Core Insights - Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) has opened fiscal 2026 with strong momentum, achieving a record non-GAAP gross margin of 40.1%, which is an increase of approximately 220 basis points quarter over quarter and about 680 basis points year over year, driven by the adoption of high-capacity nearline products and pricing initiatives [1][8]. Company Performance - The data center business, which includes cloud, enterprise, and VIA customers, accounted for 80% of Seagate's total revenue, indicating a structural shift towards large-scale storage driven by AI and cloud infrastructure [2]. - Cloud exabyte demand has increased for nine consecutive quarters, with nearly 80% of nearline shipments being for capacities of 24TB or higher [2]. - Seagate has ramped up production of its 24–28 terabyte drives, which have become the best-selling product family by revenue and exabyte volume, shipping over 1 million Mozaic drives in the September quarter [3]. Product Development - Seagate is working to qualify its high-capacity Mozaic HAMR drives with five global cloud service providers (CSPs) and aims to qualify three more by the first half of 2026 [4]. - The company is on track to reach a 50% exabyte crossover on nearline HAMR drives in the second half of 2026 and is advancing towards a 5TB per disk technology launch in early 2028 [4]. Financial Outlook - Management expects solid demand from global cloud data centers, projecting revenues of $2.7 billion (+/- $100 million) for the fiscal second quarter, indicating a 16% year-over-year improvement [5]. - The non-GAAP operating margin is projected to increase to approximately 30% at the midpoint of revenue guidance, up from 23.1% in the second quarter of fiscal 2025 [5]. Competitive Landscape - Seagate faces challenges such as exchange rate volatility, high debt burden, and competition from Western Digital Corporation (WDC) and Pure Storage, Inc. (PSTG) [6]. - Western Digital reported a 31% increase in cloud end market revenues, driven by demand for higher-capacity nearline products, and anticipates non-GAAP revenues of $2.9 billion (+/- $100 million) for the second quarter of fiscal 2026, up 20% year over year [7][8]. Market Performance - Over the past year, Seagate's shares have gained 166.2%, outperforming the Zacks Computer Integrated Systems industry's growth of 77.4% [11]. - Seagate's shares are trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 22.74X, lower than the industry's 25.68X [12].

Core Viewpoint - Seagate Technology is experiencing significant growth driven by the increasing demand for high-capacity storage solutions, particularly due to the rise of AI and cloud computing, positioning the company as a key player in the data storage market [1][6][25] Company Overview - Seagate, founded in 1978 and headquartered in Fremont, California, has been a leader in data storage technology, offering products such as HDDs, SSDs, and the Lyve edge-to-cloud platform [3] - The company has shipped over four zettabytes of storage capacity and continues to innovate with its Mozaic technology, which enhances data density and reduces energy costs [2] Financial Performance - In fiscal Q1 2026, Seagate reported non-GAAP revenue of $2.63 billion, a 21% year-over-year increase, and non-GAAP EPS of $2.61, up 65% annually, exceeding both market expectations and management guidance [13][12] - The data center segment, which accounted for 80% of total revenue, saw a 34% annual growth, reaching $2.1 billion [14] - Seagate shipped 182 exabytes of HDD storage in the quarter, marking a 32% year-over-year increase [16] Market Position and Analyst Sentiment - Analysts have become increasingly bullish on Seagate, with Loop Capital raising its price target to a Street-high of $465, citing strong demand for storage solutions [4][22] - The consensus rating for STX stock has improved to a "Strong Buy," with 17 out of 23 analysts recommending this rating [23] Future Outlook - Management anticipates Q2 revenue of approximately $2.7 billion and non-GAAP EPS around $2.75, with expectations for continued growth in fiscal 2026 and 2027 [19] - Seagate's Mozaic HAMR drives are expected to be a significant growth driver, having already been qualified by major cloud providers [17] Shareholder Returns - Seagate has consistently paid dividends for 13 years, recently increasing its dividend by 3%, with a current yield of 1.04% [10] - In fiscal Q1 2026, the company returned $182 million to shareholders through dividends and buybacks, indicating a balanced approach to growth and shareholder returns [11]

