Core Insights - DoorDash is expanding into new lines of business, indicating a strategic shift in its operational focus [1] - The delivery services market is becoming increasingly competitive, with overlapping services from various apps [1] - An analyst suggests that experimenting with new business models is a sign of a strong company [1] Company Developments - DoorDash's move into new business areas reflects its ambition to diversify and capture more market share [1] - The company is likely to face challenges as it navigates the competitive landscape of delivery services [1] Industry Trends - The overlap in delivery services among apps highlights a trend towards consolidation and competition in the delivery market [1] - The analyst's perspective emphasizes the importance of innovation and adaptability in the current market environment [1]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - FedEx achieved structural cost reductions of $4 billion over the FY23 base, with $1.8 billion in FY24 and $2.2 billion in FY25 [13] - The company returned approximately $4.3 billion to shareholders in FY25 [13] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company operated as "One FedEx" for the first time in FY25, indicating a unified operational approach [13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - FedEx secured over 3 million gallons of blended sustainable aviation fuel, marking the largest SAF purchase by a U.S. cargo airline at Los Angeles International Airport as of May 2025 [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - FedEx is focused on achieving carbon neutrality in its operations and supporting the low-carbon transition in the transportation and logistics industry [16] - The company emphasizes vehicle electrification, sustainable energy for facilities, and a more fuel-efficient fleet [16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The CEO highlighted the company's commitment to delivering exceptional service and exceeding customer expectations, which is crucial for expanding into new markets [13] - The legacy of the founder, Frederick W. Smith, was acknowledged, emphasizing the company's long-term vision and commitment to excellence [12] Other Important Information - The stockholder proposal for an independent board chairman was not approved [11] Q&A Session Summary Question: What has been done to improve emission reduction of FedEx aircraft since the 2024 annual meeting? - FedEx is implementing long-term actions and interim goals for carbon neutrality, focusing on vehicle electrification, sustainable energy, and sustainable aviation fuel [16] Question: What new aircraft will FedEx take delivery of between now and the 2026 annual meeting? - For information regarding planned future aircraft deliveries, stakeholders are directed to the Investor Relations website [17]

Group 1 - FedEx Corp's stock increased by 2.3% to $232.06 following the announcement of better-than-expected earnings and revenue for the fiscal first quarter, along with an upgraded full-year outlook [1] - Five price-target hikes were noted, with Jefferies raising its target to $280 from $275 [1] - The majority of analysts are bullish on FedEx, with 18 out of 30 analysts giving a "buy" or better rating, and a 12-month consensus target price of $263.39, representing a 15.8% premium to current levels [2] Group 2 - FedEx's stock is recovering from a 17.3% year-to-date deficit and is on track for its best day since August 22, while also bouncing off support at the $225 level [2] - The $240 level is identified as a pressure point after a rejection of a late August rally [2] - In the options market, 43,000 calls and 45,000 puts have been traded, which is 15 times the typical volume for this time [3] Group 3 - The most active options contract is the September 210 put, which is set to expire at the close [3] - Short-term options traders are exhibiting more bearish behavior than usual, with a 10-day put/call volume ratio of 1.31, higher than 90% of readings from the past year [4]

Market Overview - The overall market is considered expensive by historical metrics, with the S&P 500's forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio at 22.1, a level last seen during the COVID rebound and the dot-com bubble [3][4] Investment Opportunities Cheap Dividends - **AES Corp.**: Virginia-based electric utility with a 5.5% yield, trading at 5 times cash-flow estimates and a PEG of 0.6, indicating it is inexpensive compared to growth estimates [4][5] - **Edison International**: Offers a 5.9% yield, with shares down over 25% due to wildfire litigation, but expected to generate decent top-line growth and significant profit recovery in the coming years [6][8][9] - **Amcor**: A packaging specialist yielding 5.2%, acting defensively while being involved in various sectors, with a P/CF of roughly 6x [11][19] - **Kodiak Gas Services**: An energy services firm yielding 5.2%, well-positioned for growth with a young fleet and trading at 6 times cash flow estimates [12][14] - **Atlas Energy Solutions**: Yielding 8.4%, but shares have dropped 45% this year; however, it has sufficient free cash flow to cover dividends [15][17] - **United Parcel Service (UPS)**: A blue-chip stock yielding 7.5%, shares have lost nearly half their value in two years, trading at roughly 8 times cash-flow estimates [18][21][22] - **Western Union**: Yielding 11.3%, facing competition from payment apps, but has launched initiatives to improve operations and expand digital offerings [23][24]

