9月9日，"第二十五届投洽会·凤凰网梧桐夜话"交流晚宴在厦门举行。政商学界领袖齐聚一堂，围绕"浪潮之巅 投资未来"主题展开高端对话，前瞻全球格局 下的投资机遇与产业趋势。 美元稳定币通过绑定美债缓解压力，却藏"瞬间崩塌"隐患 今年6月，美国《稳定币法案》正式落地，其中核心要求引发市场广泛关注——全球范围内发行的美元稳定币，需1:1绑定美元或久期不超过93天的短久期美 债。在叶开看来，这一规则的本质是让全球美元稳定币的使用者"间接接盘美债"。 "美国长期依赖'印美元-购全球商品-发美债回收美元'的循环，当前美债压 力已十分突出。若全球个人与机构使用USDC、USDT等美元稳定币，其背后的储备资产实则是美债，相当于将美债持有主体从少数国家央行，分散到了全 球数十亿用户手中。" 华夏数字资本创始人叶开出席活动，针对稳定币的核心定义、关键特性以及未来发展方向等向凤凰网财经进行了解答。 叶开指出，这种分散化虽短期大幅缓解了美国的美债发行压力，但却埋下了更难控制的风险。 他进一步分析，过往美债主要由各国央行持有，美国可通过 外交沟通、政策协调等方式避免集中抛售。但当持有者变成全球化的普通用户与机构时，一旦出现突发事件，资 ...

Group 1: Stock Market Insights - The technology sector in the Hong Kong stock market has seen a significant increase in trading volume, surpassing 800 billion HKD in August, indicating a complex capital market environment [1] - Emerging technology companies are becoming the backbone of the stock market, with a quantum computing firm experiencing a 127% increase in share price and a market cap exceeding 200 billion HKD due to breakthroughs in room-temperature superconducting chips [1] - Traditional real estate stocks are under pressure due to new REITs regulations, while space resource development stocks are experiencing soaring valuations, highlighting a clear market divergence [1] Group 2: Bond Market Developments - Following the Federal Reserve's pause in interest rate hikes, the bond market is entering a favorable allocation period, with the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield stabilizing between 3.2% and 3.5% [2] - Chinese offshore bond indices have shown a year-to-date return of 5.8%, outperforming similar products, while green infrastructure bonds are offering a yield premium of 120 basis points over government bonds [2] - High-yield bonds present hidden opportunities, with a Southeast Asian data center project bond yielding 8.9% and a hydrogen industry park bond receiving an upgraded outlook from international rating agencies [2] Group 3: Gold Market Dynamics - Global central banks are increasing their gold holdings, with gold prices maintaining high levels above 2500 USD per ounce, and physical gold ETF holdings reaching record highs [3] - The derivatives market is experiencing increased volatility in gold prices, while new gold mines are being discovered in West Africa, and nano-gold plating technology has achieved production breakthroughs [3] - Digital gold assets are evolving, with a gold-backed stablecoin achieving a weekly trading volume exceeding 1 billion USD and a gold NFT product completing its first round of financing [3]

Core Viewpoint - The combination of gold and stablecoins has advantages, but future development needs to overcome certain obstacles. If mechanisms are improved, gold-backed stablecoins can serve as a store of value and, under specific conditions, as a means of payment and settlement [1][5]. Group 1: Gold Stablecoin Overview - Gold stablecoins are emerging as a new favorite in the cryptocurrency market, following the popularity of dollar-backed stablecoins. They are cryptocurrencies pegged to gold, sharing characteristics such as value stability and decentralization [2]. - The gold stablecoin market is currently dominated by two main players: Tether's XAUT and Paxos' PAXG, each holding nearly half of the market share. As of June 2025, the market capitalization of gold stablecoins is projected to reach $1.6 billion, accounting for approximately 0.67% of the total stablecoin market [2]. Group 2: Advantages of Gold Stablecoins - Compared to gold ETFs and futures, stablecoins enhance the convenience of gold trading through their decentralized nature: - They eliminate time and space constraints, allowing for global transactions at any time via blockchain technology. - They lower investment barriers by enabling fractional ownership of gold bars, with the ability to split ownership down to six decimal places (approximately 0.02 yuan). - They reduce transaction costs, with low fees (e.g., PAXG charges 0.02%) [3]. Group 3: Challenges Facing Gold Stablecoins - There are three main challenges that gold stablecoins must overcome: - The inherent conflict between the monetary functions of gold and stablecoins. Stablecoins primarily enhance payment and settlement functions, while gold serves more as a store of value, making their combination somewhat forced [4]. - Gold stablecoins have not fully realized their potential for value stability. The low number of holders leads to low trading turnover, shallow market depth, and significant deviations from London gold prices [4]. - There are issues with credit verification that contradict the decentralized and trustless nature of blockchain. Regulatory frameworks for physical collateral-backed stablecoins are still lagging, with existing legislation primarily covering fiat-backed stablecoins, leaving gold stablecoins facing compliance uncertainties [4].

