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TTMI Gears Up to Report Q4 Earnings: Buy Now or Wait for Results?
ZACKS· 2026-01-30 16:11
Core Insights - TTM Technologies (TTMI) is set to report its fourth-quarter 2025 results on February 4, with expected net sales between $730 million and $770 million, reflecting a 15.55% year-over-year increase [1] - The company anticipates non-GAAP earnings per share in the range of 64 to 70 cents, with a consensus estimate of 68 cents, indicating a 13.33% growth year-over-year [2] Demand and Revenue Growth - Demand from data center computing and networking markets is accelerating due to the expansion of generative AI, with data center computing revenues increasing by 44% year-over-year in Q3 2025, expected to account for 28% of total Q4 sales [3] - The networking segment also saw a 35% year-over-year growth, driven by sustained AI demand and new product introductions, contributing positively to TTMI's fourth-quarter performance [3] Aerospace and Defense Segment - The aerospace and defense (A&D) segment is providing strong revenue stability, with a program backlog of approximately $1.46 billion, supported by robust demand due to defense budget increases and significant bookings for key platforms [4] - A&D is expected to represent around 42% of total revenues, likely bolstering fourth-quarter results [4] Capacity Expansion Initiatives - TTMI is expanding its capacity to meet rising demand in AI-driven markets, with the Penang, Malaysia facility ramping up and expected to contribute to revenue growth in Q4 2025 [5] - The development of the Ultra-HDI PCB facility in Syracuse, NY, is progressing, with volume production anticipated in the second half of 2026, supporting advanced PCB demand [5] Automotive Market Challenges - The automotive segment is facing challenges, with revenues declining to 11% of total sales in Q3 2025 from 14% in the previous year, and expected to contract further to around 9% in Q4 [6] - This segment is anticipated to negatively impact overall results due to continued weakness in demand [6] Overall Performance Expectations - TTMI is expected to report double-digit revenue and earnings growth for Q4 2025, benefiting from strong AI-led growth in data center and networking markets, while the automotive segment remains a headwind [7] - The company's current Earnings ESP is 0.00% with a Zacks Rank of 1, indicating uncertainty regarding an earnings beat this time [8]
Victory Giant ( CH) (Buy) - Major beneficiary of global AI leader’s tech upgrade...
2026-01-20 01:50
Summary of Victory Giant (300476.SZ) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company Name**: Victory Giant (VGT) - **Ticker**: 300476.SZ - **Industry**: Technology, specifically PCB (Printed Circuit Board) manufacturing - **Headquarters**: Huizhou, Guangdong, China - **Main Applications**: AI servers, network equipment, automotive, consumer electronics, healthcare appliances [11][28] Key Points and Arguments Financial Performance and Forecasts - **Revenue and Earnings Adjustments**: - FY25F revenue forecast slightly lowered by 1% to CNY19,698 million, and earnings forecast reduced by 2% to CNY4,740 million due to slower capacity ramp-up in Q4 FY25F [1][14] - FY26-27F revenue forecasts increased by 5-17% and earnings forecasts raised by 9-22% reflecting higher value content from existing customers and new customer acquisitions [1][14] - **Target Price**: - Target price cut to CNY333, implying an 18% upside, based on a P/E ratio of 35x FY26F EPS of CNY9.51, aligning with historical median P/E [1][19] - **Market Capitalization**: Approximately USD 35.2 billion [6][28] Market Dynamics - **AI and PCB Demand**: - VGT is expected to benefit significantly from the HDI PCB upgrade driven by global AI customers, with a key AI customer projected to contribute over 40% of total revenue in FY26-27F [2][19] - Revenue CAGRs estimated at 84% for HDI and 36% for HLC segments over FY25-27F [2] Supply Chain Management - **Component Shortages**: - Ongoing shortages in components and equipment due to high demand for AI PCBs, including high-end copper foil and laser drilling equipment [3] - VGT's effective supply chain management and strong relationships with global suppliers position the company favorably to mitigate these shortages [3] Financial Metrics - **Earnings Growth**: - Normalized EPS growth projected at 310.6% for FY25 and 73.2% for FY26 [4][15] - **Profit Margins**: - Gross profit margin expected to improve to 35.3% in FY26 and 38.6% in FY27 [4][15] - **Debt Management**: - Net debt/equity ratio projected to decrease to 26.5% in FY25F and net cash position by FY27F [4][10] Risks and Challenges - **Downside Risks**: - Key customers diversifying supply chains and increased competition from peers [20][30] - Potential technological changes (e.g., COWOP) that could alter the competitive landscape [20][30] - Slower technology upgrades in the AI PCB market and geopolitical tensions [20][30] ESG Considerations - VGT's role in providing electronic products for data centers and AI infrastructure highlights its social responsibility, though environmental impacts from manufacturing processes are noted [13] Conclusion Victory Giant is positioned as a leading player in the PCB manufacturing sector, particularly benefiting from the AI technology upgrade trend. Despite some adjustments in revenue and earnings forecasts, the company maintains a positive growth outlook driven by strong demand and effective supply chain management. However, it faces risks from market competition and technological changes that could impact its future performance.
