Bonduelle has agreed a deal to sell a factory in Brazil to local group Stella d’Oro Alimentos. Just Food understands the French veg group plans to retain a commercial presence in the country. The terms of the deal for the factory in Cristalina in the central state of Goiás were undisclosed. Bonduelle declined to comment when approached by Just Food. According to the annual report for the company’s 2024-25 fiscal year – which ran to the end of June – the group has 201 staff in Brazil. The Cristalina si ...

Company Overview - McCormick & Company, Incorporated (MKC) is based in Hunt Valley, Maryland, and specializes in marketing and distributing spices, seasoning mixes, condiments, and other flavorful products to the food industry, with a market cap of $17.7 billion [1] Stock Performance - MKC shares have underperformed the broader market over the past 52 weeks, declining 12.4%, while the S&P 500 Index gained 13.1% [2] - Year-to-date, MKC's stock is down 12.8%, compared to a 15.1% return for the S&P 500 [2] - MKC has also lagged behind the First Trust Nasdaq Food & Beverage ETF, which saw an 11.6% decline over the past 52 weeks and a 6.8% drop year-to-date [3] Earnings Report - On November 11, MKC shares surged 2.2% following a strong Q3 earnings release, with total net sales increasing 2.7% year-over-year to $1.7 billion, slightly exceeding consensus estimates [4] - The adjusted EPS for the quarter was $0.85, reflecting a 2.4% improvement from the previous year and surpassing analyst expectations by 4.9% [4] - Despite pressure on gross margins due to rising costs in a dynamic global trade environment, MKC managed to drive operating profit growth through effective cost-saving initiatives [4] Future Earnings Expectations - For the current fiscal year ending in November, analysts project MKC's EPS to grow 2.4% year-over-year to $3.02 [5] - MKC's earnings surprise history is mixed, with the company exceeding consensus estimates in three of the last four quarters [5] Analyst Ratings - Among 14 analysts covering MKC, the consensus rating is a "Moderate Buy," consisting of seven "Strong Buy," one "Moderate Buy," and six "Hold" ratings [5] - The analyst sentiment has become more bullish compared to three months ago, with six analysts recommending a "Strong Buy" and one suggesting a "Strong Sell" [6] - AllianceBernstein analyst Alexia Burland Howard maintained a "Buy" rating on MKC with a price target of $91, indicating a potential upside of 38% from current levels [6]

Core Insights - The Kraft Heinz Company reported a decline in both top and bottom lines for Q3 2025, primarily due to weaker volumes in key categories, but management highlighted progress in productivity initiatives and brand investments [1][10] - The company is preparing for its planned separation into two standalone public companies, "Global Taste Elevation Co." and "North American Grocery Co." in the second half of 2026 [3][10] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings were 61 cents per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 57 cents, but fell 18.7% year over year due to lower adjusted operating income and increased taxes [4] - Net sales totaled $6,237 million, down 2.3% year over year, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6,247 million, with organic net sales declining 2.5% [5] - Adjusted gross profit was $2,015 million, down from $2,189 million in the prior year, with an adjusted gross margin contraction of 200 basis points to 32.3% [7] Segment Performance - North America: Net sales of $4,641 million declined 3.8% year over year, with organic sales also down 3.8% [9] - International Developed Markets: Net sales of $895 million increased 1.6% year over year, but organic sales fell 1.4% [9] - Emerging Markets: Net sales rose 3.8% year over year to $701 million, with organic sales growing 4.7% [11] Future Outlook - The company updated its full-year 2025 outlook, expecting organic net sales to decline by 3% to 3.5%, reflecting market softness [14] - Adjusted operating income is projected to fall by 10% to 12%, with an adjusted gross profit margin decline of approximately 100 basis points [15] - Adjusted EPS is forecasted in the range of $2.50 to $2.57, down from the previous outlook [15]

Core Viewpoint - McCormick & Company is experiencing strong sales growth despite facing cost pressures that have led to a downward adjustment in its earnings per share outlook [2][5]. Financial Performance - McCormick reported Q3 earnings that exceeded expectations, driven by positive volume trends [2][5]. - The company adjusted its EPS outlook downward due to cost pressures, indicating challenges in maintaining profitability [2][5]. Stock Performance - The current stock price for MKC is $66.02, reflecting a 0.61% increase from the previous session, with fluctuations between $64.70 and $66.24 during trading [3]. - Over the past year, MKC's stock has experienced a high of $86.24 and a low of $63.66, showcasing market volatility [3]. Market Position - McCormick's market capitalization is approximately $17.73 billion, underscoring its significant size in the flavor industry [4]. - The trading volume for MKC today is 1,464,563 shares, indicating active investor interest [4]. Analyst Insights - Jefferies set a price target of $78 for MKC, suggesting a potential increase of 18.44% from its current price [1][5].

