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“反内卷”:在秩序重构中激活高质量发展动能
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang· 2025-07-10 18:35
这种"立规则"而非"一刀切"的智慧,正引导企业将竞争重心从价格比拼转向质量和创新比拼。当光伏行 业从"价格战"转向"技术协同",头部企业联手攻关钙钛矿电池;新能源汽车领域从"比降价"转向"比安 全",车企扎堆研发固态电池。这正是理性竞争的核心,企业不是不竞争,而是要在合规框架内以技术 创新、品质升级为"矛",以产业链协同为"盾",在良性循环中实现"强者愈强"。 站在高质量发展的坐标上,当前的"反内卷"浪潮本质是一场发展逻辑的重塑。当企业告别拼资源、比消 耗的旧模式,走向靠创新、赢价值的新路径。这不是对市场活力的削弱,而是对健康竞争的守护。让竞 争回归本源,既守护"价格围绕价值波动"的市场规律,又激励"创新驱动发展"的产业升级。如此一来, 中国经济必将在有序竞争中释放更澎湃的动能,在全球产业链中形成"质"的优势。 这,或许正是"反内卷"这个时代名词最深层的意义:给无序竞争做"减法",为高质量发展做"乘法",让 产业在有序竞争中穿越周期,行稳致远。 从钢铁行业的"以量补价",到光伏组件的"六毛一瓦",再到新能源汽车的"月降千元"……《求是》杂志 指出,这种"内卷式"竞争将市场主体困在"低价低质、没有效益"的泥潭, ...
政策重拳治理无序竞争,光伏产业链价格承压,供给侧改革成反转关键
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-07-04 05:38
本轮行业出清的节奏严重滞后,无序竞争、低效产能难以退出,行业的复杂性远远超出了市场经济的规 律。 光伏"反内卷"正在从最高层推进,整治决心空前。 继人民日报发文点名光伏后,7月3日工信部召开第十五次制造业企业座谈会,针对光伏行业发展提出多 项举措,包括治理低价无序竞争:强调依法依规、综合治理行业低价竞争问题,引导企业提升产品品 质,推动落后产能有序退出,实现健康可持续发展等等。 工信部上一次举行光伏行业专项座谈会是2023年11月,同时,通威集团董事局主席刘汉元、隆基绿能董 事长钟宝申、天合光能董事长高纪凡等头部光伏企业负责人参会。 本轮行业出清的节奏严重滞后,无序竞争、低效产能难以退出,行业的复杂性远远超出了市场经济的规 律。尽管减产预期不断升温,本周光伏产业链多环节价格继续承压,尤其受抢装结束后需求低迷影响, 对比抢装潮前(2月底)数据,硅片价格下跌约20%,硅料跌幅达到16%,几乎所有品种的价格都跌破2 月底。 供需两端来看,由于需求增速下滑,光伏行业困境反转主要依赖供给侧改革。伴随整治无序竞争信号加 强,市场对后续针对性的实质性政策出台,推动供给侧改革抱有强预期。 InfoLink在本周价格评析中表示 ...
21专访|晶科能源钱晶:光伏业“大鱼小鱼”各有各的赛道
Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing a prolonged adjustment cycle, but companies with core competencies such as technology and globalization will continue to thrive despite short-term challenges [1][4][5]. Industry Overview - The photovoltaic sector is characterized by a long-term growth potential, with global demand for renewable energy remaining strong despite short-term fluctuations [4][5]. - The current adjustment cycle in the photovoltaic industry is longer than expected, with demand expected to cool in the third quarter due to policy changes, but improvement is anticipated in the fourth quarter as projects commence [1][2]. Market Dynamics - A significant bifurcation is expected in the industry, with high-efficiency, high-power capacity (650W and above) becoming a scarce resource, leading to greater pricing power for companies with technological advantages [2]. - The domestic market has shown a steady upward trend over the past five years, while overseas demand is shifting towards emerging markets in Latin America, Southeast Asia, South Asia, and the Middle East [3]. Company Strategy - The company has a strong focus on overseas markets, with 68.6% of its revenue coming from international operations, particularly in the Middle East and Southeast Asia [7]. - The company plans to upgrade existing production capacity rather than expand, aiming for 40% of its capacity to be in the 540-650W range [7][8]. Technological Advancements - N-type solar cells are seen as a platform technology that can integrate various new processes, potentially reaching efficiency levels close to the physical limits of monocrystalline silicon cells [8][9]. - Energy storage technology is crucial for addressing the intermittency of solar power, with the company actively expanding its storage business, which has seen a sixfold increase year-on-year [9].
