Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenues in Q3 2025 were $1.9 million, down from $2.4 million in Q3 2024, impacted by the expiration of the National Quantum Initiative [12] - Gross margins in Q3 2025 were 21%, compared to 51% in Q3 2024, due to revenue composition and pricing variability [12][13] - Operating loss for Q3 2025 was $20.5 million, compared to $17.3 million in the prior year [14] - GAAP net loss for Q3 2025 was higher than in Q3 2024, primarily due to non-cash changes in fair value of derivative liabilities [15] - As of September 30, 2025, the company had approximately $558.9 million in cash and equivalents, with no debt [15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company announced purchase orders totaling approximately $5.7 million for two 9-qubit Novera quantum computing systems, which are upgradable [6][7] - A three-year, $5.8 million contract from the Air Force Research Laboratory (AFRL) was announced to advance superconducting quantum networking [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The expiration of the National Quantum Initiative and its pending reauthorization in the U.S. Congress impacted revenue [12] - The company is engaged with various academic and government institutions to advance quantum computing capabilities [9][10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to deliver a 100+ qubit chiplet-based quantum system by the end of 2025, with a roadmap to deploy a 150+ qubit system by the end of 2026 and a 1,000+ qubit system by the end of 2027 [5][6] - The company is focusing on public-private partnerships to advance quantum technologies [9] - The company intends to open an Italian subsidiary to pursue business opportunities in the region [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about future sales driven by recent contracts and collaborations, despite current revenue challenges [12][15] - The company is focused on achieving quantum advantage within the next three to five years, targeting 1,000 qubits with 99.9% fidelity [18][22] - Management is optimistic about potential funding increases for quantum initiatives from the U.S. government [88][89] Other Important Information - The company is exploring options for a new chip fab facility to enhance capabilities beyond the current 150 mm fab [63][66] - The potential investment for a new quantum fab could be in the hundreds of millions of dollars, significantly less than a traditional CMOS fab [66] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you talk about DARPA phase B and the feedback received? - Management noted that while not selected for phase B, constructive feedback was received, focusing on error correction and long-range coupling [17][18] Question: What is the comfort level for achieving 99% fidelity by 2027? - Management expressed confidence in achieving 99.7% fidelity at 150+ qubits by 2026 and 99.8% at 1,000 qubits by 2027 [22][23] Question: Will the 1,000-qubit system be chiplet-based? - The plan is to use 36-qubit chiplets for the 1,000-qubit system, with no significant challenges anticipated for long-range coupling [28][30] Question: How will revenue recognition work for the Novera sales? - Revenue for the two Novera systems will be recognized upon shipment, expected in Q1 and Q2 of 2026 [32] Question: What is the expected gross margin profile moving forward? - Management indicated that margins may improve with upcoming sales, particularly from Novera systems [71] Question: What types of applications will the 1,000-qubit system run? - The system is expected to handle complex applications like drug discovery and financial forecasting, which current CPUs and GPUs struggle with [76][77] Question: How does the recent funding from the Energy Department affect the business? - The reinstatement of the National Quantum Initiative funding is seen as a positive step, although discussions for higher funding amounts are ongoing [88][89]

Group 1 - Rigetti Computing is a leading pure-play company in quantum computing, presenting significant investment opportunities but also high risks due to the lack of a backup business model [1] - The company recently sold two Novera quantum computing systems for a total of $5.7 million, indicating a viable product and leadership in the market [4] - Rigetti's systems are compatible with Nvidia's NVQLink, which enhances its position in the quantum computing landscape [5][8] Group 2 - The launch of Nvidia's NVQLink suggests that quantum computing integration into existing infrastructure may happen sooner than expected, making Rigetti an attractive investment [6] - Investors are encouraged to adopt a long-term perspective regarding Rigetti's stock, as useful quantum computing is still a few years away [7]

Core Insights - Quantum computing stocks, including Rigetti Computing, have experienced significant volatility, with Rigetti rising nearly 250% from September 1 before dropping over 35% from its peak, followed by a rebound due to U.S. government interest in investing in quantum technology [1][2] Company Overview - Rigetti Computing has sold two Novera quantum computing systems recently, totaling $5.7 million, indicating early-stage demand for quantum computers [5][6] - The company is competing in a market with strong competition from both pure-play companies and larger firms like Alphabet, all anticipating that quantum computing will become commercially viable by 2030 [6][7] Industry Trends - The quantum computing industry is still in its infancy, with no commercially viable quantum computers available yet, and most current units being used for research purposes [4] - There is a growing demand for early-stage quantum computers, as evidenced by the sales made by Rigetti, which may suggest the development of a first-mover advantage [6][7]

Core Insights - Quantum computing is emerging as a leading investment trend, surpassing artificial intelligence, with companies like Rigetti Computing showing significant stock performance over the past year [1][5] - Despite recent sell-offs, Rigetti's stock remains substantially higher than it was 12 months ago, indicating strong investor interest and market potential [1][6] Company Performance - A $100 investment in Rigetti a year ago has grown to nearly $3,369, reflecting a gain of over 33 times, driven by advancements in quantum computing [4][5] - Rigetti's current market capitalization exceeds $13.2 billion, suggesting that further exponential growth may be challenging unless the quantum computing industry reaches a trillion-dollar valuation [6] Future Prospects - Rigetti's recent commercialization efforts, including securing two new orders for its Novera quantum computing system, position the company ahead of competitors in the revenue stage [8] - Continued progress in commercialization could lead to further significant price appreciation, even without federal government investment [7][9]

