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Reddit Surges 97% in the Past 6 Months: Is the Stock Worth Buying?
ZACKS· 2025-12-04 17:41
Core Insights - Reddit (RDDT) shares have surged 96.7% over the past six months, significantly outperforming the broader Zacks Computer & Technology sector, which rose 27.4% [1]. Group 1: Performance Comparison - Reddit's shares have outperformed peers such as Pinterest (PINS), Meta Platforms (META), and Snap (SNAP), with Pinterest shares dropping 18.8% and both Meta and Snap losing 6.6% in the same period [2]. Group 2: User Engagement and Revenue Growth - The company's strong performance is attributed to increased user engagement, with daily active users reaching 116 million and weekly active users at 444 million, both up 20% year over year [6]. - Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) increased by 41% year over year to $5.04, indicating effective monetization strategies [3]. - Advertising revenues surged 74% year over year to $549 million, driven by a growing active advertiser count, which expanded by over 75% year over year [11]. Group 3: AI and Advertising Tools - Reddit is leveraging AI-powered tools to enhance user engagement and search functionality, including the introduction of Reddit Answers, which has seen over 75 million weekly searches [7][8]. - The company has introduced new advertising tools such as Reddit Pixel, Conversion API (CAPI), and Dynamic Product Ads (DPA) to support campaign performance and attract more advertisers [10]. Group 4: Future Earnings Estimates - For Q4 2025, Reddit expects revenues between $655 million and $665 million, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate of $668.52 million, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 56.30% [12]. - The consensus estimate for earnings per share for Q4 is 97 cents, indicating a year-over-year growth of 169.44% [13]. - For the full year 2025, the revenue estimate is $2.12 billion, showing a year-over-year growth of 62.78% [13]. Group 5: Valuation and Investment Opportunity - Reddit's stock is currently trading at a premium, with a forward Price/Sales ratio of 14.44, higher than its median of 14.39 and the sector's average of 6.72 [14]. - The company holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) and a Growth Score of A, indicating a strong investment opportunity [17].
RDDT 12.97X P/S Suggests Premium Valuation: Should You Buy the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-11-10 19:16
Core Insights - Reddit (RDDT) shares are trading at a premium with a forward 12-month Price/Sales (P/S) ratio of 12.97X, significantly higher than the Zacks Computer and Technology sector's 6.75X and the Zacks Internet - Software industry's 4.95X [1][8] - The company has seen a 19.1% increase in shares year-to-date, although this is below the broader Zacks Computer & Technology sector's rise of 24.2% [5] - Reddit's advertising revenue surged 74% year-over-year to $549 million, driven by a 75% increase in active advertisers [8][12] Financial Performance - RDDT's shares have outperformed peers like Pinterest (PINS), Meta Platforms (META), and Snap (SNAP), which have forward 12-month P/S ratios of 3.88X, 6.88X, and 2.13X respectively [2][8] - The company reported 116 million daily active users and 444 million weekly active users, both up 20% year-over-year [11] - Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) grew 41% year-over-year to $5.04, indicating effective monetization strategies [11] User Engagement and Growth Strategies - Reddit's expanding portfolio, including unique ad solutions like Dynamic Product Ads (DPA), has driven advertiser adoption and performance [12] - International growth is a focus, with ARPU rising 39% year-over-year to $1.84 in international markets [13] - The introduction of Reddit Answers has increased user engagement, with over 75 million weekly searches on the platform [14] AI and Technological Advancements - The company has invested in AI-powered tools to enhance user experience and community moderation, launching Reddit Pro tools for publishers [17][18] - These tools aim to improve content sharing and engagement for Reddit's 110 million daily active users [18] Future Outlook - For Q4 2025, Reddit expects revenues between $655 million and $665 million, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate of $668.07 million, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 56.20% [19] - The consensus earnings estimate is pegged at 98 cents per share, indicating a year-over-year growth of 172.22% [20] - The company's strong advertising business and improved user experience justify its premium valuation, supported by a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) and a Growth Score of A [21]
Reddit(RDDT) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-30 22:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Reddit reported total revenue of $585 million for Q3 2025, representing a 68% year-over-year increase [3][11][17] - The company achieved a net income of $163 million, with a net margin of 28%, an improvement of $133 million from the previous year [3][17][24] - Adjusted EBITDA margin reached 40%, marking the first time this profitability goal set at IPO was achieved [3][17][24] - Average revenue per user (ARPU) grew 41% year-over-year to $5.04 [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Advertising revenue grew 74% year-over-year to $549 million, driven by broad-based strength across objectives, verticals, and geographies [11][19] - Other revenue, including data licensing, reached $36 million, up 7% year-over-year [19] - The total active advertiser count expanded by over 75% year-over-year in Q3 [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue growth in the U.S. was 67% year-over-year, while international revenue grew 74% [19] - The company reported 116 million daily active users (DAUQ) and 444.444 million weekly active users (WAUQ), both growing around 