sector averages, indicating potential valuation concerns [11] - The consensus price target for PANW is $209.16, suggesting limited short-term upside potential of about 5% from current levels [12]
Can AI-Driven Platform Momentum Keep Aiding PANW's FCF Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-07-11 15:11
Core Insights - Palo Alto Networks (PANW) is experiencing strong momentum from its AI-driven platform strategy, significantly boosting its free cash flow (FCF) [1][11] - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing adoption of AI in cybersecurity, with a forecast of $15 billion in annual recurring revenues by fiscal 2030 [5] Financial Performance - In Q3 of fiscal 2025, PANW's adjusted FCF rose 13.5% sequentially to $578.4 million, with FCF margin expanding by 270 basis points to 25.3% [1][11] - The annual recurring revenues (ARR) for Cortex XSIAM increased by 200% year over year, indicating strong demand for its AI-integrated platforms [3][11] - The company expects to maintain an adjusted FCF margin between 37.5% and 38% in fiscal 2025, with over 37% margin projected for fiscal 2026 and 2027 [5][11] Product and Market Strategy - PANW's AI integration is leading to multi-product deals, with over 90 new platformized deals added in the last quarter, including significant contracts worth $90 million and $46 million for Cortex XSIAM [2] - The launch of Prisma AI-Ready Security (Prisma AIRS) has already generated an eight-figure sales pipeline shortly after its introduction [2] - The shift to annual billing and a subscription-heavy model enhances revenue predictability, with about 80% of expected fourth-quarter collections already booked [4] Competitive Landscape - Competitors like Zscaler and CrowdStrike are also evolving their platforms, with Zscaler reporting a 23% year-over-year increase in ARR to $2.9 billion, while CrowdStrike introduced new AI-driven security solutions [6][7][8] - Despite the competition, PANW's growth in multi-platform customers, which increased nearly 70% year over year, positions it favorably in the market [3][11] Valuation and Estimates - PANW trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 12.33X, which is lower than the industry's average of 15.23X, indicating potential undervaluation [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PANW's fiscal 2025 and 2026 earnings implies year-over-year growth of 15.14% and 11.38%, respectively, with upward revisions in estimates over the past 60 days [16]