Core Viewpoint - Quantum computing stocks have recently experienced significant losses as investors adjust their expectations regarding the technology's viability as a competitive alternative [1] Group 1: Quantum Computing Stocks - Pure play quantum computing stocks like IonQ, Rigetti Computing, and D-Wave Quantum have gained popularity but are considered long-shot investments [2] - Alphabet is suggested as a more stable investment alternative in the quantum computing sector, despite being a well-known company [3] Group 2: Alphabet's Leadership in Quantum Computing - Alphabet has demonstrated leadership in quantum computing, recently showcasing its Willow quantum computing chip, which ran a verifiable algorithm 13,000 times faster than traditional computers on a 105-qubit system [5][6] - The company is positioned to outperform its pure-play competitors in the quantum computing space [7] Group 3: Financial Strength and Investment Capability - Alphabet possesses substantial financial resources, generating approximately $66 billion in free cash flow over the past year, allowing for significant investment in quantum computing [9][11] - In contrast, competitors like IonQ reported only $20.7 million in revenue for Q2 and have limited cash reserves, highlighting Alphabet's competitive advantage [11][12] Group 4: Investment Risk Profile - Unlike pure-play quantum computing companies, which represent high-risk, all-or-nothing investments, Alphabet's diversified business model reduces overall investment risk [13][14] - Alphabet's strong advertising and cloud computing businesses provide a safety net, making it a more reliable investment choice in the quantum computing sector [14]

Industry Overview - Quantum computing stocks have seen significant growth recently, indicating an active arms race in the sector with multiple companies announcing breakthroughs [1][2] - The market for quantum computing is projected to grow substantially, with estimates suggesting an annual value of $1 billion to $2 billion before 2030, and potentially reaching $15 billion to $30 billion between 2030 and 2040 [13] Company Analysis - **IonQ**: Currently leads the quantum computing space with a two-qubit gate fidelity of 99.97%, achieved through trapped ion technology, which is more accurate but slower compared to other methods [6][8] - **Rigetti Computing**: Utilizes superconducting qubits, which require cooling to near absolute zero, offering the fastest processing speeds. The company has already sold two quantum computing systems for a total of $5.7 million [9][14] - **D-Wave Quantum**: Focuses on quantum annealing for specific optimization problems, which may limit its application but could cater to industries with high demand for quantum solutions [10][12] Market Potential - If all three companies capture a 20% market share by 2035, each could generate around $6 billion in sales, leading to a potential market cap of about $54 billion for each company, suggesting a tripling to quadrupling of stock prices over the next decade [13][15]

Core Viewpoint - Rigetti Computing Inc. has experienced a significant surge in stock price following the announcement of $5.7 million in new orders for its Novera quantum computing system, indicating strong investor interest and confidence in the company's growth potential [1]. Group 1: Orders and Clients - Rigetti Computing secured orders from an Asian technology manufacturing company and a California-based applied physics and artificial intelligence startup for its 9-qubit Novera system, which is an upgradeable quantum computer [2]. - The Asian firm plans to use the Novera system as a testbed to enhance its internal quantum computing capabilities and validate its own technologies [3]. - The California startup intends to utilize the Novera system for research in quantum hardware and error correction [3]. Group 2: Product Capabilities - The Novera quantum computing system is designed to facilitate research in critical areas of quantum computing, such as qubit operation, control system optimization, design testing, gate characterization, decoherence mitigation, and the development of efficient quantum algorithms [4]. Group 3: Market Performance - Following the announcement of the new orders, Rigetti Computing's stock reached a record high, reflecting positive market sentiment and investor confidence in the company's future prospects [1].

Core Insights - Rigetti Computing has secured purchase orders totaling approximately $5.7 million for two 9-qubit Novera™ quantum computing systems, with delivery expected in the first half of 2026 [1][2] Company Overview - Rigetti Computing is a pioneer in full-stack quantum computing, having operated quantum computers over the cloud since 2017 and began selling on-premises quantum computing systems in 2021 [5] - The company introduced the 9-qubit Novera™ QPU in 2023, designed for high-performance, on-premises quantum computing [5] - Rigetti manufactures its quantum devices at Fab-1, the industry's first dedicated and integrated quantum device manufacturing facility [4][5] Product Details - The Novera quantum computing systems are upgradeable, allowing customers to increase the qubit count for more complex computations [1] - The systems are designed to support research in key areas of quantum computing, including qubit operation, control system optimization, gate design, decoherence mitigation, and efficient quantum algorithm development [3][5] - The Novera QPU features a square lattice of qubits and tunable couplers for high fidelity two-qubit operations, along with a compatible dilution refrigerator and advanced control systems [7]