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海外MNC动态跟踪系列(十五):诺华发布2025Q3财报:核药板块表现亮眼未来可期
Ping An Securities· 2025-11-18 11:59
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" [42] Core Insights - Novartis reported a Q3 2025 net sales of $13.909 billion, a 7% increase year-on-year, with a free cash flow of $6.217 billion, up 4% [4][11] - The total net sales for the first three quarters of 2025 reached $41.196 billion, reflecting an 11% year-on-year growth [4][11] - Significant growth was observed across major therapeutic areas, including cardiovascular, immunology, neuroscience, and oncology, with ten blockbuster products exceeding $1 billion in cumulative sales [4][11] Summary by Sections Part 1: Q3 2025 Financial Overview and Key Events - Novartis achieved a core operating income of $5.460 billion in Q3 2025, a 6% increase year-on-year, with a core margin of 39.3% [8][11] - The oncology segment generated $12.574 billion in revenue, marking a 20% increase, while the cardiovascular-renal-metabolic segment saw a 19% increase to $7.358 billion [11] Part 2: Core Product Sales Analysis - Kisqali (ribociclib) generated $1.329 billion in Q3 2025, a 68% increase, maintaining a market share of 48% in new-to-brand prescriptions [18] - In the nuclear medicine sector, Pluvicto and Lutathera combined generated $2.002 billion, with Pluvicto expanding its market share in pre-chemotherapy mCRPC patients [30] Part 3: Future Pipeline Milestones - Novartis has completed most clinical milestones for 2025, with two expected in Q4: initiation of clinical data for GIA632 and regulatory submission for Pluvicto in mHSPC [35][36] Part 4: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on domestic nuclear medicine companies such as Yuan Da Pharmaceutical, China Dongfang, and Hengrui Medicine, as the domestic nuclear medicine market is expected to accelerate [40]