Core Insights - Seagate Technology Holdings plc's shares have increased by 204.7% year-to-date, significantly outperforming the Zacks Computer-Integrated Systems industry's growth of 93.5% and the broader S&P 500's growth of 18.3% [1][9][25] - The company has outperformed competitors in the storage sector, including Western Digital Corporation, Pure Storage, and Micron Technology, which have seen gains of 163.5%, 36.7%, and 181.5%, respectively [2][9] Financial Performance - Seagate reported a 21% year-over-year revenue growth in its fiscal first quarter, driven by strong demand for high-capacity storage solutions, particularly from cloud service providers [5][9] - Data center sales accounted for 80% of Seagate's total revenue of $2.1 billion, reflecting a 34% year-over-year increase [12][14] - The company achieved a record gross margin of 40.1%, improving nearly 680 basis points year over year, and anticipates revenues of $2.7 billion for the fiscal second quarter, indicating a 16% year-over-year improvement [18][22] Product and Market Positioning - Seagate is strategically positioned in the global storage ecosystem, benefiting from the AI-driven data explosion and increasing demand for high-capacity storage [5][22] - The company is advancing its HAMR (Heat-Assisted Magnetic Recording) technology, with significant production scaling of 24–28TB PMR drives, which are now its top-selling line [6][10] - Seagate is also qualifying its Mozaic 4+TB-per-disk platform, with expectations for volume ramping in early 2026, and is developing 5TB-per-disk technology for early 2028 [11][12] Strategic Roadmap - Seagate's strategic transformation includes restructuring its revenue streams across Data Center and Edge IoT markets, with a focus on high-capacity nearline products [12][14] - The company is committed to reducing its debt load while maintaining shareholder returns, having reduced debt by $684 million during fiscal 2025 [15][16] - Seagate's business model changes and strong product pipeline are expected to enhance profitability and cash flow in fiscal 2026 [15][18] Market Outlook - The demand from global cloud providers remains robust, with expectations for continued growth driven by AI and large-scale inferencing needs [13][14] - Seagate is experiencing an uptrend in earnings estimate revisions, with fiscal 2026 earnings estimates increasing by 7% to $11.02 [20] - The company's shares are trading at a price/earnings ratio of 23.18, which is lower than the industry average of 26.58 but above its historical mean of 12.01 [21]

Core Insights - Western Digital Corporation (WDC) has entered fiscal 2026 with strong momentum, driven by robust demand from cloud and AI workloads, reporting revenues of $2.82 billion for the first quarter, a 27% increase year over year [1] - The company anticipates ongoing revenue growth in the second quarter of fiscal 2026, projecting non-GAAP revenues of $2.9 billion, a 20% year-over-year increase [5] Financial Performance - For the first quarter of fiscal 2026, WDC reported non-GAAP EPS of $1.78 and a gross margin of 43.9%, both exceeding guidance [1] - The cloud end market, which constitutes 89% of total revenues, saw a 31% increase, driven by demand for higher-capacity nearline products [1] - WDC shipped 204 exabytes of storage, a 23% year-over-year increase, with significant demand for its latest ePMR products [3] Market Trends and Opportunities - The proliferation of generative AI is expected to drive a refresh cycle in client and consumer devices, boosting content growth across various sectors including smartphones and gaming [2] - Increased AI adoption is likely to enhance storage demand for both HDD and Flash technologies, presenting ample business opportunities [2] - WDC's next-generation HAMR drives are set to capitalize on this trend, with all top seven customers placing purchase orders through the first half of 2026 [4] Competitive Landscape - WDC faces competition from companies such as Seagate Technology, Hitachi, Samsung, and Intel, which are also benefiting from strong cloud demand and AI-driven applications [6][7] - Seagate has ramped up shipments of its Mozaic HAMR products, projecting second-quarter fiscal 2026 revenues of $2.7 billion, a 16% year-over-year increase [8] Valuation and Market Performance - Over the past three months, WDC shares have surged 106.2%, outperforming the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry, which grew by 43.3% [11] - WDC's shares are currently trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 22.47X, higher than the industry's 21.12X [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for WDC's earnings for fiscal 2026 has been revised up by 13.5% to $7.38 over the past 60 days [13]

