Summary of Conference Call for Mondelēz International Company Overview - **Company**: Mondelēz International - **Industry**: Global snacks, particularly chocolate, biscuits, and baked snacks Key Points and Arguments Industry Dynamics - The global chocolate market is described as dynamic, with significant challenges due to cocoa input cost inflation impacting performance in developed markets, particularly in the U.S. and Europe [2][19] - Despite these challenges, the company has maintained solid top-line growth and free cash flow, continuing to invest in its business [2][11] Growth Strategy - Mondelēz aims to improve performance through strategic actions focused on core categories: chocolate, biscuits, and baked snacks, which currently account for about 80% of net revenues [3][10] - The company is targeting a long-term organic net revenue growth of 3%-5%, with high single-digit adjusted EPS growth and over $3 billion in free cash flow [10][39] Market Position - Mondelēz holds a leading position in the global snacks market, with a 17% share in biscuits (valued at $128 billion) and a 12.4% share in chocolate (valued at $147 billion) [4][5] - The company has a strong presence in emerging markets, which are expected to grow at a CAGR of 9% over the next five years, driven by rising disposable incomes and urbanization [28][29] North American Market Insights - The North American business has delivered a 4% CAGR over the past five years, with net revenue projected at about $11 billion for 2025 [11][18] - Key brands like Oreo and Chips Ahoy are performing well, with Oreo generating $2 billion in net revenue [11][12] - The company is addressing changing consumer behaviors by increasing investments in marketing and optimizing product offerings to meet price sensitivity [13][14] European Market Insights - The European business has shown robust growth of about 8% over the past five years, with net revenue of approximately $15 billion for 2025 [18][19] - Chocolate remains a strong category, with a CAGR of 7% over the past five years, despite challenges from cocoa cost inflation [19][22] - Strategic actions include broadening offerings across chocolate segments and enhancing brand presence in under-indexed channels [21][24] Emerging Markets Strategy - Emerging markets represent a $15 billion business for Mondelēz, with significant growth potential in countries like China, India, Brazil, and Mexico [28][30] - The company plans to expand its presence in these markets through localized strategies, product innovation, and enhanced distribution networks [30][37] Supply Chain and Operational Improvements - A multi-year supply chain capability improvement program is underway to optimize operations and increase margins [17][39] - The company is investing in local supply chains to enhance efficiency and service delivery, which is crucial for capturing growth in emerging markets [29][39] Financial Performance and Capital Allocation - Despite pressures from cocoa inflation, Mondelēz managed to deliver strong free cash flow and is targeting over $4 billion in free cash flow generation moving forward [39][40] - The company has prioritized returning capital to shareholders, with significant share repurchases and dividend growth over the past decade [39][40] Future Outlook - The company remains optimistic about its growth prospects, with expectations of strong EPS growth driven by improved performance in developed markets and continued growth in emerging markets [41] - Mondelēz is committed to maintaining a strong balance sheet while executing its growth strategies across various markets [41] Additional Important Insights - Consumer trends indicate a growing preference for snacking, with consumers snacking more than 3.5 times a day and showing interest in new flavors [4][5] - The company is focusing on health-conscious products and premium offerings to cater to evolving consumer preferences [15][16] This summary encapsulates the key insights and strategic directions discussed during the conference call, highlighting Mondelēz International's commitment to growth and adaptation in a challenging market environment.

CAGNY 2026 A PROVEN GROWTH MODEL, POSITIONED TO REACCELERATE GROWTH February 17, 2026 FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS This presentation and accompanying prepared remarks contain forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical fact are "forward-looking statements" for purposes of federal and state securities laws. Words, and variations of words, such as "will," "may," "expect," "would," "could," "might," "intend," "plan," "believe," "likely," "estimate," "anticipate," "objective," " ...

Q4 & FY 2025 RESULTS February 3, 2026 FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS This presentation and accompanying prepared remarks contain forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical fact are "forward-looking statements" for purposes of federal and state securities laws. Words, and variations of words, such as "will," "may," "expect," "would," "could," "might," "intend," "plan," "believe," "likely," "estimate," "anticipate," "objective," "predict," "project," "drive," "seek," "aim," "ta ...

