Key Takeaways SJM expects sales growth driven by Hostess Brands and steady demand across core lines. Pricing actions and distribution gains are supporting revenue momentum.Earnings may decline as green coffee costs and higher expenses weigh on margins.The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM) is likely to witness top-line growth when it reports third-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings on Feb. 26. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is pegged at $2.3 billion, indicating a roughly 6% increase from the prior-year quarte ...

Core Insights - The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM) experienced uneven results in fiscal 2026, with the Pet Foods segment significantly impacting overall performance [1] - The Pet Foods segment faced challenges, including a decline in sales and profit, primarily due to issues in the dog snacks category and the loss of a contract manufacturing agreement [2][3] - Other segments, such as Away From Home and coffee, showed growth, indicating potential for expansion despite the struggles in Pet Foods [4] Financial Performance - Pet Foods segment sales decreased by 8% to $368 million, with profit down 12% to $101.3 million [2][7] - The adverse impact on net sales was attributed to an 8-percentage point decline in volume/mix, while net price realization remained neutral [2] - Margins contracted by 130 basis points to 27.5% in the Pet Foods segment [2] Market Position and Competitors - J.M. Smucker competes with General Mills (GIS), The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC), and Mondelez International (MDLZ) [5] - The company anticipates fiscal 2026 net sales growth in the range of 3-5%, with comparable net sales expected to rise approximately 4.5-6.5% [5] - Competitors' projections for organic net sales growth vary, with General Mills expecting a range from a 1% decline to a 1% increase, Kraft Heinz projecting a decline between 1.5% and 3.5%, and Mondelez International forecasting around 5% growth [5]

Financial Performance - Net sales decreased by 1% to $2,113.3 million[5] - Comparable net sales increased by 2%[2] - Adjusted earnings per share decreased by 22% to $1.90[2, 5] - Free cash flow was ($94.9) million, a decrease compared to $49.2 million in the prior year[2] - Adjusted gross profit decreased by 11% to $743.2 million[5] - Adjusted operating income decreased by 17% to $370.3 million[5] Segment Performance - U S Retail Coffee net sales increased by 15% to $717.2 million[14] - Sweet Baked Snacks net sales decreased by 24% to $253.2 million[14] - International and Away From Home net sales increased by 7% to $290.2 million[14] Fiscal Year 2026 Outlook - The company updated its full-year fiscal 2026 financial outlook[3] - Net sales are expected to increase by 3% to 5%[16] - Free cash flow is projected to be $975 million[16]

Core Viewpoint - The J.M. Smucker Company reported mixed fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results, with adjusted earnings exceeding estimates but net sales declining year over year, raising questions about future performance and investor sentiment [2][3][4]. Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share were $2.31, down 13% year over year, but above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.25 [3]. - Net sales totaled $2,143.8 million, a 3% decline year over year, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2,191 million [4]. - Gross profit decreased by 10% due to elevated costs and unfavorable volume/mix, with adjusted gross profit falling 9% [5]. Segment Performance - U.S. Retail Pet Foods: Sales fell 13% to $395.5 million, with a significant adverse impact from volume/mix [6]. - U.S. Retail Coffee: Sales increased 11% to $738.6 million, supported by higher net price realization [7]. - Sweet Baked Snacks: Sales dropped 26% to $251 million, with a 72% decline in segment profit [9]. - International and Away From Home: Net sales rose 3% to $308.9 million, with a 13% increase in segment profit [10]. Financial Health - The company ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $69.9 million and long-term debt of $7,036.8 million [11]. - Cash flow from operating activities was $393.9 million, with free cash flow at $298.9 million [12]. Future Outlook - Fiscal 2026 net sales are expected to increase by 2% to 4%, with comparable net sales anticipated to rise by 3.5% to 5.5% [13]. - Adjusted EPS for fiscal 2026 is projected to be between $8.50 and $9.50, down from $10.12 in fiscal 2025 [13]. - The consensus estimate has shifted downward by 11.4% since the earnings release, indicating a negative trend in investor sentiment [14]. Industry Context - Smucker operates within the Zacks Food - Miscellaneous industry, where competitor United Natural Foods reported a revenue increase of 7.5% year over year [17]. - United Natural has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) and a VGM Score of A, contrasting with Smucker's Zacks Rank of 5 (Strong Sell) [18].

