Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. (NASDAQ:RARE) is one of the best biotech stocks with high potential. On October 3, Bank of America Securities analyst Tazeen Ahmad maintained a Buy rating on Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. (NASDAQ:RARE) and set a price target of $79.00. Ultragenyx (RARE) Falls 26% as New Treatment Fails to Get FDA Green Light Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. (NASDAQ:RARE) reported $166 million in total revenue for fiscal Q2 2025, with Crysvita® revenue of $120 million and Dojolvi® revenue of ...

NOVATO, Calif., Sept. 30, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. (NASDAQ: RARE) today announced the appointment of Eric Olson as chief business officer (CBO) and executive vice president effective September 22, 2025, following the planned retirement of Thomas Kassberg. Mr. Olson will be responsible for leading the company’s business development, corporate development and alliance management functions. “We thank Tom for his 14 years of impactful contributions to Ultragenyx, including transf ...

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. (NASDAQ:RARE) is one of the best strong buy stocks to invest in according to Wall Street. In a report released on September 22, Kristen Kluska from Cantor Fitzgerald reiterated a Buy rating on Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. (NASDAQ:RARE) and set a price target of $105.00. Ultragenyx (RARE) Falls 26% as New Treatment Fails to Get FDA Green Light Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. (NASDAQ:RARE) reported $166 million in total revenue for fiscal Q2 2025, with Crysvita revenue comin ...

Core Insights - Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical reported a second-quarter 2025 loss of $1.17 per share, which is an improvement from a loss of $1.52 per share in the same quarter last year and better than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $1.27 [1][5] - Total revenues for the quarter reached $166.5 million, reflecting a 13% year-over-year increase, driven primarily by higher product sales, and surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $162 million [1][5] Revenue Breakdown - Crysvita generated total revenues of $120.4 million, up 6% year over year, with contributions of $79 million from North America, $35 million from Latin America and Turkey, and $7 million from Europe [3] - Mepsevii product revenues increased by 35% year over year to $8.3 million, while Dojolvi revenues rose 20% to $23.2 million due to new patient demand [4] - Evkeeza recorded sales of $14.6 million in the first quarter, showing significant growth as the drug continues to be launched in territories outside the United States [4] Financial Guidance - The company reaffirmed its 2025 financial guidance, expecting total revenues between $640 million and $670 million, which represents a growth of approximately 14-20% compared to 2024 [9] - Crysvita revenues are anticipated to be in the range of $460-$480 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 12-17%, while Dojolvi revenues are expected to be between $90 million and $100 million, up 2-14% year over year [9] Operating Expenses - Operating expenses for the quarter were $274.4 million, a 4% increase year over year, attributed to higher investments in late-stage pipeline programs and marketing costs for approved drugs [7] - Research and development expenses were $164.7 million (up 2%), selling, general and administrative expenses were $86.6 million (up 7%), and cost of sales was $23 million (up 8%) [7] Pipeline Updates - The FDA issued a complete response letter for Ultragenyx's biologics license application for UX111, requesting additional information related to manufacturing processes, which the company plans to address promptly [11][12] - The company is also developing GTX-102 for Angelman syndrome, which received Breakthrough Therapy designation, with data expected in the second half of 2026 [14] - Ultragenyx plans to submit a BLA for DTX401, a gene therapy for glycogen storage disease type Ia, in the fourth quarter of 2025 [15]

