Company Overview - TFI International Inc. is a leading North American provider of transportation and logistics services, operating through multiple segments to deliver comprehensive freight and supply chain solutions [5] - The company leverages a large fleet and a network of independent contractors to maintain flexibility and scale across diverse markets [5] - TFI operates a diversified business model with both asset-based and asset-light segments, generating revenue from freight transportation, dedicated logistics, and brokerage services [7] Financial Performance - As of September 30, 2025, TFI International reported a revenue of $8.06 billion and a net income of $323.46 million [4] - The company has a dividend yield of 1.81% [4] - TFI shares were priced at $99.17 as of December 10, 2025, reflecting a decline of about 35% over the past year, underperforming the S&P 500 by 48 percentage points [3] Investment Activity - Dixon Mitchell Investment Counsel increased its position in TFI International by purchasing 93,705 shares, bringing its total holding to 912,039 shares valued at approximately $80.72 million [2][3] - The increased stake now represents 2.87% of Dixon Mitchell's assets under management (AUM) [3] - Dixon Mitchell has nearly doubled its shares in TFI since late 2024, indicating a belief in the company's potential as a buy-the-dip opportunity [9] Valuation and Growth Potential - TFI is currently trading at 26 times earnings and 12 times free cash flow (FCF), suggesting it trades at a discount to the broader market [10] - The company has an average cash return on invested capital (ROIC) of 14% over the last five years, showcasing a strong track record of profitable acquisitions [10] - TFI has been a significant performer since 2003, with sales growing by an average of 14% annually over the last decade, indicating its status as a top-tier compounder [11]

Core Thesis - FedEx Corporation is viewed positively due to its strong market position, economic moat, and robust shareholder returns, despite some challenges in revenue growth and capital allocation [1][3][4]. Company Overview - FedEx operates globally in air freight and logistics, providing a wide range of services including express shipping, freight, e-commerce solutions, and warehousing [2]. - The company has a narrow economic moat, benefiting from cost efficiency and economies of scale in its delivery networks [2]. Financial Performance - Over the past five years, FedEx achieved mid-single-digit annualized revenue growth, which lagged behind the S&P 500, and net profit margins also underperformed the broader market [3]. - The company returned $3 billion to shareholders in fiscal 2025 through an active stock buyback program, which continues into fiscal 2026 [3]. - Owners' earnings, measured via five-year trailing EPS growth plus dividend growth, were in the high double digits, with a strong return to shareholders at 35.3% [4]. Investment Proposition - FedEx's fundamentals are rated as neutral, but its global scale, comprehensive logistics capabilities, and consistent free cash flow generation support a bullish value proposition for long-term investors [4]. - The stock presents potential for dividend income and capital appreciation, appealing to investors seeking exposure to a resilient logistics platform [4]. Market Position - Despite leadership changes, including founder Fred Smith's transition to executive chairman, FedEx remains a strong industry player [3]. - The company's stock price has depreciated approximately 8.32% since previous coverage, but the bullish thesis on its market leadership and operational efficiency still stands [5][6].

Company Overview - Hub Group, Inc. is a small-cap player in the intermodal freight and logistics industry, providing a wide range of transportation and logistics services across North America, including intermodal, truckload, LTL, dedicated, and international transport, as well as warehousing and fulfillment solutions [2] - As of December 1st, Hub Group's share was trading at $39.43, with trailing and forward P/E ratios of 22.17 and 18.02 respectively [1] Financial Performance - Hub Group's financial performance has been underwhelming compared to benchmarks, with a trailing five-year annualized revenue growth in the low single digits, significantly below the S&P 500's +16% [3] - The most recent twelve-month revenue fell by 5.4%, while the market experienced an +18.8% growth [3] - Profitability has lagged, with low gross margins leading to modest net profit margins, far below the S&P 500 median of +23.2% [3] Capital Efficiency - Return on equity and return on invested capital (ROIC) have not met QVI's thresholds and peer medians, with ROIC failing to exceed the company's cost of capital, indicating inefficiencies in capital deployment [4] - A $250 million share repurchase program was announced in late 2023, but only a small fraction has been executed, limiting its impact on shareholder returns [4] Earnings Growth - Owners' earnings, defined as EPS and dividend growth or free cash flow growth, have remained stagnant in the low single digits over the past five years [5] Market Position - Hub Group is the second-largest intermodal marketing company in the industry, behind JB Hunt, and holds a narrow moat according to Morningstar [2] - At the end of the second quarter, 27 hedge fund portfolios held HUBG, an increase from 22 in the previous quarter, indicating some interest from institutional investors [7]