南亚新材-要点:AI 用覆铜板(CCL)市场崛起,高端产能扩张
2025-12-22 02:31
Summary of Nanya New Material Management Call Company Overview - **Company Name**: Nanya New Material (688519.SS) - **Established**: 2000 in China - **Specialization**: Design, R&D, production, and sales of Copper Clad Laminate (CCL) - **Target Markets**: Consumer electronics, data centers, automotive electronics, etc. [3] Key Industry Insights 1. **Rising Demand for CCL**: - Management is optimistic about the increasing demand for CCL driven by the AI infrastructure cycle, which is leading to a shift towards high-end materials. This trend is also encouraging PCB clients to diversify their suppliers, favoring local CCL providers. [4][8] - The overall utilization rate of production lines has improved in Year-to-Date (YTD) 2025 compared to 2024, indicating strong end demand. [4] 2. **Expansion of AI Client Base**: - The company is actively expanding its business into overseas markets and collaborating with multiple international partners. Management acknowledges that penetrating overseas AI clients takes time but sees opportunities to enter the supply chain for next-generation models. [5][8] 3. **Pricing Trends**: - Nanya New Material is adjusting its CCL selling prices to reflect rising costs of upstream raw materials, such as fiberglass fabric. Effective inventory management allows timely price adjustments. Management anticipates strong demand from sectors like data communication and automotive to continue into 2026. [9] Competitive Landscape - **Shennan Circuits**: - Management's positive outlook on AI demand aligns with Shennan Circuits' strategy, which is also expanding into AI PCB production. Despite facing pricing pressures from rising raw material costs, AI products are considered less price-sensitive compared to other applications. [2] Capacity and Production - The company is working on both expanding new capacity and upgrading existing production facilities to meet the rising demand from clients. Management believes that CCL suppliers can quickly adapt to stronger client demand. [4] Conclusion - Nanya New Material is positioned to benefit from the growing demand for CCL driven by AI applications. The company's proactive approach in expanding its client base and managing production capacity effectively positions it well for future growth in a competitive landscape.