Core Insights - Ultragenyx reported revenue of $166.5 million for the quarter ended June 2025, reflecting a 13.2% increase year-over-year and a surprise of +2.94% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $161.74 million [1] - The company's EPS was -$1.17, an improvement from -$1.52 in the same quarter last year, with an EPS surprise of +7.87% compared to the consensus estimate of -$1.27 [1] Revenue Breakdown - Dojolvi product sales reached $23.21 million, exceeding the average estimate of $22.38 million by analysts, marking a +19.9% change from the previous year [4] - Evkeeza product sales were $14.57 million, significantly surpassing the estimated $11.08 million, representing an impressive +85.5% increase year-over-year [4] - Mepsevii product sales totaled $8.31 million, slightly below the average estimate of $8.64 million [4] - Total Crysvita revenue was $120.41 million, exceeding the average estimate of $118.04 million by analysts [4] - Overall product sales amounted to $80.82 million, which was below the estimated $84.66 million, but still showed a +9.5% change compared to the previous year [4] - Royalty revenue reached $85.68 million, surpassing the average estimate of $77.43 million, reflecting a +17% increase year-over-year [4] Stock Performance - Ultragenyx shares have declined by -28.2% over the past month, contrasting with a +1% change in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating potential underperformance relative to the broader market in the near term [3]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q2 2025, total revenue was reported at $166 million, representing a 13% increase over Q2 2024 and a 20% increase year-to-date [20] - The net loss for the quarter was $115 million, or $1.17 per share, with cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities totaling $539 million as of June 30, 2025 [21][22] - The company expects 2025 total revenue to be between $640 million and $670 million, indicating a growth of 14% to 20% over 2024 [22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Crysvita contributed $120 million in Q2 2025, with $79 million from North America, $35 million from Latin America and Turkey, and $7 million from Europe [20] - Dajolvi generated $23 million, while Akiza and Mepsevii contributed $15 million and $8 million, respectively, reflecting steady growth trajectories for these products [20] - The commercial teams reported double-digit revenue growth, with total revenue across the first two quarters reaching $306 million, a 20% increase compared to the previous year [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Latin America, approximately 825 patients are now on Crysvita, with positive feedback from healthcare providers leading to increased prescriptions [14] - In the U.S. and Canada, Crysvita revenue is expected to continue growing as new pediatric and adult patients are identified [15] - The EMEA region has seen approximately 280 patients treated with DERJOVY under named patient sales, with strong demand noted in France and other countries [17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to achieve GAAP profitability by 2027 while focusing on revenue growth and managing expenses [22][30] - Ultragenyx is advancing its clinical pipeline with five Phase III programs fully enrolled or at the BLA submission stage, including UX143 for osteogenesis imperfecta and GTX102 for Angelman syndrome [6][10] - The company is committed to navigating pricing negotiations and expanding its market presence in various regions, particularly in Latin America and EMEA [19] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the ongoing clinical studies and the potential for transformative treatments, particularly for UX143 and GTX102 [9][10] - The company is optimistic about the upcoming data readouts and the overall strength of its product portfolio despite recent regulatory challenges [30] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining a strong cash position while preparing for future commercial launches [22][30] Other Important Information - The company received breakthrough therapy designation for GTX102 from the FDA, indicating substantial improvement over existing therapies [10] - The Phase III ASPIRE study for GTX102 completed enrollment ahead of schedule, with results expected in 2026 [11] - The company is actively working with the FDA to address observations from a complete response letter for UX111, aiming for a timely resubmission [26][97] Q&A Session Summary Question: Recent FDA interactions and their impact - Management reported productive interactions with the FDA since the complete response letter, expressing confidence in the ongoing discussions [35] Question: Differences in dosing regimens for GTX102 - The company explained that the LNA chemistry used in GTX102 is more potent, allowing for lower dosing regimens compared to other drugs [38][39] Question: COSMIC trial rationale and assumptions - The COSMIC trial aims to evaluate young patients on bisphosphonates, with the goal of demonstrating a significant improvement in fracture rates [44][46] Question: Expected clinical benefit from the Orbit study - Management indicated that even if the fracture data is slightly under expectations, other supportive data could still make a strong case for FDA approval [62] Question: Additional clinical data for UX111 resubmission - The FDA requested updated clinical endpoint data and biomarker data for the resubmission of UX111, which the company is prepared to provide [57][58] Question: Financial management and cost control - The company is prioritizing cost control measures, including delaying certain expenses, to ensure a path to profitability by 2027 [90][91]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue for Q2 2025 was reported at $166 million, representing a 13% increase over Q2 2024 and a 20% growth year-to-date [19] - Crysvita contributed $120 million in revenue, with $79 million from North America, $35 million from Latin America and Turkey, and $7 million from Europe [19] - The net loss for the quarter was $115 million, or $1.17 per share, with total operating expenses of $274 million [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Crysvita continues to grow, with approximately 50 new start forms leading to around 50 new patients on reimbursed therapy in Latin America [12] - DERJOVY generated $23 million in revenue, with approximately 600 patients on reimbursed therapy since its launch in 2020 [14] - Efkesa has seen growth with nearly 285 patients across 15 countries in the EMEA region [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company expects Crysvita revenue in the U.S. and Canada to continue growing as new pediatric and adult patients are identified [13] - The EMEA region shows strong demand for DERJOVY, particularly in France, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and Greece, despite not actively marketing the therapy [15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to achieve GAAP profitability by 2027 while focusing on revenue growth and managing expenses [21][30] - The clinical pipeline is being refilled with five Phase III clinical programs fully enrolled or at the BLA submission stage [4] - The company is prioritizing the resolution of CMC issues related to UX-111 before submitting the BLA for GSD1a [65] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the ongoing clinical studies and the potential of their pipeline, particularly UX-143 and GTX-102 [6][28] - The company is optimistic about the upcoming Phase III data readouts and believes they will support the efficacy of their treatments [28] - Management acknowledged the challenges posed by recent FDA leadership changes but remains confident in their interactions with the agency [33][92] Other Important Information - The company has $539 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities as of June 30, 2025 [20] - The company is reaffirming its revenue guidance for 2025, expecting total revenue between $640 million and $670 million [21] Q&A Session Summary Question: Recent FDA interactions and changes in leadership - Management reported productive interactions with the FDA since the CRL and is working towards a Type A meeting package [33] Question: Differences in dosing regimens for GTX-102 - The LNA chemistry used in GTX-102 is more potent, allowing for lower dosing regimens compared to other drugs [36][37] Question: COSMIC trial rationale and assumptions - The COSMIC trial aims to evaluate young patients on bisphosphonates, with the goal of demonstrating a 50% improvement in fracture rates [40][41] Question: Expectations for the Orbit study - Management believes that even if the fracture data is slightly under expectations, other supportive data will still be compelling for FDA approval [60][61] Question: Additional clinical data for UX-111 resubmission - The FDA requested updated clinical endpoint data and biomarker data for the resubmission of UX-111 [55] Question: Financial strategy and cost management - The company is prioritizing cost management and delaying certain expenses to maintain cash flow while working towards profitability [84][86]

