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Hold Your Horses: AMD's OpenAI Payday Starts in a Year (and Really Ramps Up in 2027)
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-08 15:11
Core Insights - AMD has formed a significant partnership with OpenAI, but immediate revenue generation is not expected until late 2026, with substantial growth anticipated in 2027 [2][8] - The partnership could potentially add over $100 billion to AMD's sales in the coming years, driven by AI-related data center revenue from the deployment of Instinct MI450 and Helios systems [5][8] - The deal includes a complex stock warrant structure that allows OpenAI to acquire up to 160 million AMD shares based on performance metrics, which could significantly impact AMD's stock valuation [6][7] Revenue Timeline - Revenue from the OpenAI partnership will not commence until the second half of 2026, with a significant ramp-up expected in 2027 [3][8] - Each gigawatt-scale tranche of AMD's installations could lead to double-digit billions in annual revenue once fully operational [3][5] Strategic Implications - The partnership positions AMD as a competitive player in the AI space, potentially attracting other major companies like Meta and Google due to the efficiency of its Instinct chips [8] - The structure of the deal provides performance incentives for OpenAI, aligning interests between the two companies and creating a pathway to bypass Nvidia's market dominance [7]
AMD stock receives major upgrade from Wall Street
Finbold· 2025-08-26 13:07
Core Viewpoint - Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has received a 'Buy' rating upgrade from Truist Securities, with a new price target of $213, indicating a potential 30% increase from its last market close of $163 [1][4]. Group 1: Stock Upgrade and Price Target - Truist Securities upgraded AMD's stock from 'Hold' to 'Buy' and raised the price target from $173 to $213 [1][4]. - The upgrade reflects growing optimism around AMD's long-term growth, particularly in AI-driven computing [5]. Group 2: Financial Performance - AMD reported record revenue of $7.69 billion for the second quarter of Fiscal 2025, marking a 32% year-over-year increase [5]. - On a GAAP basis, net income rose to $872 million, or $0.54 per diluted share, compared to $265 million, or $0.16 per share, a year earlier [6]. Group 3: Future Guidance - AMD guided for third-quarter revenue to be approximately $8.7 billion, with a variance of plus or minus $300 million, driven by growth in MI355 accelerators, EPYC server chips, and client products [6]. Group 4: Market Sentiment and Competitor Analysis - Analysts are optimistic about AMD's AI GPU prospects and the strength in the CPU market, despite concerns over U.S.-China trade tensions and competition [7]. - Other analysts have also raised their price targets for AMD, with TD Cowen setting it at $195 and Mizuho at $205, citing expected sales momentum in MI355 and MI308 products [8].