二级市场方面，截至发稿，中国中冶A股开盘下挫，逼近跌停，港股下跌超20% | Ａ股 | | | | 港股 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3.06元 -0.33 -9.73% | | | | | | | | | 交易中 12-09 10:13:00 北京时间 | | | | | | | | | 今开 | 3.23 | | 最高 | 3.23 | | 成交量 | 500.18万手 | | 昨收 | 3.39 | | 最低 | 3.05 | | 成交额 | 15.44亿 | | 换手率 | 2.80% | | 市盈(TTM) | 16.32 | | 总市值 | 634.14亿 | | 分时 | 王日 | 日K | 周K | 月K | 季K | 年K | 亜多い | | 3.23 | | | | | | | -4.72% | | 14 | | | | | | | -7.38% | | | | | | | | | -10.03% | 12月8日晚间，中国中冶（SH601618，股价3.39元，市值702.53亿元）发布公告称，拟将 ...

以下文章来源于晚点财经 ，作者晚点团队 晚点财经 . 用框架思维分析上市公司的增长逻辑与投资价值。 高分红撑起 "债券价值"，但股票增长缺乏逻辑支撑。 文 丨 胡昊 毫无疑问，格力电器是 A 股中大额且持续分红的代表企业，在很大程度上，这也成为其最为核心的价 值标签。 在近期的股东会上，格力审议通过了《2025 年中期利润分配预案》——每 10 股派发现金红利 10 元，但有股东提问，近十年来格力的分红稳定性是否将会改变？ 从 2018 年至 2024 年的七年时间里，格力的营业收入基本就在 2000 亿元以内，根据 2025 年前三季 度营收 1372 亿元、同比约-7% 的增长态势看，其今年也很难达到去年 1892 亿元的营收规模。 尤其面对愈发激烈的市场竞争，格力处于被动发展局面已是显而易见。 试想一下，如果未来格力逐步下调分红比例，那么格力的股价或市值将会面临多大的压力，无论是股 东、员工、以及合作伙伴、公司管理层，都不会愿意承受由此带来的结果。 但对于分红，格力董事长董明珠表示，其理解大家对格力分红的期待，但格力自从上市以来仅从市场 累计融资 50 亿元，而累计分红已超过 1700 亿元，股东们希望 ...

在规模化的赛道上一路狂奔后，航班管家母公司活力集团有限公司(以下简称"活力集团")在求解资本化 的同时，也开始不得不面对自己的后遗症——毛利率下跌。活力集团于11月30日再度更新了其港交所上 市申请文件，补充披露了截至2025年6月30日的最新财务及运营数据。从数据来看，今年上半年，活力 集团的用户规模、收入与总GMV持续增长，业绩整体向好。但在数据增长背后，销售成本增加，毛利 率出现下滑，企业差旅GMV下降明显。今年以来，机票销售市场竞争激烈，市场份额从1.2%提升到 1.4%的活力集团突围之路仍不平坦。 注册用户数达2.17亿人 根据最新招股书数据，活力集团的用户规模不断攀升。截至2024年12月31日，活力集团所有平台的累计 注册用户数为1.97亿人，这一数值在2025年6月30日增长到2.17亿人，自2022年1月1日起增加56.5%。 从经营能力来看，活力集团的收入、净利润都出现明显增长。2025年上半年，活力集团实现收入3.51亿 元，同比增长24.8%；净利润为4710万元，同比增长48.5%。对于收入增长的原因，活力集团在招股书 中表示，主要是旅行相关服务收入增加3650万元以及线上营销服务收 ...

Core Insights - The core issue for the company is the decline in gross margin despite overall revenue growth, attributed to rising sales costs and increased competition in the flight ticket market [1][5]. User Growth and Financial Performance - As of June 30, 2025, the total registered users of the company reached 217 million, a 56.5% increase since January 1, 2022 [3]. - For the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of 351 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.8%, and a net profit of 47.1 million yuan, up 48.5% [3]. - The growth in revenue is primarily driven by an increase in travel-related services revenue by 36.5 million yuan and online marketing services revenue by 30.1 million yuan [3]. Revenue Composition - Travel-related services still dominate revenue but their share decreased from 89.5% in the first half of 2024 to 82.1% in the first half of 2025, indicating a diversification of revenue sources [4]. - Online marketing services revenue has significantly increased, reflecting the company's efforts to reduce reliance on a single business line [4]. Cost and Margin Analysis - The company's gross margin slightly declined from 58.6% to 57.1% due to a 29.3% increase in sales costs, which outpaced revenue growth [5]. - Increased costs were attributed to higher expenses paid to service providers and increased marketing and promotional activities [5][6]. Market Dynamics and Challenges - The total GMV (Gross Merchandise Volume) for the company has shown significant growth, but the GMV for corporate travel services decreased from 41.7 million yuan to 36.8 million yuan, indicating potential customer loss or challenges in acquiring new clients [6]. - The company holds approximately 0.7% of the corporate travel management service market, which was valued at around 13.8 billion yuan in 2024 [6]. Competitive Landscape - The online travel market is becoming increasingly competitive, with airlines enhancing their direct sales efforts through various platforms [7]. - The company is encouraged to explore additional value in travel management and destination services while leveraging AI to enhance its technological capabilities [7].

