Core Viewpoint - SAP's stock experienced a significant decline of 15% on January 29, attributed primarily to lower-than-expected cloud backlog growth of 16% in Q4, compared to analyst expectations of 26% [2][4]. Financial Performance - Q4 revenue reached €9.7 billion, an increase from €9.4 billion year-over-year, while operating profit surged to €2.6 billion from €2 billion [3]. - Full-year 2025 cloud revenue increased by 26% on a constant currency basis to €21.02 billion, with Cloud ERP Suite revenue rising by 32% to €18.12 billion [3]. - Non-IFRS operating profit grew by 28% to €10.42 billion, and free cash flow nearly doubled, increasing by 95% to €8.24 billion [3][9]. Backlog and Growth Concerns - The current cloud backlog stands at €21.1 billion ($25.3 billion), growing at 16%, which raises concerns about future revenue conversion [4][5]. - Total cloud backlog reached €77.29 billion, up 30%, but the slower growth in backlog has led to doubts about SAP's growth narrative [5]. - CEO Christian Klein indicated that the backlog growth is expected to "slightly decelerate" in 2026, with cloud revenue growth projected between 23-25% [6]. Market Reaction and Valuation - SAP's stock is trading at levels not seen since mid-2024, with a current price of $200, reflecting a 27 times trailing adjusted earnings multiple, lower than its historical average of 35 times [10][11]. - Despite the apparent undervaluation, the market remains skeptical, as a €10 billion share repurchase program initiated in February 2026 is viewed as insufficient to address the underlying growth concerns [12]. Competitive Landscape - SAP competes with major players like Oracle, Salesforce, Microsoft, and Workday, with its primary strength in Cloud ERP [13]. - The 32% increase in Cloud ERP Suite revenue indicates a strong product-market fit, but hesitance from large enterprises to commit may signal broader industry challenges [13]. Investment Dilemma - The recent decline raises questions about whether this represents a buying opportunity or a broken narrative, as the fundamentals remain solid but growth expectations have been reset [14][16]. - Investors must weigh the potential for robust growth in SAP's cloud transition against concerns about economic uncertainties and AI capabilities impacting cloud adoption [15][16].

SAP reported a 19% increase in its cloud revenue for the fourth quarter of 2025 (Q4 2025) to €5.61bn ($6.69bn), compared to €4.71bn ($5.61bn) in the same period of last year. This growth contributed to a total revenue increase of 3% for the reported quarter ended 31 December, reaching €9.68bn, compared to €9.37bn in Q4 2024. SAP’s net income for Q4 2025 rose by 17% to €1.89bn, up from €1.61bn in the same period the previous year. For the full year, SAP's financial performance showed a significant incre ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The total revenue for the full year approached EUR 37 billion, up 11% year-on-year [33] - Cloud revenue grew 26% year-on-year, primarily driven by the strong performance of the Cloud ERP Suite, which increased by 32% [32][33] - The current cloud backlog reached EUR 21 billion, up 25%, while the total cloud backlog grew 30% to a record EUR 77 billion [31][32] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Cloud ERP Suite accounted for 86% of total cloud revenue for the year, highlighting its significance as a growth engine [33] - Software licenses revenue decreased by 27%, indicating a shift in focus towards cloud offerings [33] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. public sector was one of the best-performing businesses in Q4, showing resilience despite geopolitical tensions [41] - The company noted that customers are increasingly exploring sovereign software-as-a-service solutions due to geopolitical factors [31] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company emphasized its transformation strategy, "RISE and GROW with SAP," as core pillars for large-scale enterprises and mid-sized companies [30] - AI and the Business Data Cloud are becoming significant contributors to customer decisions and deal activity, with large cloud transactions contributing a record 71% to cloud order entry in Q4 [30] - The company plans to further develop its SAP Sovereign Cloud Infrastructure to meet growing demand for sovereignty and resilience in software solutions [39] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's outlook for 2026, despite challenges faced in 2025 due to geopolitical tensions [28][30] - The