Core Insights - Circle (CRCL.US) is set to announce its Q3 2025 earnings on November 12, with market expectations for revenue at $710 million and earnings per share at $0.17 [1] Group 1: Stablecoin Growth - Circle's Q3 performance is likely to benefit from the stable growth of its primary stablecoin, USDC, which increased from $61.3 billion at the end of Q2 to $65.2 billion by August 10, 2025 [2] - The on-chain transaction volume for USDC reached nearly $6 trillion in Q2, a 5.4-fold increase year-over-year, with July's transaction volume hitting $2.4 trillion [2] - The number of active wallets holding over $10 in USDC grew by 68% year-over-year, indicating increased adoption [2] Group 2: Product and Market Expansion - New products launched in the past year are expected to drive growth in the upcoming quarterly results, with Circle's payment network operational in Hong Kong, Brazil, Nigeria, and Mexico, attracting interest from over 100 financial institutions [3] - The introduction of Circle Gateway in July 2025 facilitates easier transfers of USDC across different blockchains [3] - The launch of Arc, a new Layer-1 blockchain designed for payments and financial applications, is also contributing positively to USDC's growth and usage [3] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Circle has expanded partnerships with major exchanges like Binance and OKX, promoting the use of USDC and Circle's wallet technology on large trading platforms [4] - Collaborations with payment infrastructure companies such as FIS, Corpay, and Matera are integrating stablecoin technology into traditional financial systems [4] - However, Circle faces intense competition from established players like Coinbase, PayPal, and Fiserv, which are launching their own stablecoin and cryptocurrency services [4]

Core Viewpoint - Circle is expected to report its Q3 2025 earnings on November 12, with market expectations for revenue at $710 million and earnings per share at $0.17, driven by improved regulatory conditions and growing demand for stablecoins like USDC [1] Group 1: Performance Expectations - The anticipated Q3 performance is likely to benefit from the stable growth of USDC, which increased from $61.3 billion at the end of Q2 to $65.2 billion by August 10, 2025 [2] - USDC's on-chain transaction volume reached nearly $6 trillion in Q2, a 5.4-fold increase year-over-year, with July's transaction volume hitting $2.4 trillion [2] - The number of active wallets holding over $10 in USDC grew by 68% year-over-year, indicating increased user engagement [2] Group 2: Product and Market Expansion - New products launched in the past year are expected to drive growth in the upcoming quarterly results, with Circle's payment network operational in Hong Kong, Brazil, Nigeria, and Mexico, attracting interest from over 100 financial institutions [3] - The introduction of Circle Gateway in July 2025 facilitates easier transfers of USDC across different blockchains, enhancing user experience [3] - The launch of Arc, a new Layer-1 blockchain designed for payments and financial applications, is also contributing positively to USDC's growth and usage [3] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Circle has expanded partnerships with major exchanges like Binance and OKX, promoting the use of USDC and Circle's wallet technology on large trading platforms [4] - Collaborations with payment infrastructure companies such as FIS, Corpay, and Matera are integrating stablecoin technology into the traditional financial system [4] - However, Circle faces intense competition from established players like Coinbase, PayPal, and Fiserv, which are launching their own stablecoin and cryptocurrency services [4]

Core Insights - Circle Internet Group, Inc. is scheduled to report its third-quarter 2025 results on November 12, with expectations of strong performance driven by the growth of its stablecoin, USD Coin (USDC) [1][8] Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter revenues is $708.92 million, with earnings expected at 17 cents per share, revised upward by 5 cents in the last 30 days [2] - In the second quarter of 2025, Circle reported adjusted earnings of $1.02 per share, significantly exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 29 cents [3] Earnings Predictions - Circle has an Earnings ESP of +14.16% and holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating a favorable outlook for an earnings beat [4][5] Growth Drivers - The company experienced a rise in USDC circulation from $61.3 billion to $65.2 billion as of August 10, 2025, with on-chain USDC transaction volume reaching nearly $6 trillion in the second quarter, a 5.4 times increase year-over-year [6][8] - Institutional demand is increasing, with USDC held within Circle's platform growing tenfold compared to last year, representing 10% of total USDC circulation [7][9] Product Expansion - New products like the Circle Payments Network and Circle Gateway are enhancing global payment capabilities, with significant interest from over 100 financial institutions [8][9] - The launch of Arc, a new Layer-1 blockchain, is expected to further support Circle's growth in the payments sector [9] Market Performance - Circle shares have increased by 20.2% since their market debut on June 5, 2025, outperforming the Zacks Financial - Miscellaneous Services industry, which grew by 1.8% during the same period [10] - The stock's forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is 8.18X, significantly higher than the industry average of 3.25X, indicating a premium valuation [12][16] Competitive Landscape - Circle is expanding partnerships with major exchanges and payment infrastructure companies, enhancing USDC adoption in traditional finance [18] - However, the company faces competition from established players like Coinbase, PayPal, and Fiserv, which could impact its market share [19][21] Long-term Outlook - The improving regulatory environment and growing demand for stablecoins like USDC are positive indicators for Circle's long-term prospects [17][20]