Financial Performance & Projections - The company anticipates total revenue between $640 million and $670 million in 2025, representing a 14-20% increase from 2024[93] - The company projects full-year GAAP profitability in 2027, driven by revenue growth, expense management, and potential monetization of Priority Review Vouchers (PRVs)[94, 96] - Crysvita revenue is expected to be between $460 million and $480 million in 2025, a 12-17% increase[93] - Dojolvi revenue is projected to be between $90 million and $100 million in 2025, a 2-13% increase[93] - As of June 30, 2025, the company had $538 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable debt securities[96] Clinical Program Updates - Phase 3 data readout for UX143 in Osteogenesis Imperfecta (OI) is expected around the end of 2025[21, 32, 97] Phase 2 data showed a 67% reduction in annualized fracture rate (AFR) with UX143[33] - Enrollment for the Phase 3 Aspire study of GTX-102 for Angelman Syndrome (AS) was completed in July 2025, and the Phase 2/3 Aurora study is expected to begin in the second half of 2025[24, 49, 60, 97] - For DTX401 in Glycogen Storage Disease Type Ia (GSDIa), BLA submission is expected in Q4 2025, with a potential launch in 2026[75, 77, 97] Phase 3 data demonstrated a 41% statistically significant reduction in daily cornstarch intake at Week 48 (p < 00001)[80] - For UX111 in Sanfilippo syndrome (MPS IIIA), the company is actively working to resolve FDA observations in the Complete Response Letter (CRL)[66] - Stage 1, Cohort 4 enrollment completion for UX701 in Wilson Disease (WD) is expected in the second half of 2025[85, 87, 97] In Stage 1, 6 out of 15 patients were completely off chelators and/or zinc therapy[88, 90]

Core Insights - Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. reported total revenue of $166 million for Q2 2025, reflecting a 13% increase compared to Q2 2024 [4][5][29] - The company reaffirmed its 2025 revenue guidance, expecting total revenue between $640 million to $670 million, with Crysvita revenue projected at $460 million to $480 million and Dojolvi revenue at $90 million to $100 million [13][9] - The company is on track for profitability by 2027, driven by a 20% revenue growth in the first half of 2025 from commercial therapies compared to the previous year [2][9] Financial Performance - Crysvita revenue for Q2 2025 was $120 million, which includes $35 million from product sales in Latin America and Türkiye [4][3] - Dojolvi revenue for Q2 2025 was $23 million, while Evkeeza revenue was $15 million [4][3] - Total operating expenses for Q2 2025 were $274 million, with a net loss of $115 million, or $1.17 per share, compared to a net loss of $132 million, or $1.52 per share in Q2 2024 [7][6][29] Cash Position - As of June 30, 2025, the company had cash, cash equivalents, and marketable debt securities totaling $539 million, which includes $80 million raised through the At-The-Market facility [8][31] - Net cash used in operations for Q2 2025 was $108 million, with a total of $275 million for the first half of 2025 [8][31] Clinical Developments - UX143 for osteogenesis imperfecta is expected to have Phase 3 data available by the end of 2025, with positive interim results reported [10][12] - GTX-102 for Angelman syndrome received Breakthrough Therapy Designation from the FDA, with the Phase 3 Aspire study fully enrolled and data expected in the second half of 2026 [14][15] - The company is working with the FDA to resolve observations related to the Complete Response Letter for UX111, with plans to resubmit the Biologics License Application [17][18]

Core Viewpoint - HC Wainwright has initiated coverage on Ultragenyx Pharmaceuticals, Inc. with a Buy rating and a price target of $80, highlighting it as an attractive investment opportunity despite a 35% year-to-date decline in its stock price compared to a 2.7% decline in the XBI index [1][2]. Group 1: Company Performance and Trials - Ultragenyx's stock has faced pressure primarily due to investor disappointment regarding the interim results from the pivotal Orbit trial of UX143 (setrusumab) for osteogenesis imperfecta [2]. - The Phase 3 portion of the Orbit study is progressing towards a final analysis by the end of the year, with the second interim analysis not meeting the minimal p-value threshold to conclude the study early [3]. - The analyst believes the Orbit trial has not failed, and positive final results are anticipated, which should support a U.S. regulatory filing for setrusumab next year [4]. Group 2: Commercial Portfolio and Future Prospects - Ultragenyx's current commercial portfolio is estimated to support a fair value of approximately $35-$40 per share, excluding the potential contributions from its pipeline [4]. - The flagship Crysvita franchise is projected to achieve peak annual sales exceeding $3 billion [5]. - The company is expected to resubmit its Biologics License Application (BLA) for UX111 (ABO-102) later this year, with potential approval anticipated by mid-2026, addressing a high unmet need in the Sanfilippo syndrome market [6][7].