Company Overview - McCormick & Company, Incorporated is a leading entity in the global food industry, known for its spices, seasoning mixes, and condiments, operating through two primary segments: Consumer and Flavor Solutions [1] Price Target and Analyst Sentiment - The consensus price target for McCormick has decreased from $80.83 to $76.50 over the past year, indicating a more conservative stance from analysts [2] - Deutsche Bank has set a higher price target of $91, reflecting a bullish outlook on McCormick's financial health [2][5] Upcoming Earnings Report - McCormick's forthcoming Q3 earnings report is significant for investors, as the company faces challenges such as pricing power, margin pressures, and subdued demand from China [3][6] - Analysts are particularly interested in how McCormick will address these challenges in its earnings report, with Deutsche Bank's optimistic price target of $91 underscoring the importance of this event [3][4] Dividend Growth - Despite recent declines in share price, McCormick remains attractive to dividend growth investors, boasting a decade-high dividend yield and a 39-year streak of annual dividend increases [5][6]

Group 1 - McCormick & Company Inc. is recognized as a strong investment opportunity within the FMCG sector, emphasizing innovation and digital transformation to maintain growth in a competitive market [1][3]. - The company is in the process of acquiring an additional 25% stake in McCormick de Mexico, which is projected to contribute over $800 million in net sales and $180 million in operating profit, with Mexican operations expected to represent more than 10% of total sales [2][3]. - Despite a reported 4% growth in operating profit and strong performance in the consumer segment, McCormick has indicated potential slow growth in 2025 due to changing consumer behaviors [3]. Group 2 - McCormick & Company is a global leader in the flavor industry, involved in the manufacturing, marketing, and distribution of spices, seasoning mixes, and condiments for various markets including home and foodservice [4].

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the **China Consumer Sector**, focusing on the **Staples Food** industry, particularly **condiments, frozen food, instant noodles, beverages, meat, and snacks** [2][3]. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Condiments and Frozen Food**: - Q2 2025 was challenging due to slowing consumption, especially in the 2B channel, leading to sluggish sales for major companies. - Favorable raw material prices resulted in gross profit margin (GPM) expansion for most companies, offset by significantly higher sales and marketing expenses. - Only Haitian's results exceeded expectations in Q2 2025, while others were in line or missed [2][2]. 2. **Instant Noodles & Beverages**: - Tingyi and UPC reported strong profit growth in Q2 2025 due to favorable raw material costs supporting GPM expansion for beverages. - However, intensified competition is expected to challenge beverage sales in Q3 2025. - Sales checks for July-August indicated a year-over-year decline for Tingyi's beverage sales and flat sales for UPC [2][2]. 3. **Meat & Snacks**: - WH Group's Q2 2025 results beat expectations with strong performances in the US, China, and Europe. - Sustained strength in the US business and a recovery in China are anticipated to lead to another resilient quarter in Q3 2025. - Weilong's results showed robust growth in vegetable products, with expectations of maintaining 15-20% topline growth in Q3 2025. - Chacha's Q2 margin was disappointing due to raw material cost pressures, with expectations of flat year-over-year revenue growth in Q3 [2][2]. 4. **Restaurant Sales**: - Restaurant sales in China rose by 2.1% year-over-year in August, with above-scale restaurant sales increasing by 1.0% [3][3]. 5. **Cost Trends**: - Continued pressure from milk powder and palm oil price hikes was noted, with milk powder prices rising by 19% year-over-year and palm oil prices also increasing by 19%. - Declining prices were observed for soybeans (-13%) and sugar (-6%), while packaging materials saw a price downtrend [4][4]. Additional Important Insights - **Valuation Summary**: - The report includes a valuation summary for various companies in the staples food sector, with ratings ranging from Buy to Neutral. - Notable companies include Haitian, Anjoy, Jonjee, and WH Group, with respective price targets and market caps provided [6][6]. - **Key Risks**: - Risks for the China Consumer Staples sector include demand recovery variability, cost inflation or deflation, and changes in the competitive landscape. - Specific risks for WH Group include integration challenges post-acquisition and international operational risks [48][49]. - **Investment Recommendations**: - The sector's top picks are WH Group and Weilong, with detailed price targets and expected growth rates outlined for various companies [2][6]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights and data points from the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state and outlook of the China Consumer Sector, particularly in the staples food industry.