Core Insights - Circle Internet Group's focus on developing USDC-based payment infrastructure is expected to enhance long-term growth prospects, with the launch of Arc, a new open Layer-1 blockchain for onchain financial applications now available for public testnet [1][9] Group 1: USDC and Payment Infrastructure - Arc supports programmable capital markets, global payments, and tokenized assets with predictable dollar-based fees, sub-second finality, optional privacy, and native integration with Circle's platform products, including USDC [2] - As of October 16, $75.86 billion USDCs were in circulation, backed by highly liquid, price-stable cash and cash equivalents, gaining traction due to an improving regulatory environment, including the passage of the GENIUS Act [3] - Circle Payments Network is a platform for financial institutions to utilize stablecoins for payments, with over 100 institutions in the pipeline, and Circle Gateway enables seamless cross-chain USDC usage supported by eight new blockchain partners [4] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Circle faces competition from Strategy (MSTR), which holds 640,250 bitcoins and expects a bitcoin yield of 30% with potential gains of $20 billion if bitcoin reaches $150,000 by year-end [5] - IREN Limited, a low-cost bitcoin miner, achieved 326% year-over-year hashrate growth and is expanding its GPU fleet with additional NVIDIA GPUs [6] Group 3: Stock Performance and Valuation - Circle shares have increased by 2.6% in the past month, outperforming the broader Zacks Finance sector, which saw a decline of 0.6% [7] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings is projected at a loss of $1.94 per share, an improvement from previous estimates [11]

Circle Gateway is now available on HyperEVM from @HyperliquidX, @SeiNetwork, @SonicLabs, and @world_chain_✅ Non-custodial, chain-abstracted @USDC✅ Frictionless, instant crosschain UX✅ Enables capital-efficient treasury management✅ One integration for on-demand liquidity across 11 supported chainsGateway is built on a core primitive: decoupling source chain block finality from crosschain settlement.Once USDC is deposited into Gateway from any supported chain, Gateway consolidates your balances across chains ...

Core Insights - Circle Internet (CRCL) and IREN Limited (IREN) are gaining traction in the cryptocurrency sector, with Circle focusing on the USDC stablecoin and IREN being a major bitcoin miner [1][2] - The regulatory environment and increasing demand for stablecoins like USDC are favorable for Circle, while IREN benefits from its low-cost bitcoin mining and expanding AI Cloud revenues [18] Group 1: Circle Internet (CRCL) - Circle's USDC stablecoin circulation reached $72.36 billion as of September 11, up from $65.2 billion on August 10, 2025, and $61.3 billion at the end of Q2 2025 [2][8] - The on-chain transaction volume for USDC grew 5.4 times year-over-year to nearly $6 trillion in Q2 2025, with meaningful wallets increasing by 68% year-over-year [2][5] - Circle launched the Circle Payments Network in May, with over 100 institutions in the pipeline, and introduced Circle Gateway for cross-chain USDC usage [3][4] - Total revenues and reserve income for Circle in Q2 2025 were $658.1 million, a 53% increase year-over-year, with a consensus estimate of $686.4 million for Q3 2025 [5][10] - The consensus loss estimate for Circle in 2025 is $2.53 per share, widening from a previous estimate of $0.33 [12] Group 2: IREN Limited (IREN) - IREN is projected to achieve $1.25 billion in annualized revenues, with approximately $1 billion from bitcoin mining and $200-$250 million from AI Cloud by December 2025 [6][8] - The company plans to scale its GPU count from 1.9k to 10.9k, including various models of NVIDIA GPUs [6][7] - IREN operates 810 MW of data centers, with contracted grid-connected power increasing to 2,910 MW, indicating over 35% growth [9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for IREN's fiscal 2026 revenues is $1.13 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 120.93% [10] - IREN shares surged 83.8% in the past month, significantly outperforming Circle's 1.9% gain [8][13]