沪电股份-来自 ASIC、中板和大规模交换机的上行空间
2025-09-18 13:09
Summary of WUS Printed Circuit Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: WUS Printed Circuit (Ticker: 002463.SZ) - **Industry**: Technology, specifically in the Printed Circuit Board (PCB) sector - **Key Customers**: Cisco, Oracle, Amazon, Huawei [12][12] Key Points and Arguments Earnings Forecast and Target Price - **Earnings Increase**: Earnings forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have been raised by 5.6%, 11%, and 8% respectively due to stronger growth outlook on AI PCBs [1][15] - **Target Price**: Target price raised to CNY 86.8, implying approximately 21% upside from the current price of CNY 71.90 [1][5] - **Valuation**: Target price based on a P/E multiple of 38x 2026F EPS of CNY 2.28, close to the high-end of its historical range [1][25] Market Dynamics - **AI PCB Demand**: Anticipated substantial upgrades in AI ASIC PCB specifications starting from 2H26, driven by new-gen ASICs catching up with competitors like nVidia [2][2] - **New Content Additions**: CSPs' ASICs will enhance scale-up connectivity, requiring more scale-up switches and new PCB content [2][2] Production and Operational Updates - **Thailand Plant**: The Thailand plant recorded losses of approximately CNY 96 million in 1H25 due to limited scale ramp-up. However, it has been qualified by two AI and switch customers, with expectations to qualify four more in 2H25 [3][3] - **Product Focus**: The plant aims to manufacture mid-to-high-end products and is expected to reach reasonable economies of scale by the end of 2025 [3][3] Financial Performance - **Revenue Growth**: Projected revenues for FY25, FY26, and FY27 are CNY 17,746 million, CNY 21,618 million, and CNY 25,307 million respectively, reflecting significant growth [4][15] - **Net Profit**: Normalized net profit forecasts for FY25, FY26, and FY27 are CNY 3,345 million, CNY 4,390 million, and CNY 5,194 million respectively [4][15] - **Margins**: Gross margin expected to stabilize around 34.6% in FY26 and FY27 [15][15] Risks and Challenges - **Market Risks**: Potential risks include slower-than-expected PCB growth from 5G basestation PCBs, weaker datacenter demand, and slower upgrades from major players like Intel and AMD [13][26] ESG Commitment - **Sustainability Efforts**: WUS is committed to recycling water, achieving a reuse rate of over 50% [14][14] Additional Important Information - **Stock Performance**: The stock has shown strong performance with a 125.7% increase over the past 12 months [8][8] - **Market Capitalization**: Approximately USD 19.43 billion [5][5] This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the conference call, highlighting the company's strategic direction, financial outlook, and market positioning within the technology sector.
深南电路-数据中心_通信 PCB 和 BT 基板复苏带来强劲超预期表现
2025-08-31 16:21
Summary of Shennan Circuits Earnings Call Company Overview - **Company**: Shennan Circuits - **Industry**: PCB (Printed Circuit Board) and IC (Integrated Circuit) substrates manufacturing - **Market Position**: Fourth-largest PCB manufacturer globally as of 2024 [16] Key Financial Results - **Q2 2025 Revenue**: Rmb 5.7 billion, representing an increase of 18.6% QoQ and 30.1% YoY, exceeding consensus estimates by 4% and 6% [2][9] - **Net Profit**: Rmb 869 million, up 77% QoQ and 43% YoY; adjusted net profit (after non-recurring items) was Rmb 780 million, reflecting a 61% QoQ and 37% YoY increase [2][9] - **Gross Profit Margin (GPM)**: Improved to 27.6%, a record high since Q3 2020, up 2.9 percentage points QoQ and 0.5 percentage points YoY [3][9] Revenue Growth Drivers - **PCB Sales Growth**: Increased by 29% YoY, driven by robust demand in data centers, wired communications, and automotive sectors [3] - **Data Center PCB**: Significant growth attributed to global AI capital expenditure upcycle, with revenue mix exceeding 25% compared to 20% in FY24 [3] - **IC Package Substrate Sales**: Rose by 9% YoY, supported by better BT substrate orders due to tight raw material supply [3] Operational Insights - **Utilization Rates**: High utilization rates for both PCB and BT substrates, with ongoing efforts to ramp up production capacity at new plants in Thailand and Nantong [4] - **Future GPM Expectations**: Anticipated recovery of GPM by 4-5 percentage points in H2 2025 [4] Market Outlook - **AI-Related Orders**: Management maintains a positive outlook for AI-related orders, particularly from North American customers, expecting data center revenue to lead growth in 2025 [4] - **Supply Constraints**: The company is currently supply-constrained for high-end PCBs, indicating potential for future growth as capacity expands [4] Investor Sentiment - **Expected Market Reaction**: Anticipated positive reaction from investors due to the earnings beat and favorable outlook for the second half of the year, following significant stock price increases since April [5] Valuation Metrics - **Market Capitalization**: Rmb 86.9 billion (approximately US$12.1 billion) [6] - **12-Month Price Target**: Rmb 171.00, with a current price of Rmb 169.50 [6][31] - **P/E Ratio (2025E)**: 34.3x, with projected EPS of Rmb 4.94 [8] Risks and Considerations - **Downside Risks**: Include slower-than-expected server demand, pricing pressure from clients, and longer breakeven times for new business segments [17] Conclusion Shennan Circuits demonstrated strong financial performance in Q2 2025, driven by robust demand in key sectors, particularly data centers and AI-related applications. The company is well-positioned for future growth, although it faces supply constraints and market risks that could impact its performance.