Summary of Conference Call on China Consumer Staples Industry Overview - The consumer staples sector in China is experiencing weak demand trends from Q2 to Q3, influenced by policy and weather factors, leading to a wider divergence between market leaders and laggards [1][2] - The spirits sector has seen a valuation increase of 24% in Q3 to date, compared to a 16% increase in the A-share Liquor index and a 13% increase in the MSCI China Index, driven by improved market sentiment and expectations of stimulus policies [1] Key Insights Demand Trends - Overall demand remains weak, particularly in gifting categories as noted by dairy and spirits companies [1] - Beer, spirits, and liquid milk are under pressure, while beverages, snacks, and pet foods show mixed performance with some companies experiencing growth due to strong product cycles and omnichannel strategies [2] Pricing and Market Dynamics - Pricing remains muted across the sector, with spirits and beer companies focusing on sub-premium segments [2] - The August Foods Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreased by 4.3% year-over-year, indicating potential challenges in pricing strategies [1] Company Performance and Strategies - Companies like Haitian and Nongfu are gaining market share, while others like Jonjee are struggling [9] - CR Beer reported growth in premium and sub-premium volumes, while maintaining a disciplined approach to pricing and promotions [47] - The spirits sector is seeing a shift towards mid-end and mass-market products to counteract upper-mid-end softness [43] Future Outlook - The sector is expected to see a gradual recovery in retail demand, particularly in traditional categories like beer and dairy, with potential for value stock rotation in early 2026 [8] - Companies are expected to enhance shareholder returns and maintain dividend payouts, with a focus on operational efficiency and cost management [8] Sector Preferences - Preference remains for beverages due to secular growth, followed by pet foods and dairy, with a positive outlook for beer in the medium term [13] - Stock recommendations include Eastroc, Gambol, and China Pet Foods for strong product cycles, and CR Beer and Tsingtao for their dividend yields and valuations [13] Additional Observations - The competitive landscape is evolving, with top players consolidating market share amid weak demand, leading to a valuation premium for leading brands [9] - The pet food sector is benefiting from a shift towards higher-value segments, with companies focusing on premiumization and operational efficiencies [48] - Snacks are seeing a channel shift towards discounters and mom-pop stores, with a focus on large SKU strategies and product mix upgrades [49] Key Watch Factors - Policy directions post the Fourth Plenum and local catering incentives are critical to monitor, especially their impact on banquet traffic [11] - The performance of mid-end and mass SKUs in spirits and the overall margin discipline across the sector will be crucial as cost pressures moderate [12]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total organic sales increased by 2% in the second quarter, primarily driven by volume growth [6][29] - Adjusted operating income increased by 10%, with a 11% increase when excluding currency impacts [34][36] - Adjusted earnings per share for the second quarter was $0.69, comparable to the previous year [36] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consumer segment organic sales grew by 3%, driven by volume and mix, with a 4% volume growth in The Americas [30][29] - Flavor Solutions segment organic sales were flat, with a 1% price contribution offset by a 1% decline in volume and mix [31][32] - In the Americas, Flavor Solutions organic sales increased by 1%, reflecting a 2% price contribution [31] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Asia Pacific, organic sales in the Consumer segment increased by 4%, driven by volume growth, particularly in China [30][31] - EMEA experienced a 7% decrease in Flavor Solutions organic sales, impacted by geopolitical issues and softness in customer volumes [32][21] - The Americas saw strong volume growth and share gains across core categories, while EMEA reflected select pricing actions to cover rising commodity costs [7][30] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company focuses on profitable volume-led growth through brand investment, distribution expansion, innovation, and operational efficiencies [4][5] - Plans to drive growth include category management, brand marketing, new products, and leveraging data analytics for digital transformation [22][28] - The company aims to mitigate tariff impacts through sourcing strategies and operational efficiencies while maintaining volume momentum [12][40] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that consumers are adapting to economic pressures by changing shopping habits but continue to spend on flavor [8][9] - The company expects continued volume growth and strong consumption trends in the second half of the year [23][44] - Management remains confident in achieving long-term objectives despite current macroeconomic