company anticipates total revenue growth to accelerate, supported by the foundation built in previous years [37] - Management highlighted the importance of reskilling employees to adapt to the changing landscape influenced by AI [24] Other Important Information - The company announced a new two-year share repurchase program of up to EUR 10 billion, reflecting confidence in sustainable business strengths [36] - Free cash flow for the full year was EUR 8.2 billion, at the high end of the revised outlook range, indicating strong cash management [35] Q&A Session Summary Question: Are there hurdles in the U.S. due to geopolitical tensions? - Management noted that the U.S. public sector performed well in Q4, and customers are less concerned about the origin of the software as long as it meets regulatory standards [41] Question: Are solutions intended to replace non-European providers? - Management clarified that the focus is on competitiveness and delivering stronger AI solutions rather than replacing specific providers [43] Question: How do U.S. tariffs affect the business? - Management stated there are no direct tariffs on software or services, and the company hopes this remains the case [58] Question: Why is the company starting a share buyback program instead of investing in future revenue? - Management explained that share buybacks are part of a strategy to return capital to shareholders while maintaining flexibility for future investments in technology [59][60]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The total revenue for the full year approached EUR 37 billion, up 11% year-on-year [34] - Cloud revenue grew 26% year-on-year, primarily driven by the strong performance of the Cloud ERP Suite, which increased by 32% [32][34] - The current cloud backlog reached EUR 21 billion, up 25%, while the total cloud backlog grew 30% to a record EUR 77 billion [31][32] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Cloud ERP Suite accounted for 86% of total cloud revenue for the year, highlighting its position as a key engine of growth [34] - Software licenses revenue decreased by 27%, indicating a shift in focus towards cloud offerings [34] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a significant increase in deal volumes greater than EUR 5 million, contributing a record 71% to cloud order entry in Q4 [30] - The public cloud business was growing five times faster than the private cloud business, showcasing the success of the cloud transformation [5] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company emphasized its transformation strategy, "RISE and GROW with SAP," as core pillars for large-scale enterprises and high-growth mid-sized companies [30] - AI and the Business Data Cloud are emerging as meaningful contributors to customer decisions and deal activity, with a focus on enhancing customer value [30][40] - The company aims to leverage its strong position in the market to address the growing demand for sovereign software-as-a-service solutions [31][40] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's outlook for 2026, despite geopolitical tensions impacting business [28][39] - The company anticipates total revenue growth to accelerate, supported by the foundation built in previous years [38] - Management acknowledged the challenges faced in 2025 but highlighted the resilience demonstrated in cloud revenue performance [52] Other Important Information - The company plans to initiate a two-year share repurchase program of up to EUR 10 billion, reflecting confidence in sustainable business strengths [37] - Free cash flow for the full year was approximately EUR 8.2 billion, at the high end of the revised outlook range [36] Q&A Session Summary Question: Are there hurdles in the U.S. due to geopolitical tensions? - Management noted that the U.S. public sector performed well in Q4, with customers less concerned about the origin of the software as long as regulatory standards are met [43][44] Question: Are solutions intended to replace offerings from non-European providers? - Management clarified that the focus is on competitiveness and delivering stronger AI solutions rather than replacing non-European offerings [45] Question: How do U.S. tariffs affect the business? - Management stated there are no direct tariffs on software or services, and the indirect impact has been manageable, with Q4 showing strong performance in the U.S. public sector [61] Question: Why initiate a share buyback program instead of investing in future revenue? - Management