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monday.com plunges 12.5% YTD: Should You Hold or Fold the stock?
ZACKS· 2025-09-19 15:55
Core Insights - monday.com (MNDY) shares have declined 12.5% year-to-date, underperforming the Zacks Internet-Software industry and the Zacks Computer and Technology sector, which appreciated by 24.2% and 19.8% respectively [1] Financial Performance - MNDY reported revenue of $299 million in Q2 2025, reflecting a 27% year-over-year growth, but this indicates a slowdown compared to previous quarters [4] - Net dollar retention (NDR) weakened to 111% in Q2, down from higher levels in the prior year, with the third-quarter NDR estimated at 110.11%, indicating moderating expansion within existing customers [4] - Non-GAAP operating margin contracted to 15% in Q2 from 16% a year ago, with expectations of further compression to 11-12% in Q3 [6][8] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q3 earnings is 89 cents per share, implying a modest 4.71% year-over-year growth, suggesting rising costs are not translating into significant earnings momentum [7] Cost Structure - Research and development expenses reached 20% of revenues in Q2, up from 16% a year earlier, driven by investments in AI initiatives and CRM expansion [5][8] - Sales and marketing expenses remained high at 47% of revenue, reflecting the costs associated with pursuing enterprise customers in a competitive market [5] Competitive Landscape - The collaboration software market is highly competitive, with strong resistance from established platforms like Atlassian, Asana, and Freshworks, which are enhancing their offerings with AI features [9] - These competitors are embedding AI into their ecosystems, making it challenging for MNDY to convert investments into sustainable revenue growth or margin improvement [9] Valuation Concerns - MNDY shares are considered overvalued, trading at a forward P/E of 46.29X, higher than the industry average of 40.16X and peers like Atlassian (39.14X), Asana (46.11X), and Freshworks (20.74X) [10][11] - The premium valuation is increasingly difficult to justify given the deteriorating fundamentals and weakening customer retention [11] Conclusion - MNDY is facing challenges with slowing growth, weakening net dollar retention, and narrowing margins, while elevated spending is not leading to stronger earnings [13] - Competitive pressures are limiting the company's ability to achieve sustainable returns, and the current premium valuation raises concerns for investors [13]
Monday.com Extends AI Momentum, Wall Street Shrugs Off Near-Term Pressures
Benzinga· 2025-09-18 15:56
Core Viewpoint - Monday.com demonstrated strong momentum in artificial intelligence and new product growth at the Elevate 2025 conference, despite near-term revenue guidance impacting share prices [1][2] Group 1: AI Tools and Product Growth - The expanding AI suite, including Monday Agents, Monday Sidekick, Monday Magic, and Monday Vibe, is gaining traction among small and medium-sized business (SMB) customers [3][4] - New go-to-market strategies under the recently appointed Chief Revenue Officer (CRO) are expected to accelerate the company's shift towards larger accounts, enhancing revenue share and retention [3] - Newer product lines such as CRM, Service, and Dev currently account for less than 10% of revenue, indicating significant room for growth within the existing customer base of over 250,000 [3] Group 2: Customer Satisfaction and Market Position - Customer feedback at the Elevate conference highlighted satisfaction with the platform's ease of use and integrations, although some concerns were raised regarding pricing complexity in AI consumption credits [5] - The low penetration of Monday.com in the enterprise market, currently less than 1% of its installed base, presents a substantial growth opportunity as digital transformation accelerates [6] Group 3: Financial Projections and Market Performance - Analysts expect over 20% revenue growth and more than 30% free cash flow margins, suggesting that investors may underestimate Monday.com's mid-term growth potential [7] - Projected fiscal 2025 revenue is $1.23 billion with an EPS of $4.13, while shares were trading at $202.25, reflecting a 7.36% increase at the time of publication [7]
monday.com (NasdaqGS:MNDY) 2025 Conference Transcript
2025-09-11 00:27
