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Why Affirm Holdings (AFRM) is a Top Momentum Stock for the Long-Term
ZACKS· 2025-07-04 14:56
Core Insights - Zacks Premium offers various tools to help investors make informed decisions and enhance their confidence in the stock market [1][2] - The Zacks Style Scores provide a unique rating system for stocks based on value, growth, and momentum characteristics, aiding investors in selecting securities with high potential for market outperformance [2][3] Zacks Style Scores - Each stock is rated from A to F based on its value, growth, and momentum, with A being the highest score indicating a better chance of outperforming the market [3] - The Value Score focuses on identifying undervalued stocks using financial ratios such as P/E, PEG, and Price/Cash Flow [3] - The Growth Score assesses a company's financial health and future outlook by analyzing projected and historical earnings, sales, and cash flow [4] - The Momentum Score helps investors capitalize on price trends by evaluating recent price changes and earnings estimate revisions [5] - The VGM Score combines the three Style Scores to identify stocks with attractive value, strong growth forecasts, and promising momentum [6] Zacks Rank - The Zacks Rank is a proprietary model that utilizes earnings estimate revisions to assist investors in building successful portfolios [7] - Stocks rated 1 (Strong Buy) have historically produced an average annual return of +25.41% since 1988, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 [8] - There are over 800 top-rated stocks available, making it essential for investors to utilize Style Scores to narrow down their choices [9] Investment Strategy - To maximize returns, investors should focus on stocks with a Zacks Rank of 1 or 2 and Style Scores of A or B [10] - Stocks with lower ranks, such as 4 (Sell) or 5 (Strong Sell), should be approached with caution, even if they have high Style Scores [11] Company Spotlight: Affirm Holdings - Affirm Holdings, Inc. is a financial technology company that offers flexible installment loans at the point of sale, partnering with various merchants [12] - Currently rated 3 (Hold) on the Zacks Rank, Affirm has a VGM Score of B and a Momentum Style Score of B, with shares increasing by 24.2% over the past four weeks [12][13] - Recent earnings estimates for fiscal 2025 have been revised upward, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate increasing by $0.12 to $0.03 per share, and an average earnings surprise of 102.2% [13]
Oportun vs. Enova: Which Fintech Lender is the Better Pick Right Now?
ZACKS· 2025-06-30 15:51
Core Insights - Oportun Financial Corporation (OPRT) and Enova International Inc. (ENVA) are fintech companies focused on providing credit solutions to underserved consumers, utilizing advanced analytics and digital platforms to serve non-prime borrowers [1][4]. Company Performance - OPRT shares have increased by 89.7% year-to-date, while ENVA shares have risen by 15.8% [2][10]. - Oportun's total revenues have experienced a five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.8%, despite a decline in the first quarter of 2025 [7]. - Enova's revenues have shown a CAGR of 17.7% over the last five years, with continued momentum into 2025 [13]. Financial Projections - OPRT anticipates 2025 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) to be in the range of $1.10-$1.30, up from 72 cents in 2024, with total revenues expected to be between $945-$970 million [20][22]. - ENVA's consensus estimates indicate a year-over-year revenue increase of 17.8% for 2025 and 14.3% for 2026, with earnings growth of 28.7% and 17.7% for the same years [22][24]. Valuation Analysis - OPRT is currently trading at a price-to-tangible book (P/TB) ratio of 1.22X, while ENVA is trading at 3.31X, indicating that OPRT is undervalued compared to ENVA [10][25][27]. Business Models - Oportun focuses on small-dollar personal loans and financial inclusion, while Enova offers a broader range of products including installment loans and small business loans [29][30]. - Both companies leverage proprietary data analytics and machine learning to enhance underwriting and loan servicing [28]. Strategic Initiatives - Oportun is expanding into new markets and product offerings, including credit cards and secured personal loans, which are expected to drive future financial performance [31]. - Enova's diversified lending portfolio and strong cash flow generation support its growth, although exposure to subprime borrowers poses potential risks [30].
Walmart Takes Aim at Banks With OnePay Expansion
PYMNTS.com· 2025-06-09 23:24
Core Insights - Walmart is leveraging its scale and customer base to compete with traditional banks and digital-only financial services [1] - The OnePay digital app and wallet provide a unified access point for various financial services, including buy now, pay later (BNPL) options [1][9] - Walmart's ongoing efforts in fintech are part of a multi-year strategy to integrate traditional banking services into its retail ecosystem [5] Group 1: Walmart's FinTech Strategy - Walmart has been developing its FinTech initiatives for over four years, focusing on digital delivery of traditional financial products [5] - The partnership with Synchrony to launch a new credit card program is a significant step in Walmart's financial services expansion [6][7] - Walmart Money Centers have established a foundation for money movement services, enhancing consumer familiarity with financial transactions [6] Group 2: Market Position and Consumer Demographics - Walmart has a substantial workforce of 1.6 million employees in the U.S., providing a strong consumer base for its financial services [4] - The retailer is attracting higher-income shoppers, with households earning over $100,000 accounting for 75% of its market share gains [10][11] - The growth in subscriptions, with over 30% of consumers holding a Walmart+ account, indicates a strong customer engagement [3] Group 3: Digital Wallet and Payment Trends - OnePay serves as a digital front door for various financial interactions, with mobile wallets linked to 35% of online and 21% of in-store transactions [8] - The BNPL market is rapidly growing, with transactions reaching $175 billion, reflecting widespread acceptance across income levels [9] - Walmart's collaboration with Klarna to offer installment loans further enhances its financial service offerings [9] Group 4: Competitive Landscape - Walmart's scale and customer connectivity position it to disrupt traditional financial models, challenging pure-play fintech companies [12] - The competitive dynamics between Walmart and Amazon highlight the ongoing battle for consumer wallet share in the retail and financial services sectors [2]
Affirm shares drop 13% on weak forecast, concerns over CEO's bet on 0% loans
CNBC· 2025-05-09 19:08
Core Viewpoint - Affirm's shares declined following a weak revenue forecast, raising concerns about CEO Max Levchin's strategy to expand through 0% loans [1][2]. Revenue Forecast - Affirm projected revenue for the current quarter to be between $815 million and $845 million, with the midpoint falling short of the $841 million average analyst estimate [2]. Business Strategy - CEO Max Levchin is focusing on 0% loans to attract consumers and foster long-term customer loyalty, even at the cost of current profit margins [2]. - The strategy aims to educate consumers on the benefits of avoiding excessive revolving interest, positioning Affirm as a competitor to credit cards [3]. Market Position - Currently, 0% loans account for 13% of Affirm's total Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV), with 80% of these loans being issued to prime and super-prime customers [3]. - Affirm's primary business involves providing point-of-sale installment loans for consumer purchases in categories such as apparel, electronics, and sporting goods [3].