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“印度奇迹”背后:权力寻租与裙带资本
Hu Xiu· 2025-10-09 11:05
Core Insights - The book "New Gilded Age" by James Crabtree critiques India's economic growth since the 1991 liberalization, highlighting the emergence of "crony capitalism" that threatens long-term development [1][24] - The rise of super-rich families in India, particularly the Ambani family, is closely tied to the country's political and economic transformations, with their success rooted in navigating the bureaucratic landscape [7][8] - The disparity in wealth distribution is alarming, with the top 1% owning 58% of India's wealth, indicating a significant increase in inequality since the 1990s [14] Economic Growth and Structure - India's economy experienced remarkable growth, especially during the "golden decade" from 2004 to 2014, with an average growth rate exceeding 8% [1] - The economic structure heavily relies on capital and technology-intensive services rather than labor-intensive manufacturing, leading to a paradox of "jobless growth" [14] - The increase in the Gini coefficient from 45 to 51 between 1990 and 2013 reflects the growing wealth gap, with the IMF warning that India has the highest inequality among major Asian economies [14] Political and Business Dynamics - The Ambani family's rise is attributed to their adeptness in leveraging political connections to secure business advantages, particularly during the economic liberalization [8][9] - The controversial entry of Jio into the telecom market exemplifies the intertwining of business and politics, where regulatory changes favored the company, raising concerns about fair competition [10][11] - The case of Vijay Mallya illustrates the vulnerabilities of wealth built on crony capitalism, as his empire collapsed despite strong political ties [12] Systemic Issues and Recommendations - The book emphasizes the need for India to transition from "gilded" to "real" growth by establishing a transparent legal framework and reducing the arbitrary nature of policies [21][22] - It advocates for breaking the cycle of money politics and public policy, suggesting reforms to campaign financing and enhancing transparency in political donations [22] - The importance of inclusive growth is highlighted, stressing that economic prosperity must translate into improved education, healthcare, and social mobility to prevent societal fractures [22][23] Broader Implications - The insights from "New Gilded Age" extend beyond India, serving as a cautionary tale for emerging economies about the risks of prioritizing growth figures over institutional integrity [24][25] - The book argues that true resilience in a nation is not measured by GDP growth but by the establishment of a trustworthy environment for consumers and investors [25]