Lyft共享出行应用

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Lyft可能是个好机会
美股研究社· 2025-08-07 11:58
Core Viewpoint - The second quarter earnings season has been challenging, with many companies performing well but facing stock sell-offs. Analysts suggest that this is a good time for investors to find undervalued stocks, particularly in the case of Lyft, which has seen its stock price drop despite strong operational metrics [1][3]. Financial Performance - Lyft reported a revenue of $1.588 billion for Q2, an 11% year-over-year increase, slightly below Wall Street's expectation of $1.600 billion. The revenue growth rate decreased by approximately 3 percentage points compared to Q1 [13][14]. - Active riders increased to 26.1 million, up from 24.2 million in Q1 and 23.7 million in Q2 of the previous year [13]. - Gross bookings reached a record high of $4.490 billion, reflecting a 12% year-over-year growth [14]. Strategic Shifts - Lyft has shifted its strategy from aggressive growth to focusing on profitable operations and reasonable competition with Uber. This has led to an increase in adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow [4][20]. - The company plans to selectively pursue market share growth in lower penetration markets, indicating a renewed commitment to growth [7]. Market Position and Valuation - Lyft's current stock price is around $13, with a market capitalization of $5.66 billion. After accounting for $1.79 billion in cash and $526.5 million in debt, the enterprise value is approximately $4.4 billion [7]. - Analysts expect Lyft's revenue for FY 2025 to reach $6.47 billion, a 12% increase year-over-year, with a free cash flow margin of 16.2% [8][10]. Cost Management - Lyft has successfully reduced per-ride subsidies, which decreased by 20% year-over-year to $1.03 per ride, indicating a shift towards profitable growth rather than competing on price [17][20]. - The adjusted EBITDA for Q2 reached a historical high of $129.4 million, a 25% increase year-over-year, driven by reduced subsidies and strict control over operating expenses [20][22]. Future Outlook - Lyft's guidance for Q3 includes gross bookings of $4.65 billion to $4.80 billion, representing a year-over-year growth of 13% to 17% [17]. - The company is on track to achieve long-term targets set during the Investor Day in June 2024, indicating a positive outlook despite the challenging economic environment [17].