Key Takeaways NRDS is set to report 4Q25 results on Feb. 25, with revenues expected to rise 15.3% y/y.NerdWallet projects $207-$250M in Q4 revenues and $20-$24M in non-GAAP operating income.NRDS raised the 2025 adjusted EBITDA outlook to $141-$145M from the prior mentioned $106-$116M.NerdWallet, Inc. (NRDS) is scheduled to release fourth-quarter 2025 earnings on Feb. 25, after the closing bell.In the third quarter of 2025, NRDS delivered an earnings beat, supported by a robust year-over-year increase in tot ...

The tail end of last year saw a spike in borrowing as rising prices hit consumers hard. New personal loans rose by 24% in the third quarter of 2025 when compared to a year earlier, driven by borrowers with the lowest credit scores, while new credit card accounts spiked by 11.7%, with strong growth from both subprime and superprime consumers, according to new data out Thursday from TransUnion. "People are turning to credit as we continue to see stubbornly high inflation," Michele Raneri, vice president ...

Company Overview - OneMain is a consumer finance lender that provides personal loans, auto loans, and credit cards, focusing primarily on the subprime consumer market [2] Leadership - Doug Shulman serves as the CEO of OneMain and participated in a conference to discuss the company's operations and market focus [2] Industry Context - The consumer finance sector, particularly in the subprime lending space, is characterized by its focus on providing financial services to consumers with lower credit scores [2]

This presentation contains "forward-looking" statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, including but not limited to, information or predictions concerning our future financial performance, including our financial outlook for Q4 2025 and the full fiscal year 2025 under the heading "Outlook" and management's estimates under the heading "Marketplace update," projected growth and other strategies, b ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Full-year earnings per share increased by 36% year-over-year to $6.66, with capital generation rising by 33% to $913 million [5][18] - Fourth quarter GAAP net income was $204 million, or $1.72 per diluted share, up 64% from the previous year [18] - Managed receivables grew by 6% year-over-year to $26.3 billion, with revenue increasing by 8% in the fourth quarter [18][20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Personal loans saw significant growth driven by targeted initiatives, with debt consolidation products reducing customer payments by about 25% [6][7] - Auto finance receivables grew to $2.8 billion, with a scalable platform established and partnerships expanded [9][14] - Credit card receivables increased to $936 million, with accounts rising to nearly 1.1 million customers [10][14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company maintained a conservative underwriting posture despite a slightly weaker labor market and persistent inflation [16][32] - The 30-plus delinquency rate for consumer loans was 5.65%, in line with expectations and better than pre-pandemic trends [14][23] - C&I net charge-offs were 7.9% in the fourth quarter, with consumer loan net charge-offs at 7.6%, showing significant improvement [14][25] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on product innovation, enhancing customer experience, and expanding its auto finance and credit card businesses [34] - Plans to maintain a conservative underwriting posture while targeting a minimum 20% return on tangible equity [19][32] - The introduction of new products and the expansion of existing services are expected to drive growth in managed receivables by 6%-9% in 2026 [31][32] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the resilience of OneMain's customers and the strength of its portfolio, anticipating continued capital generation growth in 2026 [16][34] - The company expects to see some seasonal patterns in losses, with a potential improvement in the second half of 2026 [32] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining a strong balance sheet and the ability to issue capital opportunistically [30][31] Other Important Information - The company was recognized as one of America's most loved workplaces for the fourth consecutive year, reflecting a strong corporate culture [13] - A $1 billion share repurchase program was approved through 2028, with a commitment to maintaining dividends [15][18] Q&A Session Questions and Answers Question: Outlook for credit performance - Management indicated that while credit should continue to improve, there are pressures from the backbook contributing to delinquency and losses, with expectations for a range of C&I net charge-offs in 2026 [37][39] Question: ILC application status and implications - The company is progressing through the ILC application process, which could enhance its ability to serve customers and diversify its balance sheet, but any positive effects are expected to materialize around 2027 [41][42] Question: Loan growth expectations - The company expects loan growth to be driven by innovation in personal loan products and improved team member effectiveness, with a target of 6%-9% growth in managed receivables for 2026 [53][54] Question: Impact of tax refunds on performance - Tax refunds are a significant focus, as they typically improve delinquencies and drive loan demand, but the company does not have specific expectations for the current tax season [60][62] Question: Interest yield trends - The consumer loan yield is currently at 22.5%, with expectations for stability in yields moving forward, influenced by product mix and pricing actions [63][64] Question: Whole loan sales strategy - The whole loan sale program is viewed as a funding diversification strategy, providing flexibility and attractive pricing, while also generating additional revenue streams [70][72]

