Core Insights - Jackson Financial (JXN) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $4.93 per share, reflecting a 16.6% increase year over year, while revenues are forecasted to decline by 35.9% to $1.78 billion [1] Earnings Projections - There has been a downward revision of 10.2% in the consensus EPS estimate over the last 30 days, indicating analysts' reassessment of their initial forecasts [2] - Changes in earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor reactions, with empirical studies showing a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price movements [3] Revenue Estimates - Analysts estimate 'Revenues- Net investment income' at $490.40 million, a decrease of 33.2% year over year [5] - The 'Revenues- Premium' is projected at $35.41 million, indicating a year-over-year decline of 6.8% [5] - 'Revenues- Fee income' is expected to be $1.24 billion, reflecting a 38.2% decrease from the prior-year quarter [5] Adjusted Earnings Before Tax - The consensus estimate for 'Adjusted earnings before tax- Retail Annuities' is $471.09 million, up from $419 million year over year [6] - 'Adjusted earnings before tax- Closed Life and Annuity Blocks' is projected at $7.24 million, down from $19 million in the previous year [6] - Analysts expect 'Adjusted earnings before tax- Institutional Products' to reach $21.98 million, compared to $31 million in the same quarter last year [7] Stock Performance - Jackson Financial shares have returned +16% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which saw a +0.4% change [7] - The company holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), suggesting it may underperform the overall market in the near future [7]

Core Viewpoint - American Financial Group (AFG) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $2.17 per share, reflecting a 21.4% decline year-over-year, while revenues are forecasted to increase by 2.9% to $1.94 billion [1]. Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised upward by 0.2% over the past 30 days, indicating analysts have reassessed their projections [2]. - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical research shows a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock performance [3]. Revenue Projections - Analysts estimate 'Revenues- P&C insurance net earned premiums' at $1.73 billion, indicating a 12% year-over-year increase [5]. - 'Revenues- Net investment income' is projected to reach $203.73 million, reflecting a 2.9% increase year-over-year [5]. - 'Specialty Casualty- Net earned premium' is expected to be $759.90 million, showing a 4.1% increase from the previous year [5]. - 'Property and Transportation- Net earned premium' is forecasted at $675.75 million, suggesting a significant 31.7% year-over-year increase [6]. Loss and LAE Ratios - The estimated 'Property and Transportation - Loss and LAE Ratio' is 66.8%, up from 59.2% in the previous year [6]. - The 'Property and Casualty - Combined Ratio - Specialty' is projected at 94.7%, compared to 90.1% in the same quarter last year [7]. - 'Specialty Casualty - Loss and LAE Ratio' is expected to be 62.8%, slightly up from 62.5% year-over-year [7]. - 'Specialty Financial - Loss and LAE Ratio' is projected at 44.4%, compared to 40.2% in the previous year [8]. Underwriting Expense Ratios - The 'Specialty Casualty - Underwriting Expense Ratio' is expected to be 27.7%, up from 27.3% in the same quarter last year [8]. - 'Specialty Financial - Underwriting Expense Ratio' is projected at 46.9%, compared to 46.1% in the previous year [9]. - The 'Property and Transportation - Underwriting Expense Ratio' is expected to be 30.1%, slightly up from 29.8% year-over-year [9]. Market Performance - Over the past month, shares of American Financial have returned +6.5%, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.4% change [10].

Group 1 - Amerisafe reported $75.75 million in revenue for Q1 2025, a year-over-year decline of 0.3% [1] - The EPS for the same period was $0.60, down from $0.69 a year ago, with a surprise of +1.69% compared to the consensus estimate of $0.59 [1] - The revenue fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $76.83 million, resulting in a surprise of -1.41% [1] Group 2 - Key metrics indicate that Amerisafe's net investment income was $6.65 million, below the average estimate of $6.85 million, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 9.7% [4] - Fee and other income reached $0.21 million, exceeding the estimated $0.18 million, marking a significant increase of 70.7% compared to the previous year [4] - Net premiums earned were reported at $68.89 million, slightly below the average estimate of $69.81 million, with a year-over-year increase of 0.6% [4] Group 3 - Amerisafe's stock has returned -6.7% over the past month, compared to a -0.8% change in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [3] - The company currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting it may perform in line with the broader market in the near term [3]