Core Viewpoint - UPS's stock price experienced significant fluctuations during and after the pandemic, raising questions about its future performance and potential recovery [1][4]. Group 1: Stock Performance - UPS's stock rose during the pandemic due to increased demand for e-commerce delivery services but has since fallen back to pre-pandemic levels [1][4]. - The stock's journey reflects a full cycle from bull to bear, with a notable price advance in 2020 and 2021 followed by a crash in 2022 [2][4]. Group 2: Business Adjustments - In response to changing market conditions post-pandemic, UPS has initiated a business overhaul, including downsizing and adopting more technology [5][6]. - The company has also faced increased costs due to a new union contract while strategically reducing its low-margin business with Amazon, its largest customer [5][7]. Group 3: Financial Outlook - The near-term outlook for UPS is expected to be challenging due to the costs associated with restructuring, although these changes may yield long-term benefits [6][8]. - The focus on more profitable business segments may lead to improved margins but could also result in reduced overall revenue [7][8]. Group 4: Investment Considerations - UPS presents a high-yield turnaround opportunity with a 7.5% dividend yield, but the high payout ratio of over 90% raises concerns for dividend investors [9]. - The company is likely to attract aggressive investors who are willing to adopt a long-term perspective rather than those seeking short-term gains [9].

Group 1 - Intuitive Machines, Inc. will release its financial results for Q2 2025 on August 7, 2025, before market opens [1] - A conference call to discuss the results will take place on the same day at 8:30 am ET [1][2] - The company is focused on disrupting lunar access economics and has successfully landed lunar landers in 2024 and 2025 [3] Group 2 - Intuitive Machines operates through three pillars: Delivery Services, Data Transmission Services, and Infrastructure as a Service [3] - The company aims to commercialize space technology and services [3]

Core Viewpoint - FedEx reported strong fiscal Q4 results but saw its stock decline by 3%, impacting UPS shares as well [1][2] FedEx Q4 Results - FedEx's Q4 earnings increased by 12% to $6.07 per share, exceeding EPS estimates of $5.93 [3] - Q4 sales reached $22.22 billion, surpassing estimates of $21.73 billion and slightly up from $22.1 billion in the same quarter last year [3] - FedEx has missed the Zacks EPS Consensus in two of the last four quarters, with an average EPS surprise of -5.53% [4] UPS Q2 Expectations - UPS's Q2 sales are projected to decline by 4% to $20.84 billion compared to $21.82 billion a year ago [5] - Expected Q2 EPS for UPS is forecasted to fall by 12% to $1.57 from $1.79 in the prior year quarter [5] - UPS has exceeded earnings expectations in three of its last four quarterly reports, with an average EPS surprise of 2.42% [6] Performance & Valuation Comparison - Both FedEx and UPS stocks are down 20% this year, but FedEx has a total return of +86% over the last five years, outperforming UPS's +11% [7] - FedEx and UPS have lower P/E valuations at 11.7X and 14.2X forward earnings, respectively, compared to the S&P 500's 23.5X [8] Dividend Comparison - UPS currently offers a higher annual dividend yield of 6.52%, compared to FedEx's 2.41% and the S&P 500's average of 1.22% [10] Bottom Line - FedEx and UPS are considered appealing buy-the-dip targets in terms of value, with FedEx potentially being the better long-term pick despite UPS's attractive dividend [11]

