Market Overview - The overall market is considered expensive by historical metrics, with the S&P 500's forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio at 22.1, a level last seen during the COVID rebound and the dot-com bubble [3][4] Investment Opportunities Cheap Dividends - **AES Corp.**: Virginia-based electric utility with a 5.5% yield, trading at 5 times cash-flow estimates and a PEG of 0.6, indicating it is inexpensive compared to growth estimates [4][5] - **Edison International**: Offers a 5.9% yield, with shares down over 25% due to wildfire litigation, but expected to generate decent top-line growth and significant profit recovery in the coming years [6][8][9] - **Amcor**: A packaging specialist yielding 5.2%, acting defensively while being involved in various sectors, with a P/CF of roughly 6x [11][19] - **Kodiak Gas Services**: An energy services firm yielding 5.2%, well-positioned for growth with a young fleet and trading at 6 times cash flow estimates [12][14] - **Atlas Energy Solutions**: Yielding 8.4%, but shares have dropped 45% this year; however, it has sufficient free cash flow to cover dividends [15][17] - **United Parcel Service (UPS)**: A blue-chip stock yielding 7.5%, shares have lost nearly half their value in two years, trading at roughly 8 times cash-flow estimates [18][21][22] - **Western Union**: Yielding 11.3%, facing competition from payment apps, but has launched initiatives to improve operations and expand digital offerings [23][24]

Group 1 - Intuitive Machines, Inc. will release its financial results for Q2 2025 on August 7, 2025, before market opens [1] - A conference call to discuss the results will take place on the same day at 8:30 am ET [1][2] - The company is focused on disrupting lunar access economics and has successfully landed lunar landers in 2024 and 2025 [3] Group 2 - Intuitive Machines operates through three pillars: Delivery Services, Data Transmission Services, and Infrastructure as a Service [3] - The company aims to commercialize space technology and services [3]

Core Viewpoint - FedEx reported strong fiscal Q4 results but saw its stock decline by 3%, impacting UPS shares as well [1][2] FedEx Q4 Results - FedEx's Q4 earnings increased by 12% to $6.07 per share, exceeding EPS estimates of $5.93 [3] - Q4 sales reached $22.22 billion, surpassing estimates of $21.73 billion and slightly up from $22.1 billion in the same quarter last year [3] - FedEx has missed the Zacks EPS Consensus in two of the last four quarters, with an average EPS surprise of -5.53% [4] UPS Q2 Expectations - UPS's Q2 sales are projected to decline by 4% to $20.84 billion compared to $21.82 billion a year ago [5] - Expected Q2 EPS for UPS is forecasted to fall by 12% to $1.57 from $1.79 in the prior year quarter [5] - UPS has exceeded earnings expectations in three of its last four quarterly reports, with an average EPS surprise of 2.42% [6] Performance & Valuation Comparison - Both FedEx and UPS stocks are down 20% this year, but FedEx has a total return of +86% over the last five years, outperforming UPS's +11% [7] - FedEx and UPS have lower P/E valuations at 11.7X and 14.2X forward earnings, respectively, compared to the S&P 500's 23.5X [8] Dividend Comparison - UPS currently offers a higher annual dividend yield of 6.52%, compared to FedEx's 2.41% and the S&P 500's average of 1.22% [10] Bottom Line - FedEx and UPS are considered appealing buy-the-dip targets in terms of value, with FedEx potentially being the better long-term pick despite UPS's attractive dividend [11]

Core Insights - FedEx is set to report its fiscal fourth quarter results, providing insights into the transportation industry's delivery services amid tariff-related challenges [1][3] - The company is actively assisting customers with international logistics to navigate the evolving tariff landscape [2] FedEx's Q4 Expectations & Outlook - FedEx's Q4 sales are expected to decline by over 1% to $21.73 billion from $22.11 billion in the same quarter last year, while earnings per share (EPS) are projected to rise by 9% to $5.93 from $5.41 [3] - For fiscal year 2025, total sales are anticipated to decrease slightly by less than 0.5% to $87.44 billion, with a rebound projected for FY26, increasing by 2% to $89.41 billion [4] Performance and Earnings History - FedEx has missed sales estimates in three of the last four quarters and earnings expectations in two of the last four quarters, with an average EPS surprise of -5.79% [5] - The reported EPS for the last four quarters were 4.51, 4.05, 3.60, and 5.41, compared to estimates of 4.65, 3.90, 4.82, and 5.34 respectively [5] Stock Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, FedEx stock has fallen nearly 20%, underperforming the broader market and trailing competitors like GXO Logistics, which has gained 12% [6] - FedEx is trading at a forward earnings multiple of 11.5X, significantly lower than the S&P 500's 23X and also below UPS's 14X and GXO Logistics' 19X [7] Dividend Appeal - FedEx offers a 2.44% annual dividend yield, which, while lower than UPS's 6.61%, exceeds the S&P 500's average of 1.25% [9] - The company has demonstrated a strong annualized dividend growth rate of 21.96% over the past five years, with a payout ratio of 31%, indicating potential for future increases [9] Current Market Position - Ahead of its Q4 results, FedEx holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting that while it presents value, investors may want to wait for confirmation of overcoming tariff-related challenges [12]