Group 1: Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of accounts receivable management in the property industry, highlighting its significant impact on cash flow and potential dividend sustainability for companies [1][17] - The analysis of 30 sample companies reveals a notable increase in accounts receivable from 291.8 billion to 753.7 billion from 2020 to 2024, with growth rates declining significantly in recent years [2][17] - The report indicates a shift towards greater business independence, with the proportion of accounts receivable from related parties decreasing from 47% to 39% over five years, while third-party receivables increased from 53% to 61% [2][18] Group 2: Financial Trends - The average collection period for accounts receivable has lengthened, with the proportion of receivables due within one year dropping from 89% in 2019 to 58% in 2024, indicating increased difficulty in collection [3][18] - The provision for bad debts has risen sharply, with the ratio of provisions to trade receivables increasing from 4% in 2019 to 26% in 2024, reflecting heightened credit risk [3][18] - The overall collection rate for the sample companies has decreased from 90% to 78% between 2019 and 2024, with companies linked to distressed parent firms experiencing even lower rates [3][18] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on property companies with strong independent business capabilities and low reliance on related transactions, as these are critical indicators of financial health [19][20] - Specific companies highlighted for their strong parent company backgrounds and effective risk management include China Overseas Property, Poly Property, and China Merchants Jinling [19][20] - Companies like Wanwu Cloud, Country Garden Services, and Sunac Services are noted for their manageable accounts receivable risks, while China Resources Mixc Life is recognized for its advantageous business model [19][20] Group 4: Market Strategy - The report tracks monthly strategies for small-cap and growth styles, suggesting that small-cap stocks are likely to outperform in July based on historical data and quantitative models [5][6] - The growth style is also expected to perform well in July, with a recommendation to overweight growth stocks based on the analysis of market factors [6]

Core Insights - The combination of gold and stablecoins presents advantages, but future development requires overcoming certain obstacles [2][5] - The gold stablecoin market is currently dominated by two main players: Tether's XAUT and Paxos' PAXG, each holding nearly half of the market share [3][4] Market Overview - As of June 2025, the market capitalization of gold stablecoins is projected to reach $1.6 billion, accounting for approximately 0.67% of the total stablecoin market, making it the third-largest category after USD stablecoins and crypto-collateralized stablecoins [3][4] Advantages of Gold Stablecoins - Gold stablecoins enhance the convenience of gold trading due to their decentralized nature, allowing for global transactions at any time [4] - They lower investment barriers by enabling fractional ownership of gold bars, with the ability to split ownership down to six decimal places (approximately 0.02 units) [4] - Transaction costs are reduced, with PAXG charging a minimal fee of 0.002% [4] Challenges Facing Gold Stablecoins - There is a natural conflict between the monetary functions of gold and stablecoins, as stablecoins emphasize payment and settlement, while gold primarily serves as a store of value [5] - Gold stablecoins have not fully realized their value stability attributes, resulting in low trading turnover and shallow market depth [5] - Regulatory uncertainties exist regarding the compliance of gold-backed stablecoins, as current frameworks primarily address fiat-backed stablecoins [5]

以下文章授权转载自公众号： 通俗解释 ，作者 谢幺。 俗解释 ，作者 谢幺。 有粉丝私信让我聊聊「稳定币」。 以下文章来源于通俗解释 ，作者谢幺 通俗解释 . 最终解释权归通俗所有 我猜可能是因为两个事，让大家最近关注这个东西： 一是《香港稳定币条例》即将在8月1日生效，听说蚂蚁集团和京东金融已经赶着去申请稳定币牌照了。 （点击↑↑ 上图查看路演详情 ）以下文章授权转载自公众 号： 通 我觉得要想真正理解 「稳定币」 ，肯定得知道，这玩意儿最开始是怎么流行起来的。 二是美国有一家做稳定币生意的公司最近上市了，股价蹭蹭涨。（可参考： 稳定币站上最强风口！5股获机构持仓超50亿！最新机构持仓曝光！ ） 所以大家就好奇：稳定币到底是什么？或者说，是个什么生意。（ 点此一键查看路演 ） 在2017年9月4日之前，一个中国的普通老百姓想买到加密货币，难度就跟充话费差不多。 只要在加密货币交易所的App里支付一笔钱，立刻就可以得到对应价值的币。 也正因为这个操作太简单，很多老百姓甚至大爷大妈都被忽悠买币。 2017年前后，各路牛鬼蛇神都跑出来发行加密货币，什么鸡币、牛币、马币、屎币、傻币，各路山寨币冒出来，挂到交易所里卖 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article is the growing interest in stablecoins due to the upcoming implementation of the Hong Kong Stablecoin Regulation and the recent IPO of a stablecoin company in the US, which has seen its stock price rise significantly [1][2][90]. - Stablecoins are a type of cryptocurrency that is pegged to a fiat currency, providing stability in value, which has led to their increased adoption in the cryptocurrency market [49][55][66]. - The emergence of stablecoins was driven by the need for a reliable medium of exchange in the cryptocurrency space, especially after regulatory crackdowns on direct fiat-to-crypto transactions [66][94]. Group 2 - The article discusses the historical context of stablecoins, noting that they gained popularity after 2017 when traditional fiat channels for purchasing cryptocurrencies were restricted [66][94]. - The lack of regulatory oversight initially allowed for rapid expansion of stablecoin issuance, leading to concerns about the adequacy of reserves backing these coins [71][73]. - Recent enforcement actions against stablecoin issuers highlight the need for clearer regulations to ensure compliance and protect investors [82][86]. Group 3 - The article mentions that large institutions are now investing in cryptocurrencies and require stablecoins for transactions, emphasizing the importance of regulatory clarity for their participation [88][90]. - The Hong Kong Stablecoin Regulation is seen as a significant step towards legitimizing stablecoins as a financial service, encouraging more companies to engage in the market [94][97]. - There is speculation that stablecoins could play a role in alleviating the US debt crisis by indirectly supporting the purchase of US Treasury bonds through their backing [99][102].