Core Insights - The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM) reported fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results, with net sales missing estimates while adjusted earnings exceeded expectations, both metrics showing a year-over-year decline [1][3][10] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) were $2.31, down 13% year over year, but above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.25 [3][10] - Net sales totaled $2,143.8 million, a 3% decline year over year, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2,191 million [3][10] - Excluding noncomparable sales from divestitures and currency impacts, net sales decreased by 1%, attributed to a 3% drop in volume/mix, partially offset by a 3% increase in net price realization [3][10] Segment Performance - U.S. Retail Pet Foods: Sales fell 13% to $395.5 million, with an 11-percentage-point negative impact from volume/mix [5] - U.S. Retail Coffee: Sales increased 11% to $738.6 million, driven by a 10% rise in net price realization [6] - U.S. Retail Frozen Handheld and Spreads: Sales decreased slightly to $449.8 million, with a profit drop of 5% to $91 million [7] - Sweet Baked Snacks: Sales were $251 million, down 26% year over year, with a profit decline of 72% to $20 million [8] - International and Away From Home: Sales increased 3% to $308.9 million, with a profit increase of 13% to $69.2 million [9] Financial Health - Cash and cash equivalents stood at $69.9 million, with long-term debt of $7,036.8 million and total shareholders' equity of $6,082.6 million [11] - Operating cash flow was $393.9 million, and free cash flow was $298.9 million for the quarter [11] Future Outlook - For fiscal 2026, SJM anticipates net sales growth of 2-4%, factoring in the impact of recent divestitures [13] - Comparable net sales are expected to rise approximately 3.5-5.5%, driven by higher net price realization, despite volume/mix declines [14] - Adjusted EPS guidance for fiscal 2026 is set between $8.50 and $9.50, down from $10.12 in fiscal 2025 [15]

Financial Performance - Net sales decreased by 3% to $2,143.8 million in FY25 Q4[5] - Comparable net sales decreased by 1%[2] - Adjusted earnings per share decreased by 13% to $2.31[2, 5] - Free cash flow increased slightly to $298.9 million from $297.5 million in the prior year[2] Segment Results - U S Retail Coffee net sales increased by 11% to $738.6 million[14] - U S Retail Pet Foods net sales decreased by 13% to $395.5 million[14] - Sweet Baked Snacks net sales decreased by 26% to $251.0 million[14] Fiscal Year 2026 Outlook - The company projects a net sales increase of 2.0% to 4.0% for fiscal year 2026[16] - Adjusted EPS is projected to be between $8.50 and $9.50[16] - Free cash flow is expected to be $875.0 million[16] Additional Information - Total company net sales for fiscal year 2025 were $8.7 billion[24]

Core Insights - General Mills reported mixed results for Q3 of fiscal 2025, with revenue of $4.8 billion falling short of analysts' expectations and down 5% year over year [2][3] - The company lowered its guidance for the remainder of the fiscal year, anticipating a decline in organic net sales and adjusted operating profit [3][10] Financial Performance - Adjusted EPS for Q3 2025 was $1.00, a 15% decline from $1.17 in Q3 2024, but above the expected $0.96 [4] - Revenue decreased to $4.84 billion from $5.1 billion in Q3 2024, reflecting a 5% year-over-year drop [4] - Adjusted operating profit fell to $801 million, down 12.4% year over year, while gross margin improved slightly to 33.9% [4][9] Segment Performance - North America Retail saw a 7% drop in net sales, and North America Pet experienced a 20% decrease in operating profit [7] - International segment sales declined by 4% due to unfavorable currency impacts, while North America Foodservice sales increased by 1% [7] Strategic Focus - General Mills is focused on product innovation and marketing to maintain competitiveness, leveraging strong brand equity and consumer preferences [5][6] - The company is implementing the Holistic Margin Management strategy to improve gross margins amidst rising input costs [9] Future Outlook - Management revised full-year guidance, predicting a 1.5% to 2% decline in organic net sales and a 7% to 8% decline in adjusted operating profit and EPS [10] - The company aims to reduce the cost of goods sold by 5% in fiscal 2026 through targeted cost efficiencies [10]