从玻璃纤维到覆铜板(CCL ):支撑 CoWOP 封装新时代的材料支柱-From Glass Fiber to CCL The Material Backbone Powering the New Era of CoWoP Packaging
2025-08-06 03:33
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call discusses advancements in the semiconductor packaging industry, particularly focusing on the evolution of packaging technologies such as CoWoS (Chip-on-Wafer-on-Substrate), CoPoS (Chip-on-Panel-on-Substrate), and CoWoP (Chip-on-Wafer-on-PCB) [9][18][24]. Core Concepts and Technologies - **CCL (Copper Clad Laminate)** is identified as a core material for the electronics industry, essential for high-frequency and high-speed circuits, with major suppliers including TUC, EMC, Unimicron, Resonac, MGC, and Panasonic [5][6]. - **CoWoP** aims to eliminate the traditional ABF (Ajinomoto Build-up Film) package substrate, allowing direct mounting of chip and silicon interposer modules onto high-precision PCBs, theoretically offering shorter signal paths and improved thermal management [10][25][30]. - **Technical Challenges**: CoWoP faces significant challenges, including the need for PCB precision below 10 μm, thermo-mechanical reliability issues, and manufacturing yield challenges [12][29][30]. Market Dynamics - The demand for high-end CCL and PCB materials is rising sharply due to the expansion of AI accelerators and data center computing needs, with a notable shift from M7-grade to M8 and M9-grade materials [74][76][81]. - NVIDIA's next-generation Rubin platform and Google's chip are expected to adopt M9-grade CCL, indicating a significant increase in material costs associated with advanced AI computing platforms [77][80]. Future Outlook - CoWoP is not expected to enter mass production in the near term, with industry consensus suggesting that NVIDIA will continue to rely on a mix of CoWoS and CoPoS solutions for product reliability and supply stability [13][26][37]. - The transition to CoWoP may require one to two more product generations before it can reshape the packaging models and supply chain ecosystem for high-performance computing and AI servers [14][28]. Key Suppliers and Innovations - **Mitsui Mining** is highlighted as a dominant supplier of ultra-thin copper foil, critical for SLP and CoWoP applications, with the market entering a high-growth phase due to increasing demand from AI and HPC sectors [41][55]. - **Shin-Etsu Chemical** has developed innovative equipment and methods for advanced packaging substrates, aiming to enhance production capabilities for next-generation chiplet and high-frequency packaging [66][70]. Material Specifications - The specifications for high-speed PCB materials are becoming increasingly stringent, with targets for dielectric constant (Dk) ≤ 3.3 and dissipation factor (Df) ≤ 0.005 to minimize signal loss and ensure impedance stability [48][49]. - Electronic-grade glass fiber fabric is emphasized as a critical reinforcement material for CCL, playing a vital role in ensuring signal integrity and power integrity in high-performance applications [82][86]. Conclusion - The semiconductor packaging industry is undergoing significant transformations driven by advancements in technologies like CoWoP, with increasing demands for high-performance materials and innovative manufacturing processes shaping the future landscape of AI and HPC systems [22][73].