Guarda
Search documents
Credicorp .(BAP) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-14 15:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a return on equity (ROE) of 19.6%, reflecting strong performance across core businesses and contributions from the innovation portfolio [11][15][35] - Net interest income increased by 2.7%, supported by a contraction in interest expenses and an increase in low-cost deposits, leading to a net interest margin (NIM) of 6.6% [16][31] - The cost of risk fell to 1.7%, indicating improved asset quality and risk management [15][16][32] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Universal Banking and Insurance and Pensions delivered strong results, while Microfinance progressed towards its profitability target [11][15] - Fee-based and transactional income grew, with Yape contributing significantly to the overall revenue [11][24] - Mibanco's profitability rose to 18.8%, supported by increased loan disbursements and improved credit risk management [26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Peru's GDP growth for 2025 is projected at 3.4%, driven by higher export prices and increased domestic consumption [9][18] - Inflation in Peru remains low, forecasted at 1.8% for 2025, which is within the central bank's target range [10][19] - The macroeconomic environment in the region shows signs of recovery, with positive indicators in Chile and Colombia [10][19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on three key pillars: scaling its digital ecosystem, unlocking growth through business synergies, and maintaining discipline in profitability and capital allocation [5][6][7] - The medium-term targets include an ROE of 19.5% and an efficiency ratio around 42% over the next three to four years [7][11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management remains optimistic about the economic resilience of Peru despite political changes, emphasizing the company's diversified strategy and strong capital position [8][9] - The outlook for 2026 anticipates continued GDP growth, supported by favorable terms of trade and increased private consumption [9][18] Other Important Information - The company aims to expand its digital engagement strategy, with Yape targeting 18 million users by 2028 [24] - The insurance underwriting results showed a year-over-year increase of 23%, driven by improved performance in the life business [29] Q&A Session Summary Question: Regarding asset quality and cost of risk - Analyst inquired about the better-than-expected performance in asset quality and whether the guidance for cost of risk is too conservative [41][42] - Management acknowledged the positive results and indicated that the cost of risk is expected to be around the lower end of the guidance [45][46] Question: On operating expenses growth - Analyst asked about the growth of operating expenses and its breakdown between core business and innovation initiatives [47] - Management confirmed that operating expenses growth is within guidance and will likely slow in the core business while remaining stable in innovation [48] Question: Impact of political uncertainty on growth - Analyst questioned the potential deceleration in growth due to upcoming elections [53] - Management noted historical trends of minimal impact on long-term growth but acknowledged a possible slowdown in the first quarter [55][56] Question: Loan growth guidance - Analyst sought clarification on the loan growth guidance and whether it considers FX adjustments [70] - Management confirmed that the guidance is nominal and includes adjustments for Bolivia's restatement [72] Question: Future contributions from Yape - Analyst inquired about the potential for Yape's contribution to reach double digits by 2026 [64] - Management expressed confidence in achieving this target [65] Question: Outlook for Bolivia post-political shift - Analyst asked about the potential positive impacts of the new government in Bolivia [80] - Management indicated optimism regarding the new government's pro-market stance and its potential benefits for operations in Bolivia [82]
Credicorp .(BAP) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-14 15:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a return on equity (ROE) of 19.6%, reflecting strong performance across core businesses and contributions from the innovation portfolio [11][15] - Net interest income increased by 2.7%, supported by a contraction in interest expenses and an increase in low-cost deposits, leading to a net interest margin (NIM) of 6.6% [16][34] - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio improved to 4.8%, with a cost of risk falling to 1.7% due to enhanced risk management [15][16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Universal banking and insurance and pensions delivered strong results, while microfinance progressed towards profitability targets [11][15] - In retail banking, loans grew by 3% year-over-year, with NPL volumes declining, particularly among individuals and SMEs [20][22] - Mibanco's profitability rose to 18.8%, supported by increased loan disbursements and improved credit risk management [26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Peru's GDP growth for 2025 is projected at 3.4%, driven by higher export prices and increased domestic consumption [9][18] - Inflation in Peru remains low, forecasted at 1.8% for 2025, allowing for a stable economic environment [10][19] - The macroeconomic environment in the region shows signs of recovery, with Colombia's GDP expected to grow by 2.3% in 2025 [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on three strategic pillars: scaling its digital ecosystem, unlocking growth through business synergies, and executing with discipline to enhance profitability [5][6][7] - The medium-term targets include an ROE of 19.5% and an efficiency ratio around 42% over the next three to four years [7] - The company aims to deepen financial inclusion and expand monetization through platforms like Yape, Tempo, and Guarda [6][25] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management remains optimistic about the economic outlook despite political uncertainties, citing strong