20% year-over-year [3] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Reddit's strategy focuses on enhancing user experience through product improvements, search capabilities, and international growth [5][8] - The company aims to grow app users by improving retention and diversifying traffic sources, including organic, paid, and publisher-driven [8] - Investments in advertising solutions and unique ad formats are intended to drive performance and efficiency for advertisers [12][15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the operating environment, noting stability but low visibility due to external factors like tariffs [72] - For Q4 2025, revenue is estimated to be between $655 million and $665 million, representing 53% to 55% year-over-year growth [24] - The company aims for a North Star adjusted EBITDA margin of over 50% in the medium term [75] Other Important Information - Reddit is focusing on improving onboarding experiences to enhance user engagement and retention [27][50] - The company is investing in tools for moderators to help grow and strengthen communities [5][6] Q&A Session Summary Question 1: User growth trends and traffic diversification - Management noted that product initiatives, including machine translation, were significant contributors to user growth, with a focus on improving the first session user experience [31][32] Question 2: Revenue opportunity from Reddit Pro - Reddit Pro is seen as a way to bring value to the platform by increasing engagement and potentially converting that into revenue [36][38] Question 3: Marketing spend and user acquisition - The company is currently spending low to mid-single digits as a percentage of revenue on marketing, with a focus on quality user acquisition [40] Question 4: Engagement of users acquired through performance ads - Management highlighted that brand campaigns have led to increased app installs and awareness, providing a foundation for future performance [44][46] Question 5: Simplified onboarding flow results - Early results from the simplified onboarding flow are expected soon, with a focus on streamlining the user experience [50] Question 6: LLM licensing and data value - Management stated that relationships with LLM companies are healthy, focusing on mutual benefits and enhancing user experiences [53][66]
Reddit(RDDT) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-07-31 22:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue grew 78% year over year to $500 million, marking the fastest quarterly growth rate since 2022 [7][28] - Daily active users increased to 110 million, up 21% year over year, with growth in both the U.S. and international markets [7] - Adjusted EBITDA reached $167 million, with a margin of 33%, up over 1,900 basis points year over year [28][29] - GAAP net income was $89 million, translating to $0.48 per basic share [40] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Advertising revenue grew 84% year over year to $465 million, driven by broad-based strength across the business [20][31] - Other revenue, including data licensing, reached $35 million, growing 24% year over year [31] - Average revenue per user (ARPU) increased 47% year over year to $4.53 [31] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue in the U.S. grew significantly, with international markets also showing strong performance, particularly in Europe [31] - The total active advertiser count expanded by over 50% year over year [20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on improving the core product, enhancing search capabilities, and expanding internationally [12][15] - Strategic investments are being made in sales, marketing, and machine learning to drive user engagement and revenue growth [34][38] - The company is deprioritizing some initiatives, such as the user economy, to concentrate resources on areas that will drive immediate results [13][45] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the future, highlighting the unique role Reddit plays in human conversation and its potential for growth [8][10] - The company sees a significant opportunity in becoming a trusted source of information in an increasingly automated world [10][12] - For Q3 2025, the company estimates revenue in the range of $535 million to $545 million, representing 54% to 56% year-over-year growth [41] Other Important Information - The company is investing in machine translation to unlock Reddit for millions of users across various regions [16] - The launch of new products like Dynamic Product Ads and Reddit Insights is expected to enhance advertiser performance and user engagement [22][24] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is one memorable discussion you had at the Cannes Lions Festival? - Management highlighted a discussion where an advertiser realized a new customer segment and expressed excitement about the quality of the team [43] Question: What projects are being prioritized over the user economy? - The focus is on improving user engagement through core app improvements and diversifying traffic sources [45] Question: How are U.S. user trends evolving? - There was a slower start in April, but traction improved throughout Q2, with higher daily active users reported in July [53][54] Question: What innovations are expected in the advertising business? - Exciting developments include Dynamic Product Ads and automation features that enhance advertiser onboarding and performance [56][57] Question: How is the search experience evolving with Reddit Answers? - The company is unifying the search experience to integrate Reddit Answers, making it more accessible for users [63] Question: How have advertiser relationships evolved? - The company has created a global accounts team to better service larger clients and is seeing increased demand for integrated advertising solutions [66] Question: What are the key learnings from marketing efforts? - There is a need to build awareness and consideration, especially outside the U.S., and to create a unique search experience on Reddit [75][78]