山西证券研究早观点-20250619
Shanxi Securities· 2025-06-19 04:01
2025 年 6 月 19 日 星期四 市场走势 【今日要点】 【行业评论】【山证电新】20250618 光伏产业链价格跟踪 研究早观点 资料来源:最闻 国内市场主要指数 | 指数 | | 收盘 | 涨跌幅% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | | 3,388.81 | 0.04 | | 深证成指 | | 10,175.59 | 0.24 | | 沪深 | 300 | 3,874.97 | 0.12 | | 中小板指 | | 6,393.77 | 0.63 | | 创业板指 | | 2,054.73 | 0.23 | | 科创 50 | | 968.18 | 0.53 | 资料来源:最闻 分析师: 李召麒 执业登记编码:S0760521050001 电话:010-83496307 邮箱:lizhaoqi@sxzq.com 2019 年 2 月 21 日 星期四 请务必阅读最后股票评级说明和免责声明 1 研究早观点 电池片 价格结构性下降: 182-183.75mm N 型电池片均价为 0.240 元/W(转换效率 25.0%+),较上周 下降 2.0%;182*210mm ...
亿晶光电控股股东股份将被“清仓”拍卖 此前曾多次流拍
Xin Lang Zheng Quan· 2025-05-27 08:27
近日,亿晶光电公告称,控股股东深圳市唯之能源有限公司持有的公司2亿股无限售流通股将被司法拍 卖。该部分占控股股东所持有公司股份的比例为100%,占公司总股本的比例为16.90%。若本次司法拍 卖成功,唯之能源将不再持有公司股份,公司控股股东及实际控制人将发生变化。 控股股东涉58亿担保债务违约 此前,唯之能源持有的股权已多次流拍,例如2025年2月其持有的5469.62万股(占总股本4.61%)因无 人出价流拍,显示市场对亿晶光电股权的兴趣低迷。 去年收入"腰斩" 巨亏21亿 亿晶光电近年来深陷经营泥潭。2024年公司归母净利润巨亏20.90亿元,营收同比下滑57.07%;2025年 一季度继续亏损5314万元,资产负债率高达92.8%,流动比率仅0.99,短期偿债压力凸显。 其常州基地5GW PERC电池产能和滁州7.5GW TOPCon电池产能已全线停产,组件产能利用率仅40%, 产业链整合能力薄弱。此外,光伏行业供需失衡、技术迭代加速(如PERC技术被淘汰、TOPCon产能 过剩)进一步加剧了公司困境。 控制权变更的潜在影响 此次司法拍卖的直接原因是唯之能源因对外担保引发的债务违约问题。 唯之能源涉及7 ...
晶科能源(688223):2024年年报&2025年一季报点评:2024年组件销量维持行业第一,2025年出货目标85~100GW
EBSCN· 2025-05-05 15:23
公司研究 2024 年组件销量维持行业第一,2025 年出货目标 85~100GW ——晶科能源(688223.SH)2024 年年报&2025 年一季报点评 要点 事件:公司发布 2024 年年报&2025 年一季报,2024 年实现营业收入 924.71 亿 元,同比-22.08%,实现归母净利润 0.99 亿元,同比-98.67%;2025Q1 实现营 业收入 138.43 亿元,同比-40.03%,实现归母净利润-13.9 亿元,环比亏损扩大。 2024 年组件销量维持行业第一,计提减值准备阶段性影响公司业绩。2024 年公 司实现组件出货 92.87GW,同比增长 18.28%,组件销量维持行业第一,其中 N 型出货 81.29GW,占比约 88%;但在产业链价格持续下跌的背景下,2024 年公 司光伏组件业务营业收入同比减少 22.13%至 890.74 亿元,毛利率同比减少 5.76 个 pct 至 7.79%。此外,公司基于审慎性原则 2024 年资产处置和计提减值损失 共 21.86 亿元(其中资产减值损失 14.58 亿元),阶段性影响公司业绩。 2025Q1 公司实现总出货量 19.13 ...