explained that share buybacks are part of a balanced approach to capital returns, and future M&A opportunities will be considered for technological advancements [63][64]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue for the full year approached EUR 37 billion, up 11% year-on-year [33] - Cloud revenue grew 26% year-on-year, primarily driven by the strong performance of Cloud ERP Suite, which increased by 32% [32][33] - Non-IFRS basic earnings per share increased by 36% to €6.15 [37] - Free cash flow for the full year was EUR 8.2 billion, at the high end of the revised outlook range [36] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Cloud ERP Suite accounted for 86% of total cloud revenue for the year, highlighting its importance as a growth engine [33] - Software licenses revenue decreased by 27%, indicating a shift in focus towards cloud solutions [33] - The current cloud backlog reached EUR 21 billion, up 25%, while total cloud backlog grew 30% to a record EUR 77 billion [31][32] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The public cloud business grew five times faster than the private cloud business, showcasing a significant shift in customer preferences [5] - The company reported its best bookings result in Q4, contributing to a strong finish for the year [3][10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company emphasizes AI and the Business Data Cloud as core components of its transformation strategy, aiming to enhance customer decision-making and deal activity [30] - The strategy includes a focus on large-scale enterprises and high-growth mid-sized companies undergoing complex transformations [30] - The company plans to further develop its SAP Sovereign Cloud Infrastructure to meet growing demand for sovereign software solutions [40] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to navigate geopolitical tensions and emphasized the importance of operational discipline [29][39] - The outlook for 2026 includes expectations for total revenue growth to accelerate, supported by the foundation built in 2025 [38] - Management acknowledged the challenges faced in 2025 but highlighted the resilience demonstrated in cloud revenue performance [51] Other Important Information - The company announced a new two-year share repurchase program of up to EUR 10 billion, reflecting confidence in sustainable business strengths [36][37] - The company is committed to reskilling its workforce to adapt to the changing landscape influenced by AI [25] Q&A Session Questions and Answers Question: Are there hurdles in the U.S. due to growing tensions between countries? - Management noted that the U.S. public sector performed well in Q4, with customers less concerned about the origin of the software as long as regulatory standards are met [42][43] Question: Are solutions intended to diversify or replace offerings from non-European providers? - Management clarified that the focus is on competitiveness rather than replacing non-European offerings, emphasizing the need for stronger AI capabilities [44] Question: How do geopolitical tensions impact the business outlook? - Management indicated that the 2025 environment is considered the new normal, with resilience shown despite geopolitical challenges [51][52] Question: What is the rationale behind the share buyback program? - Management explained that share buybacks are part of a balanced approach to capital returns, alongside potential future M&A for technological advancements [60][62]

Core Insights - SAP achieved its best bookings result in Q4, with lower churn and stable discounting, indicating a successful quarter amidst ongoing transformation efforts [1][3] - The company met its 2025 outlook for cloud and software despite challenges in the first half of the year, attributing strong performance to cost discipline and AI integration [2][3] Financial Performance - Cloud revenue increased by 26%, with the Cloud ERP Suite growing by 32%, contributing to a full-year non-IFRS operating profit of €10.4 billion [4][16] - Total cloud backlog reached a record €77 billion, up 30%, while current cloud backlog grew by 25%, reflecting a shift towards larger public-sector deals [5][16] - Free cash flow for 2025 was approximately €8.2 billion, with a new €10 billion share repurchase program announced [15][17] AI and Product Strategy - AI is driving significant deal momentum, with over two-thirds of Q4 cloud orders including Business AI, and 90% of the largest deals incorporating AI or SAP Business Data Cloud [6][11] - The Business Data Cloud generated over €2 billion in order entry since its launch, emphasizing its strategic importance for integrating SAP and non-SAP data [9] - SAP's product strategy focuses on a unified platform for business transformation, enhancing user experience and embedding AI into core workflows [10][12] Market Position and Growth - The mid-market segment is now the fastest-growing area for SAP, with several thousand new customers acquired in recent years [7] - SAP's public cloud business grew five times faster than its private cloud business in 2025, indicating strong market demand [7] - The company expects to accelerate total revenue growth and achieve record free cash flow of approximately €10 billion in 2026 [17] Geopolitical and Market Considerations - SAP's performance in the U.S. public sector remained strong, with customers focusing on regulatory compliance rather than vendor origin [18] - Management acknowledged the impact of geopolitical tensions on deal closures but remains optimistic about future growth [2][18]

业务结构方面，随着云转型的深入，公司收入质量持续改善，可预测收入占总收入的比例已从去年同期 的83%提升至86%。更值得关注的是人工智能对业务的深度渗透，首席执行官Christian Klein明确表示， SAP Business AI已成为核心驱动力，在第四季度签署的云订单中，约有三分之二涉及AI功能，这标志着 智能化转型正从概念阶段全面进入商业变现阶段。 在股东回报方面，非IFRS基本每股收益达到1.62欧元，同比增长16%，显著高于分析师平均预期的1.51 欧元;基于此优异表现，SAP宣布启动一项总额高达100亿欧元的新的两年期股票回购计划，预计将于 2026年2月开始执行并持续至2027年底。 SAP SE(SAP.US)于美东时间2026年1月29日发布了2025财年第四季度及全年业绩报告。财报显示，该公 司Q4总营收达到96.8亿欧元，按固定汇率计算增长9%。非IFRS基本每股收益为1.62欧元，同比增长 16%，高于分析师预期的1.51欧元。非IFRS运营利润同比增长16%，达到28.3亿欧元，非IFRS运营利润 率提升3.2个百分点至29.2%。尤其值得关注的是，公司全年自由现金流翻倍至82. ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The total cloud backlog reached EUR 77 billion, up 30% year-on-year, indicating strong underlying business momentum [7][26] - Cloud revenue grew 26% year-on-year, primarily driven by the strong performance of the Cloud ERP Suite, which increased by 32% [27][29] - Total revenue for the full year approached EUR 37 billion, up 11% [29] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Cloud ERP Suite accounted for 86% of total cloud revenue for the year, highlighting its role as a key growth engine [27] - The number of customers using the AI copilot tool grew ninefold over the year, with over 60% of existing cloud customers actively using AI [6][56] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Strong performances were noted in Brazil, France, Germany, India, Italy, South Korea, and Spain, while China, Japan, Saudi Arabia, the UK, and the US also showed significant strength [28] - The company outperformed the cloud market by 10 percentage points in 2025 [15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The ongoing transformation of SAP's operating model, combined with AI integration, is expected to drive future growth and revenue acceleration through 2027 [14][22] - The company is focusing on a Partner-First approach for the mid-market and expanding its sovereign cloud capabilities [12][16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged geopolitical uncertainty and macroeconomic volatility but emphasized the increasing demand for AI solutions among customers [4][24] - The company expects a record free cash flow of approximately EUR 10 billion in 2026, supported by continued efficiency improvements [32] Other Important Information - The non-IFRS cloud gross margin for the full year expanded by 1.6 percentage points to 75%, driving cloud gross profit up by 29% [28] - A new two-year share repurchase program of up to EUR 10 billion is set to start in February, reflecting confidence in the business's sustainable strengths [30] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on CCB and pipeline for Q1 - Management noted that the CCB ended at 25%, with larger deals contributing to longer ramp periods and some slippage, but overall bookings performance was ahead of plan [39][41] Question: AI-driven cost savings and R&D focus - The company aims to achieve EUR 2 billion in cost efficiencies through business growth and AI integration, with no current restructuring plans [46][48] Question: AI adoption among existing customers - Approximately 60% of existing cloud customers are actively using AI, with significant revenue uplift observed from early adopters [56][60] Question: Dynamics of TCB growth and BDC momentum - Management acknowledged a deceleration in TCB growth but emphasized a strong pipeline and the expected contribution from the Business Data Cloud in 2026 [72]