Core Insights - Seagate's shares increased by over 10% following a strong fiscal Q1 2026 earnings report, with revenue rising 21% year-on-year to $2.63 billion and adjusted EPS reaching $2.61, surpassing Wall Street expectations [1] Group 1: Operational Performance - Seagate delivered a record 182 exabytes of hard-drive capacity in the quarter ending October 3, 2025, with 159 exabytes from nearline drives, highlighting the importance of cloud exposure in revenue growth [3] - The average capacity per drive increased to 14.6 terabytes, reflecting a 26% year-on-year rise in nearline drive capacity, which supports AI and data-heavy workloads and contributes to margin expansion [4] - Seagate shipped over 1 million Mozaic HAMR drives during the September quarter, indicating a shift from proof-of-concept to commercial production [5] Group 2: Market Position and Future Outlook - Five major cloud service providers have approved Seagate's Mozaic 3+ HAMR platform, with additional qualifications expected to enhance supply visibility and support upgraded guidance [7] - Seagate's advancements in drive density, product qualification, and manufacturing capabilities suggest a pivotal moment, aligning technological progress with increasing AI-driven storage demand [8] - The current market enthusiasm for Seagate may indicate the beginning of a sustained structural uptrend, driven by next-generation HAMR drives and deeper cloud qualifications [9]

Core Insights - Seagate's shares increased by over 10% following a strong fiscal Q1 2026 earnings report, with revenue rising 21% year-on-year to $2.63 billion and adjusted EPS reaching $2.61, surpassing Wall Street expectations [1] Group 1: Operational Performance - Seagate delivered a record 182 exabytes of hard-drive capacity in the quarter ending October 3, 2025, with 159 exabytes from nearline drives, highlighting the importance of cloud exposure in revenue growth [3] - The average capacity per drive increased to 14.6 terabytes, marking a 26% year-on-year rise in nearline drive capacity, which supports margin expansion and contributes to the strong EPS results [4] - The company shipped over 1 million Mozaic HAMR drives during the September quarter, indicating a transition from proof-of-concept to commercial production [5] Group 2: Market Position and Future Outlook - Five major cloud service providers have approved Seagate's Mozaic 3+ HAMR platform, with additional qualifications expected to enhance supply visibility and support upgraded guidance [7] - Seagate's advancements in drive density, product qualification, and manufacturing capabilities suggest a pivotal moment for the company, aligning with the increasing demand for AI-driven storage solutions [8] - The current market enthusiasm for Seagate may indicate the beginning of a sustained structural uptrend, driven by next-generation HAMR drives and deeper cloud qualifications [9]

To supplement the consolidated financial statements presented in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), the Company uses non-GAAP measures of gross profit, gross margin, operating expenses, income from operations, operating margin, net income, diluted EPS, free cash flow, EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA and the last twelve months (LTM) adjusted EBITDA, which are adjusted from results based on GAAP to exclude certain benefits, expenses, gains and losses. A full discussion of these adju ...

Core Insights - Seagate Technology is experiencing a significant turnaround, with strong investor confidence reflected in a 166% year-to-date stock increase, driven by improved pricing discipline and technological advancements like Heat-Assisted Magnetic Recording (HAMR) [5][6][7] Financial Performance - Seagate reported a 30% year-on-year revenue increase to $2.44 billion for the June quarter, with fiscal 2025 sales rising nearly 40% to $9.1 billion [6] - Adjusted EPS for fiscal 2025 reached $8.10, up from $1.29 in fiscal 2024, exceeding Wall Street projections, alongside a record gross margin of 35.8% [6][10] - The company anticipates continued revenue growth, estimating around $2.5 billion for the upcoming quarter, reflecting a 15% year-on-year rise [10] Market Position and Growth Prospects - Analysts expect Seagate's EPS to grow at a compound annual rate of over 20% through fiscal 2027, positioning the company favorably in a maturing market [2] - The HDD sector is undergoing a transformation, with expanding margins and improved supply dynamics, driven by the increasing significance of AI in the data economy [1][3] Technological Advancements - Seagate's HAMR technology is a key driver of its operational turnaround, allowing for higher data storage capacity and efficiency, particularly suited for cloud and AI applications [7][8] - The company has received validation from three major cloud service providers for its Mozaic HAMR drives, indicating a shift from pilot to mainstream usage [8] Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Wall Street rates Seagate stock as a consensus "Strong Buy," with 16 out of 22 analysts recommending a "Strong Buy" [12] - The stock is trading close to an average analyst price target of $220.90, with a high price estimate of $330, suggesting a potential upside of 44% over the next 12 months [12] Shareholder Returns - Seagate plans to resume share repurchases, having distributed nearly 75% of its fiscal 2025 free cash flow through dividends and buybacks [9] - The company ended the June quarter with $2.2 billion in liquidity and reduced its debt by approximately $150 million, doubling its free cash flow to $425 million [8]