What’s at Stake — Supply Disruption or Peaceful ResolutionWhat’s at stake is potential supply disruptions driven by possible military action against Iran by the United States. The situation went from optimistic to tense quickly overnight. For most of the session on Thursday there seemed to be a relative calm in the market as the latest talks held in Geneva seemed to indicate a possible peaceful resolution to the simmering tensions between the two countries.During the negotiations the United States remained ...

Core Viewpoint - The content emphasizes the importance of conducting personal due diligence and consulting with competent advisors before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments in complex instruments like cryptocurrencies and CFDs [1]. Group 1 - The website provides general news, personal analysis, and third-party materials intended for educational and research purposes [1]. - It explicitly states that the information should not be interpreted as a recommendation or advice for investment actions [1]. - The accuracy and reliability of the information are not guaranteed, and users are cautioned against relying solely on the content provided [1]. Group 2 - The website discusses the high risks associated with cryptocurrencies and CFDs, highlighting their complexity and the potential for significant financial loss [1]. - It encourages users to conduct their own research and fully understand the instruments and risks involved before making investment decisions [1].

Market Overview - U.S. stock futures declined on Thursday after a higher close on Wednesday, with all major benchmark indices showing lower futures [1] - The Federal Reserve's January meeting minutes revealed significant disagreements among officials regarding future interest rates, with some discussing potential rate increases to address persistent inflation [1] - Market participants are still anticipating two rate reductions by the end of the year, with a 94% likelihood of the Federal Reserve maintaining current interest rates in March according to CME Group's FedWatch tool [2] Index Performance - Dow Jones decreased by 0.12% - S&P 500 fell by 0.08% - Nasdaq 100 dropped by 0.08% - Russell 2000 declined by 0.24% [2] Stocks in Focus - DoorDash (DASH) is experiencing a weaker price trend across all time frames, despite a solid growth ranking [2] - eBay (EBAY) shows a stronger price trend in the short and medium terms but a weak long-term trend, with a moderate quality ranking [3] - Lockheed Martin (LMT) maintains a stronger price trend across all time frames but has a poor value ranking [4] - Interactive Strength Inc. (TRNR) gained 12.47% after announcing an acquisition of Ergatta, Inc., although it maintains a weaker price trend overall [6] - Walmart Inc. (WMT) fell by 1.50% as analysts expect quarterly earnings of 73 cents per share on revenue of $190.43 billion, while it maintains a strong price trend across all time frames [6] Sector Insights - Consumer discretionary, energy, and information technology sectors led the S&P 500's gains on Wednesday, while real estate and utilities sectors declined [7] Analyst Insights - Jeremy Siegel has a positive outlook on the U.S. economy, suggesting recent data supports the expansion of the bull market rather than its derailment [8] - He notes a "sweet spot" in the labor market with resilient jobless claims and a near-2% annual gain in weekly pay, improving consumer purchasing power [9] - Siegel argues that cooling inflation and rising real income provide the Federal Reserve with room to lower interest rates further [9] - He views market volatility due to "AI-driven disruption fears" as a typical reaction to technological changes, which he believes will ultimately enhance productivity and real incomes [10] - Siegel sees valuation support in the ongoing healthy market rotation towards non-tech sectors trading at reasonable multiples [10]

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Market Overview - U.S. stock futures showed fluctuations following a mixed close on Friday, with major indices experiencing weekly losses: S&P 500 down 1.4%, Dow down 1.2%, and Nasdaq down 2.1% [1][2] Index Performance - Dow Jones increased by 0.02%, S&P 500 decreased by 0.14%, Nasdaq 100 fell by 0.47%, and Russell 2000 dropped by 0.21% [3] Stocks in Focus - ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd. surged by 34.46% after agreeing to be acquired by Hapag-Lloyd for $35.00 per share, totaling approximately $4.2 billion [5] - Ocular Therapeutix Inc. rose by 33.56% ahead of announcing topline data for its Phase 3 trial in wet AMD [6] - Toll Brothers Inc. was down by 0.07% with expected earnings of $2.11 per share on revenue of $1.85 billion [7] Analyst Insights - Renowned economist Mohamed El-Erian predicts a "tense tug-of-war" for the U.S. economy in 2026, highlighting a potential decoupling of GDP growth from job creation, which may exacerbate economic inequality [10][11] - El-Erian emphasizes a shift from broad market narratives to a focus on companies effectively integrating AI, indicating that 2026 will require a recalibration of investment strategies [12]

