November 13, 2025 11:52 PM GMT Damai Entertainment Holdings Ltd | Asia Pacific M Update Revenue Beat on IP and Live Content Business Reaction to earnings Strengthens our thesis Modest upside Modest revision higher Impact to our thesis Financial results versus consensus Direction of next 12-month consensus EPS Source: Company data, Morgan Stanley Research Key Takeaways Total revenue for 1HF26 was Rmb4.0bn, up 33% yoy and 11% hoh, topping MSe by 4% and consensus by 6%. By segment: Segment results (please see ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Damai Entertainment Holdings (1060.HK) with a target price of HK$1.30, representing an upside of 38.3% from the current price of HK$0.94 [1][4][20]. Core Insights - Damai Entertainment announced a positive profit alert for 1HFY26, with net profit attributable to owners expected to be no less than Rmb500 million, which is at least 7% above the forecasted Rmb468 million, indicating a year-on-year growth of over 49% [1]. - The significant growth in net profit is attributed to strong year-on-year growth in the Alifish business and a reduction in investment losses [1]. - For the upcoming 1HFY26E results, total revenue is forecasted to be Rmb3.7 billion, reflecting a 20% year-on-year increase, driven by an 84% growth in the IP segment [2]. - The IP segment is expected to benefit from strong contributions from Sanrio China and newly onboarded IPs, which are anticipated to double the GMV for AliFish [2]. - Adjusted EBITA is projected to be Rmb525 million, representing a 9% year-on-year increase when excluding a one-off write-back of bad debt from the Film segment in 1HFY25 [3]. - Key areas to monitor include the growth momentum of the IP business, updates on the Damai ticketing business, and margin dynamics for Damai's international business investments [4]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for Damai Entertainment are as follows: Rmb6,702.3 million for FY25, Rmb7,620.5 million for FY26E, Rmb9,049.0 million for FY27E, and Rmb10,308.6 million for FY28E [7]. - EBITDA is expected to grow from Rmb756.2 million in FY25 to Rmb1,842.0 million by FY28E [7]. - The report anticipates a significant increase in EPS from Rmb0.02 in FY26E to Rmb0.05 in FY28E [7]. - The company is projected to achieve a net income margin of 14.2% by FY28E, up from 5.4% in FY25 [17].