Group 1 - Circle Internet Group Inc. is recognized as one of the best IPO stocks to buy and hold for three years [1] - Circle and Fireblocks announced a collaboration aimed at accelerating the adoption of stablecoins by financial institutions [1][2] - The partnership combines Circle's stablecoin network with Fireblocks' digital asset infrastructure, enhancing security and efficiency for financial institutions [2][3] Group 2 - The collaboration aims to create an "institutional-grade, programmable financial system" for cross-border treasury and tokenized asset settlement [2] - Fireblocks secures over $10 trillion in digital asset transactions, indicating its significant role in the digital asset ecosystem [2] - Circle's products will be integrated with Fireblocks' platform, providing seamless access to Circle's stablecoins and introducing Circle Gateway for unified USDC balance across blockchains [3]

Core Viewpoint - Circle Internet Group (CRCL) shares have experienced a significant decline of 13.3% in the past week, underperforming both the Zacks Financial-Miscellaneous Services industry and the broader Zacks Finance sector [1][2] Stock Performance - Since its initial public offering on June 4, CRCL shares have returned 70.1%, outperforming peers such as Coinbase (25.2%), PayPal (-4.4%), and Fiserv (-16.6%) [4] - The recent drop in CRCL shares is linked to a public offering of 10 million shares at $130 each, with 8 million shares being offered by existing stockholders, raising concerns about long-term growth prospects [2][9] Financial Metrics - CRCL's revenues surged 53% year over year to $658.1 million, driven by stablecoin adoption and reserve income, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.97% [13] - The average USDC in circulation increased by 86% year over year to $61 billion, with USDC in circulation growing 90% year over year to $61.3 billion at the end of Q2 [11] - The company redeemed USDC worth $40.8 billion, up 17% year over year, while minting USDC worth $42.2 billion, up 21% year over year [12] Valuation and Market Position - CRCL shares are considered overvalued, with a Value Score of F and a forward 12-month price/sales ratio of 11.14X, significantly higher than the industry's 3.38X [7] - The RLDC margin contracted by 408 basis points year over year to 38%, with expectations for the 2025 RLDC margin to be between 36-38% [13] Regulatory Environment and Adoption - The passage of the GENIUS Act on July 18 has improved the regulatory environment for stablecoins like USDC, facilitating enterprise adoption [12] - The company has launched the Circle Payments Network and Circle Gateway, expanding its platform for financial institutions and enhancing cross-chain USDC usage [14][15] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CRCL's earnings remains unchanged at 19 cents per share for Q3 2025, with revenues estimated at $661.4 million [17] - For the full year 2025, the earnings estimate is $1.10 per share, with revenues pegged at $2.55 billion [18] Competitive Landscape - The competitive landscape includes established players like Coinbase, which has partnered with Shopify to enable USDC payments, and Fiserv, which is developing a blockchain-based digital asset platform [20] - Circle Internet's investments in platform development and partnerships are expected to increase operating expenses, projected between $475 million and $490 million for 2025, indicating a growth rate of 20-24% [21]

RT Jeremy Allaire - jda.eth / jdallaire.sol (@jerallaire)Circle Gateway launches on mainnet.A huge step in improving cross-chain UX and safety. ...

Core Insights - Circle Internet Group Inc has launched a new blockchain called Arc, aimed at stablecoin finance, and introduced instant cross-chain liquidity through Circle Gateway, despite a decline in share prices following these announcements [1][4] Financial Performance - Circle reported net revenue of $251 million and adjusted EBITDA of $126 million, exceeding consensus estimates by 4% and 6% respectively [2][3] - The company is experiencing strong growth in higher margin areas, particularly with USDC on its platform [4] Growth Projections - Management has reiterated a multi-year compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 40% for USDC circulation [3] - Arc is expected to be launched in the latter half of 2025, which is seen as a significant development for the company [4] Market Reaction - Despite the positive financial results and product announcements, shares of Circle declined by 3.62% to $136.45 [4] - Analysts from Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan have provided mixed ratings, with Goldman maintaining a Neutral rating and JPMorgan an Underweight rating, while adjusting price targets [6]