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing talks between the U.S. and Iran regarding nuclear issues have significant implications for oil prices, with potential outcomes ranging from price increases to decreases depending on the success or failure of negotiations [1][2]. Group 1: Price Movement Scenarios - If the talks lead to a formal agreement, oil prices could retreat into support levels [1]. - A collapse of talks could trigger a military response from the U.S., leading to a potential $10 surge in oil prices if Iran retaliates and disrupts the Strait of Hormuz, which is crucial for global oil supply [3]. - Conversely, if an agreement is reached, oil prices could decline by $5.00 to $10.00 as U.S. military presence in the region diminishes [3]. Group 2: External Influences - The U.S. Dollar's strength will impact oil demand, with a weaker dollar likely increasing demand for dollar-denominated crude oil, while a stronger dollar may suppress it [4]. - U.S. inventory levels are being monitored closely, as a significant decline in inventory could provide unexpected support for prices [5]. - Developments regarding Russian oil supply may also introduce volatility in the market [5].

Group 1 - Precious metal prices experienced a significant decline on February 5, with gold futures for April 2026 dropping by $188.3 to close at $4,798.1 per ounce, marking a decrease of 3.75% [1] - Silver prices also fell sharply, with March futures down $17.415 to $70.350 per ounce, a decline of 19.84% [1] - The strengthening of the US dollar index, which rose by 0.21% to 97.824, was influenced by better-than-expected US economic data and hawkish expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's next chair, Kevin Walsh [1] Group 2 - Analysts suggest that despite the current neutral monetary policy stance from global central banks, a slowdown in global economic activity may lead to interest rate cuts in the second half of 2026, which could support global gold prices [2]

Core Viewpoint - The content emphasizes the importance of conducting personal due diligence and consulting with competent advisors before making any financial decisions, particularly in relation to investments in cryptocurrencies and CFDs [1]. Group 1 - The website provides general news, personal analysis, and third-party materials intended for educational and research purposes [1]. - It explicitly states that the information should not be interpreted as a recommendation or advice for investment actions [1]. - The accuracy and reliability of the information are not guaranteed, and users are cautioned against relying solely on the content provided [1]. Group 2 - The website discusses the complexities and high risks associated with cryptocurrencies and CFDs, highlighting the potential for significant financial loss [1]. - It encourages users to conduct their own research and fully understand the instruments and risks involved before making investment decisions [1].

隔夜，纽约商品交易所3月交货的轻质原油期货价格上涨1.93美元，收于每桶65.14美元，涨幅为 3.05%。 中国经济网北京2月5日讯今日，上海国际能源交易中心日间盘原油期货主力合约震荡收高，成交下降， 持仓减少。主力2603合约收报463.5元，涨1.13%或5.2元;成交量为97941手;持仓为21605手，日盘持仓减 少6074手。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The content emphasizes the importance of conducting personal due diligence and consulting with competent advisors before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments in complex instruments like cryptocurrencies and CFDs [1]. Group 1 - The website provides general news, personal analysis, and third-party materials intended for educational and research purposes [1]. - It explicitly states that the information should not be interpreted as a recommendation or advice for investment actions [1]. - The accuracy and reliability of the information are not guaranteed, and users are cautioned against relying solely on the content provided [1]. Group 2 - The website includes information about cryptocurrencies, CFDs, and other financial instruments, highlighting their complexity and associated high risks [1]. - Users are encouraged to conduct their own research and fully understand the workings and risks of any financial instruments before investing [1].