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现状剖析与市场展望:2025年信贷ABS发展研究
Lian He Zi Xin· 2026-03-10 11:51
Market Overview - In 2025, the issuance of credit ABS reached a historical peak with 238 issuances, a year-on-year increase of 23.96%, and a total issuance scale of 291.52 billion yuan, up 7.82% year-on-year[4] - NPL products became the most issued category, driving the growth of the credit ABS market, while normal ABS products, particularly Auto ABS, showed a declining trend in issuance scale[5] NPL Products - The issuance of NPL products increased significantly, with 178 issuances and a scale of 82.06 billion yuan, marking a 61.32% year-on-year growth[24] - The rise in NPL issuance is attributed to increasing credit risks and the urgent need for banks to manage non-performing assets effectively[5] Normal ABS Products - Auto ABS issuance remained stable in terms of the number of issuances but saw a 9.38% decline in scale, indicating a contraction in the market[9] - Micro-enterprise loan ABS saw a decrease in both issuance numbers and scale, with 10 issuances totaling 58.645 billion yuan, down 10.49% year-on-year[17] - Consumer loan ABS issuance increased by 32.70% year-on-year, totaling 32.277 billion yuan, but remained at a low level overall[21] Market Dynamics - The overall economic environment in 2025 was characterized as an early stage of recovery, with weak consumer demand and insufficient credit supply impacting normal ABS issuance[5] - The demand for NPL products surged due to the pressure on banks to dispose of non-performing assets, leading to a robust issuance environment for these products[5] Asset Performance - By the end of 2025, the total outstanding scale of credit ABS was 430 billion yuan, a decrease of 12.02% year-on-year, with NPL products accounting for 11% of the total outstanding scale[30] - The asset quality of Auto ABS showed volatility, while RMBS experienced a significant decline in outstanding balance due to early redemptions and lack of new issuances since 2022[42] Future Outlook - The credit ABS market is expected to continue evolving, with NPL products remaining a key focus for banks under pressure to manage non-performing assets effectively[71] - The diversification of asset types and the introduction of new financing channels are anticipated to influence the issuance dynamics and investor confidence in the credit ABS market moving forward[73]