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今年前四月销量超6万辆,LNG重卡渗透率走高,多家上市公司回应市场布局情况
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-05-29 14:39
Core Viewpoint - The LNG heavy truck market is expected to grow significantly, with sales projected to reach approximately 230,000 units in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 29% [1][2]. Industry Summary - The rapid development of LNG heavy trucks is primarily driven by economic factors, favorable policies, optimized refueling station networks, new vehicle models from manufacturers, and improved range capabilities of LNG trucks [2][4]. - The domestic LNG heavy truck market is anticipated to see a sales volume of 47,000 units in Q1 of this year, with a penetration rate of 31% [1][2]. - The expected LNG heavy truck sales for 2024 are projected at 178,200 units, with a penetration rate of 29.6%, an increase of 20.6 percentage points compared to 2020 [4]. Company Summary - Companies like Furuite Equipment (300228.SZ) and Weichai Power (000338.SZ) are optimistic about the growth of the LNG heavy truck market, which will benefit their LNG vehicle gas supply system products and market share [1]. - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (600028.SH) reported a significant increase in its LNG retail volume, which grew by 116% year-on-year to 2.05 billion cubic meters in Q1 [6]. - The introduction of subsidies for LNG heavy trucks and the government's initiative to phase out old trucks are expected to further stimulate market growth [4][5]. Market Dynamics - The transportation sector's choice of fuel is heavily influenced by economic viability, with LNG prices being significantly lower than diesel, leading to increased demand for LNG heavy trucks [4][5]. - The market is also facing competition from electric heavy trucks, which are improving in technology and infrastructure, potentially impacting the long-term growth of LNG heavy trucks [6]. Future Outlook - The LNG heavy truck ownership is expected to rise to 950,000 units, with refueling volumes reaching 6 billion cubic meters, contributing to transportation gas accounting for 55% of domestic LNG consumption [5]. - The market is projected to maintain a rapid growth trajectory in the short term due to multiple favorable factors, despite potential stabilization in the long term [6].