在规模化的赛道上一路狂奔后，航班管家母公司活力集团有限公司（以下简称"活力集团"）在求解资本 化的同时，也开始不得不面对自己的后遗症——毛利率下跌。活力集团于11月30日再度更新了其港交所 上市申请文件，补充披露了截至2025年6月30日的最新财务及运营数据。从数据来看，今年上半年，活 力集团的用户规模、收入与总GMV持续增长，业绩整体向好。但在数据增长背后，销售成本增加，毛 利率出现下滑，企业差旅GMV下降明显。今年以来，机票销售市场竞争激烈，市场份额从1.2%提升到 1.4%的活力集团突围之路仍不平坦。 平台累计注册用户数达2.17亿人 根据最新招股书数据，活力集团的用户规模不断攀升。截至2024年12月31日，活力集团所有平台的累计 注册用户数为1.97亿人，这一数值在2025年6月30日增长到2.17亿人，自2022年1月1日起增加56.5%。 从经营能力来看，活力集团的收入、净利润都出现明显增长。2025年上半年，活力集团实现收入3.51亿 元，同比增长24.8%；净利润为4710万元，同比增长48.5%。对于收入增长的原因，活力集团在招股书 中表示，主要是旅行相关服务收入增加3650万元以及线上营 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent shareholder meeting of Gree Electric Appliances was characterized as a "friend meeting" rather than a traditional shareholder meeting, with a focus on open communication about the company's future strategies and performance [5][3]. Group 1: Shareholder Meeting Insights - The shareholder meeting held on November 24, 2023, in Zhuhai, saw over 70 shareholders in attendance, which was noted to be relatively low compared to previous meetings [3][5]. - Gree's Chairman, Dong Mingzhu, emphasized the importance of showcasing the new management team and allowing business leaders to address shareholder questions directly [5][6]. - The meeting included discussions on various topics such as product planning, channel transformation, dividend policies, and international expansion strategies [3][5]. Group 2: Dividend Policy - The meeting approved the 2025 interim profit distribution plan, which proposes a cash dividend of 10 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 5.585 billion yuan [6][8]. - Dong Mingzhu highlighted the company's commitment to dividends, noting that since its listing, Gree has raised 5 billion yuan but has distributed over 170 billion yuan in dividends [8]. - Gree's President, Zhang Wei, assured shareholders that the company would maintain a stable dividend policy, reflecting its commitment to investor returns [8]. Group 3: International Expansion and Product Strategy - Gree's international strategy was a key focus, with discussions on the company's performance in the Middle East and plans for expansion in Africa and Latin America [9]. - Zhang Wei reported a significant shift in Gree's export structure, with the proportion of self-owned brands in exports increasing from less than 30% to nearly 80% [9]. - The company is also making strides in industrial products and smart equipment, indicating a diversification of its business model beyond air conditioning [9].

Core Viewpoint - The company, Huolala, is making another attempt to go public on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange after a six-month hiatus, with updated performance data indicating a revenue of $935 million for the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 31.8% [2] Financial Performance - Huolala's revenue and profit have shown positive trends, but growth is perceived as below expectations, especially with a global transaction volume (GTV) nearing $6 billion [2] - The monetization rate for Huolala's freight platform services has declined from 10.3% in 2023 to 9.2% by mid-2025, indicating a potential underperformance in revenue generation relative to market growth [2] Revenue Strategy - The decline in monetization rate is attributed to Huolala's decision to reduce commission rates on selected order types, which has led to a revenue shortfall of approximately $50 million, equivalent to about 357 million RMB [3][4] - The company has actively lowered commission rates for long-distance orders by about 4% and for carpool orders by approximately 6% to enhance compliance and stimulate driver engagement [4] Business Diversification - Huolala is expanding its business into three main segments: freight platform services, diversified logistics services, and value-added services, with diversified logistics contributing over $370 million in revenue, accounting for 40.1% of total revenue in the first half of 2025 [5] - The diversified logistics services have seen a significant year-on-year growth of approximately 73.2%, indicating a strong market demand for these services [5] International Expansion - Huolala's overseas brand, Lalamove, has shown promising growth, achieving approximately $150 million in revenue for 2024 and $88.94 million by mid-2025, benefiting from a less competitive environment [6] - Lalamove adapts its services to local markets, such as offering motorcycle delivery in Southeast Asia, which has resulted in higher efficiency compared to competitors [7] Future Outlook - The company is working on integrating domestic and international operations, allowing for cross-border services, which could enhance its market presence and revenue potential [7] - With a more diversified business strategy and a focus on long-term growth, Huolala's renewed IPO attempt reflects its commitment to overcoming past challenges and achieving success in the Hong Kong market [7]

