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九号公司(689009):短交通为基、机器人为翼 成长为智慧生态级玩家
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-07-11 10:37
Group 1: Company Overview - The company aims to "simplify the movement of people and goods" by creating a platform ecosystem for "smart short transportation + service robots" through the reuse and upgrade of core technologies [1] - The product line includes electric balance bikes, electric scooters, smart two-wheeled electric vehicles, E-Bikes, all-terrain vehicles, lawn mowing robots, and delivery robots [1] - In 2024, the company expects revenue and net profit attributable to the parent company to reach 14.2 billion and 1.1 billion respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 39% and 81% [1] Group 2: Electric Two-Wheeled Vehicles - The demand for electric two-wheeled vehicles is shifting towards high-end and intelligent products, with the company leading in brand recognition, purchase priority, and intelligent performance [2] - The company is projected to sell over 600,000 units in 2024, dominating the market segment priced above 4,000 yuan [2] - The implementation of new national standards is expected to concentrate market share among manufacturers with strong R&D capabilities, scale, and brand advantages, benefiting the company [2] Group 3: Service Robots - The company's founding team has a strong background in robotics, making the entry into the robot sector a strategic choice for achieving second growth [3] - Current robot products include lawn mowing robots and delivery robots, with the lawn mowing robot industry transitioning from mechanical to boundary-less robots [3] - The global penetration rate of lawn mowing robots is only 1.9% in 2024, with a target market size expected to exceed 300 billion [3] Group 4: Investment Outlook - The company's main business in electric two-wheeled vehicles is strongly positioned in the high-end intelligent market and is expected to benefit from industry upgrades [4] - New businesses such as lawn mowing robots, all-terrain vehicles, and E-Bikes are beginning to gain traction, supporting the company's second growth phase [4] - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 20.281 billion, 26.117 billion, and 32.366 billion respectively, with net profits of 1.796 billion, 2.417 billion, and 3.245 billion, corresponding to a PE ratio of 23.2, 17.3, and 12.9 [4]