For the quarter ended September 2025, American Express (AXP) reported revenue of $18.43 billion, up 10.8% over the same period last year. EPS came in at $4.14, compared to $3.49 in the year-ago quarter.The reported revenue compares to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $17.99 billion, representing a surprise of +2.42%. The company delivered an EPS surprise of +4.55%, with the consensus EPS estimate being $3.96.While investors closely watch year-over-year changes in headline numbers -- revenue and earnings -- a ...

Core Insights - Visa's stock has been trading between $340 and $355 since August, following a rejection at the $360 level in July, after reaching an all-time high of $375.51 on June 11, contributing to an 18.4% year-over-year gain [1] Group 1: Stock Performance and Trends - Visa stock is currently near its 12-month moving average, having closed above this trendline in 80% of the last 20 months. Historically, this has led to a price increase one month later 83% of the time, averaging an 8.2% gain [2] - A similar price movement from the current level could push Visa's stock above $368, with long-term returns averaging a 19.3% gain after three months in 89% of cases, potentially reaching new highs around $406 [3] Group 2: Options Market Sentiment - The options market shows a high level of pessimism, with Visa's 50-day put/call volume ratio at 1.11, ranking higher than 71% of readings from the past year. The put/call open interest ratio of 1.06 is in the 83rd percentile, indicating a strong put bias among short-term options traders [5] - Current conditions suggest it may be a favorable time to consider options trading, as Visa's Volatility Index (SVI) of 21% is in the low 12th percentile of its annual range, indicating low volatility expectations from options traders [6]

Core Viewpoint - Mastercard is evolving from a traditional credit card network to a strategic global infrastructure, positioning itself as a hybrid platform that integrates both traditional and digital finance [1]. Group 1: Company Transformation - Mastercard is increasingly recognized as a strategic global infrastructure rather than just a credit card network [1]. - The company is moving towards becoming a hybrid platform that bridges traditional finance with digital finance [1]. Group 2: Market Perception - There is still some appreciation for Mastercard's stock within the market, indicating a positive outlook despite its transformation [1].

Core Insights - American Express reported $17.86 billion in revenue for Q2 2025, a year-over-year increase of 9.3% and a surprise of +0.95% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $17.69 billion [1] - The EPS for the same period was $4.08, compared to $3.49 a year ago, with an EPS surprise of +5.7% over the consensus estimate of $3.86 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Book value per common share was $44.16, slightly below the estimated $44.84 [4] - Risk-Based Capital Ratios - Basel III - Common Equity Tier 1/Risk Weighted Assets stood at 10.6%, slightly above the estimated 10.5% [4] - Total Card Member loans amounted to $142.28 billion, compared to the average estimate of $143.69 billion [4] - Total non-interest revenues reached $13.67 billion, exceeding the estimated $13.4 billion [4] Market Performance - Shares of American Express returned +6.4% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +5.4% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market [3]

Core Viewpoint - Analysts project that American Express (AXP) will report quarterly earnings of $3.86 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 10.6%, with revenues expected to reach $17.69 billion, an 8.3% increase from the same quarter last year [1] Earnings Estimates - There have been no revisions in the consensus EPS estimate for the quarter over the last 30 days, indicating stability in analysts' forecasts [1][2] Key Metrics Projections - The consensus estimate for 'Book value per common share' is $44.84, up from $39.26 in the same quarter last year [4] - 'Risk-Based Capital - Common Equity Tier 1' is projected to be 10.5%, slightly down from 10.8% in the same quarter of the previous year [4] Commercial Services Metrics - 'Commercial Services - Card Member Loans - Total loans' are expected to reach $32.53 billion, compared to $28.62 billion in the same quarter last year [5] - 'Commercial Services - Card Member loans - Average Loans' is projected at $31.83 billion, up from $28.03 billion in the same quarter last year [5] International Card Services Metrics - 'International Card Services - Card Member loans - consumer and small business - Average loans' is forecasted to be $17.98 billion, compared to $16.84 billion in the same quarter last year [6] - 'International Card Services - Card Member loans - consumer and small business - Total loans' is expected to reach $18.50 billion, up from $17.27 billion a year ago [6] U.S. Consumer Services Metrics - 'U.S. Consumer Services - Card Member loans - Total loans' is projected at $92.66 billion, compared to $84.96 billion in the same quarter last year [7] - 'Card billed business (Network volumes)' is expected to reach $465.80 billion, up from $440.60 billion a year ago [7] Average Card Member Loans - 'Average Card Member loans' is expected to be $141.10 billion, compared to $128.32 billion in the same quarter last year [8] - 'Total Card Member loans' is projected at $143.69 billion, up from $130.85 billion in the same quarter last year [8] Non-Interest Revenues - 'Total non-interest revenues' are projected to reach $13.40 billion, compared to $12.60 billion in the same quarter last year [9] Stock Performance - Shares of American Express have returned +9.1% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +5% change [10]

Core Viewpoint - Analysts forecast that American Express (AXP) will report quarterly earnings of $3.46 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 3.9%, with anticipated revenues of $17 billion, marking a 7.6% increase compared to the previous year [1] Earnings Estimates - Over the last 30 days, there has been a downward revision of 0.2% in the consensus EPS estimate for the quarter, indicating a collective reconsideration by analysts [2] - Revisions to earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor behavior, as empirical studies show a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock performance [3] Key Metrics Forecast - Analysts estimate 'Commercial Services - Card Member Loans - Total loans' at $31.20 billion, up from $27.6 billion year-over-year [5] - The forecast for 'International Card Services - Card Member loans - consumer and small business - Average loans' is $17.96 billion, compared to $16.4 billion last year [6] - 'U.S. Consumer Services - Card Member loans - Total loans' is expected to reach $89.44 billion, an increase from $82.3 billion in the same quarter last year [7] - The average prediction for 'Average Card Member loans' is $137.87 billion, up from $124.7 billion year-over-year [8] - The consensus estimate for 'Total non-interest revenues' stands at $12.83 billion, compared to $12.03 billion in the same quarter last year [9] - Analysts project 'Net Interest Income' to reach $4.11 billion, an increase from $3.77 billion last year [10] Stock Performance - Shares of American Express have decreased by 5.5% over the past month, compared to a 3.6% decline in the Zacks S&P 500 composite, with a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) indicating expected performance in line with the overall market [11]