Key Takeaways MA gained 7.6% over the past month, outperforming the broader industry and the S&P 500.Mastercard is benefiting from investor rotation away from AI toward financial stocks.MA is seeing strong tailwinds from rising transaction volumes, cross-border growth and VAS.Mastercard Incorporated (MA) shares offer solid growth potential as investors gradually broaden their focus beyond AI-driven trades and toward durable, cash-generative business models. As market leadership widens, resilient payment net ...

Core Insights - Michael Burry has shared his stock picks after closing his hedge fund to outside cash, expressing a desire to communicate freely without regulatory constraints [1] - Burry's selected stocks include Lululemon Athletica, Molina Healthcare, Shift4 Payments, and Fannie Mae, which he views as long-term holds [2][3] - The current market conditions are seen as favorable for finding undervalued companies due to seasonal selling pressures [1][4] Company Summaries - **Lululemon Athletica**: An athletic-apparel retailer known for premium yoga pants, has seen its shares decline by 52% year-to-date, trading at under 15 times projected earnings [4][5] - **Molina Healthcare**: Provides affordable health insurance and healthcare services, primarily to low-income and senior Americans, with shares down 49% this year, also trading at under 15 times projected earnings [4][5] - **Shift4 Payments**: A fintech company offering payment processing and commercial tools, has experienced a 32% drop in share price year-to-date [4] - **Fannie Mae**: A government-sponsored enterprise that guarantees over $4 trillion in mortgages, its shares have tripled this year amid speculation of privatization [3][5] Market Context - The selected stocks are characterized by their market capitalizations under $25 billion, indicating a focus on smaller, beaten-down stocks [4][5] - Burry's investment strategy emphasizes deep-value opportunities, particularly in the current environment where many managers are reluctant to hold losing positions at year-end [1][4]

Group 1: Company Overview - Shopify is an e-commerce giant that provides backroom infrastructure for online retailers, enabling them to operate and succeed in the market [2] - The company is best known for its complete website development services offered on a monthly subscription basis, allowing small businesses to quickly establish an online presence [3] - Shopify generates the majority of its revenue from payment processing fees charged on purchases made through its platform [4] Group 2: Market Position and Competition - Shopify holds a dominant position in the U.S. e-commerce software market with a 30% market share, significantly ahead of its main competitor, Wix, which has about 23% [5] - The company faces stronger competition internationally from platforms like WooCommerce and SquareSpace, and is actively expanding its offerings in global markets [6] - As Shopify evolves into a total commerce company, it competes with established players like PayPal and Block's Square business [6][7] Group 3: Financial Performance - Shopify has experienced rapid growth, with a 32% year-over-year increase in revenue in the third quarter, and a 25% increase in operating income [8] - The company's free cash flow rose by 20%, achieving an 18% margin, following recent cost-cutting measures [8]

Core Insights - Investors are showing a bullish stance on Visa, with significant options trading activity indicating potential upcoming movements in the stock [1][2] - The overall sentiment among large investors is mixed, with 48% bullish and 37% bearish positions observed [3] - The price target for Visa based on recent trading activity ranges from $150.0 to $400.0 over the past three months [4] Options Trading Activity - A total of 37 uncommon options trades for Visa were identified, with 20 puts amounting to $1,082,425 and 17 calls totaling $874,364 [2][3] - The volume and open interest data for Visa's options provide insights into liquidity and investor interest, particularly within the $150.0 to $400.0 strike price range over the last 30 days [5] Significant Options Trades - Notable options trades include a bullish call with a strike price of $340.00 expiring on January 21, 2028, totaling $129.2K [9] - A bearish put trade with a strike price of $350.00 expiring on December 19, 2025, amounted to $125.0K [9] - Additional bullish put and call trades were also recorded, indicating varied investor strategies [9] Company Overview - Visa is the largest payment processor globally, processing nearly $16 trillion in total volume in fiscal 2024, operating in over 200 countries and handling transactions in more than 160 currencies [10] - The company can process over 65,000 transactions per second, highlighting its robust operational capacity [10] Analyst Ratings - Recent analyst ratings for Visa show a consensus target price of $412.0, with various adjustments from different firms, indicating a generally positive outlook despite some downward revisions [11][12] - Analysts from UBS, Wells Fargo, Raymond James, Keybanc, and Macquarie have provided ratings ranging from Buy to Outperform, with price targets between $405.0 and $425.0 [12] Current Market Position - Visa's current trading volume is 3,236,009, with a slight price increase of 0.28%, bringing the stock price to $325.02 [14] - RSI readings suggest that the stock may be approaching oversold conditions, indicating potential for future price movements [14]

Core Insights - DLocal Limited (DLO) reported strong Q3 results on November 12, showcasing impressive financial performance driven by a surge in payment volume on its platform, which remains underappreciated by the market [1] Financial Performance - The payment processor demonstrated significant growth in payment volume, indicating robust demand for its services [1] Investment Philosophy - The investment approach focuses on identifying mispriced securities by analyzing the underlying drivers of a company's financials, often revealed through a DCF model valuation, allowing for a comprehensive assessment of risk-to-reward [1]

