Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For the full year, adjusted sales were $88.6 billion, up $9 billion year-over-year, or 11% organically, driven by 10% growth in commercial OE, 18% growth in commercial aftermarket, and 8% growth in defense [4] - Adjusted EPS of $6.29 was up 10% year-over-year, and free cash flow was $7.9 billion, up $3.4 billion year-over-year [4][18] - The company ended 2025 with a book-to-bill of 1.56, resulting in a record backlog of $268 billion, up 23% year-over-year [4] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Collins' sales were $7.7 billion in the fourth quarter, up 3% on an adjusted basis and 8% organically, driven by strength in commercial OE and aftermarket [21] - Pratt & Whitney's sales were $9.5 billion, up 25% on both an adjusted and organic basis, driven by strength across all channels [23] - Raytheon's sales were $7.7 billion in the quarter, up 7% on both an adjusted and organic basis, driven by higher volume on land and air defense systems [24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Commercial air travel is expected to grow again, with global RPKs projected to increase around 5% this year, on top of the 5% seen in 2025 [7] - NATO allies are expected to increase their core defense spending to approximately 3.5% of GDP by 2035, supporting strong demand for defense products [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is committed to making the right investments to support favorable long-term demand and drive sustainable growth [33] - Increased production rates are expected in 2026, particularly on the A320neo, 737 MAX, and 787 platforms, as well as on business jet and general aviation aircraft [8] - The company plans to invest approximately $10.5 billion in CapEx in 2026, focusing on expanding production capacity and factory automation [15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Demand remains strong, and the company is well-positioned for another year of top-line growth [7] - For 2026, adjusted sales are expected to be between $92 billion and $93 billion, with 5%-6% organic growth year-over-year [9][26] - The company expects adjusted EPS to be between $6.60 and $6.80, with free cash flow projected to be between $8.25 billion and $8.75 billion [10][29] Other Important Information - The company invested over $10 billion in CapEx and R&D in 2025, with a focus on expanding production capacity and factory automation [13] - The GTF Fleet Management Plan is on track, with MRO output up 39% in the fourth quarter and expected to continue growing in 2026 [40] Q&A Session Summary Question: Update on GTF Fleet Management Plan - The financial and technical outlook remains on track, with AOG down over 20% from the highs of 2025, and MRO output is expected to continue improving [38][40] Question: Thoughts on Executive Order for Defense Companies - The company recognizes the responsibility to deliver more and faster, aligning resources with the Department of Defense's mandate to ramp production and invest in capacity [44][46] Question: Portfolio Composition and Monetization Opportunities - The company believes it is well-positioned to meet the ramp in defense and commercial sectors, with a strong balance sheet to support investments [50][52] Question: 2026 Guidance for Pratt & Whitney - The company expects large commercial engine deliveries to grow mid to high single digits, balancing the need to support the flying fleet and new installs [58] Question: Raytheon Segment Growth Rates - The majority of sales increase is coming from land and air defense systems, with a strong backlog supporting the outlook for 2026 [74]

文 |地缘历史档案 编辑|地缘历史档案 声明:拙见在此，抛砖引玉。诚邀您点个「关注」，方便日后交流。文中观点仅为一家之 言，我尤其期待听到您的不同见解甚至反对意见。真理越辩越明，感谢您赐教！ 2025年11月，美国国防情报局的一份内部简报意外曝光，其中一句话引爆了整个西方防务圈的神经： 中国已经在太空制造出一种我们尚未完全理解的新型金属合金，并将其用于下一代军用航空发动机。 美军不仅承认了涡扇15的领先地位，更首次确认中国正通过天宫空间站，开启一次彻底改变空战规则的 材料革命。 中国之所以能让涡扇15超越F119，不在于一项技术的单点突破，而在于背后那条几乎被外界忽视的太 空材料链。 2021年9月，天舟三号将第一批铌合金实验样品送入轨道。 彼时外界还沉浸在火星探测和商业航天的热潮中，没人意识到，中国真正的战略野心，是在地球轨道上 建造一个不受规则限制的"空中实验工厂"。 在这里，没有沃尔夫条款，没有ITAR禁令，也没有国际空间站那套排斥中国的闭环系统。只有真空、 微重力、辐射环境和一群执着的工程师。 四年时间，中国科研团队在空间站完成了超过100次微重力金属试验。 他们用激光束悬浮合金颗粒，记录其冷却过程中 ...