Financial Performance - The total cloud backlog reached EUR 77 billion, up 30% year-on-year, indicating strong underlying business momentum [7][14][26] - Cloud revenue grew 26% year-on-year, primarily driven by the strong performance of the Cloud ERP Suite, which increased by 32% [27][29] - Total revenue for the full year approached EUR 37 billion, up 11% [29] Business Lines and Key Metrics - The Cloud ERP Suite accounted for 86% of total cloud revenue, highlighting its significance as a growth engine [27] - The number of customers using the AI copilot tool grew ninefold over the year, with 60% of existing cloud customers actively using SAP's AI offerings [6][54] Market Performance - Strong performances were noted in Brazil, France, Germany, India, Italy, South Korea, and Spain, while China, Japan, Saudi Arabia, the UK, and the US also showed significant strength [28] - The company outperformed the cloud market by 10 percentage points in 2025 [15] Company Strategy and Industry Competition - The ongoing transformation of SAP's operating model, combined with AI integration, has positioned the company to capitalize on business AI opportunities [8][20] - The company is focused on a Partner-First approach for mid-market growth and expanding its sovereign cloud capabilities [12][16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged geopolitical uncertainties and macroeconomic volatility but expressed confidence in the company's ability to drive growth through AI and cloud solutions [4][23] - The company expects a record free cash flow of approximately EUR 10 billion in 2026, supported by operational efficiency improvements [32] Other Important Information - The non-IFRS cloud gross margin for the full year expanded by 1.6 percentage points to 75%, driving cloud gross profit up by 29% [28] - A new two-year share repurchase program of up to EUR 10 billion is set to start in February, reflecting confidence in the business's sustainable strengths [30] Q&A Session Summary Question: Concerns about CCB growth and deal slippage - Management noted that the 25% CCB growth was impacted by a higher share of large deals with longer ramp periods and some government deals with termination clauses [38][40] Question: AI-driven cost efficiencies - The company aims to achieve EUR 2 billion in cost efficiencies through business growth without a restructuring plan, focusing on scaling operations with AI [44][46] Question: Customer adoption of AI offerings - Approximately 60% of existing cloud customers are actively using SAP's AI, with a significant increase in adoption noted [54][56] Question: Future cloud revenue growth trajectory - Management indicated that while some deceleration is expected, it will be less than in 2025, with a strong pipeline for 2026 [66][68]

Core Insights - SAP SE reported strong financial results for Q4 and FY2025, highlighting significant growth in cloud services and overall revenue [1][5][17] Financial Performance - Q4 2025 total revenue increased by 3% to €9.68 billion, with a 9% increase at constant currencies [4][11] - Full year 2025 total revenue rose by 8% to €36.80 billion, with an 11% increase at constant currencies [7][17] - Cloud revenue for Q4 grew by 19% to €5.61 billion, and for the full year, it increased by 23% to €21.02 billion [11][17] - The Cloud ERP Suite revenue in Q4 was up 23% to €4.86 billion, and for the full year, it rose by 28% to €18.12 billion [11][17] - Operating profit for Q4 increased by 27% to €2.55 billion, while for the full year, it surged by 111% to €9.83 billion [13][18] - Free cash flow for Q4 was €1.03 billion, a significant recovery from a loss in the previous year, and for the full year, it increased by 95% to €8.24 billion [15][20] Cloud Backlog and Growth - Total cloud backlog reached €77.29 billion, up 22% year-over-year, and 30% at constant currencies [5][32] - Current cloud backlog grew by 16% to €21.05 billion in Q4, with a 25% increase at constant currencies [10][32] Shareholder Returns - SAP announced a new share repurchase program of up to €10 billion, set to begin in February 2026 [23][24] Customer Engagement and Market Position - SAP's "RISE with SAP" initiative continues to attract global customers, driving significant business transformations [25][26] - The company reported strong cloud revenue performance across various regions, particularly in APJ and EMEA [28][29] Non-Financial Performance - Customer NPS decreased by 3 points to 9, primarily due to lower scores from on-premise customers [21] - Employee Engagement Index increased to 76%, and total carbon emissions decreased to 6.3 Mt [22]