Core Insights - The owner of Oreo and Cadbury reported a quarterly profit of $665 million, which represents a significant decline from $1.75 billion in the same quarter last year [1] Financial Performance - Quarterly profit decreased by approximately 62% year-over-year, from $1.75 billion to $665 million [1]

Group 1 - Mondelez International, Inc. is included in the Dividend Contenders List, highlighting its status as a reliable dividend-paying stock [1] - JPMorgan has lowered its price target for Mondelez to $69 from $71 but maintains an Overweight rating, anticipating earnings momentum to improve in the second half of 2026 despite initial challenges [2] - The company faces significant pressure from cocoa prices, with warnings that "unprecedented cocoa cost inflation" could reduce adjusted EPS by up to 15% in 2025 [3] Group 2 - Mondelez is adapting its strategy to cater to increasingly price-conscious consumers, which may help it maintain stability in a challenging economic environment [4] - The stock is considered defensive, with a low beta of 0.04, a dividend yield of 3.4%, and a total debt-to-equity ratio of 68.9%, indicating financial stability [5] - As one of the largest snack companies globally, Mondelez operates in the consumer staples sector, where demand for food tends to remain steady even during economic downturns [6]

Core Viewpoint - Oakmark Global Fund's fourth-quarter 2025 investor letter highlights its strong performance and investment strategy, focusing on long-term capital appreciation through a diverse portfolio of U.S. and non-U.S. companies, with a notable emphasis on Mondelez International, Inc. [1] Group 1: Fund Performance - In the fourth quarter, Oakmark Global Fund (Investor Class) achieved a return of 5.23%, surpassing the benchmark MSCI World Index's gain of 3.12% [1] Group 2: Mondelez International, Inc. Overview - Mondelez International, Inc. (NASDAQ:MDLZ) is identified as a leading global snacking company with significant market shares in crackers, cookies, and chocolate, featuring well-known brands such as Cadbury, Milka, Toblerone, Oreo, and Ritz [3] - As of January 13, 2026, Mondelez's stock closed at $55.94 per share, with a one-month return of 3.94% and a 52-week decline of 1.24%. The company's market capitalization stands at $72.383 billion [2] Group 3: Investment Thesis on Mondelez - The fund believes Mondelez's strong pricing power and potential relief from rising commodity costs will enhance its margins, despite current margin pressures due to commodity inflation [3] - The current market conditions have allowed the fund to acquire Mondelez shares at a discounted valuation compared to historical levels, peers, and the broader market [3] Group 4: Hedge Fund Interest - Mondelez International, Inc. was held by 50 hedge fund portfolios at the end of the third quarter, an increase from 48 in the previous quarter, indicating growing interest among institutional investors [4]

Group 1: Company Overview - Mondelez International, Inc. (NASDAQ:MDLZ) is recognized as one of the 13 Best Consumer Staples Dividend Stocks to invest in currently [1] - The company operates through several core segments including biscuits, chocolate, gum, and candy, with a strong portfolio of established brands [2] - Mondelez sells its products in over 150 countries, providing it with significant scale and brand recognition [3] Group 2: Financial Performance and Outlook - TD Cowen analyst Robert Moskow has lowered Mondelez's price target from $68 to $62 while maintaining a Buy rating, reflecting a cautious outlook for the consumer staples sector in 2026 [2] - The firm anticipates a challenging year for large-cap names, with volume growth expected to remain negative at -0.9% for 2025 and pricing conditions to stay muted [2] - Cocoa costs are identified as a major headwind, with potential inflation impacting adjusted earnings per share by up to 15% in 2025 [2] Group 3: Dividend and Investment Appeal - Mondelez has consistently raised its dividend payout for over a decade, with a current yield of approximately 3.7% as of January 7 [3] - The company's strong financial position and brand portfolio provide some insulation against economic uncertainties [2]

