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钧达股份(002865):2024年年报点评:N型出货提升显著,海外业务持续扩张
Minsheng Securities· 2025-03-18 11:03
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of over 15% relative to the benchmark index [4][7]. Core Views - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, with total revenue at 9.952 billion yuan, down 44.66% year-on-year, and a net loss of 591 million yuan [1][4]. - Despite the challenging market conditions, the company achieved a notable increase in N-type battery shipments, with a total of 33.74 GW shipped in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.62%, and N-type battery shipments alone reached 30.99 GW, up 50.58% year-on-year [2][4]. - The company is actively expanding its overseas business, with overseas sales accounting for 23.85% of total sales in 2024, an increase of 19.16 percentage points compared to 2023 [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported revenue of 1.750 billion yuan, a decrease of 59.08% year-on-year, and a net loss of 174 million yuan [1]. - The company expects revenues to recover in the coming years, projecting revenues of 14.807 billion yuan, 18.741 billion yuan, and 21.849 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][6]. Production Capacity and Technology - The company has two major production bases for N-type batteries, achieving a total production capacity of 44 GW in 2024 [2]. - The average production efficiency of batteries has improved, with non-silicon costs reduced by 30%, and the introduction of the new N-type battery series "MoNo 2" [3]. Market Position and Outlook - The company ranks third globally in battery shipments, maintaining a leading position in N-type product shipments [2]. - The report anticipates a recovery in profitability and revenue growth as industry supply and demand improve, with projected net profits of 898 million yuan, 1.662 billion yuan, and 2.109 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][6].