Summary of monday.com Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: monday.com (NasdaqGS: MNDY) - **Event**: 2025 Conference on September 10, 2025 Key Points Company Vision and Goals - monday.com aims to simplify software for professional users, moving towards being the go-to platform for work management, including CRM, Dev, and IT Service Management [10][11] - The company is focused on maintaining its unique culture and rapid innovation as core components of its success [10] Product Development and AI Integration - Introduction of new AI products such as Monday Vibe, AI Vibe Coding, and Monday Magic, which enhance the platform's capabilities [11] - AI tools are designed to democratize software development, allowing users to create applications quickly using natural language [52][57] - The management team believes AI will significantly enhance productivity and customer experience across all divisions [78][81] Market Strategy and Customer Base - monday.com has seen substantial growth, tripling its customer base from 86,000 at IPO to over 250,000 [30][32] - The company is focusing on moving upmarket, targeting SMBs to mid-market and eventually enterprise customers [20][21] - There is a significant opportunity for cross-selling among the existing customer base, with many customers currently using only one product [21][36] Financial Performance and Growth - The company reported a record net addition of 100,000 customers in Q2, with a net dollar retention (NDR) rate above 115% for its customer segments [30][41] - Annual recurring revenue (ARR) is projected to exceed $1.2 billion, up from $161 million at the time of the IPO [32][41] - The company has $1.6 billion in cash, providing flexibility for investments, potential M&A, and returns to shareholders [41] Challenges and Market Environment - The SMB market is experiencing vendor rationalization, with companies looking to consolidate their software solutions [42][43] - The management has not observed dramatic changes in the market but acknowledges the need to adapt to evolving customer needs [42] Hiring and Organizational Development - The company is focused on hiring experienced leaders to support its growth strategy and enhance its go-to-market model [22] - Emphasis on training and enabling existing staff to adapt to new market demands and technologies [22][23] Future Outlook - The management is optimistic about achieving a long-term growth rate of 30% and believes that the current product suite and AI capabilities will support this goal [44][49] - The company is positioned to capture significant market opportunities, particularly in the enterprise segment, with expectations of landing larger customers [62][66] Conclusion - monday.com is committed to innovation and growth, leveraging AI to enhance its product offerings and customer engagement while strategically moving upmarket to capture higher-value customers [50][52][66]
monday.com(MNDY) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-11 13:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue for Q2 2025 was $299 million, reflecting a 27% year-over-year growth [12][5] - Non-GAAP operating margin for Q2 was 15%, indicating improved efficiency [5] - Net income increased to $58.3 million in Q2 2025 from $49.3 million in Q2 2024 [14] - Adjusted free cash flow for Q2 was $64.1 million, with a margin of 21% [16] - The company ended the quarter with $1.59 billion in cash and cash equivalents, up from $1.53 billion at the end of Q1 [16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The enterprise segment was the fastest-growing, achieving a record number of new customers paying over $100,000 annually [8] - Monday CRM reached $100 million in annual recurring revenue, highlighting strong demand for its customizable platform [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Overall Net Dollar Retention (NDR) was 111% in Q2, expected to remain stable throughout FY 2025 [12][18] - Gross margin for Q2 was 90%, with expectations to remain in the high 80s range in the medium to long term [13] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on expanding its AI capabilities, introducing features like Monday Magic, Monday Vibe, and Monday Sidekick to enhance user engagement [7] - A new Chief Marketing Officer and Chief Customer Officer have been appointed to drive growth and improve customer experience [9][10] - The company plans to continue investing in R&D and sales to capture market opportunities, with a headcount growth target of approximately 30% for FY 2025 [16][104] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the demand environment, particularly in the enterprise segment, despite some softness in the downmarket due to Google algorithm changes [28][29] - The company anticipates that the investments made in 2025 will yield higher growth and operating leverage in the following years [60][62] Other Important Information - The company is targeting over $1 billion in free cash flow from FY 2023 to FY 2026 [16] - The upcoming Investor Day on September 17 will showcase the company's progress and long-term vision [10] Q&A Session Summary Question: Concerns about enterprise growth and executive changes - Management acknowledged the importance of new executive hires in driving enterprise momentum and improving customer retention [22] Question: Demand environment and spending trends - Management noted strong