Core Insights - Mondelez International, Inc. is a leading global snack food company with a market cap of $69.2 billion, operating in over 150 countries and owning iconic brands like Oreo and Cadbury [1] Financial Performance - Analysts expect Mondelez to report an adjusted profit of $0.70 per share for the fourth quarter, reflecting a 7.7% increase from $0.65 per share in the same quarter last year [2] - For fiscal 2025, adjusted EPS is projected to be $2.90, a decrease of 13.7% from $3.36 in 2024, but is expected to rebound to $3.14 per share in fiscal 2026, marking an 8.3% year-over-year increase [3] Stock Performance - Mondelez's stock has declined by 10.2% over the past 52 weeks, underperforming compared to the Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund's 1.3% decline and the S&P 500 Index's 16.2% gain [4] - The underperformance is attributed to rising input costs, weakening consumer demand, and downward revisions to earnings outlook, particularly due to inflation in cocoa prices and other raw materials [5] Analyst Ratings - The stock holds a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating, with 14 "Strong Buys," three "Moderate Buys," six "Holds," and one "Strong Sell" among 24 analysts [6] - The mean price target for Mondelez is $68.30, indicating a potential upside of 27.1% from current price levels [6]

Core Thesis - Mondelez International, Inc. is experiencing share-price pressure despite strong Q3 results due to rising cocoa prices and elevated transportation costs impacting margins, alongside weakened American consumer purchasing power affecting near-term demand [2][4] Financial Performance - Mondelez reported a modest revenue growth of 5.86% year-over-year, surpassing inflation, but earnings fell by over 18% due to margin pressures [4] - Operating margins declined from 12.5% to 7.6%, and the return on invested capital (ROIC) is currently at 6.2%, trailing the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of 6.67% [4] - Analysts project a one-year price target of $62, indicating approximately 11% upside from the current share price of $56.08 [4] Strategic Positioning - The company’s broad portfolio, global scale, and category leadership position it for resilient long-term performance, with dominant segments in biscuits and chocolate [3] - Key brands like Oreo and Cadbury drive brand loyalty, while emerging markets and premium snack offerings provide additional growth opportunities [3] - Strategic initiatives include investments in core brands, bolt-on acquisitions, supply chain efficiencies, e-commerce expansion, and sustainability programs like Cocoa Life [3] Market Outlook - Despite short-term headwinds from cocoa volatility, logistics costs, and regulatory scrutiny, Mondelez's focus on emerging markets and premium products positions it to withstand macroeconomic pressures [5] - The company presents a conservative investment opportunity with moderate upside, where near-term market reactions may obscure long-term fundamentals and global snack leadership [5][6]

Core Insights - Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) is valued at a market cap of $74.9 billion and operates in over 150 countries, focusing on premium snacking products like biscuits, chocolates, and candies [1] Financial Performance - In the third quarter, Mondelez reported a 5.9% increase in net revenue, with organic sales up 3.4% driven by price increases, but volumes suffered and margins were pressured due to high cocoa and input costs [4] - Adjusted EPS fell 24.2% year over year to $0.73, and operating income decreased 35.5% from the previous year to $744 million [4] - For the current fiscal year, analysts expect MDLZ's EPS to decline 12.8% year over year to $2.93 [5] Stock Performance - Over the past year, MDLZ shares have declined 17.2%, underperforming the S&P 500 Index, which has surged 17.4% [2] - Year-to-date, the stock is down 3.3%, while the benchmark index has gained 16% [2] - The stock has also trailed the First Trust Nasdaq Food & Beverage ETF's 14.4% loss over the past 52 weeks [3] Analyst Ratings - Among 26 analysts covering the stock, the consensus rating is a "Moderate Buy," with 14 "Strong Buy," three "Moderate Buy," eight "Hold," and one "Strong Sell" rating [5] - The mean price target of $71.56 suggests a 23.8% potential upside from current price levels, while the Street-high price target of $85 indicates an upside potential of 47.1% [6]