Core Insights - Two key players in the consumer finance space targeting underserved credit segments are Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) and OneMain Holdings, Inc. (OMF) with differing operating models and revenue streams [1] Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) - Pagaya operates on an AI-powered, capital-light platform, partnering with banks and lenders rather than holding large loan books [2] - The company has expanded its offerings from personal lending to include auto loans and point-of-sale financing, spreading risk across multiple asset classes [4] - PGY has established relationships with over 135 institutional investors and utilizes forward-flow agreements to enhance funding predictability [4][6] - In 2025, PGY achieved three consecutive quarters of positive GAAP net income, with a net income of $47.1 million compared to a net loss of $163.5 million in the prior year [7] - Credit-related impairment losses improved significantly, declining by over $95 million year-over-year, reflecting better-performing loan vintages and improved AI-driven underwriting accuracy [8] - PGY's return on equity (ROE) stands at 44.45%, indicating higher efficiency in generating profits compared to OMF's 22.70% [21] - Revenue growth estimates for PGY indicate increases of 28.4% and 19.2% for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with earnings growth estimates of 273.5% and 10% for the same years [24] OneMain Holdings, Inc. (OMF) - OMF provides unsecured and secured personal installment loans through 1,300 locations across 47 states, focusing on debt consolidation and other large personal needs [10] - The company has experienced a revenue growth CAGR of 3.6% from 2019 to 2024, with continued momentum in 2025 [11] - OMF employs rigorous underwriting supported by centralized data analytics, maintaining a strong record of managing credit performance [12] - The company has raised dividends eight times since 2019, with a recent increase of 1% announced in October 2025, and has a $1 billion share repurchase program in place [13] - Revenue growth estimates for OMF indicate increases of 8.9% and 7.5% for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with earnings growth estimates of 36% and 19.1% for the same years [26] Comparative Analysis - In the past year, PGY's stock has surged by 117.1%, while OMF's stock has gained 19%, indicating stronger investor sentiment towards PGY [15] - PGY is trading at a trailing 12-month price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 3.02X, compared to OMF's 2.30X, suggesting PGY is more expensive in terms of valuation [19] - PGY's AI-driven model shows stronger earnings growth prospects than OMF's traditional lending approach [9] - PGY's compelling growth trajectory and capital-efficient funding strategy position it as a high-upside investment opportunity compared to OMF's established marketplace model [30][31]

4Q 2025 Earnings Call Presentation Confidential and proprietary information © 2026 Navient Solutions, LLC. All rights reserved. 1 Delivering Value to Shareholders Enhance the value of our growth businesses Maximize the cash flows from our loan portfolios Continuously simplify the business and increase efficiency Maintain a strong balance sheet and distribute excess capital • Invest in capabilities to grow high-quality loan originations that generate targeted returns, and explore opportunities to deepen rela ...

Core Viewpoint - A proposed 10% cap on credit card interest rates may lead to a contraction in credit card lending rather than a decrease in consumer borrowing demand, according to SoFi Technologies CEO Anthony Noto [1][2]. Group 1: Impact on Credit Card Lending - If the interest rate cap is enacted, a significant contraction in industry credit card lending is expected, as credit card issuers may struggle to maintain profitability under such constraints [2]. - Credit card issuers may respond to the cap by reducing approvals, lowering credit limits, or closing accounts, indicating that the risk does not disappear but rather shifts [3]. Group 2: Consumer Borrowing Behavior - Despite potential changes in credit card access, consumers will still require credit for routine expenses and unexpected costs, suggesting a persistent demand for borrowing [3]. - As access to credit cards narrows, borrowing may shift towards other options like personal loans, which typically offer lower interest rates and amortizing structures that help pay down balances over time [5][6].