private investment and consumption [17][18] - The company expects to navigate the dynamic external environment with a focus on long-term value creation [8][11] - Future loan growth is anticipated to be robust, supported by favorable economic conditions and strategic initiatives [37] Other Important Information - The company aims to expand its user base for Yape to 18 million by 2028, with significant room for monetization [24] - The insurance underwriting results showed a year-over-year increase of 23%, driven by improved performance in the life business [29][30] - The efficiency ratio for the first nine months of the year stood at 45.7%, reflecting disciplined cost management [35] Q&A Session Summary Question: Regarding asset quality and cost of risk - Analyst inquired about the better-than-expected NPLs and cost of risk, questioning if the guidance was too conservative [41][42] - Management acknowledged the positive results due to improved risk management and a dynamic economic backdrop, expecting cost of risk to be around 1.8% [45][46] Question: On operating expenses growth - Analyst asked about the growth of operating expenses and its breakdown between core business and innovation initiatives [47] - Management indicated that operating expenses growth was planned and expected to be lower in the core business while remaining stable in innovation [48] Question: On growth expectations for the first quarter of the next year - Analyst expressed concerns about potential deceleration due to political uncertainty and asked about ROE levels [53] - Management noted that while there may be a slowdown in the first quarter, the overall economic indicators remain strong [56][58] Question: Regarding loan growth guidance - Analyst sought clarification on whether the loan growth guidance was nominal and if it would be achieved [69][72] - Management confirmed that the guidance is nominal and considers the adjustment from Bolivia's restatement, expressing confidence in achieving the target [72] Question: On Bolivia's political changes and their impact - Analyst asked about the potential positive effects of Bolivia's new government on the company's operations [80] - Management expressed optimism about the new government's pro-market stance and its potential benefits for BCP Bolivia [82] Question: On capital returns and dividends - Analyst inquired about future capital returns and dividend expectations [85] - Management indicated an expectation for higher payout ratios in the coming years, with a focus on increasing ordinary dividends [87]
Credicorp .(BAP) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-14 15:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a return on equity (ROE) of 19.6%, reflecting strong performance across core businesses and contributions from the innovation portfolio [10][13] - Total assets contracted by 2.1% year-over-year due to the revaluation of Bolivia's balance sheet [13] - Net interest income increased by 2.7%, supported by a contraction in interest expenses and an increase in low-cost deposits [15][31] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Universal banking and insurance and pensions delivered strong results, while microfinance progressed towards its profitability target [10] - Fee-based and transactional income grew, with gains on foreign exchange transactions rising by 23.4% [15][33] - Yape contributed 6.6% of Credicorp's risk-adjusted revenue, with plans to expand its user base and revenue streams significantly by 2028 [24][25] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Peru's GDP growth for 2025 is projected at 3.4%, driven by higher export prices and increased domestic consumption [8][17] - Inflation in Peru is forecasted to remain below 2%, with the central bank's policy rate cut to 4.25% [9][18] - Economic conditions in Chile and Colombia are improving, with GDP growth expected to rise in both countries [9][18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on three key pillars: scaling its digital ecosystem, unlocking growth through business synergies, and executing with discipline on profitability and capital allocation [4][5] - The medium-term targets include an ROE of 19.5% and an efficiency ratio around 42% over the next three to four years [5] - The company aims to deepen financial inclusion and scale monetization through its digital platforms [24] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management remains optimistic about the economic resilience of Peru despite political changes, emphasizing a strong capital and liquidity position [6][7] - The macroeconomic environment is stable, with expectations for continued growth supported by favorable terms of trade and domestic demand [8][9] - The company anticipates a gradual increase in the cost of risk as it shifts towards higher-yield segments in its loan portfolio [41] Other Important Information - The efficiency ratio for the first nine months of the year stood at 45.7%, with operating expenses growing primarily due to investments in innovation [34][36] - The company expects to maintain its full-year ROE guidance at around 19%, reflecting solid core performance and disciplined risk management [38] Q&A Session Summary Question: Regarding asset quality and cost of risk - The company noted that asset quality has improved, with NPLs and cost of risk performing better than expected, and guidance for cost of risk is around 1.8% [40][41] Question: On operating expenses growth - Management indicated that operating expenses growth is planned and will likely be lower in the core business while remaining stable in innovation initiatives [42] Question: About growth expectations in the first quarter of the upcoming year - Management expects some slowdown in the first quarter due to elections but does not anticipate a significant reduction in long-term growth [43][45] Question: Impact of the eighth pension fund withdrawal - The withdrawal is expected to have a positive impact on local funding but may reduce loan growth by about half a percentage point next year [57] Question: Update on Yape's unit economics - The company is scaling multi-installment loans in Yape, which are showing positive business metrics [59]