Core Insights - The new Federal Reserve Vice Chair, Michelle Bowman, presents a conflicting stance on "looser bank access to crypto" and "tighter regulation of non-bank institutions" [1] - Bowman's policies are expected to intensify competition for XBIT, as banks may lower their capital requirements for crypto custody services, potentially leading to user migration from XBIT to traditional banks [1][2] - The regulatory landscape for stablecoins is shifting, with banks likely to gain market share at the expense of non-bank stablecoin issuers like XBIT [2] - Enhanced anti-money laundering scrutiny poses challenges to XBIT's privacy mechanisms, increasing compliance costs significantly [2] Impact on XBIT - XBIT faces user diversion risks due to increased competition from banks, which may offer lower-cost crypto custody services [1] - The market share of bank-issued stablecoins is projected to rise from 37% to over 60%, impacting XBIT's stablecoin offerings [2] - XBIT's cross-chain hedging tools are under pressure, with daily exchange volumes dropping from $50 million to $32 million as trust in non-bank stablecoins declines [2] XBIT's Response Strategies - XBIT has launched a "Chain on KYC 2.0 system" to enhance compliance, resulting in an increase in institutional investor holdings from 45% to 52% within 24 hours [3] - To counter bank custody services, XBIT introduced a "Meme Coin Perpetual Contract Zone," achieving a trading volume of over $1.2 billion in its first week [3] - XBIT has formed a "Decentralized Finance Security Alliance" with other protocols, attracting 27 institutions and increasing multi-chain wallet activations by 179% [3] Future Outlook - Despite short-term pressures from regulatory changes, XBIT's non-custodial advantages may remain competitive, especially if Bitcoin's hedging demand rises [4] - The potential for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates could further enhance the appeal of decentralized assets [4] - XBIT must remain vigilant regarding regulatory uncertainties and compliance costs to avoid compromising user experience [4]

Group 1 - The proposal for the U.S. Treasury to purchase 1 million bitcoins as a strategic reserve highlights the growing interest in bitcoin as a potential alternative to traditional assets like gold and oil amidst the $36 trillion U.S. debt crisis [1] - Bitcoin's decentralized nature, scarcity, and global liquidity position it as a strong contender for becoming the third major reserve asset, following gold and oil [1] - The trend of traditional financial institutions investing in bitcoin indicates a significant shift in the financial landscape, with decentralized exchanges like XBIT emerging as preferred platforms for secure bitcoin transactions [1] Group 2 - The tokenization of real-world assets (RWA) is gaining traction, driven by major players like BlackRock and Fidelity, which is expected to lower the investment threshold for traditional financial products [3] - RWA tokenization allows for higher yields, with traditional U.S. Treasury bonds offering 4% annually, while RWA-backed lending can yield over 10% [3] - Regulatory challenges remain a key concern, with the U.S. advancing through a "permissioned chain + institutional leadership" model, while Hong Kong has missed opportunities due to regulatory fragmentation [3] Group 3 - USDT has become synonymous with "on-chain dollars," and the full tokenization of U.S. Treasuries could reshape global capital flows [4] - Emerging markets are exploring alternatives to the dollar system, such as "gold ETF tokenization," raising concerns about potential "on-chain colonization" by Wall Street [4] - Decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms like XBIT allow users to trade assets directly without relying on traditional banks or brokers, providing a safeguard against centralized control [4] Group 4 - In the short term (1-3 years), bitcoin may enter national reserves, and RWA tokenization is expected to surge [5] - In the medium term (3-5 years), a structured on-chain dollar system will emerge, prompting emerging markets to seek alternatives [5] - In the long term (5-10 years), a dual-track financial world combining on-chain and off-chain systems may become a reality, emphasizing the importance of choosing the right trading platform [5][6] Group 5 - The financial revolution driven by RWA and bitcoin reserve strategies signifies a redistribution of financial power, necessitating secure and decentralized entry points for ordinary investors [8]