uncertainties [47][49] Other Important Information - The company has a global manufacturing footprint, with over 85% of products sold in major markets produced locally [39] - Tariff exposure is approximately $90 million annually, with plans to offset this through sourcing and pricing strategies [40][41] - The adjusted effective tax rate for the second quarter was 24%, compared to 14% in the previous year [35] Q&A Session Summary Question: What surprised you about the second quarter results? - Management noted that the consumer business performed well, driven by volume across core categories, and flavor solutions managed to perform better than expected despite tough conditions [52][54] Question: Can you elaborate on tariff mitigation actions? - The majority of mitigation actions are driven by sourcing and operational efficiencies, with targeted pricing as a residual approach [60][62] Question: Can you provide more detail on gross tariff exposure? - The $90 million exposure is primarily related to raw materials that cannot be sourced domestically, with a blended tariff rate impacting about 2% of COGS globally [71][73] Question: What are the pressures on certain commodities? - The global trade environment has created a standstill, impacting supply-demand dynamics and gross margins, leading to a revised gross margin outlook [92][93]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total organic sales increased by 2% in Q2 2025, primarily driven by volume growth, with volume growth of more than 3% in the Consumer segment [6][28] - Adjusted operating income increased by 10%, with a 11% increase when excluding currency impacts [32] - Adjusted earnings per share for Q2 2025 was $0.69, comparable to the previous year [35] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consumer segment organic sales increased by 3%, driven by volume and mix, with volume growth of 4% in The Americas [28][29] - Flavor Solutions segment organic sales were flat, with a 1% contribution from price offset by a 1% decline in volume and mix [30] - In The Americas, Flavor Solutions organic sales increased by 1%, reflecting a 2% price contribution, partially offset by a 1% decline in volume [30] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In EMEA, consumer organic sales grew by 3%, driven by a 2% increase in volume and a 1% increase in price due to commodity costs [29] - Asia Pacific region saw a 4% increase in consumer organic sales, driven by volume growth, reflecting a gradual recovery in China [29] - Flavor Solutions organic sales in EMEA decreased by 7%, impacted by lower volumes and prices due to geopolitical issues [31] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on profitable volume-led growth by investing in brands, expanding distribution, driving innovation, and increasing operational efficiencies [4][5] - Plans to offset tariff costs through sourcing strategies and advanced analytics, while maintaining volume momentum [12][39] - Continued emphasis on health and wellness trends, with a focus on flavoring rather than competing for calories [9][10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that consumers are adapting to economic pressures by shopping differently, but continue to spend on flavor [8] - The company expects to maintain its volume-led momentum and expand operating margins in 2025 despite ongoing challenges [46] - The outlook for 2025 includes maintaining net sales and adjusted operating profit guidance, with organic net sales growth expected to range between 1% to 3% [40][41] Other Important Information - The company is experiencing elevated cost pressures due to global trade uncertainties, impacting gross margins [31][40] - Cash flow from operations was $161 million, a decrease from $302 million in the previous year, driven by higher cash used due to working capital timing [36] - The company is committed to maintaining a strong balance sheet while funding growth investments and returning cash to shareholders [36] Q&A Session Summary Question: What surprised you about the second quarter results? - Management noted that the consumer business performed well, driven by volume across core categories, and they outperformed expectations in flavor solutions despite tough conditions [50][53] Question: Can you elaborate on tariff mitigation actions? - The majority of mitigation actions are driven by sourcing and CCI, with targeted pricing as a residual approach [59][60] Question: Can you provide more detail on gross tariff exposure? - The gross tariff exposure is approximately $90 million, primarily related to raw materials that cannot be sourced domestically [69][72] Question: How does the company balance sourcing lower-cost options with maintaining quality? - The company emphasizes that there is no trade-off between quality and cost, maintaining high standards while finding cost-effective sourcing options [89][91] Question: What is the impact of the global trade environment on commodity costs? - The global trade environment has led to elevated pressure on certain commodities, impacting gross margins, and the company is mitigating this through SG&A initiatives [90][94]