demand in the upmarket segment, with some temporary softness in the downmarket due to Google changes [28][29] Question: Billings and NDR outlook - Management clarified that calculated billings are an imperfect measure and emphasized the stability of NDR at 111% [31] Question: Sales hiring and productivity - Management confirmed that sales hiring is in line with expectations and will continue into the second half of the year [36] Question: CRM growth and customer acquisition - Management highlighted the significant milestone of reaching $100 million in CRM ARR and noted that customer count is not the only indicator of progress [40][110] Question: Impact of Google changes on customer acquisition - Management stated that the impact from Google changes is minor and manageable, with ongoing optimizations in marketing strategies [51][78] Question: Strategic priorities regarding cash reserves - Management emphasized a focus on organic growth while considering potential M&A opportunities [117]
monday.com(MNDY) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-11 13:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue for Q2 reached $299 million, reflecting a 27% year-over-year growth [11] - Non-GAAP operating margin improved to 15%, indicating enhanced efficiency [4] - Net income increased to $58.3 million from $49.3 million in the same quarter last year [13] - Adjusted free cash flow for Q2 was $64.1 million, with a margin of 21% [14] - The company ended the quarter with $1.59 billion in cash and cash equivalents, up from $1.53 billion at the end of Q1 [14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The enterprise segment is the fastest-growing, achieving a record number of new customers paying over $100,000 annually [7] - Monday CRM reached $100 million in annual recurring revenue, highlighting strong demand for its customizable platform [7] - Research and development expenses were $59.2 million, representing 20% of revenue, up from 16% year-over-year [13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Overall net dollar retention (NDR) was stable at 111% for Q2, expected to remain stable throughout fiscal year 2025 [11] - The company noted some softness in the downmarket due to changes in Google's algorithm, but overall demand remains strong [27][28] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on expanding its AI capabilities, with significant user engagement in AI-driven actions [5] - New executive appointments, including a Chief Marketing Officer and a Chief Customer Officer, aim to enhance go-to-market strategies and customer retention [8][9] - The company plans to continue investing in product development and sales to capture growth opportunities [102] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the second half of the year despite some challenges in the downmarket [28] - The company is optimistic about the impact of new executive leadership on enterprise growth and customer retention [21][76] - Future guidance reflects a cautious but positive outlook, with expectations for revenue growth of 24% to 25% year-over-year for fiscal year 2025 [15] Other Important Information - The company is preparing for its Investor Day on September 17, which will showcase its progress and long-term vision [9] - Adjusted free cash flow for the full year is expected to be between $320 million and $326 million, with a margin of 26% to 27% [15] Q&A Session Summary Question: Concerns about enterprise growth and new product adoption - Management acknowledged the importance of new executive hires in driving enterprise growth and improving customer retention [21] Question: Demand environment and spending trends - Demand remains strong, particularly in the enterprise segment, despite some softness in the downmarket due to Google algorithm changes [27][28] Question: Billings and NDR outlook - Management clarified that calculated billings are not the best measure of business health, emphasizing ARR growth instead [30] Question: Sales hiring and productivity - The company is ramping up hiring in sales and marketing, focusing on both enterprise and new product specialists [36][38] Question: CRM business performance - The CRM segment is seeing significant growth, with a focus on acquiring larger customers and increasing average contract value [110] Question: Impact of Google changes on customer acquisition - Management noted that while there is some impact on customer acquisition, it is manageable and not significantly affecting overall performance [53][84] Question: Strategic priorities regarding cash reserves - The company prioritizes organic growth but is also considering M&A opportunities to enhance its product offerings [117] Question: Focus on larger enterprise opportunities - The company is targeting larger multi-thousand seat opportunities while maintaining commitment to mid-market and SMB segments [122]