Core Insights - The FOF (Fund of Funds) market is experiencing a stark contrast, with public FOFs seeing a strong recovery while FOF wealth management products are facing a downturn [2][11] - Public FOFs have surged nearly 80% in scale this year, reaching a record high of 2366.51 billion yuan, recovering losses from the past three years [3][4] - In contrast, only 9 new FOF wealth management products were launched this year, marking a significant decline in issuance compared to previous years [10][11] Public FOF Performance - As of December 25, 2025, the public FOF market consists of 546 funds managed by 82 fund managers, with a total scale of 2366.51 billion yuan, surpassing the 2360 billion yuan mark [3][8] - The public FOF market has seen a year-on-year increase of 1035.01 billion yuan, representing a growth rate of 77.73% [3][4] - The number of new public FOFs established this year reached 89, with an issuance volume of 827.16 million units, second only to the 2021 peak [3][7] Factors Driving Public FOF Recovery - The recovery of public FOFs is attributed to a favorable market environment, strong performance of equity assets, and a design that aligns with investor risk preferences [2][5] - Public FOFs have shifted from merely selecting fund managers to a multi-asset allocation strategy, which helps in risk diversification and meets the demand for stability among investors [5][6] - Institutional capital influx has also contributed to the growth of public FOF issuance, reversing the downward trend observed in the previous three years [2][5] Disparity Between Public FOFs and FOF Wealth Management Products - The stark difference in performance between public FOFs and FOF wealth management products is attributed to their operational models and market conditions [11] - FOF wealth management products have seen a significant drop in issuance, with only 9 new products launched in 2025, compared to a peak of 123 products issued between 2020 and 2022 [10][11] - The decline in FOF wealth management products is linked to liquidity constraints and unmet investor expectations due to regulatory impacts [11] Market Concentration and Competitive Landscape - The public FOF market exhibits a "Matthew Effect," where approximately 12% of fund managers control nearly 60% of the market share, indicating a trend towards concentration [8][9] - Leading fund managers benefit from strong research teams and established asset allocation frameworks, making it difficult for smaller institutions to compete [8][9] - The dominance of top managers is reinforced by regulatory advantages and the ability to attract long-term capital through products like pension-targeted FOFs [9]