Core Viewpoint - Intel's stock is experiencing a decline due to Nvidia's decision not to manufacture chips using Intel's 18A node, despite Intel's claims of progress and interest in its next-gen 14A node [1][2]. Group 1: Intel's Current Situation - Intel's stock is trading approximately 0.52% lower at $36.16 following a report that Nvidia will not use its 18A manufacturing process [1]. - An Intel spokesperson stated that the 18A node is "progressing well" and there is "strong interest" in the upcoming 14A node [1]. - Veteran analyst Stephen Guilfoyle noted a bearish reversal pattern in Intel's stock since early August, indicating potential concerns about its future performance [3]. Group 2: Analyst Opinions - The consensus rating for Intel's stock is a hold, with 20 analysts recommending this, 6 suggesting a sell, and 5 advising a buy, while the average target price is $38.09 [5]. - Bank of America analyst Vivek Arya expressed skepticism about Intel's cost structure improvement for its foundry, citing slow adoption of the 18A node and competition [6]. - Arya also indicated that Intel's stock is overvalued, with a price target of $34 based on a low multiple of its enterprise value-to-sales ratio for 2027 [7]. Group 3: Nvidia's Position - Nvidia's decision not to use Intel's 18A node is influenced by the need for a reliable manufacturing process, as any defects would significantly delay production [9].

Core Insights - Intel Corporation has reported an alleged embezzlement incident involving over $840,000 at its Israeli operations, referred to as the "chip bandit" [1] - Despite the financial insignificance of this amount relative to Intel's nearly $90 billion market value, it symbolizes a proactive approach to efficiency and accountability under new CEO Lip-Bu Tan [2][3] - Intel's stock is currently trading at a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of approximately 0.84, indicating that the market values the company at less than its accounting assets, suggesting potential undervaluation [3][4] Financial Performance - Intel's market capitalization was approximately $88.18 billion as of late May, with a book value of around $106 billion as of Q1 2025 [4] - The company's shares have seen a 33% decline over the past year, trading around $20.22, with analyst sentiment remaining cautious and a consensus rating of "Reduce" [6] - Intel's Q2 guidance projected breakeven non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS), while ongoing operating losses from Intel Foundry Services (IFS) amounted to $2.3 billion in Q1 [6] Strategic Initiatives - CEO Lip-Bu Tan is leading a turnaround plan focused on efficiency, including aggressive cost-cutting measures and a potential workforce reduction of over 20% [5][8] - Intel is exploring the sale of its Networking and Edge (NEX) unit, which generated $5.8 billion in revenue and $931 million in operating income in 2024, to sharpen focus on core businesses [8] - The company remains committed to its Ohio plant and aims for IFS to reach break-even status by 2027, with ongoing efforts to build customer trust [8] Investment Perspective - The current discount to asset value may provide a significant margin of safety for investors, with considerable downside already priced in [9] - Intel's strategic pivot under new leadership and focus on operational streamlining and divestments highlight a potential long-term investment opportunity [10] - While the turnaround is a multi-year effort, the stock's current P/B discount and strategic groundwork could improve the odds of long-term profit [11]