Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Ryder reported operating revenue of $2.6 billion for Q2 2025, an increase of 2% from the prior year, primarily driven by contractual revenue growth in Supply Chain Solutions (SCS) and Fleet Management Solutions (FMS) [13] - Comparable earnings per share from continuing operations were $3.32, up 11% from $3 in the prior year, reflecting higher contractual earnings and share repurchases [13] - Return on equity (ROE) was 17%, up from the prior year, primarily due to higher contractual earnings [14] - Year-to-date free cash flow increased to $461 million from $71 million in the prior year, reflecting lower working capital needs and reduced capital expenditures [14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - **Fleet Management Solutions (FMS)**: Operating revenue increased by 1%, driven by ChoiceLease revenue, which was up 2%. However, pretax earnings decreased to $126 million due to weaker freight market conditions [15] - **Supply Chain Solutions (SCS)**: Operating revenue increased by 3%, with earnings up 16% from the prior year, reflecting new business and improved performance from initiatives to optimize the omnichannel retail network [21] - **Dedicated Transportation Solutions (DTS)**: Operating revenue decreased by 3% due to lower fleet count, but earnings before tax (EBT) increased by 1% year-over-year, reflecting acquisition synergies [22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. market remains a significant focus, generating 93% of Ryder's revenue, with expectations of benefiting from increased industrial manufacturing [6] - Used vehicle sales results were negatively impacted by increased wholesale volumes, with used tractor and truck pricing declining by 17% year-over-year [18] - Rental utilization on the power fleet was 70%, up from 69% in the prior year, although still below the target range [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Ryder's balanced growth strategy aims to derisk the business, increase return profiles, and accelerate growth in asset-light supply chain and dedicated businesses [4] - The company expects to continue leveraging its transformed business model to outperform prior cycles, with a focus on organic growth, strategic acquisitions, and innovative technology [11] - Ryder announced a 12% annualized increase to its quarterly dividend, reflecting higher profitability and improved returns [9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the resilience of the transformed business model, expecting to generate higher earnings and returns even in a freight cycle downturn [7] - The company anticipates a more muted recovery in used vehicle sales and ongoing challenges in the rental market due to economic uncertainty [29] - Management remains optimistic about robust sales and pipeline activity in SCS, despite near-term headwinds in lease and dedicated businesses [29] Other Important Information - Ryder increased its 2025 forecast for free cash flow to a range of $900 million to $1 billion, reflecting lower expected capital spending and the reinstatement of tax bonus depreciation [10] - The company has repurchased approximately 21% of its shares outstanding since 2021 and increased the quarterly dividend by 57% [9] Q&A Session Summary Question: Confidence in deploying dry powder on the balance sheet - Management feels confident about deploying capital for share repurchase programs and acquisitions, with plans to invest organically as the freight market improves [40][41] Question: Used vehicle pricing expectations - Management expects a steady increase in tractor pricing, with retail pricing up 10%, although the overall increase may be more muted than initially expected [43][44] Question: Reasons for losses on sales in Q2 and recovery in Q3 - Losses were driven by increased wholesaling of aged inventory, which is not expected to continue at the same level, allowing for a return to gains in Q3 [47][48] Question: Impact of OEM delays on capital expenditures - Management anticipates that OEM delays will reverse in 2026, leading to increased capital spending as the freight market stabilizes [62][64] Question: Maintenance growth outlook - Management is focusing on mobile maintenance initiatives and retail maintenance offerings, which are expected to grow despite historical stagnation [96][99]

Core Insights - Ryder reported revenue of $3.19 billion for the quarter ended June 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 0.2% and surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.5% [1] - Earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter was $3.32, up from $3.00 in the same quarter last year, representing a surprise of 6.75% over the consensus estimate of $3.11 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Commercial rental utilization was reported at 70%, exceeding the two-analyst average estimate of 68% [4] - Operating Revenue for Fleet Management Solutions was $1.29 billion, matching the average estimate and showing a year-over-year increase of 0.9% [4] - Operating Revenue for Dedicated Transportation Solutions was $470 million, slightly above the average estimate of $460.58 million, but down 3.1% year over year [4] - Operating Revenue for Supply Chain Solutions was $1.02 billion, aligning with the average estimate and reflecting a year-over-year increase of 3% [4] - Revenues for Fleet Management Solutions totaled $1.47 billion, consistent with the average estimate but down 0.7% year over year [4] - Revenues for Supply Chain Solutions reached $1.37 billion, slightly above the average estimate of $1.36 billion, marking a 1.9% year-over-year increase [4] - Revenues from Fleet Management Solutions - SelectCare and other amounted to $178 million, close to the average estimate, with a year-over-year increase of 1.1% [4] - Revenues from Eliminations were reported at -$250 million, better than the average estimate of -$261.4 million, but down 8.1% year over year [4] - Revenues from Fleet Management Solutions - Commercial rental were $239 million, exceeding the average estimate but down 2.1% year over year [4] - Revenues from Fleet Management Solutions - ChoiceLease were $871 million, slightly below the average estimate, with a year-over-year increase of 1.8% [4] - Revenues from Fleet Management Solutions - Fuel services were $179 million, below the average estimate, reflecting an 11.4% year-over-year decline [4] - Revenues from Dedicated Transportation Solutions were $606 million, slightly above the average estimate, but down 4.6% year over year [4] Stock Performance - Ryder's shares have returned +10.9% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +5.7% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]

Core Viewpoint - Analysts forecast that Ryder will report quarterly earnings of $3.11 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 3.7%, while revenues are expected to be $3.17 billion, showing a decrease of 0.3% compared to the previous year [1]. Earnings Projections - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.3% lower over the last 30 days, indicating a reevaluation of initial estimates by analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor reactions, with empirical studies showing a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price movements [3]. Revenue Estimates - Analysts project 'Operating Revenue- Fleet Management Solutions' at $1.29 billion, indicating a year-over-year change of +0.9% [5]. - The estimate for 'Operating Revenue- Dedicated Transportation Solutions' is $460.58 million, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 5% [5]. - 'Operating Revenue- Supply Chain Solutions' is expected to reach $1.02 billion, showing a change of +3.3% from the previous year [6]. - The estimate for 'Revenues- Fleet Management Solutions' is $1.47 billion, indicating a year-over-year change of -0.6% [7]. - 'Revenues- Dedicated Transportation Solutions' is projected at $604.69 million, reflecting a decrease of 4.8% from the prior year [8]. - 'Revenues- Fleet Management Solutions- ChoiceLease' is expected to reach $880.92 million, indicating a year-over-year change of +2.9% [9]. Key Metrics - 'Commercial rental - Rental Utilization - Power Units' is estimated at 68.0%, down from 69.0% a year ago [10]. - Over the past month, Ryder shares have returned +9.8%, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +5.9% change [10].