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万华化学(600309):2025 年中报点评:2025Q2业绩环比止跌,周期景气回升或可期待
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Wanhua Chemical [1][7][17] Core Views - The company's Q2 performance shows signs of stabilization, with expectations for a cyclical recovery in the industry [5][11] - In H1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 90.901 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.35%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 6.123 billion yuan, down 25.10% year-on-year [4][5] - The polyurethane sector is expected to improve profitability due to rising TDI and MDI prices, while the petrochemical segment faces challenges from oversupply [5][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 47.833 billion yuan, an 11% increase quarter-on-quarter, with net profit of 3.04 billion yuan remaining stable [5] - The company’s second ethylene unit with a capacity of 1.2 million tons/year has successfully commenced operations [6] Business Segments - The polyurethane industry shows stable demand, particularly in the new energy and high-end manufacturing sectors, driven by the lightweight requirements of electric vehicles [5] - The fine chemicals and new materials segments are experiencing steady growth, with ongoing product and capacity releases contributing to revenue stability [5][6] Future Outlook - The company is expected to see EPS of 4.3, 5.34, and 6.29 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, indicating a positive growth trajectory [7][8] - The report anticipates a revenue growth rate of 10.91% in 2025, with further increases in subsequent years [8][13]