Core Insights - C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) reported mixed third-quarter 2025 results, with earnings exceeding estimates while revenues fell short [1] Financial Performance - Quarterly earnings per share (EPS) reached $1.40, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.29 and reflecting a 9.3% year-over-year improvement [2][11] - Total revenues amounted to $4.14 billion, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.29 billion and declining 10.9% year over year, primarily due to the divestiture of the Europe Surface Transportation business and lower pricing and volume in ocean services [2][11] - Adjusted gross profits decreased by 4% year over year to $706.1 million, influenced by lower gross profit per transaction and volume in ocean services, partially offset by higher profits in less than truckload (LTL) and customs services [4] Segment Performance - North American Surface Transportation generated total revenues of $2.96 billion, up 1.1% year over year, driven by higher volumes in truckload and LTL services, with adjusted gross profits growing 5.6% to $444.14 million [6] - Global Forwarding revenues fell 31.1% year over year to $786.34 million due to lower pricing and volume in ocean services, with adjusted gross profits declining 18.3% to $191.75 million [7] - Revenues from other sources decreased 32.4% year over year to $384.80 million [7] Operational Efficiency - Adjusted operating margin improved to 31.3%, an increase of 680 basis points from the previous year, while operating expenses decreased by 12.6% year over year to $485.2 million [5] Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns - CHRW generated $275.4 million in cash from operations in Q3 2025, a significant increase from $108.1 million in the same quarter last year, attributed to a rise in net income and a decrease in cash used by changes in net operating working capital [12] - The company returned $189.6 million to shareholders, including $74.7 million in dividends and $114.9 million in share repurchases [13] Balance Sheet - At the end of Q3, CHRW had cash and cash equivalents of $136.83 million, down from $155.99 million in the previous quarter, while long-term debt increased to $1.18 billion from $922.31 million [10]

Q2 2025 Performance Highlights - XPO's operating income reached $198 million, a 1% increase year-over-year[8,9] - The LTL adjusted operating ratio improved by 30 bps year-over-year to 82.9%[8,9] - LTL adjusted EBITDA increased by 1% year-over-year to $300 million[8,9] - LTL purchased transportation expense decreased by 53% year-over-year[8] - LTL linehaul miles outsourced to third-party carriers decreased by 910 bps year-over-year[8,43] - LTL yield, excluding fuel, increased by 6.1% year-over-year[8,39] Strategic Growth Plan & Targets - The company aims for a revenue CAGR of 6% to 8% and an adjusted EBITDA CAGR of 11% to 13% for LTL growth from 2021 to 2027[12,44] - The company is targeting an adjusted operating ratio improvement of at least 600 bps for LTL from 2021-2027[12] - The company plans to target capex of 8% to 12% of revenue on average through 2027[29] Industry Position - The North American LTL industry is a $53 billion industry, with the top 10 players holding over 75% market share[18] - The company's North American LTL segment has a 9% industry share, generating $4.9 billion in revenue in 2024[19] 2025 Outlook - The company anticipates total gross capex between $600 million and $700 million for the full year 2025[50] - The company expects interest expense between $220 million and $230 million for the full year 2025[50] - The company projects a diluted share count of 120 million for the full year 2025[50]