Core Insights - FedEx is set to report its fiscal fourth quarter results, providing insights into the transportation industry's delivery services amid tariff-related challenges [1][3] - The company is actively assisting customers with international logistics to navigate the evolving tariff landscape [2] FedEx's Q4 Expectations & Outlook - FedEx's Q4 sales are expected to decline by over 1% to $21.73 billion from $22.11 billion in the same quarter last year, while earnings per share (EPS) are projected to rise by 9% to $5.93 from $5.41 [3] - For fiscal year 2025, total sales are anticipated to decrease slightly by less than 0.5% to $87.44 billion, with a rebound projected for FY26, increasing by 2% to $89.41 billion [4] Performance and Earnings History - FedEx has missed sales estimates in three of the last four quarters and earnings expectations in two of the last four quarters, with an average EPS surprise of -5.79% [5] - The reported EPS for the last four quarters were 4.51, 4.05, 3.60, and 5.41, compared to estimates of 4.65, 3.90, 4.82, and 5.34 respectively [5] Stock Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, FedEx stock has fallen nearly 20%, underperforming the broader market and trailing competitors like GXO Logistics, which has gained 12% [6] - FedEx is trading at a forward earnings multiple of 11.5X, significantly lower than the S&P 500's 23X and also below UPS's 14X and GXO Logistics' 19X [7] Dividend Appeal - FedEx offers a 2.44% annual dividend yield, which, while lower than UPS's 6.61%, exceeds the S&P 500's average of 1.25% [9] - The company has demonstrated a strong annualized dividend growth rate of 21.96% over the past five years, with a payout ratio of 31%, indicating potential for future increases [9] Current Market Position - Ahead of its Q4 results, FedEx holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting that while it presents value, investors may want to wait for confirmation of overcoming tariff-related challenges [12]

Core Insights - FedEx Corporation has announced a 5.1% increase in its quarterly dividend, raising it to $1.45 per share, marking the fifth consecutive year of dividend hikes [1][9] - The company has executed $2.52 billion in share repurchases in the first nine months of fiscal 2025, surpassing the total for the entire fiscal year 2024 [5][9] - FedEx's stock is currently trading at a low price/sales ratio of 0.6, indicating potential undervaluation compared to the sector average of 0.96 [7][8] Dividend and Shareholder Returns - The quarterly dividend will be paid on July 8, 2025, to shareholders of record as of June 23, 2025 [2] - Dividends have increased significantly from $793 million in 2022 to $1.26 billion in 2024, with $1.01 billion already distributed in the first three quarters of fiscal 2025 [3] Capital Allocation Strategy - FedEx's aggressive capital allocation strategy aims to enhance shareholder returns through both dividends and share repurchases [3][5] - The company’s buyback program suggests management views its stock as undervalued and aims to improve per-share metrics [5] Market Position and Performance - The recent multi-year delivery deal with Amazon is expected to provide a significant boost to FedEx's domestic market presence and operational efficiency [10][11] - Despite the positive impact of the Amazon deal, FedEx shares have faced declines, although they have outperformed rival UPS over the past year [12] Financial Outlook and Challenges - FedEx is experiencing weak EPS forecasts and rising costs due to macroeconomic pressures, which are affecting its Freight segment [9][15] - The company has issued a lackluster revenue forecast for fiscal 2025, projecting flat or slightly declining revenues year over year [16] - Operating expenses increased by 2% year-over-year in Q3 fiscal 2025, driven by a 57% rise in business optimization costs [17] Investor Sentiment - Analysts have revised earnings estimates downward due to ongoing challenges, leading to negative sentiment surrounding FedEx stock [19][20] - The combination of weak current performance and uncertain future prospects raises concerns for potential investors [20]

Core Insights - The relationship between Amazon and UPS is changing, with UPS planning to reduce its business with Amazon due to low margins despite high volume [3][4][8] - Amazon is investing up to $4 billion to enhance its distribution capabilities in response to UPS's decision, indicating the significance of this change for Amazon [5][8] - UPS's stock has significantly declined since its peak in 2022, but the company is proactively moving away from low-value Amazon business to improve margins [7][9] Group 1: Amazon's Position - Amazon is a major player in online retail, but it faces challenges as UPS limits its delivery services [1][3] - The company is expanding its distribution capabilities and has partnered with FedEx to handle larger packages [5][6] - Despite being 15% below its all-time high, Amazon's stock remains highly valued with elevated price-to-sales and price-to-earnings ratios [6] Group 2: UPS's Strategy - UPS is stepping back from Amazon deliveries to focus on more profitable business segments, planning to cut its Amazon business by half over the next few years [3][4] - The decision is part of UPS's broader strategy to enhance business quality and improve margins [4][8] - UPS's stock is currently undervalued, with price-to-sales and price-to-earnings ratios below five-year averages, and a high dividend yield of around 6.7% [9][10] Group 3: Market Implications - The market views UPS's decision as a win for FedEx and a loss for UPS, but UPS may ultimately benefit from improved margins [5][6][8] - The breakup with Amazon could extend UPS's turnaround, presenting an opportunity for contrarian and value investors [10]