光伏产业链价格下降,特高压建设进入释放期
Huaan Securities· 2025-04-29 06:26
Investment Rating - Industry Investment Rating: Overweight [1] Core Views - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing a weakening market atmosphere, with continued price declines across the supply chain. N-type module prices fell by 0.02 CNY/W, driven by expectations of decreased terminal component demand as the 531 rush installation deadline approaches. It is recommended to focus on the BC technology industry trend, which has relatively high certainty for the year [3][17][22]. - Offshore wind projects are progressing steadily, with the Jiangsu 1550MW offshore wind project entering the basic phase of construction. The successful connection of the Guangdong Yangjiang offshore wind project to the grid marks a significant milestone [3][23]. - The energy storage sector is seeing a valuation recovery during the earnings announcement period, with a focus on storage PCS and industrial storage segments. Global energy storage demand is rebounding, particularly in Europe, and there is potential for valuation recovery in large-scale and household storage segments [3][26]. - The electric grid investment in the first quarter of 2025 reached 95.6 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 24.8%. The State Grid plans to accelerate investment in UHV projects in the second quarter [3][43]. - The electric vehicle sector is influenced by potential tariff exemptions proposed by the Trump administration, suggesting continued investment in high-profit companies within the sector [3][45]. Summary by Sections Photovoltaic - Market sentiment is weak, with prices continuing to decline. N-type components dropped by 0.02 CNY/W, and terminal component demand is expected to decrease [3][15][21]. - The supply chain is under pressure, with expectations of a decline in domestic terminal component demand in the second half of the year [3][17][22]. Wind Power - Offshore wind projects are entering a positive phase, with significant projects in Jiangsu and Guangdong making progress [3][23][24]. Energy Storage - The sector is experiencing a valuation recovery, with a focus on PCS and industrial storage. Global demand is increasing, particularly in Europe [3][26][27]. Electric Grid Equipment - Investment in electric grid projects in the first quarter of 2025 was 95.6 billion CNY, a 24.8% increase year-on-year. The State Grid is expected to enhance UHV investment in the second quarter [3][43][44]. Electric Vehicles - The electric vehicle sector is affected by proposed tariff exemptions, with a recommendation to continue investing in high-profit companies [3][45][46]. Hydrogen Energy - Multiple large-scale hydrogen projects are underway, with a focus on hydrogen production and storage. Significant investments are being made in green hydrogen projects [3][38][39][40].
光伏A+H第一股启航:钧达股份(02865.HK/002865.SZ)重塑全球电池片估值坐标系
Ge Long Hui· 2025-04-28 01:03
4月28日,全球光伏电池龙头企业钧达股份正式叩响港交所大门,启动港股招股程序。 作为头部专业光伏电池制造商,钧达此次赴港上市不仅被视为其全球化战略的关键一跃,更因恰逢全球 能源结构深度调整与资本市场对新能源赛道估值重构的特殊节点,甫一启动便引发产业链上下游、投资 机构及行业观察者的多维聚焦。 从N型技术路线的持续领跑,到海外基地的产能扩张,这家以技术颠覆著称的光伏巨头正通过资本市场 的桥梁,开启新一轮产业竞速。 实际上,2024年以来新能源企业赴港上市已经成为了一股热潮,据不完全统计,这一数量超过20家。 一、新能源产业链的全球化突围密码 其中,不乏宁德时代、晶澳科技、先导智能这类早已在A股上市并在各自赛道处于头部地位的企业身 影。 一方面,政策面释放了积极信号,去年4月,中国证监会明确提出"支持内地行业龙头企业赴香港上 市",叠加去年以来港股行情转暖,"天时"、"地利"共振催化了这波赴港上市潮。 另一方面,新能源产业近几年供需关系结构性失衡,产业竞争加剧,向海外市场寻求增量自然成为了业 内共识,港股市场作为离岸金融市场,能更方便地让国内新能源企业对接到国际资本,对未来在海外市 场的项目开展更加有利。 (来源 ...
中环新能源(01735):从绿建光伏到零碳产业先行者
智通财经网· 2025-04-02 03:18
公告称,收益增加主要由于受报告年度N型电池及光伏组件销量强劲增长所推动,新能源及EPC分部的 收益净增加,约为41.275亿港元(上一报告年度约21.2亿港元)。 凭借技术创新与战略聚焦,中环新能源吸引了全球资管巨头贝莱德(BlackRock)的青睐。最新披露财报 显示,贝莱德ETF基金以0.46%的持股比例成为其重要机构投资者。 贝莱德是全球最大的资产管理公司之一,资产管理规模约11.5万亿美金,其投资决策往往被视为聪明资 金的风向标。其持续增持行为向市场传递对中国经济增长潜力的信心,尤其在新能源、消费等领域。 资本市场的价值认同,贝莱德持仓背后的投资逻辑引发关注。 国际资管巨头,为何看好中环新能源这家中国新能源企业? 智通财经APP获悉,在新能源产业加速转型的背景下,中环新能源控股集团(01735)交出了一份亮眼的成 绩单。日前,中环新能源公布2024年业绩,收益约为60.32亿港元,同比增长49.74%。公司拥有人应占 溢利约为1.06亿港元,同比增长60.42%。 产能和技术领先 光伏业务进入发力阶段 贝莱德为何看好这家中国新能源企业? 公开资料显示,贝莱德近年来持续加码中国新能源产业链,其重仓的比亚 ...
JinkoSolar(JKS) - 2024 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-03-26 12:00
JinkoSolar (JKS) Q4 2024 Earnings Call March 26, 2025 08:00 AM ET Company Participants Stella Wang - Investor Relations OfficerGener Miao - Chief Marketing Officer of JinkoSolar Company LimitedMengmeng Li - Chief Financial OfficerTyler Bisset - Equity Research AssociateHaiyun Cao - DirectorRajiv Chaudhri - President Conference Call Participants Philip Shen - Managing Director, Senior Research AnalystAlan Lau - Analyst Operator Hello, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you for standing by for JinkoSolar Holding ...