Core Viewpoint - The construction materials industry is facing significant challenges due to a downturn in the real estate sector, leading to a decline in demand and performance for companies like Beixin Building Materials [2][4][5] Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, Beixin Building Materials reported a revenue of 199.05 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.25%, and a net profit of 25.86 billion yuan, down 17.77% [5][6] - The company's revenue and net profit showed a downward trend quarter by quarter in 2025, with Q1 revenue at 62.46 billion yuan (up 5.09%), Q2 at 73.12 billion yuan (down 4.46%), and Q3 at 63.47 billion yuan (down 6.20%) [5][6] - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 29.53%, down 1.12 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 13.34%, down 2.37 percentage points [5] Market Dynamics - The decline in Beixin's performance is largely attributed to reduced real estate investment, which is the primary driver of demand for construction materials [6][7] - The company is attempting to diversify its business by focusing on high-growth segments such as coatings and waterproofing, which showed significant revenue increases in the first three quarters of 2025 [8][9] Business Strategy - Beixin Building Materials is actively pursuing international expansion, with overseas sales showing a growth of 68.8% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, although they still represent a small portion of total revenue [11][12] - The company is facing legal challenges in the U.S. related to product quality issues, which have resulted in significant financial liabilities [12][13] Industry Outlook - The construction materials industry is undergoing a transformation driven by environmental policies and the need for diversification, with a focus on sustainable and innovative practices [8][10] - Long-term growth in the waterproofing and coatings sectors is expected to be supported by urban renewal policies and the renovation of existing buildings [10]

Core Viewpoint - Luxshare Precision announced its 2025 annual performance forecast, expecting a net profit attributable to shareholders in the range of 16.518 billion to 17.186 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 23.59% to 28.59% [3] Group 1: Financial Performance - The forecasted net profit for 2025 is between 16.518 billion and 17.186 billion yuan, compared to 13.366 billion yuan in 2024, indicating a growth of 23.59% to 28.59% [3] - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is expected to be between 13.841 billion and 14.810 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 18.36% to 26.64% [3] - The basic earnings per share are projected to be between 2.28 and 2.37 yuan, up from 1.86 yuan in 2024, reflecting a growth of 22.58% to 26.34% [3] Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - The company is deepening its globalization strategy, enhancing service resilience by closely aligning with customer needs and leveraging overseas production bases [4] - Cost reduction and efficiency enhancement are driven by the integration of smart manufacturing and AI technology, optimizing production processes and supply chain management [5] - The company is diversifying its business by investing in emerging fields such as AI hardware, data center interconnectivity, thermal management, smart vehicles, and robotics, creating a more resilient business matrix [6]

Core Viewpoint - Luxshare Precision (002475.SZ) forecasts a net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately 16.518 billion to 17.186 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 23.59% to 28.59% [1] - The company aims to enhance its global strategy and manufacturing capabilities while expanding into emerging sectors such as AI hardware and smart vehicles [1] Financial Performance - Expected net profit attributable to shareholders: 16.518 billion - 17.186 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.59% - 28.59% [1] - Expected net profit excluding non-recurring gains and losses: 13.842 billion - 14.810 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.36% - 26.64% [1] - Basic earnings per share projected at 2.28 - 2.37 yuan [1] Strategic Outlook - The company will continue to deepen its globalization strategy and leverage overseas production bases to meet regional market demands [1] - Focus on "underlying capability innovation" and "smart manufacturing upgrades" to enhance cost control across the entire industry chain [1] - Plans to diversify business operations with increased investments in emerging fields such as AI edge hardware, data center interconnectivity, thermal management, smart vehicles, and robotics [1]