更多资料加入知识星球：水木调研纪要 关注公众号：水木纪要 By analyzing data from Beijing city on inbound tourists, we answer investors' question – what is driving China's solid inbound visitation growth? We analyze Beijing's data: Lacking national-level international visitor breakdown post-Covid, we analyze Beijing's monthly inbound tourism data. The tourist breakdown in Beijing varies from national data, probably owing to visitors through borders ( Exhibit 1 and Exhibit 2 ). Even so, we think the comparison with its own historical lev ...

Financial Performance - Ocean Transportation revenue for the second quarter of 2025 decreased by 2.1% year-over-year to $675.6 million[49] - Logistics revenue for the second quarter of 2025 decreased by 1.7% year-over-year to $154.9 million[49] - Net income for the second quarter of 2025 decreased by 16.3% year-over-year to $94.7 million[49] - The terminal joint venture contribution was $7.3 million, a year-over-year increase of $6.1 million[42] - Approximately 0.9 million shares were repurchased in 2Q25 for a total cost of $93.7 million[57] Volume Trends - Hawaii container volume increased by 2.6% year-over-year due to higher general demand[8] - China container volume decreased by 14.6% year-over-year primarily due to market uncertainty and tariffs[22] - Guam container volume decreased by 2.2% year-over-year[25] - Alaska container volume increased by 0.9% year-over-year[35] Outlook - The company expects full year 2025 Ocean Transportation operating income to be moderately lower than the $500.9 million achieved in 2024[62] - The company expects full year 2025 Logistics operating income to be comparable to the $50.4 million achieved in 2024[62]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry or specific companies Core Insights - The China Export Tracker focuses on the dynamics of China exports to the US amid tariff escalations, analyzing data from 48 corporates representing nearly 70% of China export value to the US [2][41] - Export orders from the US to Chinese corporates have stabilized at 92% of pre-tariff levels as of April 28, 2025, showing a slight recovery from 90% in mid-April [3][12] - The report indicates that nearly 20% of corporates have seen improvements in exports to non-US regions, particularly in sectors like pet treats and construction machinery [4] - China shipments and production are in substantial decline, with 35% of US orders being filled from China and 57% from ex-China facilities [11][17] - Corporates report that 40% of their products are experiencing high impacts on shipments to the US, with a significant portion seeing declines of over 50% [12][18] Summary by Sections Export Orders and Shipments - Export orders from the US have largely remained unchanged, with a slight increase noted [3] - Shipments from China are significantly impacted, with many corporates reporting a decline in production and shipments [5][12] Supply Chain Adjustments - Corporates are adjusting supply chains, with many utilizing ex-China production facilities to fulfill US orders [11][13] - Nearly half of the corporates have reported stable or increasing inventory levels in the US, providing a buffer against supply chain disruptions [21][23] Pricing Discussions - Approximately 60% of corporates are engaged in pricing negotiations, with expectations that end users will absorb most tariff costs [25][29] - There is a consensus that tariffs above 30-40% could become unmanageable for the global supply chain [26][31] Capital Allocation and Expansion Plans - Nearly 60% of corporates have ex-China production facilities, with 63% planning to expand or establish overseas capacity despite tariff uncertainties [32] - Corporates are cautious about capital expansion plans, particularly in Mexico and the US, due to ongoing uncertainties [59][61] Container Shipping and Import Data - US container imports from China showed a year-on-year increase of 9% in Q1 2025, but projections indicate a decline of 15% in Q2 and 27% in Q3 2025 [33][35] - Container shipping data has not yet reflected the anticipated decline, with current volumes still showing positive growth [35][36]

1Q 2025 Earnings Conference Call May 5, 2025 Forward-Looking Statements Statements made during this presentation that set forth expectations, predictions, projections or are about future events are based on facts and situations that are known to us as of May 5, 2025. We believe that our expectations and assumptions are reasonable. Actual results may differ materially, due to risks and uncertainties, such as those described on pages 12-23 of our Form 10-K filed on February 28, 2025 and other subsequent filin ...