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常宝股份:盈利同比下滑,特材项目有序推进-20250328
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-03-28 01:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company experienced a year-on-year decline in profit, with a 14.48% decrease in revenue to 5.696 billion yuan and a 19.00% drop in net profit to 634 million yuan in 2024 [1][4] - The company's special material projects are progressing steadily, with a production capacity of 1 million tons of special pipes and significant market share in various segments [2] - The downstream demand is expected to improve, with a stable and expanding market for oil and gas pipelines and boiler pipes anticipated in 2025 [2] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's gross profit margin for oil casing was 15.95%, down 6.67 percentage points year-on-year, primarily impacting overall profitability [1] - Quarterly sales gross margins showed an upward trend from Q1 to Q4 of 2024, indicating a recovery in the fourth quarter [1] - The company forecasts net profits of 713 million yuan, 799 million yuan, and 852 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 7.0, 6.2, and 5.8 [3][4] Market Outlook - The oil and gas pipeline market is expected to stabilize and optimize, with increased demand for unconventional oil and gas resources in both offshore and onshore sectors [2] - The boiler pipe market is projected to remain robust due to significant investments in thermal power, with a 32.7% increase in investment in 2024 [2]