Core Insights - FedEx Corporation has announced a 5.1% increase in its quarterly dividend, raising it to $1.45 per share, marking the fifth consecutive year of dividend hikes [1][9] - The company has executed $2.52 billion in share repurchases in the first nine months of fiscal 2025, surpassing the total for the entire fiscal year 2024 [5][9] - FedEx's stock is currently trading at a low price/sales ratio of 0.6, indicating potential undervaluation compared to the sector average of 0.96 [7][8] Dividend and Shareholder Returns - The quarterly dividend will be paid on July 8, 2025, to shareholders of record as of June 23, 2025 [2] - Dividends have increased significantly from $793 million in 2022 to $1.26 billion in 2024, with $1.01 billion already distributed in the first three quarters of fiscal 2025 [3] Capital Allocation Strategy - FedEx's aggressive capital allocation strategy aims to enhance shareholder returns through both dividends and share repurchases [3][5] - The company’s buyback program suggests management views its stock as undervalued and aims to improve per-share metrics [5] Market Position and Performance - The recent multi-year delivery deal with Amazon is expected to provide a significant boost to FedEx's domestic market presence and operational efficiency [10][11] - Despite the positive impact of the Amazon deal, FedEx shares have faced declines, although they have outperformed rival UPS over the past year [12] Financial Outlook and Challenges - FedEx is experiencing weak EPS forecasts and rising costs due to macroeconomic pressures, which are affecting its Freight segment [9][15] - The company has issued a lackluster revenue forecast for fiscal 2025, projecting flat or slightly declining revenues year over year [16] - Operating expenses increased by 2% year-over-year in Q3 fiscal 2025, driven by a 57% rise in business optimization costs [17] Investor Sentiment - Analysts have revised earnings estimates downward due to ongoing challenges, leading to negative sentiment surrounding FedEx stock [19][20] - The combination of weak current performance and uncertain future prospects raises concerns for potential investors [20]

Core Insights - The relationship between Amazon and UPS is changing, with UPS planning to reduce its business with Amazon due to low margins despite high volume [3][4][8] - Amazon is investing up to $4 billion to enhance its distribution capabilities in response to UPS's decision, indicating the significance of this change for Amazon [5][8] - UPS's stock has significantly declined since its peak in 2022, but the company is proactively moving away from low-value Amazon business to improve margins [7][9] Group 1: Amazon's Position - Amazon is a major player in online retail, but it faces challenges as UPS limits its delivery services [1][3] - The company is expanding its distribution capabilities and has partnered with FedEx to handle larger packages [5][6] - Despite being 15% below its all-time high, Amazon's stock remains highly valued with elevated price-to-sales and price-to-earnings ratios [6] Group 2: UPS's Strategy - UPS is stepping back from Amazon deliveries to focus on more profitable business segments, planning to cut its Amazon business by half over the next few years [3][4] - The decision is part of UPS's broader strategy to enhance business quality and improve margins [4][8] - UPS's stock is currently undervalued, with price-to-sales and price-to-earnings ratios below five-year averages, and a high dividend yield of around 6.7% [9][10] Group 3: Market Implications - The market views UPS's decision as a win for FedEx and a loss for UPS, but UPS may ultimately benefit from improved margins [5][6][8] - The breakup with Amazon could extend UPS's turnaround, presenting an opportunity for contrarian and value investors [10]

Core Viewpoint - Intuitive Machines, Inc. will release its financial results for Q1 2025 on May 13, 2025, before market opening, followed by a conference call at 8:30 am ET to discuss the results [1]. Company Overview - Intuitive Machines is a diversified space technology, infrastructure, and services company focused on disrupting lunar access economics [3]. - The company successfully soft-landed its Nova-C class lunar lander on the Moon in 2024, marking the return of the United States to the lunar surface for the first time since 1972 [3]. - In 2025, Intuitive Machines returned to the lunar south pole with a second lander [3]. - The company's offerings are structured around three pillars of space commercialization: Delivery Services, Data Transmission Services, and Infrastructure as a Service [3].