Core Viewpoint - Terex Corp (TEX) has received an Overweight rating from Barclays with a price target of $65, indicating a 19% upside from its current trading price of $54.87, following a 20% pullback in shares over the past month [2][5][3]. Company Performance - Terex's Q4 2025 bookings increased by 32% year-over-year on a pro forma basis, reaching $1.90 billion, with a book-to-bill ratio of 145% [2][10]. - The company reported Q4 2025 revenue of $1.318 billion, which exceeded estimates, although adjusted EPS of $1.12 slightly missed the consensus of $1.13 [10]. - For 2026, management has guided net sales between $7.5 billion and $8.1 billion, with adjusted EPS projected at $4.50 to $5.00 [11]. Strategic Developments - The recent portfolio transformation, including the merger with REV Group, has reduced Terex's cyclical exposure and added a new segment, Specialty Vehicles, contributing an estimated $2.2 billion in baseline revenue [2][9]. - Management anticipates realizing $28 million in synergies from the REV merger in 2026, with a target of achieving a $75 million annual run-rate within two years [9]. Market Sentiment - Barclays' reinstatement of coverage suggests that the recent selloff in Terex shares is viewed as a buying opportunity, supported by the company's diversified portfolio and stabilizing end markets [3][6]. - The broader analyst community remains positive, with a consensus average price target of $72.90 across 12 brokerages, indicating significant upside potential [11].

Core Insights - Stellantis faces a significant crisis with a reported net loss of $26.3 billion for 2025 and a €22.2 billion strategic reset charge, leading to a 23.69% drop in stock price in a single day and a 36.64% decline year-to-date [1] - Oshkosh Corporation exceeded Q4 revenue estimates by $68 million and projects FY2026 EPS between $10.90 and $11.50, reflecting a nearly 25% increase year-to-date [1] - MasterCraft Boat Holdings reported a 76.51% EPS beat in Q2 FY2026 and announced a $232.2 million acquisition of Marine Products Corporation, indicating strong financial momentum [1] Stellantis - Stellantis reported a $26.3 billion net loss for 2025, marking its first annual loss since its formation in 2021 [1] - The company announced a €22.2 billion strategic reset charge, resulting in a 23.69% drop in stock price on February 6, 2026 [1] - Stellantis overestimated electric vehicle adoption and is shifting focus back to hybrid and internal combustion models, with a negative 3.1% operating profit margin in North America for 2025 [1] - The company has a total debt of $45.95 billion and negative free cash flow of $12.64 billion, indicating a stressed financial foundation [1] Oshkosh Corporation - Oshkosh reported Q4 2025 revenue of $2.69 billion, surpassing estimates by $68 million, with adjusted EPS of $2.26 [1] - The company has full-year EPS guidance of $10.90 to $11.50 and projected net sales of approximately $11.0 billion for 2026 [1] - Oshkosh's stock has increased nearly 25% year-to-date and 64% over the past year, supported by consistent defense contracts [1] - Risks include a $200 million expected tariff headwind in 2026 and potential softness in the Access equipment segment [1] MasterCraft Boat Holdings - MasterCraft reported adjusted EPS of $0.29 in Q2 FY2026, beating estimates by 76.51%, with revenue growth of 13.24% year-over-year [1] - The company announced a transformative acquisition of Marine Products Corporation for approximately $232.2 million, which is expected to significantly expand its revenue scale [1] - MasterCraft raised its FY2026 guidance to net sales of $300 to $310 million and adjusted EPS of $1.45 to $1.60 [1] - Dealer inventories have decreased by 25% year-over-year, indicating a clean channel heading into the spring selling season [1]

Company Overview - Oshkosh Corporation is a global industrial technology company with a revenue guidance of approximately $11 billion for 2026 [2] - The company operates in three segments: Access, Vocational, and Transport [2] Segment Breakdown - The Access segment, which focuses on construction equipment, is projected to generate over $4 billion in revenue for 2026, specifically $4.2 billion [2] - The Vocational segment, which includes equipment for neighborhood services such as fire trucks and refuse equipment, is also expected to reach $4.2 billion in revenue for 2026 [3] - The Transport segment, previously known as the Defense segment, is anticipated to generate $2.5 billion in revenue for 2026, consisting of defense vehicles and next-generation postal delivery vehicles [3]

Group 1 - Terex's shares increased by 13% following the release of fourth-quarter earnings, with sales growing by 8% and adjusted earnings per share exceeding analysts' expectations [1] - The standout figure was a 32% growth in bookings for Q4, leading management to project a 12% increase in adjusted EBITDA to $965 million by 2026, with the stock trading at a low EV/EBITDA ratio of 6 [1] - The recent acquisitions of the Environmental Solutions Group (ESG) and REV Group are expected to enhance Terex's business stability by diversifying its revenue sources, with approximately 70% of sales coming from non-discretionary sectors [2] Group 2 - The divestment of Terex's cyclical aerials and cranes business is anticipated to further stabilize revenue, allowing the company to focus on non-discretionary industries [3] - Over the past decade, Terex has increased its dividend from $0.24 to $0.68 while reducing its shares outstanding by 40%, indicating a commitment to returning value to shareholders [3] - Terex is currently trading at 14 times its 2026 earnings guidance, suggesting it is not overpriced in the current market [3]

Fund Performance - The FPA Queens Road Small Cap Value Fund returned 7.46% in Q3 2025, underperforming the Russell 2000 Value Index which returned 12.60% [1] - For the first three quarters of 2025, the Fund achieved a return of 13.77%, compared to 9.04% for the index [1] - The Fund's strategy focuses on a diligent, disciplined, and patient process, expecting to outperform in down markets and underperform in speculative markets [1] Company Highlight: REV Group, Inc. - REV Group, Inc. (NYSE:REVG) is a manufacturer of specialty vehicles, primarily focusing on municipal vehicles such as fire trucks and ambulances [3] - The company reported a one-month return of -18.15% but has seen a 57.50% increase in share value over the last 52 weeks, with a closing stock price of $50.32 and a market capitalization of $2.456 billion as of November 21, 2025 [2] - REV Group generated net sales of $644.9 million in Q3 2025, an increase from $579.4 million in Q3 2024 [4] Operational Developments - CEO Mark Skonieczny has implemented significant operational restructuring, divesting from the less profitable bus business and using the proceeds for stock buybacks [3] - The company has reported a significant backlog and pricing growth, particularly in its municipal business, indicating strong demand [3]