Core Insights - Upstart (UPST) has formed partnerships with Rize Credit Union and MyPoint CU to enhance access to personal loans for consumers in California, reflecting a growing demand for financial solutions [1][3][9] Partnership Developments - Rize Credit Union began offering personal loans through the Upstart Referral Network in May 2024, allowing qualified applicants to receive customized offers and complete the application process seamlessly [2][9] - MyPoint CU also partnered with Upstart this month to expand personal loan offerings, indicating increasing confidence in Upstart's technology among community lenders [3] Market Position and Growth - As of September 30, 2025, Upstart has over 100 lending partners in its marketplace and plans to continue expanding its partnerships [4][9] - Upstart's proprietary AI lending marketplace enables lending partners to originate credit, with the top three partners accounting for 85% of transaction volume and 63% of total revenue in the first nine months of 2025 [5] Competitive Landscape - Other companies in the sector, such as LendingClub and SoFi, are also forming strategic partnerships to enhance their service offerings, indicating a competitive environment for personal loans and financial services [6][7] Financial Performance - Upstart's shares have declined by 11.5% over the past three months, underperforming the broader industry and the S&P 500 [8] - The company's current valuation shows it is overvalued with a Price/Sales ratio of 3.69X, compared to the industry average of 3.01X [10] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Upstart's full-year 2025 EPS has been revised slightly upward, indicating expected significant year-over-year increases [11]

Summary of LendingTree Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: LendingTree - **CEO**: Scott Peyree - **Industry**: Fintech, specifically focusing on online performance marketing for financial products Key Points Leadership Transition - Scott Peyree transitioned to CEO following the unexpected passing of Doug, the founder of LendingTree, in October 2023. Peyree had been with the company since 2018 and was previously the Chief President and COO, which facilitated a smoother transition into the CEO role [5][6]. Business Portfolio - LendingTree aims to be the number one destination for shopping financial products, offering a diversified portfolio that includes: - **Insurance Products**: Auto, home, and health insurance, with auto insurance being the largest segment [8][9]. - **Lending Products**: Mortgage products (purchase, refinance, home equity), personal loans, small and medium-sized business lending, credit cards, deposits, and auto loans [9]. Insurance Market Insights - The insurance market has rebounded post-COVID, with record revenues and VMD (Value of Marketing Dollars) in 2025 across all insurance categories. The growth cycle is expected to continue into 2026 [10][11]. - California's insurance market is improving due to regulatory changes, allowing for more aggressive marketing and consumer acquisition [13][14]. - The top brands in the insurance market, such as Progressive and State Farm, dominate advertising spend, which influences market dynamics [16]. Home Business Dynamics - The home business is highly dependent on interest rates, with current levels being at a trough. The HELOC (Home Equity Line of Credit) segment has seen growth, but the refinance market is anticipated to rebound significantly if interest rates drop to around 5.5% [22][24][30]. - The refinance product is more valuable and profitable compared to purchase loans, which have a longer sales cycle [26][27]. Consumer Lending Segment - The consumer side includes small business lending, personal loans, credit cards, deposits, and auto loans, with small business lending being the fastest-growing segment [35]. - Personal loans are less sensitive to interest rates, primarily driven by debt consolidation needs. The growth potential hinges on lenders becoming more comfortable with credit risk [39][40]. Growth Projections - LendingTree expects to sustain double-digit growth across its business segments, driven by operational excellence and market opportunities [42][43]. - The company is investing in AI to enhance marketing efficiency and improve the consumer shopping experience, which is expected to drive engagement and revenue growth [44][48]. Financial Metrics and Capital Structure - The company has a current debt of $400 million, with a goal to reduce net debt to around $200 million to maintain a conservative capital structure [58][60]. - EBITDA is expected to grow faster than VMD, with a focus on improving operating leverage and free cash flow conversion [57][62]. Future Outlook - LendingTree is positioning itself for future growth through brand repositioning and expanding its market presence beyond just mortgages [63]. - The integration of AI tools is anticipated to fundamentally change the shopping experience for consumers, making it easier to compare financial products [47][48]. Additional Insights - The competitive landscape has shifted, with some competitors exiting the market, allowing LendingTree to strengthen its position as a leading provider in the mortgage sector [32][33]. - The company is exploring new consumer acquisition strategies, including leveraging AI and LLMs (Large Language Models) to enhance customer engagement [65][66].