Summary of Investor Presentation on Greater China Technology Hardware: AI Tech Industry Overview - The presentation focuses on the Greater China Technology Hardware sector, particularly in AI technology hardware upgrades [4][5][6] - The overall industry view is categorized as "In-Line" [1] Core Insights and Arguments - **AI GPU and ASIC Server Upgrades**: There are significant opportunities in AI GPU and ASIC server/rack design upgrades, with major design upgrades anticipated for the GB300, Vera Rubin platform, and Kyber architecture [4][5] - **Enhanced Computing Power**: AI ASIC servers are expected to enhance computing power and increase rack density, with demand growth projected for 2026-2027 [4][5] - **Power Solutions**: Upgrades to 800V HVDC power architecture and the growing adoption of liquid cooling solutions are highlighted as key trends [4][5] - **PCB/Substrate Capacity Expansion**: A wave of capacity expansion in PCB/substrate is necessary to support ongoing design upgrades [4][5] - **Data Network Improvements**: Upgrades in data and power interconnects will lead to increased data network transmission speed and capacity [4][5] - **Consumer Electronics Demand**: Demand in consumer electronics remains lukewarm, with anticipation for upcoming foldable iPhone models in the second half of 2026 [4][5] - **AI PC Proliferation**: The proliferation of AI PCs is expected to take time, indicating a gradual market adoption [4][5] - **Supply Chain Reorientation**: The status of supply chain reorientation and its potential impacts are noted as important considerations [4][5] Key Stock Ideas - **AI Server Components**: Companies such as Delta Electronics, AVC, BizLink, King Slide, Chenbro, and Gold Circuits are identified as key players in AI server components [4][5] - **AI Server ODM/OEMs**: Wistron, Hon Hai/FII, Quanta, Lenovo, and Accton are highlighted as significant ODM/OEMs in the AI server space [4][5] Valuation Comparison - A detailed valuation comparison of various companies within the sector is provided, including metrics such as EPS, P/E ratios, P/B ratios, and trading volumes [5] - Notable companies include: - **Delta Electronics**: Closing price of 942.00 with a target of 1111.0 and a P/E ratio of 21.05 for 2025 [5] - **Hon Hai**: Closing price of 226.50 with a target of 250.0 and a P/E ratio of 13.83 for 2025 [5] - **Foxconn Tech**: Closing price of 70.60 with a target of 54.00 and a P/E ratio of 2.93 for 2025 [5] Additional Important Points - The report emphasizes the potential for share price upside in the context of the discussed upgrades and market trends [4][5] - The overall sentiment reflects cautious optimism regarding the future of AI technology hardware in Greater China, with specific attention to the evolving landscape of consumer electronics and server technology [4][5]

Group 1 - IREN has expanded its AI Cloud capacity to approximately 23,000 GPUs and raised its annualized run-rate revenue target for the service to $500 million by the end of Q1 2026 [1] - The company has placed orders for an additional 12,400 GPUs at a cost of about $674 million, including various models from NVIDIA and AMD, with deliveries staged over the coming months [2] - Upon full commissioning, IREN's AI Cloud fleet will consist of multiple GPU types, including 1,900 H100 and H200 GPUs, 19,100 B200 and B300 GPUs, 1,200 GB300 GPUs, and 1,100 MI350X GPUs [3] Group 2 - Financing arrangements are in place to support the GPU deployments without materially impacting the company's mining activities [4] - IREN controls 2.91 GW of grid-connected power across the U.S. and Canada, with 810 MW of operating data-center capacity and a pipeline for multi-gigawatt expansion [4] - Following an earnings beat in late August, IREN shares experienced a significant rally, making the company the largest publicly traded bitcoin miner with a market value of $10.5 billion [5]

Core Viewpoint - IREN Limited has achieved NVIDIA Preferred Partner status and expanded its GPU fleet with the acquisition of additional NVIDIA GPUs, enhancing its AI Cloud capabilities [1][3]. Group 1: GPU Acquisition and Financing - IREN has procured 1.2k air-cooled NVIDIA B300s and 1.2k liquid-cooled NVIDIA GB300s for approximately $168 million, increasing its total GPU fleet to 10.9k NVIDIA GPUs [1][3]. - The financing for the GB300s amounts to approximately $96 million, structured as a 24-month lease covering 100% of the purchase price, with lease payments based on a high single-digit interest rate [2]. - The B300 GPUs are funded from existing cash, with additional financing efforts in progress [2]. Group 2: Data Center Expansion - The new GPUs will be installed at IREN's Prince George campus, where a 10MW liquid-cooled installation is under construction, capable of supporting over 4.5k GB300s [3]. - The data center platform supports both liquid-cooled and air-cooled systems, backed by nearly 3GW of grid-connected power, scalable to hundreds of thousands of GPUs [4]. Group 3: Company Overview - IREN is a leading developer and operator of next-generation data centers, focusing on Bitcoin, AI, and renewable energy solutions [8]. - The company operates 810MW of data centers across three verticals: Bitcoin Mining, AI Cloud Services, and AI Data Centers, with a significant focus on high-performance computing [10].

Core Insights - Super Micro Computer (SMCI) is experiencing strong demand for its AI infrastructure, particularly in storage and server offerings, which are providing customers with higher computational densities and lower total cost of ownership for AI services [1] Group 1: Company Performance - In Q3 of fiscal 2025, SMCI reported high volume shipments of liquid-cooled 4U NVIDIA B200 HGX systems and GB200 NVL72 racks, indicating robust demand for its AI product line [2] - The company achieved a production milestone of 5,000 racks per month, with over 2,000 being direct liquid cooling (DLC) racks, to meet the rising demand for AI solutions [3] - SMCI's enterprise data center customer vertical generated $1.9 billion in revenues, contributing to 42% of total revenues in Q3 of fiscal 2025, up from 25% in the previous quarter, highlighting the increasing significance of AI products in its revenue stream [4] Group 2: Revenue Guidance and Estimates - Due to the rising adoption of its AI infrastructure and DLC offerings, SMCI has provided revenue guidance of $21.8-$22.6 billion for fiscal 2025, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate of $22.12 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 48% [5] - Despite the strong revenue growth forecast, earnings estimates for fiscal 2025 indicate a decline of 6.33% year-over-year, while estimates for fiscal 2026 suggest a recovery with a growth of 35.75% [13] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - SMCI faces strong competition from Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) and Dell Technologies (DELL) in the server market, with HPE recently entering the AI infrastructure space and reporting a 6% year-over-year growth in server segment sales due to demand for AI servers [6][7] - Dell also offers a variety of server solutions, including PowerEdge Rack Servers and Modular Infrastructure, positioning itself as a competitor in the AI-server market alongside HPE [8] Group 4: Valuation Metrics - SMCI's shares have increased by 33.8% year-to-date, contrasting with a decline of 1.6% in the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry [9] - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 0.82X, which is lower than the industry average of 1.65X, indicating a potentially attractive valuation [12]