Core Insights - Shift4 Payments' shares rose 5.3% after reporting third-quarter results that met Wall Street expectations, indicating strong growth in payment volume and revenue [1] - Payment volume increased by 25.7% year-on-year to $54.7 billion, surpassing analyst estimates, while gross revenue grew by 29.4% to $1.18 billion, aligning with forecasts [1] - Adjusted earnings per share reached $1.47, up from $1.04 in the same quarter last year, reinforcing investor confidence in the company's trajectory [1] Market Reaction - Following the initial surge, shares stabilized at $67.29, reflecting a modest increase of 0.2% from the previous close, suggesting a cautious market sentiment [2] - The stock has shown significant volatility, with 18 moves greater than 5% in the past year, indicating that while the recent news is considered meaningful, it may not fundamentally alter market perception [3] Competitive Landscape - The stock experienced a prior decline of 5.6% due to disappointing results from competitor Fiserv, which raised concerns about the overall sector and Shift4's performance [4] - Fiserv's negative outlook and revenue shortfall contributed to investor anxiety regarding Shift4's ability to meet its financial guidance, compounded by a strategic shift to slow down acquisitions [4] Performance Metrics - Shift4's stock has decreased by 37.9% year-to-date and is trading 46.5% below its 52-week high of $125.66, indicating significant market challenges [5] - An investment of $1,000 in Shift4 shares five years ago would now be valued at $1,235, reflecting modest long-term growth despite recent volatility [5]

Core Insights - Marqeta reported revenue of $163.31 million for the quarter ended September 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 27.6% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) was -$0.01, an improvement from -$0.06 in the same quarter last year [1] - The revenue exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $148.97 million by 9.62%, while the EPS matched the consensus estimate of -$0.01 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Total Processing Volume (TPV) reached $97.96 billion, surpassing the average estimate of $93.48 billion from two analysts [4] - Total platform services revenue was $155.77 million, exceeding the average estimate of $142.05 million, marking a 27.9% increase year-over-year [4] - Revenue from other services was $7.53 million, slightly above the estimated $7.37 million, representing a 22.1% year-over-year increase [4] Stock Performance - Marqeta's shares have declined by 11.3% over the past month, contrasting with a 1% increase in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), suggesting potential for outperformance in the near term [3]

Core Insights - Visa reported quarterly earnings of $2.98 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.97 per share, and up from $2.71 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of +0.34% [1] - The company achieved revenues of $10.72 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.97%, and up from $9.62 billion year-over-year [2] - Visa has consistently surpassed consensus EPS and revenue estimates over the last four quarters [2] Financial Performance - The earnings surprise for the previous quarter was +4.2%, with actual earnings of $2.98 compared to an expected $2.86 [1] - Visa shares have increased by approximately 10.1% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 16.9% [3] Future Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $3.07 on revenues of $10.59 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $12.84 on revenues of $44.18 billion [7] - The estimate revisions trend for Visa was mixed ahead of the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) for the stock, indicating expected performance in line with the market [6] Industry Context - The Financial Transaction Services industry, to which Visa belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 42% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting potential challenges ahead [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which could impact Visa's stock performance [5]

Core Viewpoint - Jack Henry (JKHY) is anticipated to report a year-over-year increase in earnings driven by higher revenues for the quarter ended September 2025, with the actual results being crucial for its near-term stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to be released on November 4, with a consensus estimate of quarterly earnings at $1.64 per share, reflecting a year-over-year change of +0.6%. Revenues are projected to be $636.69 million, an increase of 5.9% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.87%, indicating a reassessment by analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that the Most Accurate Estimate for Jack Henry is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -6.42%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Jack Henry exceeded the expected earnings of $1.46 per share by delivering $1.75, resulting in a surprise of +19.86%. The company has beaten consensus EPS estimates in the last four quarters [13][14]. Investment Considerations - Despite the potential for an earnings beat, the combination of a negative Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 makes it challenging to predict a positive outcome for the upcoming earnings report [12][17].

Core Viewpoint - Evertec (EVTC) has received an upgrade to a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) due to an upward trend in earnings estimates, which is a significant factor influencing stock prices [1][2]. Earnings Estimates and Stock Price Movement - The Zacks rating system is based on changes in a company's earnings picture, which is crucial for predicting near-term stock price movements [2][3]. - A strong correlation exists between earnings estimate revisions and stock price movements, with institutional investors using these estimates to determine fair value [3]. Business Improvement Indicators - Rising earnings estimates and the Zacks rating upgrade suggest an improvement in Evertec's underlying business, which could lead to higher stock prices as investors respond positively [4]. Importance of Earnings Estimate Revisions - Tracking earnings estimate revisions is essential for making informed investment decisions, and the Zacks Rank system effectively utilizes this data [5][6]. - The Zacks Rank system has a proven track record, with Zacks Rank 1 stocks averaging an annual return of +25% since 1988 [6]. Specifics on Evertec's Earnings Estimates - Evertec is projected to earn $3.49 per share for the fiscal year ending December 2025, indicating no year-over-year change [7]. - Over the past three months, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for Evertec has increased by 5.8% [7]. Zacks Rating System Overview - The Zacks rating system maintains a balanced distribution of "buy" and "sell" ratings across its universe of over 4,000 stocks, with only the top 5% receiving a "Strong Buy" rating [8][9]. - Evertec's upgrade to a Zacks Rank 1 places it in the top 5% of Zacks-covered stocks, indicating strong potential for market-beating returns in the near term [9].