Reddit(RDDT) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-07-31 22:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue grew 78% year over year to $500,000,000, marking the fastest quarterly growth rate since 2022 [6][29] - Daily active users increased to 110,000,000, up 21% year over year, with growth in both the U.S. and international markets [6][32] - Adjusted EBITDA reached $167,000,000, with a margin of 33%, up over 1,900 basis points year over year [30][32] - GAAP net income was $89,000,000, translating to $0.48 per basic share [41] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Advertising revenue grew 84% year over year to $465,000,000, driven by broad-based strength across the business [20][32] - Other revenue, including data licensing, reached $35,000,000, growing 24% year over year [32] - Average revenue per user (ARPU) grew 47% year over year to $4.53 [32] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue in the U.S. grew significantly, with international markets also showing strong performance, particularly in Europe [32] - The total active advertiser count expanded by over 50% year over year [20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on improving the core product, enhancing search capabilities, and expanding internationally [12][15] - Strategic investments are being made in sales, marketing, and machine learning to drive user engagement and revenue growth [35][36] - The company is deprioritizing certain initiatives, such as the user economy, to concentrate resources on areas that will drive immediate results [12][46] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the future, highlighting a unique opportunity for Reddit as a community-driven platform in an increasingly automated world [7][16] - The company is focused on building a more personalized user experience to enhance engagement and retention [84] - Future revenue estimates for Q3 2025 are projected to be between $535,000,000 and $545,000,000, representing 54% to 56% year-over-year growth [42] Other Important Information - Machine translation is now live in 23 languages, facilitating international expansion [15] - The company is investing in marketing strategies to increase user awareness and engagement [19][20] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is one memorable discussion you had at the Cannes Lions Festival? - Management highlighted a discussion where an advertiser realized a new customer segment opportunity and praised the quality of the team [44] Question: What projects are being prioritized over the user economy? - The focus is on improving user engagement through core app improvements and diversifying traffic sources [46] Question: What innovations are expected in the ad business? - Exciting innovations include Dynamic Product Ads and automation features to enhance advertiser onboarding and performance [57] Question: How are user trends evolving in the U.S.? - User trends improved throughout Q2, with better traction noted as the quarter progressed [55] Question: How is the advertising relationship evolving? - The company is seeing growth in active advertisers and has created a global accounts team to service larger clients [68] Question: What are the early learnings from testing Reddit Lite internationally? - The test showed that simplifying the app experience leads to better engagement, and the focus is now on incorporating these improvements into the core app [102]
Reddit(RDDT) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-01 21:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue for Q1 2025 was $392 million, up 61% year over year, marking the third consecutive quarter of growth over 60% [9][20][32] - Adjusted EBITDA reached $115 million, with a margin of 29%, up over 2,500 basis points year over year [32][33] - GAAP net income was $26 million, translating to $0.14 per basic share and $0.13 per diluted share [41][42] - Operating cash flow exceeded $100 million for the first quarter, ending at $128 million, the highest ever [34][40] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Advertising revenue grew 61% year over year to $359 million, driven by broad-based strength across objectives, channels, verticals, and geographies [20][21][32] - Other revenue, including data licensing, reached $34 million, growing 66% year over year [35] - The total number of active advertisers grew over 50% year over year in Q1 [22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - U.S. ad revenue grew 56% year over year, while international ad revenue grew 83% year over year, the fastest growth rate in three years [23][35] - Daily active users (DAUs) reached 108 million, and weekly active users (WAUs) reached 401 million, both up 31% year over year [9][53] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to enhance its core product and advertising business while focusing on international expansion and improving user experience [15][19] - Key initiatives include upgrading search functionality, expanding machine translation, and enhancing community engagement tools [14][15][17] - The company is committed to maintaining its unique community model and not imitating other platforms [18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the challenges posed by macroeconomic conditions but expressed confidence in Reddit's ability to grow through uncertain times [10][51] - The company expects revenue for Q2 2025 to be in the range of $410 million to $430 million, representing 46% to 53% year-over-year growth [41][42] - Management emphasized the importance of community and knowledge sharing as core to Reddit's value proposition [6][12] Other Important Information - The company is focused on minimizing dilution, with total diluted shares falling to 206 million in Q1 [34] - The integration of AI and machine learning into advertising solutions is a priority, with significant improvements in