Financial Performance - Distributable Earnings for Q3 2025 were $32.1 million, resulting in a Distributable EPS of $0.25 and an after-tax Distributable ROAE of 8.3%[10] - The company declared a Q3 2025 cash dividend of $0.23 per LADR share, representing an annual dividend yield of 8.4%[10] - Undepreciated book value per share was $13.71, net of a $0.41 per share CECL allowance[10] Balance Sheet & Capital Structure - Total liquidity stood at $879 million, including $830 million of undrawn capacity on the unsecured corporate revolver[8, 10] - The company's capitalization is comprised of 92% non-mark-to-market financing & book equity, with 88% of debt being non-mark-to-market[10, 36] - Unsecured debt accounts for 75% of total financing[8, 10, 36] - The adjusted leverage ratio is 1.7x[8, 10, 36] - The company has $3.9 billion of unencumbered assets, with 88% comprised of cash, first mortgage loans, and investment grade securities[8, 10, 38] Investment Portfolio - Investment assets & unrestricted cash totaled $4.9 billion, including $1.9 billion in first mortgage loans (40%), $960 million in CRE equity (19%), and $1.9 billion in securities (40%)[7, 10] - New loan originations in Q3 2025 reached $511 million, the largest quarterly origination volume in over three years[7, 10] - The company closed an inaugural investment grade corporate bond issuance of $500 million senior unsecured notes due 2030 at a 5.50% coupon[8, 10]

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates by 25 basis points in October, focusing on the labor market despite signs of economic slowing [2][5][6] - The two-year yield is projected to decline for the third consecutive week, reaching its lowest level in three years, indicating market expectations of aggressive Fed action [4][20] - Concerns about the labor market are increasing, with a disconnect between GDP growth and labor market performance, suggesting structural issues may be at play [9][10][11] Group 2 - J.P. Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon warns of potential credit issues, likening them to "cockroaches," indicating that more problems may emerge in the credit market [28][31] - The investment-grade credit market remains resilient, with strong demand and inflows, while high-yield markets are experiencing outflows [34][35] - There is a significant focus on technical factors driving the credit market, with a notable supply-demand imbalance favoring investment-grade bonds [40][41] Group 3 - The impact of tariffs on inflation is being closely monitored, with estimates suggesting that tariffs contribute approximately 10% to the current inflation rate [49][50] - The St. Louis Fed anticipates that inflation will converge towards 2% by the second half of 2026, contingent on tariff impacts [51]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a bullish sentiment with the BofA Bull & Bear Indicator rising to 6.5, reflecting strong inflows into stocks and a positive outlook for global equity markets [7][11]. Core Insights - There have been record inflows into global equity ETFs, totaling $152 billion over the past three weeks, marking the largest inflow on record [2][16]. - The report highlights a shift in investment themes from war to peace, and from US exceptionalism to global rebalancing, suggesting a favorable environment for gold and international equities in the second half of the 2020s [2][3]. - The report notes a significant outflow from Treasuries, amounting to $7.5 billion, which is the sixth-largest outflow ever recorded [10]. Summary by Sections Market Flows - Global equities saw inflows of $114 billion in the past three weeks, the third highest ever, with $26 billion inflows to stocks and $19.9 billion to bonds [16][41]. - Private clients have allocated 64.7% of their assets to stocks, the highest since March 2022, while bond allocations have decreased to 18.0%, the lowest since May 2022 [11][41]. Investment Themes - The report identifies entrenched trends favoring corporations over governments and passive over active management, with a notable shift towards national security and border control [2][3]. - The "Magnificent 7" companies are reallocating cash flow towards capital expenditures in the AI sector, indicating a significant trend in technology investment [17][38]. Sector Performance - The technology sector experienced the largest inflow of $9.3 billion, while healthcare saw a minor inflow of $33 million, contrasting with a record outflow of $17 billion for the sector [16][42]. - Financials and materials sectors also saw substantial inflows, with $3.3 billion and $5.9 billion respectively, indicating strong investor interest [16][42]. Economic Indicators - The report notes that 80% of global stock indices are trading above their 50-day and 200-day moving averages, suggesting a robust market breadth [11]. - The report emphasizes that no central bank has raised rates in the past two months, which may contribute to the current bullish sentiment in the markets [18].