（来源：吴说） 作者 | Wintermute Ventures 编译 | 深潮 TechFlow 原文链接： https://www.techflowpost.com/zh-CN/article/30384 Wintermute Ventures 团队参加香港 Consensus 后写下这篇观察报告，提供了一个做市商视角的市场情绪 扫描。 市场降温已是共识，但这篇文章的价值在于它说出了为什么—— 叙事失效、代币身份危机、资本向 AI 股票轮换，这些信号叠加在一起，指向的不是短期熊市，而是行业范式的重新校准。 市场明显偏向有收入、有牌照、有分销护城河的业务。大家仍然相信，加密创业能带来比传统科技更好 的 10 倍回报，因为传统科技已变得更慢、更趋于共识。与此同时，在一些拥挤赛道中脱颖而出越来越 难：收益包装类产品被普遍认为已饱和且难以差异化，预测市场仍有新进入者但缺乏新的差异化，期权 市场仍然有趣，但许多人认为基础设施和边缘动态尚未就绪。 Wintermute Ventures 团队参加完香港 Consensus 后归来，此次会议最一致的信号是：市场情绪趋于谨 慎，几乎没有人愿意假装自己知道下一个显而易见的浪 ...

Wintermute 宣布推出面向机构客户的代币化黄金 OTC 交易服务，支持 Pax Gold（PAXG）与 Tether Gold（XAUT），为机构对手方提供算法优化的现货执行，并支持与 USDT、USDC、法币及主流加密 资产进行双边报价与对冲交易；Wintermute CEO Evgeny Gaevoy 表示，链上黄金市值在三个月内由约 29.9 亿美元升至 54 亿美元，公司预计该市场规模将在 2026 年增至约 150 亿美元。（The Block） （来源：吴说） ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Amid tariff policies and geopolitical events causing global financial market volatility, the value of gold as a traditional safe - haven asset is increasingly prominent. Blockchain technology has spurred the rise of cryptocurrencies and given birth to gold - backed stablecoins, which combine gold's safe - haven nature with the high liquidity and decentralization of cryptocurrencies, offering new investment and risk - management tools for the traditional gold market and creating new buyers for gold [1][7]. - The report analyzes tokenized gold models represented by Pax Gold and Tether Gold, as well as the PGI scheme proposed by the World Gold Council in September 2025, and explores the differences and complementarities among the traditional gold market, tokenized gold models, and the PGI model [1][7]. - Gold - backed stablecoins, represented by XAUt and PAXG, have advantages such as low investment thresholds and low fees, with relatively low margin occupancy, but also face regulatory compliance issues due to decentralization and currently have a small scale. The PGI scheme shows the ambition to combine compliance and flexibility, with unique advantages in pledge and lease convenience, but its specific performance and market impact need further observation after implementation [3][45]. Summary According to the Directory 1. Blockchain and Cryptocurrency Basics: The Technological Foundation for Understanding Gold - Backed Stablecoins 1.1 Core Features of Blockchain - Blockchain has two core features: non - tamperability and decentralization. Non - tamperability means that each transaction record on the blockchain is stored in a chained manner through encryption algorithms. To modify a historical transaction record in a block, one must modify a series of blockchain records and their cryptographic proofs, making the transaction records on the blockchain non - tamperable and non - forgeable [8]. - Decentralization means that the entire blockchain network has no single centralized server but consists of numerous nodes with equal rights, connected peer - to - peer. Transaction records are broadcast to the whole network, and all nodes can verify and store the complete transaction ledger, which helps build a trust mechanism and makes the network more secure and stable [11]. 1.2 Classification of Cryptocurrencies and the Positioning of Gold - Backed Stablecoins - Cryptocurrencies can be classified into three categories based on value anchoring: native cryptocurrencies (e.g., Bitcoin and Ether), stablecoins (e.g., USDT), and real - world assets (RWA). Gold - backed stablecoins are positioned between stablecoins and RWA, mainly as "convenient on - chain gold investment products" rather than "on - chain currencies" [15][17][18]. 2. Overview of Mainstream Gold - Backed Stablecoins: Pax Gold and Tether Gold 2.1 Pax Gold (PAXG): A Compliance Benchmark with Priority on Regulation - PAXG is an ERC - 20 standard gold token issued by Paxos in September 2019 on the Ethereum blockchain, with excellent compatibility. Paxos actively seeks higher - level financial regulation. Each PAXG token corresponds to 1 ounce of LBMA - certified physical gold stored in London vaults, and token holders can trace the corresponding gold. PAXG can be redeemed for legal tender, other cryptocurrencies, or physical gold. As of late October 2025, its market value has increased by 153.16% in the past year to about $1.35 billion, and the number of investment gold ounces has grown from 196,700 ounces to 332,000 ounces [22][24][25]. 2.2 Tether Gold (XAUt): A Late - Comer Dominator Backed by Tether - XAUt is issued by Tether, the issuer of the largest US dollar stablecoin USDT. It has become the leader in the gold - backed stablecoin market. Technically and in terms of reserves, it is similar to PAXG, but its compliance process is relatively slow. Tether is not a licensed financial institution, and its financial compliance risk is more uncertain. As of late October 2025, its market value has increased by 215.61% in the past year to about $2.14 billion, and the number of investment gold ounces has grown from 246,300 ounces to 521,800 ounces [27][28][29]. 2.3 Price Difference between Gold - Backed Stablecoins and Spot Gold - The quotes of mainstream gold - backed stablecoins represented by XAUt and PAXG are basically the same as the London gold spot price, but there are still price differences, with the premium or discount fluctuating within ±$100 per ounce [30]. 3. The World Gold Council's PGI Scheme: A Revolutionary Framework Combining Law, Technology, and Regulation 3.1 Background of the PGI Proposal - The traditional physical gold investment market has two trading models: allocated and unallocated gold models, both of which have pain points. The allocated gold model has a high investment threshold, poor liquidity, and holding costs, while the unallocated gold model has prominent counter - party risks. The PGI scheme is designed to address these issues [37]. 3.2 Core Design of PGI - The core design of PGI includes legal, technological, and regulatory aspects. Legally, it solves the legal difficulty of "divisible ownership" of physical gold, defining PGI as an "intangible movable property" with an account - isolation - like risk - control mechanism. Technologically, it is "technology - neutral", does not require physical delivery, and supports a minimum trading unit of one - thousandth of an ounce, with high liquidity. In terms of regulation, it meets the requirements of mainstream financial regulatory regulations in the US and Europe and can be used as a compliant collateral [38]. 4. Comparison of Gold Investment Tools - In terms of investment thresholds, gold - backed stablecoins and PGI have significantly lower thresholds. Gold - backed stablecoins have an advantage in holding costs. In terms of regulation, gold - backed stablecoins are weakly regulated due to decentralization, while PGI tries to balance blockchain technology and regulation. In terms of market scale, gold - backed stablecoins currently have a small scale, and the performance of PGI remains to be seen [43][44][45].