conversion and click volume [25][27] Q&A Session Summary Question: How is the Reddit team protecting data quality from fake accounts or bots? - Management acknowledged the importance of authentic content and is actively working to prevent abuse and manipulation on the platform [43][44] Question: What is the current state of the advertising market and its impact on the business? - Management noted that while there is uncertainty in the market, they are well-positioned and delivering profitable outcomes for customers [51] Question: How does the company view user growth for the remainder of the year? - Management reported a strong start to the year with DAUs growing in the high teens range year over year, despite expected bumps from Google algorithm changes [53][55] Question: Can you discuss the drivers of pricing and ROAS compared to other platforms? - Management indicated that pricing is an outcome of supply and demand, with improvements in outcomes leading to increased advertiser spending [62][68] Question: What are the trends in contribution rates as the user base grows? - Management highlighted efforts to improve user experience by ensuring new users understand community rules, which has positively impacted contribution rates [79] Question: How does the company view the sustainability of current data licensing revenue? - Management expressed confidence in the value of Reddit data for search and AI companies, indicating a strong ongoing demand [84] Question: How does Google treat machine-translated content? - Management confirmed that Google supports their use of machine translation, which has been beneficial for indexing more user-generated content [90] Question: Why not invest more given strong revenue growth? - Management emphasized a disciplined approach to cost growth, aiming for revenue growth to outpace cost growth while still making strategic investments [92][96]
Reddit(RDDT) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-01 21:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue for Q1 2025 was $392 million, up 61% year over year, marking the third consecutive quarter of growth over 60% [8][19][30] - Adjusted EBITDA reached $115 million, with a margin of 29%, up over 2,500 basis points year over year [32][34] - GAAP net income was $26 million, or $0.14 per basic share and $0.13 per diluted share [41][42] - Operating cash flow exceeded $100 million for the first quarter, ending at $128 million, the highest ever [34][40] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Advertising revenue grew 61% year over year to $359 million, driven by broad-based strength across objectives, channels, verticals, and geographies [20][30] - Other revenue, including data licensing, reached $34 million, growing 66% year over year [34] - The total number of active advertisers grew over 50% year over year in Q1 [22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - U.S. ad revenue grew 56% year over year, while international ad revenue grew 83% year over year, the fastest growth rate in three years [23][35] - Unique weekly users reached 401 million, and daily users reached 108 million, both up 31% year over year [8][19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to enhance its core product and advertising business while focusing on international growth and improving user experience [12][14][19] - The strategy includes becoming a truly global platform with machine translation available in 13 languages and focusing on community-driven content [14][16] - The company is committed to maintaining its unique community model and improving user engagement through product enhancements [17][18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the uncertainty in the macro environment but expressed confidence in the company's ability to deliver profitable outcomes for customers [50][51] - The company expects revenue in Q2 2025 to be in the range of $410 million to $430 million, representing 46% to 53% year-over-year growth [41][42] - Management emphasized that Reddit's unique value proposition lies in authentic human answers, which the company is focused on preserving [43][44] Other Important Information - The company is investing in hiring and technology, particularly in sales and engineering, to support growth [37][38] - The company has over $1 billion in cash, allowing for potential future investments [92] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the current state of the advertising market and its impact on the business? - Management noted that while there is uncertainty in the market, they are well-positioned with their roadmap and are delivering profitable outcomes for customers [50][51] Question: How is user growth expected to trend for the remainder of the year? - Management reported that daily active users were growing in the high teens year over year and emphasized that short-term bumps do not affect long-term strategy [55] Question: Can you discuss the drivers of pricing and how it compares to other platforms? - Management indicated that pricing is an outcome of supply and demand, and they are competitive in delivering market outcomes for advertisers [63][64] Question: What is the status of the Answers feature and its integration into Reddit? - Management shared that Answers has reached 1 million weekly users and is being integrated into the core search experience [66][68] Question: How are contribution rates trending with user growth? - Management highlighted efforts to improve contribution success rates for new users, which enhances the overall user experience [75] Question: How does Google treat machine-translated content? - Management confirmed that Google supports their use of machine translation, which helps increase user-generated content in more languages [86][87] Question: Why not invest more given strong revenue growth? - Management stated that they aim for revenue growth to be twice as fast as cost growth and are focused on sustainable investments [88][92]