MGM Resorts International (MGM) Q1 2025 Earnings Call April 30, 2025 05:00 PM ET Company Participants Howard Wang - Vice President - Investor RelationsWilliam Hornbuckle - CEO and PresidentJonathan Halkyard - CFODavid Katz - Managing DirectorStephen Grambling - Managing DirectorJohn Decree - Director - Equity ResearchKenneth Feng - Executive Director & PresidentBarry Jonas - Managing DirectorCorey Sanders - Chief Operating Officer Conference Call Participants Brandt Montour - Director, Equity Research Analy ...

Core Viewpoint - MGM Resorts International is expected to report a decline in earnings and revenues for the first quarter of 2025, with various factors influencing its performance, including strong domestic demand and macroeconomic challenges [1][2][6]. Financial Performance Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for first-quarter earnings per share (EPS) is 50 cents, reflecting a 32.4% decrease from 74 cents in the same quarter last year [1]. - The consensus revenue estimate is approximately $4.27 billion, indicating a 2.5% decline from the previous year's figure [2]. Factors Influencing Performance - MGM's first-quarter performance is anticipated to benefit from robust domestic demand trends, strong Las Vegas operations, strategic convention bookings, and growth in digital platforms like BetMGM [3]. - Event-driven demand around the Super Bowl and January conventions is expected to have positively impacted performance, with Las Vegas operations' Average Daily Rates projected to grow in the mid-single digits, supported by record January occupancy levels of 94% [4]. Regional Operations and Bookings - The strong group bookings pipeline, enhanced by collaboration with Marriott and improvements to the Mandalay Bay Convention Center, is likely to support performance [5]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for first-quarter revenues from regional operations rooms is $67 million, slightly up from $66 million reported in the prior-year quarter [5]. Challenges and Headwinds - Persistent macroeconomic challenges, including inflation, competitive labor markets, and foreign currency fluctuations, are expected to negatively impact performance [6]. - Soft contributions from casino, rooms, and food and beverage sectors are anticipated, with estimated revenues of $2.2 billion, $937 million, and $740 million respectively, compared to higher figures in the prior-year quarter [7]. Cost Pressures - Elevated pre-opening costs related to MGM Grand hotel renovations and international expansion, particularly in Brazil, are likely to exert margin pressure [8]. - First-quarter EBITDAR growth in Las Vegas may be affected by an estimated $65 million year-over-year Super Bowl headwind and temporary room disruptions from renovation projects [8]. Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict a definitive earnings beat for MGM Resorts, as it lacks a positive Earnings ESP and holds a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) [9][10].